Birmingham 1–0 QPR – England Championship, 11 Mar 2026

Match facts

Birmingham QPR

21 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 1

10 Corners 1

9 Fouls 9

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (435 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.78

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.17

Home / Draw / Away

50% 24% 26%

BirminghamDrawQPR

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.3% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.36points / match

1.28scored / match

1.31conceded / match

13 10 13

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 46:47

QPR before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.28scored / match

1.61conceded / match

13 8 15

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 46:58

Birmingham all matches all matches QPR

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.28

1.31 Goals conceded 1.61

2.58 Total goals 2.89

13.78 Shots 12.69

3.86 Shots on target 3.83

10.64 Shots faced 11.75

5.64 Corners 4.92

4.22 Corners against 5.17

11.36 Fouls 10.39

1.72 Yellow cards 1.56

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

36% Wins 36%

28% Draws 22%

36% Losses 42%

97% Over 0.5 goals 86%

81% Over 1.5 goals 75%

50% Over 2.5 goals 64%

22% Over 3.5 goals 39%

8% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

56% Both teams scored 64%

22% Clean sheets 25%

25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 25%

25% Draws 39%

44% Losses 36%

81% Over 0.5 goals 72%

39% Over 1.5 goals 39%

11% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches

1

D

2

W

1

D

2

W

2

1

W

D

2

1

W

3

L

1

3

L

1

L

QPR all matches

D

2

3

L

2

1

W

D

1

3

L

3

1

W

5

L

2

L

4

L

Birmingham before this match, at home

1.82points / match

1.82scored / match

1.06conceded / match

8 7 2

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:18

QPR before this match, away

1.17points / match

0.94scored / match

1.56conceded / match

5 6 7

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:28

Birmingham at home away QPR

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 0.94

1.06 Goals conceded 1.56

2.88 Total goals 2.50

17.88 Shots 10.89

5.47 Shots on target 3.22

8.94 Shots faced 14.11

6.47 Corners 4.06

3.94 Corners against 7.06

10.94 Fouls 10.39

1.82 Yellow cards 1.61

0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 1.11

How often Full Time

47% Wins 28%

41% Draws 33%

12% Losses 39%

94% Over 0.5 goals 78%

82% Over 1.5 goals 61%

53% Over 2.5 goals 50%

41% Over 3.5 goals 33%

18% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

71% Both teams scored 56%

29% Clean sheets 33%

6% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 11%

35% Draws 39%

18% Losses 50%

76% Over 0.5 goals 72%

47% Over 1.5 goals 44%

18% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home

4

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

D

3

2

W

1

D

2

1

W

D

1

3

L

QPR away

1

W

1

3

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

D

3

1

W

5

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26	Charlton – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.30	2.05	2.10	1.73
02.03.26	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–2)	2.40	3.60	2.57	1.85	2.00
25.02.26	Millwall – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.40	3.30	2.82	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Norwich – Birmingham	1–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.91	1.91
10.02.26	Birmingham – West Brom	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
07.02.26	Birmingham – Leicester	2–1 (1–1)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.91	1.91
31.01.26	Oxford – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Birmingham – Stoke	1–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.73
20.01.26	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	4.20	1.45	1.80	2.00
17.01.26	Swansea – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.20	2.57	2.10	1.73

QPR all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.26	QPR – Middlesbrough	0–4 (0–1)	3.75	3.40	1.96	1.91	1.91
28.02.26	QPR – Sheffield United	0–2 (0–2)	3.00	3.60	2.20	1.88	1.98
24.02.26	Southampton – QPR	5–0 (2–0)	1.61	3.70	4.33	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Hull – QPR	1–3 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.80
14.02.26	QPR – Blackburn	1–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.10	3.25	2.20	1.67
06.02.26	Charlton – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.85	3.00	2.57	2.30	1.62
31.01.26	QPR – Coventry	2–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.15	1.91	1.91
24.01.26	QPR – Wrexham	2–3 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.20	1.67
20.01.26	Oxford – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	2.75	2.30	1.62
17.01.26	Stoke – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.50	2.10	1.73

Birmingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.03.26	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–2)	2.40	3.60	2.57	1.85	2.00
10.02.26	Birmingham – West Brom	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
07.02.26	Birmingham – Leicester	2–1 (1–1)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.91	1.91
24.01.26	Birmingham – Stoke	1–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Birmingham – Coventry	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.83	2.03
29.12.25	Birmingham – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	2.85	1.80	2.00
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
13.12.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.00	5.75	2.00	1.80
01.12.25	Birmingham – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.79	3.60	4.33	2.10	1.73
22.11.25	Birmingham – Norwich	4–1 (3–1)	1.62	3.70	5.00	1.90	1.95

QPR away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.26	Southampton – QPR	5–0 (2–0)	1.61	3.70	4.33	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Hull – QPR	1–3 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.80
06.02.26	Charlton – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.85	3.00	2.57	2.30	1.62
20.01.26	Oxford – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	2.75	2.30	1.62
17.01.26	Stoke – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.50	2.10	1.73
29.12.25	West Brom – QPR	2–1 (1–1)	2.01	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.80
26.12.25	Portsmouth – QPR	1–1 (1–0)	2.82	3.50	2.25	1.95	1.90
13.12.25	Middlesbrough – QPR	3–1 (2–0)	1.86	3.70	3.80	1.91	1.91
29.11.25	Norwich – QPR	3–1 (3–1)	2.50	3.40	2.75	2.00	1.85
26.11.25	Blackburn – QPR	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.25	2.05	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1 4

Birmingham winsDrawsQPR wins

7matches

2.00goals / match

43%over 2.5

43%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.12.25E1	QPR – Birmingham	2–1 (1–0)	2.85	3.30	2.35	1.98	1.88
29.03.24E1	QPR – Birmingham	2–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	2.05	1.75
22.09.23E1	Birmingham – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67
18.03.23E1	QPR – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.30	3.10	2.20	1.67
28.10.22E1	Birmingham – QPR	2–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.72
02.01.22E1	Birmingham – QPR	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.75	2.20	1.66
28.09.21E1	QPR – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.93	1.93

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	36	22	8	6	74	38	+36	74
2	Middlesbrough	36	20	9	7	58	35	+23	69
3	Millwall	37	20	8	9	51	41	+10	68
4	Ipswich	36	18	11	7	64	38	+26	65
5	Hull	37	19	6	12	59	53	+6	63
6	Wrexham	36	15	12	9	55	47	+8	57
7	Derby	37	15	9	13	54	48	+6	54
8	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57	46	+11	53
9	Watford	36	13	13	10	46	42	+4	52
10	Swansea	37	15	7	15	44	44	0	52
11	Bristol City	37	14	8	15	48	48	0	50
12	Sheffield United	36	15	4	17	51	49	+2	49
13	Birmingham	36	13	10	13	46	47	-1	49
14	Preston	36	12	13	11	42	43	-1	49
15	Stoke	37	13	9	15	42	39	+3	48
16	QPR	36	13	8	15	46	58	-12	47
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47	44	+3	45
18	Leicester	37	11	11	15	50	57	-7	44
19	Charlton	36	11	11	14	34	44	-10	44
20	Portsmouth	36	10	10	16	36	47	-11	40
21	Blackburn	36	10	9	17	34	47	-13	39
22	West Brom	36	9	9	18	35	53	-18	36
23	Oxford	36	8	11	17	34	48	-14	35
24	Sheffield Weds	37	1	9	27	23	74	-51	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	17	13	3	1	36	13	+23	42
2	Ipswich	19	12	6	1	35	13	+22	42
3	Millwall	19	11	3	5	27	21	+6	36
4	Middlesbrough	17	10	5	2	26	12	+14	35
5	Swansea	19	10	5	4	28	19	+9	35
6	Watford	18	9	5	4	26	19	+7	32
7	Birmingham	17	8	7	2	31	18	+13	31
8	Southampton	17	8	6	3	26	14	+12	30
9	Wrexham	19	8	6	5	34	30	+4	30
10	Hull	19	9	3	7	29	31	-2	30
11	Charlton	18	8	4	6	18	18	0	28
12	Sheffield United	18	8	3	7	29	21	+8	27
13	Derby	19	7	6	6	26	25	+1	27
14	Preston	19	7	6	6	23	23	0	27
15	Stoke	18	7	5	6	26	20	+6	26
16	QPR	18	8	2	8	29	30	-1	26
17	Bristol City	19	7	4	8	28	26	+2	25
18	Leicester	18	7	4	7	25	25	0	25
19	West Brom	17	6	6	5	19	22	-3	24
20	Portsmouth	18	6	4	8	19	19	0	22
21	Norwich	17	6	1	10	19	22	-3	19
22	Blackburn	19	4	6	9	18	25	-7	18
23	Oxford	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8	18
24	Sheffield Weds	19	0	5	14	10	39	-29	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	19	10	4	5	32	23	+9	34
2	Hull	18	10	3	5	30	22	+8	33
3	Coventry	19	9	5	5	38	25	+13	32
4	Millwall	18	9	5	4	24	20	+4	32
5	Derby	18	8	3	7	28	23	+5	27
6	Wrexham	17	7	6	4	21	17	+4	27
7	Norwich	18	7	5	6	28	22	+6	26
8	Bristol City	18	7	4	7	20	22	-2	25
9	Ipswich	17	6	5	6	29	25	+4	23
10	Southampton	18	6	5	7	31	32	-1	23
11	Preston	17	5	7	5	19	20	-1	22
12	Stoke	19	6	4	9	16	19	-3	22
13	Sheffield United	18	7	1	10	22	28	-6	22
14	Blackburn	17	6	3	8	16	22	-6	21
15	QPR	18	5	6	7	17	28	-11	21
16	Watford	18	4	8	6	20	23	-3	20
17	Leicester	19	4	7	8	25	32	-7	19
18	Portsmouth	18	4	6	8	17	28	-11	18
19	Birmingham	19	5	3	11	15	29	-14	18
20	Oxford	19	4	5	10	19	25	-6	17
21	Swansea	18	5	2	11	16	25	-9	17
22	Charlton	18	3	7	8	16	26	-10	16
23	West Brom	19	3	3	13	16	31	-15	12
24	Sheffield Weds	18	1	4	13	13	35	-22	7

Birmingham QPR

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Hull	37	13	24	1.6	1.4	19	6	12	59	53	63
2	16	QPR	36	13	23	1.3	1.6	13	8	15	46	58	47
3	1	Coventry	36	14	22	2.1	1.1	22	8	6	74	38	74
4	18	Leicester	37	15	22	1.4	1.5	11	11	15	50	57	44
5	8	Southampton	35	14	21	1.6	1.3	14	11	10	57	46	53
6	24	Sheffield Weds	37	16	21	0.6	2.0	1	9	27	23	74	12
7	2	Middlesbrough	36	16	20	1.6	1.0	20	9	7	58	35	69
8	12	Sheffield United	36	16	20	1.4	1.4	15	4	17	51	49	49
9	4	Ipswich	36	17	19	1.8	1.1	18	11	7	64	38	65
10	7	Derby	37	18	19	1.5	1.3	15	9	13	54	48	54
11	23	Oxford	36	17	19	0.9	1.3	8	11	17	34	48	35
12	3	Millwall	37	19	18	1.4	1.1	20	8	9	51	41	68
13	13	Birmingham	36	18	18	1.3	1.3	13	10	13	46	47	49
14	6	Wrexham	36	19	17	1.5	1.3	15	12	9	55	47	57
15	10	Swansea	37	20	17	1.2	1.2	15	7	15	44	44	52
16	11	Bristol City	37	20	17	1.3	1.3	14	8	15	48	48	50
17	17	Norwich	35	18	17	1.3	1.3	13	6	16	47	44	45
18	22	West Brom	36	19	17	1.0	1.5	9	9	18	35	53	36
19	9	Watford	36	20	16	1.3	1.2	13	13	10	46	42	52
20	15	Stoke	37	21	16	1.1	1.1	13	9	15	42	39	48
21	20	Portsmouth	36	20	16	1.0	1.3	10	10	16	36	47	40
22	14	Preston	36	21	15	1.2	1.2	12	13	11	42	43	49
23	21	Blackburn	36	21	15	0.9	1.3	10	9	17	34	47	39
24	19	Charlton	36	23	13	0.9	1.2	11	11	14	34	44	44

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	QPR	18	4	14	1.6	1.7	8	2	8	29	30	26
2	5	Hull	19	7	12	1.5	1.6	9	3	7	29	31	30
3	12	Sheffield United	18	6	12	1.6	1.2	8	3	7	29	21	27
4	6	Wrexham	19	8	11	1.8	1.6	8	6	5	34	30	30
5	1	Coventry	17	7	10	2.1	0.8	13	3	1	36	13	42
6	3	Millwall	19	9	10	1.4	1.1	11	3	5	27	21	36
7	4	Ipswich	19	9	10	1.8	0.7	12	6	1	35	13	42
8	11	Bristol City	19	9	10	1.5	1.4	7	4	8	28	26	25
9	15	Stoke	18	8	10	1.4	1.1	7	5	6	26	20	26
10	24	Sheffield Weds	19	9	10	0.5	2.1	0	5	14	10	39	5
11	13	Birmingham	17	8	9	1.8	1.1	8	7	2	31	18	31
12	14	Preston	19	10	9	1.2	1.2	7	6	6	23	23	27
13	18	Leicester	18	9	9	1.4	1.4	7	4	7	25	25	25
14	23	Oxford	17	8	9	0.9	1.4	4	6	7	15	23	18
15	2	Middlesbrough	17	9	8	1.5	0.7	10	5	2	26	12	35
16	7	Derby	19	11	8	1.4	1.3	7	6	6	26	25	27
17	8	Southampton	17	9	8	1.5	0.8	8	6	3	26	14	30
18	9	Watford	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	4	26	19	32
19	10	Swansea	19	11	8	1.5	1.0	10	5	4	28	19	35
20	17	Norwich	17	9	8	1.1	1.3	6	1	10	19	22	19
21	20	Portsmouth	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	6	4	8	19	19	22
22	21	Blackburn	19	12	7	0.9	1.3	4	6	9	18	25	18
23	22	West Brom	17	10	7	1.1	1.3	6	6	5	19	22	24
24	19	Charlton	18	12	6	1.0	1.0	8	4	6	18	18	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Southampton	18	5	13	1.7	1.8	6	5	7	31	32	23
2	18	Leicester	19	6	13	1.3	1.7	4	7	8	25	32	19
3	1	Coventry	19	7	12	2.0	1.3	9	5	5	38	25	32
4	2	Middlesbrough	19	7	12	1.7	1.2	10	4	5	32	23	34
5	5	Hull	18	6	12	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	30	22	33
6	7	Derby	18	7	11	1.6	1.3	8	3	7	28	23	27
7	24	Sheffield Weds	18	7	11	0.7	1.9	1	4	13	13	35	7
8	22	West Brom	19	9	10	0.8	1.6	3	3	13	16	31	12
9	23	Oxford	19	9	10	1.0	1.3	4	5	10	19	25	17
10	4	Ipswich	17	8	9	1.7	1.5	6	5	6	29	25	23
11	10	Swansea	18	9	9	0.9	1.4	5	2	11	16	25	17
12	13	Birmingham	19	10	9	0.8	1.5	5	3	11	15	29	18
13	16	QPR	18	9	9	0.9	1.6	5	6	7	17	28	21
14	17	Norwich	18	9	9	1.6	1.2	7	5	6	28	22	26
15	3	Millwall	18	10	8	1.3	1.1	9	5	4	24	20	32
16	9	Watford	18	10	8	1.1	1.3	4	8	6	20	23	20
17	12	Sheffield United	18	10	8	1.2	1.6	7	1	10	22	28	22
18	20	Portsmouth	18	10	8	0.9	1.6	4	6	8	17	28	18
19	21	Blackburn	17	9	8	0.9	1.3	6	3	8	16	22	21
20	11	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.1	1.2	7	4	7	20	22	25
21	19	Charlton	18	11	7	0.9	1.4	3	7	8	16	26	16
22	6	Wrexham	17	11	6	1.2	1.0	7	6	4	21	17	27
23	14	Preston	17	11	6	1.1	1.2	5	7	5	19	20	22
24	15	Stoke	19	13	6	0.8	1.0	6	4	9	16	19	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.