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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Luton 1–4 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.38 fair 2.26
Draw 3.40 fair 4.06
Away ✓ 2.88 fair 3.21
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Burnley
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 4
11 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (11 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

No matches yet this season.

Burnley before this match, all matches

No matches yet this season.

Luton all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

How often Full Time

How often Half Time

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Burnley all matches
Luton before this match, at home

No matches yet this season.

Burnley before this match, away

No matches yet this season.

Luton at home away Burnley

Per match

How often Full Time

How often Half Time

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.24E0 Luton – Fulham 2–4 (1–2) 2.903.902.20 1.44 2.75
11.05.24E0 West Ham – Luton 3–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.44 2.75
03.05.24E0 Luton – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.73 2.10
27.04.24E0 Wolves – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30
20.04.24E0 Luton – Brentford 1–5 (0–2) 3.103.752.15 1.57 2.38
13.04.24E0 Man City – Luton 5–1 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.75
06.04.24E0 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
03.04.24E0 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
30.03.24E0 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
16.03.24E0 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.24E0 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.53 2.50
11.05.24E0 Tottenham – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.757.00 1.25 4.00
04.05.24E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
27.04.24E0 Man United – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.36 3.20
20.04.24E0 Sheffield United – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
13.04.24E0 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
06.04.24E0 Everton – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
02.04.24E0 Burnley – Wolves 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.84 2.06
30.03.24E0 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
16.03.24E0 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.24E0 Luton – Fulham 2–4 (1–2) 2.903.902.20 1.44 2.75
03.05.24E0 Luton – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.73 2.10
20.04.24E0 Luton – Brentford 1–5 (0–2) 3.103.752.15 1.57 2.38
06.04.24E0 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
16.03.24E0 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
02.03.24E0 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
18.02.24E0 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24E0 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
30.01.24E0 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
30.12.23E0 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24E0 Tottenham – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.757.00 1.25 4.00
27.04.24E0 Man United – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.36 3.20
20.04.24E0 Sheffield United – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.04.24E0 Everton – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
30.03.24E0 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
10.03.24E0 West Ham – Burnley 2–2 (0–2) 1.674.004.75 1.70 2.10
24.02.24E0 Crystal Palace – Burnley 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70
10.02.24E0 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
31.01.24E0 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.12.23E0 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsBurnley wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
25%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.24E0 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
03.10.23E0 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
18.02.23E1 Luton – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.20 2.20 1.67
06.08.22E1 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.60 2.00 1.85

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
2 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 4 2 +2 3
3 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
4 Oxford 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
6 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
7 Watford 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
8 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
9 Stoke 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Leeds 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
11 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
12 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
13 Hull 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Millwall 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
15 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
16 Swansea 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Derby 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2 0
18 QPR 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
19 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
20 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
21 Preston 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
22 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
2 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 4 2 +2 3
3 Oxford 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
5 Stoke 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Leeds 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
7 Hull 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
8 Bristol City 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Coventry 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Derby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Norwich 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Portsmouth 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Sheffield United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Sunderland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Swansea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Watford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 West Brom 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Millwall 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
20 QPR 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
21 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
2 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
3 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Watford 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
6 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
7 Blackburn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Cardiff 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Hull 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Leeds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Middlesbrough 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Millwall 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Oxford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Preston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 QPR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Sheffield Weds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Stoke 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Swansea 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Derby 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2 0
21 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
22 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0

Luton   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
2 2 Blackburn 1 0 1 4.0 2.0 1 0 0 4 2 3
3 3 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
4 7 Watford 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
5 10 Leeds 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
6 11 Portsmouth 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
7 14 Millwall 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
8 17 Derby 1 0 1 2.0 4.0 0 0 1 2 4 0
9 18 QPR 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
10 22 Plymouth 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
11 4 Oxford 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
12 5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
13 6 Sunderland 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
14 8 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
15 9 Stoke 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
16 12 Bristol City 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 13 Hull 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 15 Coventry 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
19 16 Swansea 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 19 Cardiff 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
21 20 Norwich 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
22 21 Preston 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
2 2 Blackburn 1 0 1 4.0 2.0 1 0 0 4 2 3
3 10 Leeds 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
4 14 Millwall 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
5 18 QPR 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
6 3 West Brom 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 4 Oxford 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
8 5 Sheffield United 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 6 Sunderland 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 7 Watford 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 8 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
12 9 Stoke 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 11 Portsmouth 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 12 Bristol City 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 13 Hull 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
16 15 Coventry 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 16 Swansea 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 17 Derby 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 19 Cardiff 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
20 20 Norwich 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 21 Preston 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
22 22 Plymouth 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
2 7 Watford 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
3 11 Portsmouth 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
4 17 Derby 1 0 1 2.0 4.0 0 0 1 2 4 0
5 22 Plymouth 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
6 1 Sheffield Weds 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 2 Blackburn 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 4 Oxford 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
10 6 Sunderland 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
11 8 Middlesbrough 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 9 Stoke 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 10 Leeds 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 12 Bristol City 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
15 13 Hull 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 14 Millwall 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 15 Coventry 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
18 16 Swansea 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
19 18 QPR 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 19 Cardiff 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 20 Norwich 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
22 21 Preston 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51