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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: E Bell

Derby 1–0 QPR

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 2.56
Draw 3.25 fair 3.94
Away 2.65 fair 2.82
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby QPR
12 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 2
13 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (135 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawQPR
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 8.9% 2–1 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.09scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:16
QPR before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.36scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:16
Derby all matches all matches QPR

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.36
1.45 Goals conceded 1.45
2.55 Total goals 2.82
8.00 Shots 13.45
2.55 Shots on target 3.64
14.45 Shots faced 12.55
4.27 Corners 4.64
6.00 Corners against 4.91
12.73 Fouls 10.36
2.91 Yellow cards 2.09
0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

18% Wins 45%
45% Draws 27%
36% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
64% Over 1.5 goals 73%
27% Over 2.5 goals 55%
27% Over 3.5 goals 27%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
64% Both teams scored 73%
18% Clean sheets 27%
18% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 36%
55% Draws 18%
45% Losses 45%
64% Over 0.5 goals 82%
18% Over 1.5 goals 36%
9% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
QPR all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.17scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:9
QPR before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:12
Derby at home away QPR

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded 2.00
2.67 Total goals 3.50
10.00 Shots 12.50
3.17 Shots on target 3.33
13.67 Shots faced 15.50
4.33 Corners 4.17
5.67 Corners against 6.33
12.33 Fouls 10.50
2.50 Yellow cards 1.83
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.67
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.50

How often Full Time

17% Wins 50%
50% Draws 17%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
17% Over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 83%
17% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 67%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
QPR away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
27.09.25 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.25 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.572.952.82 2.38 1.57
04.10.25 Bristol City – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 1.85 2.00
01.10.25 QPR – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Sheffield Weds – QPR 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.45 2.00 1.80
20.09.25 QPR – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.202.55 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Wrexham – QPR 1–3 (0–2) 1.863.504.00 1.93 1.93
30.08.25 QPR – Charlton 3–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.40 2.20 1.67
23.08.25 Coventry – QPR 7–1 (5–0) 1.554.205.50 1.95 1.90
16.08.25 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
18.04.25 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
08.04.25 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
02.04.25 Derby – Preston 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.75 1.44

QPR away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.25 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Bristol City – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Sheffield Weds – QPR 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.45 2.00 1.80
13.09.25 Wrexham – QPR 1–3 (0–2) 1.863.504.00 1.93 1.93
23.08.25 Coventry – QPR 7–1 (5–0) 1.554.205.50 1.95 1.90
16.08.25 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 Sunderland – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 1.574.105.25 1.93 1.93
18.04.25 Preston – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.103.40 2.50 1.53
09.04.25 Oxford – QPR 1–3 (0–2) 2.503.202.80 2.30 1.62
29.03.25 Stoke – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.103.40 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsQPR wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.25E1 QPR – Derby 4–0 (2–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
05.10.24E1 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
18.04.22E1 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72
29.11.21E1 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 12 8 4 0 34 9 +25 28
2 Middlesbrough 11 7 3 1 15 7 +8 24
3 Stoke 12 6 3 3 13 8 +5 21
4 Millwall 11 6 2 3 13 13 0 20
5 Bristol City 11 5 4 2 19 11 +8 19
6 Preston 12 5 4 3 15 12 +3 19
7 Charlton 11 5 3 3 13 9 +4 18
8 Hull 11 5 3 3 19 19 0 18
9 QPR 11 5 3 3 15 16 -1 18
10 Leicester 11 4 5 2 15 11 +4 17
11 West Brom 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
12 Ipswich 11 4 4 3 17 13 +4 16
13 Watford 12 4 3 5 14 16 -2 15
14 Birmingham 11 4 3 4 11 14 -3 15
15 Wrexham 11 3 4 4 15 16 -1 13
16 Swansea 11 3 4 4 10 11 -1 13
17 Portsmouth 12 3 4 5 10 13 -3 13
18 Southampton 11 2 6 3 12 15 -3 12
19 Derby 11 2 5 4 12 16 -4 11
20 Oxford 11 2 3 6 11 14 -3 9
21 Sheffield United 12 3 0 9 9 20 -11 9
22 Norwich 11 2 2 7 11 16 -5 8
23 Blackburn 10 2 1 7 8 16 -8 7
24 Sheffield Weds 11 1 3 7 9 23 -14 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 6 4 2 0 16 3 +13 14
2 Ipswich 7 4 2 1 14 8 +6 14
3 Preston 7 4 2 1 10 6 +4 14
4 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 6 2 +4 13
5 Watford 6 4 1 1 10 7 +3 13
6 Hull 6 4 1 1 11 9 +2 13
7 Charlton 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10
8 Stoke 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
9 Leicester 5 2 3 0 6 3 +3 9
10 Millwall 6 3 0 3 6 9 -3 9
11 QPR 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
12 Bristol City 6 2 2 2 10 9 +1 8
13 Birmingham 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
14 West Brom 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
15 Portsmouth 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7
16 Southampton 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
17 Wrexham 6 1 3 2 8 10 -2 6
18 Derby 6 1 3 2 7 9 -2 6
19 Swansea 6 1 3 2 6 8 -2 6
20 Oxford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
21 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
22 Blackburn 5 0 1 4 4 10 -6 1
23 Sheffield Weds 6 0 1 5 1 15 -14 1
24 Norwich 5 0 0 5 4 9 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 6 4 2 0 18 6 +12 14
2 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
4 Millwall 5 3 2 0 7 4 +3 11
5 Stoke 7 3 2 2 7 5 +2 11
6 QPR 6 3 1 2 9 12 -3 10
7 West Brom 7 3 0 4 7 10 -3 9
8 Leicester 6 2 2 2 9 8 +1 8
9 Norwich 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
10 Charlton 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
11 Wrexham 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
12 Swansea 5 2 1 2 4 3 +1 7
13 Birmingham 6 2 1 3 4 8 -4 7
14 Portsmouth 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
15 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
16 Southampton 6 1 3 2 8 11 -3 6
17 Sheffield United 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
18 Sheffield Weds 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
19 Preston 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
20 Hull 5 1 2 2 8 10 -2 5
21 Derby 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
22 Oxford 6 1 1 4 6 8 -2 4
23 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
24 Watford 6 0 2 4 4 9 -5 2

Derby   QPR

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Hull 11 2 9 1.7 1.7 5 3 3 19 19 18
2 1 Coventry 12 4 8 2.8 0.8 8 4 0 34 9 28
3 13 Watford 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 4 3 5 14 16 15
4 24 Sheffield Weds 11 4 7 0.8 2.1 1 3 7 9 23 6
5 5 Bristol City 11 5 6 1.7 1.0 5 4 2 19 11 19
6 9 QPR 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 3 3 15 16 18
7 12 Ipswich 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 4 4 3 17 13 16
8 18 Southampton 11 5 6 1.1 1.4 2 6 3 12 15 12
9 2 Middlesbrough 11 6 5 1.4 0.6 7 3 1 15 7 24
10 4 Millwall 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 6 2 3 13 13 20
11 6 Preston 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 5 4 3 15 12 19
12 10 Leicester 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 4 5 2 15 11 17
13 11 West Brom 12 7 5 1.0 1.2 5 2 5 12 14 17
14 15 Wrexham 11 6 5 1.4 1.5 3 4 4 15 16 13
15 20 Oxford 11 6 5 1.0 1.3 2 3 6 11 14 9
16 21 Sheffield United 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 0 9 9 20 9
17 22 Norwich 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 2 2 7 11 16 8
18 23 Blackburn 10 5 5 0.8 1.6 2 1 7 8 16 7
19 7 Charlton 11 7 4 1.2 0.8 5 3 3 13 9 18
20 14 Birmingham 11 7 4 1.0 1.3 4 3 4 11 14 15
21 17 Portsmouth 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 3 4 5 10 13 13
22 3 Stoke 12 9 3 1.1 0.7 6 3 3 13 8 21
23 16 Swansea 11 8 3 0.9 1.0 3 4 4 10 11 13
24 19 Derby 11 8 3 1.1 1.5 2 5 4 12 16 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Hull 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 4 1 1 11 9 13
2 12 Ipswich 7 2 5 2.0 1.1 4 2 1 14 8 14
3 13 Watford 6 1 5 1.7 1.2 4 1 1 10 7 13
4 5 Bristol City 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 2 2 2 10 9 8
5 1 Coventry 6 3 3 2.7 0.5 4 2 0 16 3 14
6 4 Millwall 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 3 0 3 6 9 9
7 6 Preston 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 1 10 6 14
8 15 Wrexham 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 1 3 2 8 10 6
9 17 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7
10 22 Norwich 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 0 5 4 9 0
11 23 Blackburn 5 2 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 4 4 10 1
12 24 Sheffield Weds 6 3 3 0.2 2.5 0 1 5 1 15 1
13 2 Middlesbrough 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 4 1 0 6 2 13
14 7 Charlton 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10
15 9 QPR 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
16 14 Birmingham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
17 16 Swansea 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 3 2 6 8 6
18 18 Southampton 5 3 2 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6
19 20 Oxford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 21 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3
21 3 Stoke 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
22 10 Leicester 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 3 0 6 3 9
23 11 West Brom 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8
24 19 Derby 6 5 1 1.2 1.5 1 3 2 7 9 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 6 1 5 3.0 1.0 4 2 0 18 6 14
2 8 Hull 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 1 2 2 8 10 5
3 9 QPR 6 2 4 1.5 2.0 3 1 2 9 12 10
4 10 Leicester 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 2 2 9 8 8
5 11 West Brom 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 3 0 4 7 10 9
6 18 Southampton 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 1 3 2 8 11 6
7 24 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
8 2 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
9 20 Oxford 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 1 4 6 8 4
10 21 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
11 3 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 2 2 7 5 11
12 4 Millwall 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 2 0 7 4 11
13 5 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
14 6 Preston 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
15 7 Charlton 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
16 13 Watford 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 0 2 4 4 9 2
17 14 Birmingham 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 2 1 3 4 8 7
18 15 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
19 19 Derby 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
20 22 Norwich 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
21 23 Blackburn 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 0 3 4 6 6
22 12 Ipswich 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
23 16 Swansea 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 1 2 4 3 7
24 17 Portsmouth 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51