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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Man United 1–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.50 fair 1.82
Draw ✓ 4.75 fair 4.63
Away 5.50 fair 4.25
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.20 fair 2.71
Over 2.5 1.36 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Burnley
27 Shots 16
10 Shots on target 7
6 Corners 5
7 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (337 league matches this season so far).
Result Man United to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.7% 1–1 9.7% 2–0 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.55scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 51:50
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.68points / match
1.09scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 37:69
Man United all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 1.09
1.52 Goals conceded 2.03
3.06 Total goals 3.12
14.36 Shots 10.97
5.06 Shots on target 3.65
17.70 Shots faced 15.62
6.03 Corners 4.85
7.42 Corners against 6.00
10.70 Fouls 11.26
2.18 Yellow cards 1.76
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

48% Wins 15%
15% Draws 24%
36% Losses 62%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 91%
67% Over 2.5 goals 59%
33% Over 3.5 goals 38%
15% Over 4.5 goals 18%
9% Over 5.5 goals 3%
58% Both teams scored 59%
24% Clean sheets 6%
21% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 24%
45% Draws 24%
27% Losses 53%
70% Over 0.5 goals 88%
36% Over 1.5 goals 44%
15% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Burnley all matches
Man United before this match, at home
1.81points / match
1.69scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:24
Burnley before this match, away
0.76points / match
1.18scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:32
Man United at home away Burnley

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 1.18
1.50 Goals conceded 1.88
3.19 Total goals 3.06
16.31 Shots 9.18
6.00 Shots on target 3.47
15.06 Shots faced 18.65
8.13 Corners 3.94
6.38 Corners against 7.18
9.69 Fouls 12.00
2.06 Yellow cards 2.12
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

56% Wins 18%
13% Draws 24%
31% Losses 59%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 88%
75% Over 2.5 goals 65%
38% Over 3.5 goals 41%
19% Over 4.5 goals 12%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 65%
25% Clean sheets 6%
19% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 29%
31% Draws 24%
50% Losses 47%
81% Over 0.5 goals 88%
38% Over 1.5 goals 35%
13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.24 Man United – Sheffield United 4–2 (1–1) 1.306.507.50 1.36 3.20
13.04.24 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.902.60 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Man United – Liverpool 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.33 3.40
04.04.24 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Brentford – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
09.03.24 Man United – Everton 2–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.00 1.67 2.15
03.03.24 Man City – Man United 3–1 (0–1) 1.255.7511.00 1.36 3.10
24.02.24 Man United – Fulham 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.35
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Sheffield United – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
13.04.24 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Everton – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
02.04.24 Burnley – Wolves 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.84 2.06
30.03.24 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
16.03.24 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05
10.03.24 West Ham – Burnley 2–2 (0–2) 1.674.004.75 1.70 2.10
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Crystal Palace – Burnley 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Burnley – Arsenal 0–5 (0–2) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.35

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.24 Man United – Sheffield United 4–2 (1–1) 1.306.507.50 1.36 3.20
07.04.24 Man United – Liverpool 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.33 3.40
09.03.24 Man United – Everton 2–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.00 1.67 2.15
24.02.24 Man United – Fulham 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.35
04.02.24 Man United – West Ham 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.60 2.30
14.01.24 Man United – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.203.753.00 1.48 2.60
26.12.23 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Sheffield United – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Everton – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
30.03.24 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
10.03.24 West Ham – Burnley 2–2 (0–2) 1.674.004.75 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Crystal Palace – Burnley 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70
10.02.24 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
23.12.23 Fulham – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.92 1.98
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsBurnley wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23E0 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
08.02.22E0 Burnley – Man United 1–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.61 1.85 2.05
30.12.21E0 Man United – Burnley 3–1 (3–1) 1.365.009.00 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 34 24 5 5 82 26 +56 77
2 Man City 33 23 7 3 80 32 +48 76
3 Liverpool 35 22 9 4 77 36 +41 75
4 Aston Villa 34 20 6 8 71 50 +21 66
5 Tottenham 32 18 6 8 65 49 +16 60
6 Man United 33 16 5 12 51 50 +1 53
7 Newcastle 33 15 5 13 69 54 +15 50
8 West Ham 35 13 10 12 56 65 -9 49
9 Chelsea 32 13 8 11 61 57 +4 47
10 Bournemouth 34 12 9 13 49 60 -11 45
11 Brighton 33 11 11 11 52 54 -2 44
12 Wolves 34 12 7 15 46 54 -8 43
13 Fulham 34 12 6 16 50 54 -4 42
14 Everton 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
15 Crystal Palace 34 10 9 15 44 56 -12 39
16 Brentford 34 9 8 17 52 59 -7 35
17 Nott'm Forest 34 7 9 18 42 60 -18 30
18 Luton 34 6 7 21 47 75 -28 25
19 Burnley 34 5 8 21 37 69 -32 23
20 Sheffield United 34 3 7 24 33 92 -59 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 17 13 3 1 43 15 +28 42
2 Man City 17 12 5 0 43 14 +29 41
3 Arsenal 17 13 2 2 43 15 +28 41
4 Aston Villa 17 12 2 3 43 23 +20 38
5 Newcastle 17 11 3 3 43 20 +23 36
6 Tottenham 16 12 0 4 34 21 +13 36
7 Man United 16 9 2 5 27 24 +3 29
8 Fulham 17 9 1 7 30 19 +11 28
9 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 35 25 +10 28
10 Brighton 16 7 6 3 28 23 +5 27
11 West Ham 18 6 8 4 28 27 +1 26
12 Bournemouth 17 6 6 5 23 26 -3 24
13 Wolves 17 7 3 7 23 26 -3 24
14 Crystal Palace 17 6 4 7 28 26 +2 22
15 Everton 17 6 4 7 20 18 +2 22
16 Brentford 17 5 6 6 27 30 -3 21
17 Nott'm Forest 17 5 5 7 25 25 0 20
18 Luton 17 4 3 10 25 32 -7 15
19 Burnley 17 2 4 11 17 37 -20 10
20 Sheffield United 17 2 4 11 18 51 -33 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 11 3 3 39 11 +28 36
2 Man City 16 11 2 3 37 18 +19 35
3 Liverpool 18 9 6 3 34 21 +13 33
4 Aston Villa 17 8 4 5 28 27 +1 28
5 Tottenham 16 6 6 4 31 28 +3 24
6 Man United 17 7 3 7 24 26 -2 24
7 West Ham 17 7 2 8 28 38 -10 23
8 Bournemouth 17 6 3 8 26 34 -8 21
9 Wolves 17 5 4 8 23 28 -5 19
10 Chelsea 16 5 4 7 26 32 -6 19
11 Everton 17 5 4 8 16 30 -14 19
12 Brighton 17 4 5 8 24 31 -7 17
13 Crystal Palace 17 4 5 8 16 30 -14 17
14 Brentford 17 4 2 11 25 29 -4 14
15 Newcastle 16 4 2 10 26 34 -8 14
16 Fulham 17 3 5 9 20 35 -15 14
17 Burnley 17 3 4 10 20 32 -12 13
18 Nott'm Forest 17 2 4 11 17 35 -18 10
19 Luton 17 2 4 11 22 43 -21 10
20 Sheffield United 17 1 3 13 15 41 -26 6

Man United   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 32 6 26 2.0 1.5 18 6 8 65 49 60
2 4 Aston Villa 34 10 24 2.1 1.5 20 6 8 71 50 66
3 18 Luton 34 10 24 1.4 2.2 6 7 21 47 75 25
4 20 Sheffield United 34 10 24 1.0 2.7 3 7 24 33 92 16
5 3 Liverpool 35 12 23 2.2 1.0 22 9 4 77 36 75
6 7 Newcastle 33 10 23 2.1 1.6 15 5 13 69 54 50
7 8 West Ham 35 12 23 1.6 1.9 13 10 12 56 65 49
8 10 Bournemouth 34 11 23 1.4 1.8 12 9 13 49 60 45
9 16 Brentford 34 11 23 1.5 1.7 9 8 17 52 59 35
10 6 Man United 33 11 22 1.5 1.5 16 5 12 51 50 53
11 9 Chelsea 32 10 22 1.9 1.8 13 8 11 61 57 47
12 13 Fulham 34 12 22 1.5 1.6 12 6 16 50 54 42
13 1 Arsenal 34 13 21 2.4 0.8 24 5 5 82 26 77
14 2 Man City 33 12 21 2.4 1.0 23 7 3 80 32 76
15 11 Brighton 33 12 21 1.6 1.6 11 11 11 52 54 44
16 12 Wolves 34 13 21 1.4 1.6 12 7 15 46 54 43
17 19 Burnley 34 14 20 1.1 2.0 5 8 21 37 69 23
18 15 Crystal Palace 34 16 18 1.3 1.6 10 9 15 44 56 39
19 17 Nott'm Forest 34 16 18 1.2 1.8 7 9 18 42 60 30
20 14 Everton 34 19 15 1.1 1.4 11 8 15 36 48 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 16 2 14 2.1 1.3 12 0 4 34 21 36
2 20 Sheffield United 17 3 14 1.1 3.0 2 4 11 18 51 10
3 4 Aston Villa 17 4 13 2.5 1.4 12 2 3 43 23 38
4 1 Arsenal 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 2 2 43 15 41
5 3 Liverpool 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 3 1 43 15 42
6 6 Man United 16 4 12 1.7 1.5 9 2 5 27 24 29
7 7 Newcastle 17 5 12 2.5 1.2 11 3 3 43 20 36
8 16 Brentford 17 5 12 1.6 1.8 5 6 6 27 30 21
9 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.5 1.9 4 3 10 25 32 15
10 13 Fulham 17 6 11 1.8 1.1 9 1 7 30 19 28
11 9 Chelsea 16 6 10 2.2 1.6 8 4 4 35 25 28
12 10 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 6 6 5 23 26 24
13 11 Brighton 16 6 10 1.8 1.4 7 6 3 28 23 27
14 12 Wolves 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 23 26 24
15 15 Crystal Palace 17 7 10 1.6 1.5 6 4 7 28 26 22
16 2 Man City 17 8 9 2.5 0.8 12 5 0 43 14 41
17 8 West Ham 18 9 9 1.6 1.5 6 8 4 28 27 26
18 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.5 1.5 5 5 7 25 25 20
19 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.0 2.2 2 4 11 17 37 10
20 14 Everton 17 10 7 1.2 1.1 6 4 7 20 18 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 West Ham 17 3 14 1.6 2.2 7 2 8 28 38 23
2 10 Bournemouth 17 4 13 1.5 2.0 6 3 8 26 34 21
3 2 Man City 16 4 12 2.3 1.1 11 2 3 37 18 35
4 5 Tottenham 16 4 12 1.9 1.8 6 6 4 31 28 24
5 9 Chelsea 16 4 12 1.6 2.0 5 4 7 26 32 19
6 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.3 2.5 2 4 11 22 43 10
7 3 Liverpool 18 7 11 1.9 1.2 9 6 3 34 21 33
8 4 Aston Villa 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 5 28 27 28
9 7 Newcastle 16 5 11 1.6 2.1 4 2 10 26 34 14
10 11 Brighton 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 4 5 8 24 31 17
11 12 Wolves 17 6 11 1.4 1.6 5 4 8 23 28 19
12 13 Fulham 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 3 5 9 20 35 14
13 16 Brentford 17 6 11 1.5 1.7 4 2 11 25 29 14
14 19 Burnley 17 6 11 1.2 1.9 3 4 10 20 32 13
15 6 Man United 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 24 26 24
16 20 Sheffield United 17 7 10 0.9 2.4 1 3 13 15 41 6
17 1 Arsenal 17 8 9 2.3 0.6 11 3 3 39 11 36
18 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 11 17 35 10
19 14 Everton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 5 4 8 16 30 19
20 15 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 4 5 8 16 30 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51