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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Derby 2–1 Hull

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.56
Draw 3.25 fair 4.00
Away 3.30 fair 2.78
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Hull
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 5
13 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawHull
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 8.6% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.23scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:17
Hull before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.69scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:20
Derby all matches all matches Hull

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.69
1.31 Goals conceded 1.54
2.54 Total goals 3.23
8.62 Shots 11.77
2.77 Shots on target 4.85
13.85 Shots faced 16.54
4.31 Corners 4.23
5.92 Corners against 5.69
12.62 Fouls 11.23
2.69 Yellow cards 2.54
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

31% Wins 46%
38% Draws 31%
31% Losses 23%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
62% Over 1.5 goals 85%
31% Over 2.5 goals 69%
31% Over 3.5 goals 46%
8% Over 4.5 goals 23%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
62% Both teams scored 69%
23% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 38%
46% Draws 38%
38% Losses 23%
69% Over 0.5 goals 77%
15% Over 1.5 goals 46%
8% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Hull all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.29points / match
1.14scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:9
Hull before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:10
Derby at home away Hull

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.67
1.29 Goals conceded 1.67
2.43 Total goals 3.33
10.29 Shots 12.67
3.29 Shots on target 5.50
12.57 Shots faced 20.17
4.43 Corners 4.33
5.14 Corners against 7.00
12.43 Fouls 11.00
2.43 Yellow cards 3.17
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

29% Wins 33%
43% Draws 33%
29% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
57% Over 1.5 goals 83%
14% Over 2.5 goals 67%
14% Over 3.5 goals 50%
14% Over 4.5 goals 33%
14% Over 5.5 goals 17%
57% Both teams scored 67%
29% Clean sheets 33%
14% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 33%
43% Draws 50%
43% Losses 17%
86% Over 0.5 goals 67%
29% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Hull away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Sheffield United – Derby 1–3 (0–1) 1.763.504.33 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
27.09.25 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80

Hull all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Norwich – Hull 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.803.05 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Hull – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.302.75 2.05 1.80
21.10.25 Hull – Leicester 2–1 (2–0) 3.253.502.10 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
04.10.25 Hull – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.573.202.57 1.88 1.98
30.09.25 Hull – Preston 2–2 (0–2) 2.053.503.40 2.05 1.80
27.09.25 Watford – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 1.95 1.90
20.09.25 Hull – Southampton 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.502.20 1.73 2.10
13.09.25 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (1–1) 1.793.504.50 2.00 1.80
30.08.25 Bristol City – Hull 4–2 (3–1) 1.863.404.20 2.00 1.80

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
18.04.25 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
08.04.25 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44

Hull away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Norwich – Hull 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.803.05 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
27.09.25 Watford – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 1.95 1.90
13.09.25 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (1–1) 1.793.504.50 2.00 1.80
30.08.25 Bristol City – Hull 4–2 (3–1) 1.863.404.20 2.00 1.80
09.08.25 Coventry – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.90 1.95
03.05.25 Portsmouth – Hull 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.30 1.95 1.90
18.04.25 Swansea – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.00 2.20 1.67
08.04.25 Watford – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.20 1.67
05.04.25 Sheffield Weds – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsHull wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.25E1 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.003.25 2.63 1.50
26.10.24E1 Derby – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
08.02.22E1 Derby – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
18.08.21E1 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 13 8 4 1 36 12 +24 28
2 Middlesbrough 13 7 4 2 16 11 +5 25
3 Stoke 13 7 3 3 18 9 +9 24
4 Millwall 13 7 3 3 16 15 +1 24
5 Bristol City 13 6 4 3 21 16 +5 22
6 Preston 13 6 4 3 17 12 +5 22
7 Hull 13 6 4 3 22 20 +2 22
8 Charlton 13 5 5 3 15 11 +4 20
9 Ipswich 12 5 4 3 21 14 +7 19
10 Watford 13 5 3 5 17 16 +1 18
11 Birmingham 13 5 3 5 15 15 0 18
12 West Brom 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
13 QPR 13 5 3 5 16 21 -5 18
14 Leicester 13 4 5 4 15 14 +1 17
15 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 19 19 0 17
16 Swansea 13 4 5 4 13 13 0 17
17 Derby 13 4 5 4 16 17 -1 17
18 Oxford 13 3 4 6 15 17 -2 13
19 Blackburn 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13
20 Portsmouth 13 3 4 6 10 17 -7 13
21 Southampton 13 2 6 5 13 19 -6 12
22 Sheffield United 13 3 0 10 10 23 -13 9
23 Norwich 13 2 2 9 12 20 -8 8
24 Sheffield Weds 13 1 4 8 10 25 -15 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Watford 7 5 1 1 13 7 +6 16
2 Coventry 6 4 2 0 16 3 +13 14
3 Ipswich 7 4 2 1 14 8 +6 14
4 Preston 7 4 2 1 10 6 +4 14
5 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 7 3 +4 14
6 Hull 7 4 2 1 12 10 +2 14
7 Stoke 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
8 Millwall 7 4 0 3 7 9 -2 12
9 Birmingham 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11
10 Charlton 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
11 Bristol City 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11
12 Leicester 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
13 West Brom 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
14 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 11 12 -1 9
15 Derby 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
16 Swansea 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
17 QPR 6 2 2 2 7 8 -1 8
18 Portsmouth 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7
19 Oxford 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6
20 Southampton 6 1 3 2 4 6 -2 6
21 Blackburn 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
22 Sheffield United 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3
23 Sheffield Weds 7 0 1 6 2 17 -15 1
24 Norwich 6 0 0 6 4 11 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14
2 Millwall 6 3 3 0 9 6 +3 12
3 Bristol City 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11
4 Stoke 7 3 2 2 7 5 +2 11
5 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 9 8 +1 11
6 QPR 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 10
7 Charlton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
8 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 6 6 0 9
9 West Brom 7 3 0 4 7 10 -3 9
10 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
11 Preston 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
12 Swansea 6 2 2 2 5 4 +1 8
13 Hull 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8
14 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
15 Derby 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
16 Norwich 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
17 Oxford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7
18 Birmingham 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
19 Sheffield Weds 6 1 3 2 8 8 0 6
20 Southampton 7 1 3 3 9 13 -4 6
21 Portsmouth 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6
22 Sheffield United 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
23 Ipswich 5 1 2 2 7 6 +1 5
24 Watford 6 0 2 4 4 9 -5 2

Derby   Hull

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 13 4 9 2.8 0.9 8 4 1 36 12 28
2 7 Hull 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 6 4 3 22 20 22
3 10 Watford 13 5 8 1.3 1.2 5 3 5 17 16 18
4 24 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 0.8 1.9 1 4 8 10 25 7
5 5 Bristol City 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 4 3 21 16 22
6 9 Ipswich 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 5 4 3 21 14 19
7 13 QPR 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 5 3 5 16 21 18
8 18 Oxford 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 3 4 6 15 17 13
9 21 Southampton 13 6 7 1.0 1.5 2 6 5 13 19 12
10 2 Middlesbrough 13 7 6 1.2 0.8 7 4 2 16 11 25
11 4 Millwall 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 7 3 3 16 15 24
12 15 Wrexham 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 4 5 4 19 19 17
13 19 Blackburn 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13
14 22 Sheffield United 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 3 0 10 10 23 9
15 23 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 2 9 12 20 8
16 6 Preston 13 8 5 1.3 0.9 6 4 3 17 12 22
17 11 Birmingham 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 15 18
18 12 West Brom 13 8 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
19 14 Leicester 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 15 14 17
20 20 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 3 4 6 10 17 13
21 3 Stoke 13 9 4 1.4 0.7 7 3 3 18 9 24
22 8 Charlton 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 5 5 3 15 11 20
23 16 Swansea 13 9 4 1.0 1.0 4 5 4 13 13 17
24 17 Derby 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 5 4 16 17 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Watford 7 1 6 1.9 1.0 5 1 1 13 7 16
2 7 Hull 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 2 1 12 10 14
3 9 Ipswich 7 2 5 2.0 1.1 4 2 1 14 8 14
4 5 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11
5 15 Wrexham 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 2 3 2 11 12 9
6 19 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
7 24 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 0.3 2.4 0 1 6 2 17 1
8 1 Coventry 6 3 3 2.7 0.5 4 2 0 16 3 14
9 4 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.3 4 0 3 7 9 12
10 6 Preston 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 1 10 6 14
11 11 Birmingham 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11
12 13 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 2 2 7 8 8
13 16 Swansea 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
14 18 Oxford 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6
15 20 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7
16 22 Sheffield United 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 1 0 5 4 11 3
17 23 Norwich 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 0 0 6 4 11 0
18 2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 4 2 0 7 3 14
19 3 Stoke 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
20 8 Charlton 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
21 21 Southampton 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 3 2 4 6 6
22 12 West Brom 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
23 14 Leicester 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9
24 17 Derby 7 6 1 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14
2 21 Southampton 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 1 3 3 9 13 6
3 2 Middlesbrough 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 2 2 9 8 11
4 7 Hull 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 2 2 10 10 8
5 12 West Brom 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 3 0 4 7 10 9
6 13 QPR 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 3 1 3 9 13 10
7 14 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
8 18 Oxford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7
9 24 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 3 2 8 8 6
10 4 Millwall 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 3 0 9 6 12
11 5 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11
12 17 Derby 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
13 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
14 23 Norwich 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
15 3 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 2 2 7 5 11
16 6 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8
17 8 Charlton 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
18 9 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 1 2 2 7 6 5
19 10 Watford 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 0 2 4 4 9 2
20 11 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
21 15 Wrexham 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
22 19 Blackburn 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 3 6 6 9
23 20 Portsmouth 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6
24 16 Swansea 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 2 2 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51