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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Leeds 3–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.47
Draw 3.50 fair 3.96
Away 3.50 fair 2.92
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Burnley
22 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 3
11 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (186 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:36
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.69points / match
0.94scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:24
Leeds all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.94
2.00 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 2.44
13.39 Shots 10.81
4.22 Shots on target 3.44
15.89 Shots faced 16.69
4.33 Corners 4.69
5.06 Corners against 6.19
11.94 Fouls 9.75
2.78 Yellow cards 2.13
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

17% Wins 6%
39% Draws 50%
44% Losses 44%
94% Over 0.5 goals 81%
78% Over 1.5 goals 69%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
33% Over 3.5 goals 38%
22% Over 4.5 goals 6%
11% Over 5.5 goals 6%
67% Both teams scored 56%
17% Clean sheets 19%
22% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 19%
50% Draws 38%
28% Losses 44%
72% Over 0.5 goals 69%
33% Over 1.5 goals 31%
11% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Burnley all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.11points / match
1.11scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:15
Burnley before this match, away
0.44points / match
0.78scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:16
Leeds at home away Burnley

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 0.78
1.67 Goals conceded 1.78
2.78 Total goals 2.56
14.89 Shots 8.44
4.11 Shots on target 2.89
14.22 Shots faced 19.11
5.56 Corners 3.67
4.78 Corners against 7.56
11.00 Fouls 8.56
2.56 Yellow cards 1.78
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

22% Wins 0%
44% Draws 44%
33% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
33% Over 3.5 goals 44%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 56%
22% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 11%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 56%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 9 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.21 Leeds – Arsenal 1–4 (0–3) 3.903.801.83 1.72 2.10
14.12.21 Man City – Leeds 7–0 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.36 3.20
11.12.21 Chelsea – Leeds 3–2 (1–1) 1.255.7512.00 1.57 2.37
05.12.21 Leeds – Brentford 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.96 1.94
30.11.21 Leeds – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 1.94 1.96
27.11.21 Brighton – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.95
21.11.21 Tottenham – Leeds 2–1 (0–1) 1.704.204.50 1.72 2.10
07.11.21 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 2.803.502.45 1.66 2.20
31.10.21 Norwich – Leeds 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.72 2.10
23.10.21 Leeds – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.87 1.90 1.90

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.21 Man United – Burnley 3–1 (3–1) 1.365.009.00 1.72 2.10
12.12.21 Burnley – West Ham 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.87 2.03
04.12.21 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94
01.12.21 Wolves – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.66
20.11.21 Burnley – Crystal Palace 3–3 (2–3) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
06.11.21 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.72 2.10
30.10.21 Burnley – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.302.75 2.20 1.66
23.10.21 Southampton – Burnley 2–2 (1–1) 1.953.503.90 1.90 1.90
16.10.21 Man City – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.0019.00 1.36 3.20
02.10.21 Burnley – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 1.90 1.90

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.21 Leeds – Arsenal 1–4 (0–3) 3.903.801.83 1.72 2.10
05.12.21 Leeds – Brentford 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.96 1.94
30.11.21 Leeds – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 1.94 1.96
07.11.21 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 2.803.502.45 1.66 2.20
23.10.21 Leeds – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.87 1.90 1.90
02.10.21 Leeds – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.66 2.20
25.09.21 Leeds – West Ham 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.602.25 1.57 2.37
12.09.21 Leeds – Liverpool 0–3 (0–1) 4.334.001.75 1.57 2.37
21.08.21 Leeds – Everton 2–2 (1–1) 2.373.403.00 1.72 2.10

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.21 Man United – Burnley 3–1 (3–1) 1.365.009.00 1.72 2.10
04.12.21 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94
01.12.21 Wolves – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.66
06.11.21 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.72 2.10
23.10.21 Southampton – Burnley 2–2 (1–1) 1.953.503.90 1.90 1.90
16.10.21 Man City – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.0019.00 1.36 3.20
25.09.21 Leicester – Burnley 2–2 (1–2) 1.574.006.00 1.90 1.90
13.09.21 Everton – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 2.00 1.80
21.08.21 Liverpool – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsBurnley wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.21E0 Burnley – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 21 17 2 2 53 13 +40 53
2 Chelsea 20 12 6 2 43 14 +29 42
3 Liverpool 19 12 5 2 50 16 +34 41
4 Arsenal 20 11 2 7 33 25 +8 35
5 West Ham 20 10 4 6 37 27 +10 34
6 Tottenham 18 10 3 5 23 20 +3 33
7 Man United 18 9 4 5 30 26 +4 31
8 Wolves 18 7 4 7 13 14 -1 25
9 Leicester 18 7 4 7 31 33 -2 25
10 Brighton 18 5 9 4 17 18 -1 24
11 Crystal Palace 20 5 8 7 29 30 -1 23
12 Aston Villa 18 7 1 10 24 28 -4 22
13 Southampton 19 4 9 6 20 29 -9 21
14 Brentford 18 5 5 8 21 25 -4 20
15 Everton 17 5 4 8 21 29 -8 19
16 Leeds 18 3 7 8 18 36 -18 16
17 Watford 18 4 1 13 22 36 -14 13
18 Burnley 16 1 8 7 15 24 -9 11
19 Newcastle 19 1 8 10 19 42 -23 11
20 Norwich 19 2 4 13 8 42 -34 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 10 8 1 1 31 6 +25 25
2 Arsenal 10 7 1 2 18 8 +10 22
3 Tottenham 10 7 1 2 16 10 +6 22
4 Liverpool 9 6 3 0 22 6 +16 21
5 Chelsea 10 5 4 1 23 8 +15 19
6 Crystal Palace 11 4 5 2 20 12 +8 17
7 Leicester 9 5 1 3 16 12 +4 16
8 Man United 9 5 1 3 17 14 +3 16
9 West Ham 9 4 2 3 18 15 +3 14
10 Aston Villa 9 4 1 4 15 14 +1 13
11 Everton 8 4 1 3 13 13 0 13
12 Southampton 9 2 6 1 9 8 +1 12
13 Brighton 9 3 3 3 8 9 -1 12
14 Wolves 9 3 2 4 5 7 -2 11
15 Brentford 9 3 1 5 10 11 -1 10
16 Leeds 9 2 4 3 10 15 -5 10
17 Newcastle 10 1 5 4 13 22 -9 8
18 Burnley 7 1 4 2 8 8 0 7
19 Watford 10 2 1 7 11 22 -11 7
20 Norwich 10 1 2 7 5 19 -14 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 11 9 1 1 22 7 +15 28
2 Chelsea 10 7 2 1 20 6 +14 23
3 Liverpool 10 6 2 2 28 10 +18 20
4 West Ham 11 6 2 3 19 12 +7 20
5 Man United 9 4 3 2 13 12 +1 15
6 Wolves 9 4 2 3 8 7 +1 14
7 Arsenal 10 4 1 5 15 17 -2 13
8 Brighton 9 2 6 1 9 9 0 12
9 Tottenham 8 3 2 3 7 10 -3 11
10 Brentford 9 2 4 3 11 14 -3 10
11 Aston Villa 9 3 0 6 9 14 -5 9
12 Leicester 9 2 3 4 15 21 -6 9
13 Southampton 10 2 3 5 11 21 -10 9
14 Watford 8 2 0 6 11 14 -3 6
15 Everton 9 1 3 5 8 16 -8 6
16 Crystal Palace 9 1 3 5 9 18 -9 6
17 Leeds 9 1 3 5 8 21 -13 6
18 Norwich 9 1 2 6 3 23 -20 5
19 Burnley 9 0 4 5 7 16 -9 4
20 Newcastle 9 0 3 6 6 20 -14 3

Leeds   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Liverpool 19 5 14 2.6 0.8 12 5 2 50 16 41
2 5 West Ham 20 7 13 1.9 1.4 10 4 6 37 27 34
3 9 Leicester 18 5 13 1.7 1.8 7 4 7 31 33 25
4 11 Crystal Palace 20 7 13 1.4 1.5 5 8 7 29 30 23
5 1 Man City 21 9 12 2.5 0.6 17 2 2 53 13 53
6 2 Chelsea 20 9 11 2.1 0.7 12 6 2 43 14 42
7 4 Arsenal 20 9 11 1.6 1.2 11 2 7 33 25 35
8 12 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.3 1.6 7 1 10 24 28 22
9 20 Norwich 19 8 11 0.4 2.2 2 4 13 8 42 10
10 6 Tottenham 18 8 10 1.3 1.1 10 3 5 23 20 33
11 13 Southampton 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 4 9 6 20 29 21
12 15 Everton 17 7 10 1.2 1.7 5 4 8 21 29 19
13 16 Leeds 18 8 10 1.0 2.0 3 7 8 18 36 16
14 17 Watford 18 8 10 1.2 2.0 4 1 13 22 36 13
15 19 Newcastle 19 9 10 1.0 2.2 1 8 10 19 42 11
16 7 Man United 18 9 9 1.7 1.4 9 4 5 30 26 31
17 14 Brentford 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 5 5 8 21 25 20
18 18 Burnley 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 1 8 7 15 24 11
19 10 Brighton 18 14 4 0.9 1.0 5 9 4 17 18 24
20 8 Wolves 18 15 3 0.7 0.8 7 4 7 13 14 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 West Ham 9 2 7 2.0 1.7 4 2 3 18 15 14
2 6 Tottenham 10 3 7 1.6 1.0 7 1 2 16 10 22
3 11 Crystal Palace 11 4 7 1.8 1.1 4 5 2 20 12 17
4 1 Man City 10 4 6 3.1 0.6 8 1 1 31 6 25
5 3 Liverpool 9 3 6 2.4 0.7 6 3 0 22 6 21
6 12 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 4 15 14 13
7 17 Watford 10 4 6 1.1 2.2 2 1 7 11 22 7
8 19 Newcastle 10 4 6 1.3 2.2 1 5 4 13 22 8
9 20 Norwich 10 4 6 0.5 1.9 1 2 7 5 19 5
10 2 Chelsea 10 5 5 2.3 0.8 5 4 1 23 8 19
11 4 Arsenal 10 5 5 1.8 0.8 7 1 2 18 8 22
12 7 Man United 9 4 5 1.9 1.6 5 1 3 17 14 16
13 9 Leicester 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 5 1 3 16 12 16
14 15 Everton 8 3 5 1.6 1.6 4 1 3 13 13 13
15 16 Leeds 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 4 3 10 15 10
16 14 Brentford 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 3 1 5 10 11 10
17 18 Burnley 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 1 4 2 8 8 7
18 8 Wolves 9 7 2 0.6 0.8 3 2 4 5 7 11
19 10 Brighton 9 7 2 0.9 1.0 3 3 3 8 9 12
20 13 Southampton 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 2 6 1 9 8 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Liverpool 10 2 8 2.8 1.0 6 2 2 28 10 20
2 9 Leicester 9 1 8 1.7 2.3 2 3 4 15 21 9
3 13 Southampton 10 2 8 1.1 2.1 2 3 5 11 21 9
4 1 Man City 11 5 6 2.0 0.6 9 1 1 22 7 28
5 2 Chelsea 10 4 6 2.0 0.6 7 2 1 20 6 23
6 4 Arsenal 10 4 6 1.5 1.7 4 1 5 15 17 13
7 5 West Ham 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 2 3 19 12 20
8 11 Crystal Palace 9 3 6 1.0 2.0 1 3 5 9 18 6
9 12 Aston Villa 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 0 6 9 14 9
10 15 Everton 9 4 5 0.9 1.8 1 3 5 8 16 6
11 16 Leeds 9 4 5 0.9 2.3 1 3 5 8 21 6
12 20 Norwich 9 4 5 0.3 2.6 1 2 6 3 23 5
13 7 Man United 9 5 4 1.4 1.3 4 3 2 13 12 15
14 14 Brentford 9 5 4 1.2 1.6 2 4 3 11 14 10
15 17 Watford 8 4 4 1.4 1.8 2 0 6 11 14 6
16 18 Burnley 9 5 4 0.8 1.8 0 4 5 7 16 4
17 19 Newcastle 9 5 4 0.7 2.2 0 3 6 6 20 3
18 6 Tottenham 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 3 2 3 7 10 11
19 10 Brighton 9 7 2 1.0 1.0 2 6 1 9 9 12
20 8 Wolves 9 8 1 0.9 0.8 4 2 3 8 7 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51