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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: C Pawson

Leeds 3–1 Leicester

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.46
Draw 3.40 fair 3.95
Away 3.50 fair 2.93
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Leicester
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 5
15 Fouls 11
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (396 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawLeicester
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 9.1% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.09points / match
1.85scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 61:26
Leicester before this match, all matches
2.36points / match
2.09scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 69:26
Leeds all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 2.09
0.79 Goals conceded 0.79
2.64 Total goals 2.88
15.52 Shots 14.12
5.39 Shots on target 5.24
8.91 Shots faced 10.94
5.45 Corners 5.12
4.45 Corners against 4.85
10.09 Fouls 9.82
1.39 Yellow cards 1.88
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

64% Wins 76%
18% Draws 9%
18% Losses 15%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 82%
55% Over 2.5 goals 58%
27% Over 3.5 goals 30%
12% Over 4.5 goals 18%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 55%
45% Clean sheets 36%
18% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 55%
42% Draws 36%
12% Losses 9%
67% Over 0.5 goals 73%
45% Over 1.5 goals 27%
21% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Leicester all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.19scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 35:11
Leicester before this match, away
2.38points / match
2.19scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 35:15
Leeds at home away Leicester

Per match

2.19 Goals scored 2.19
0.69 Goals conceded 0.94
2.88 Total goals 3.13
17.75 Shots 12.06
6.25 Shots on target 4.81
6.94 Shots faced 12.25
6.38 Corners 3.56
2.50 Corners against 5.44
10.31 Fouls 11.13
1.31 Yellow cards 2.44
1.31 1st-half goals scored 1.13
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

75% Wins 75%
25% Draws 13%
0% Losses 13%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 88%
69% Over 2.5 goals 63%
31% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 69%
44% Clean sheets 25%
6% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 69%
38% Draws 31%
6% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 81%
56% Over 1.5 goals 38%
25% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Leicester away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Plymouth – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.48 2.60
13.02.24 Swansea – Leeds 0–4 (0–3) 5.254.331.57 1.67 2.15
10.02.24 Leeds – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.50 2.50
02.02.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 2.03 1.83
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.201.62 1.93 1.93
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
29.12.23 West Brom – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
26.12.23 Preston – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.83 2.03

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
13.02.24 Leicester – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.60 2.30
10.02.24 Watford – Leicester 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Stoke – Leicester 0–5 (0–2) 4.203.751.83 1.90 1.95
30.01.24 Leicester – Swansea 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.40
22.01.24 Leicester – Ipswich 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
13.01.24 Coventry – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
01.01.24 Leicester – Huddersfield 4–1 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.53 2.40
29.12.23 Cardiff – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.62 1.98 1.88
26.12.23 Ipswich – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.08

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Leeds – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.50 2.50
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
23.12.23 Leeds – Ipswich 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Leeds – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.206.00 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10
28.10.23 Leeds – Huddersfield 4–1 (4–0) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.25

Leicester away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Watford – Leicester 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Stoke – Leicester 0–5 (0–2) 4.203.751.83 1.90 1.95
13.01.24 Coventry – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
29.12.23 Cardiff – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.62 1.98 1.88
26.12.23 Ipswich – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.08
18.12.23 Birmingham – Leicester 2–3 (1–2) 6.003.801.60 1.75 2.05
02.12.23 West Brom – Leicester 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
29.11.23 Sheffield Weds – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.201.62 1.80 2.00
11.11.23 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 QPR – Leicester 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsLeicester wins
5matches
1.60goals / match
0%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.23E1 Leicester – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.603.25 1.67 2.15
25.04.23E0 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
20.10.22E0 Leicester – Leeds 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.72 2.10
05.03.22E0 Leicester – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.754.004.20 1.53 2.50
07.11.21E0 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 2.803.502.45 1.66 2.20

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 33 25 3 5 69 26 +43 78
2 Leeds 33 21 6 6 61 26 +35 69
3 Ipswich 33 20 9 4 65 44 +21 69
4 Southampton 33 20 7 6 64 40 +24 67
5 West Brom 33 16 7 10 48 31 +17 55
6 Hull 33 16 6 11 49 42 +7 54
7 Preston 34 15 7 12 47 52 -5 52
8 Coventry 34 13 12 9 51 40 +11 51
9 Norwich 33 15 6 12 58 50 +8 51
10 Sunderland 33 14 5 14 45 37 +8 47
11 Watford 33 11 11 11 49 45 +4 44
12 Bristol City 33 12 8 13 38 37 +1 44
13 Middlesbrough 32 13 5 14 47 47 0 44
14 Cardiff 33 12 5 16 37 47 -10 41
15 Birmingham 32 10 8 14 37 48 -11 38
16 Blackburn 33 11 5 17 47 59 -12 38
17 Plymouth 33 9 10 14 51 57 -6 37
18 Swansea 33 9 9 15 41 54 -13 36
19 Stoke 33 9 8 16 30 46 -16 35
20 Huddersfield 33 7 13 13 38 54 -16 34
21 Millwall 33 8 9 16 31 46 -15 33
22 QPR 33 8 8 17 30 44 -14 32
23 Sheffield Weds 33 8 5 20 26 52 -26 29
24 Rotherham 33 3 10 20 29 64 -35 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 16 12 4 0 35 11 +24 40
2 Leicester 17 13 1 3 34 11 +23 40
3 Ipswich 16 11 4 1 41 26 +15 37
4 West Brom 17 11 3 3 27 13 +14 36
5 Southampton 16 11 2 3 40 20 +20 35
6 Norwich 17 11 2 4 31 18 +13 35
7 Sunderland 16 10 0 6 28 19 +9 30
8 Preston 17 9 3 5 27 29 -2 30
9 Coventry 17 7 8 2 24 17 +7 29
10 Plymouth 17 8 4 5 38 30 +8 28
11 Birmingham 16 7 6 3 23 18 +5 27
12 Hull 16 7 4 5 23 16 +7 25
13 Bristol City 17 7 3 7 21 19 +2 24
14 Middlesbrough 16 6 3 7 17 18 -1 21
15 Huddersfield 17 5 6 6 21 23 -2 21
16 Cardiff 16 6 3 7 18 20 -2 21
17 Watford 16 5 5 6 26 21 +5 20
18 Blackburn 16 6 2 8 23 27 -4 20
19 Sheffield Weds 16 5 4 7 17 20 -3 19
20 Stoke 17 5 4 8 12 21 -9 19
21 Swansea 17 4 5 8 18 25 -7 17
22 Millwall 17 4 4 9 14 27 -13 16
23 Rotherham 17 3 6 8 17 23 -6 15
24 QPR 16 3 5 8 17 24 -7 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 16 12 2 2 35 15 +20 38
2 Ipswich 17 9 5 3 24 18 +6 32
3 Southampton 17 9 5 3 24 20 +4 32
4 Leeds 17 9 2 6 26 15 +11 29
5 Hull 17 9 2 6 26 26 0 29
6 Watford 17 6 6 5 23 24 -1 24
7 Middlesbrough 16 7 2 7 30 29 +1 23
8 Coventry 17 6 4 7 27 23 +4 22
9 Preston 17 6 4 7 20 23 -3 22
10 Bristol City 16 5 5 6 17 18 -1 20
11 Cardiff 17 6 2 9 19 27 -8 20
12 West Brom 16 5 4 7 21 18 +3 19
13 Swansea 16 5 4 7 23 29 -6 19
14 QPR 17 5 3 9 13 20 -7 18
15 Blackburn 17 5 3 9 24 32 -8 18
16 Sunderland 17 4 5 8 17 18 -1 17
17 Millwall 16 4 5 7 17 19 -2 17
18 Norwich 16 4 4 8 27 32 -5 16
19 Stoke 16 4 4 8 18 25 -7 16
20 Huddersfield 16 2 7 7 17 31 -14 13
21 Birmingham 16 3 2 11 14 30 -16 11
22 Sheffield Weds 17 3 1 13 9 32 -23 10
23 Plymouth 16 1 6 9 13 27 -14 9
24 Rotherham 16 0 4 12 12 41 -29 4

Leeds   Leicester

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Blackburn 33 8 25 1.4 1.8 11 5 17 47 59 38
2 17 Plymouth 33 10 23 1.5 1.7 9 10 14 51 57 37
3 3 Ipswich 33 12 21 2.0 1.3 20 9 4 65 44 69
4 7 Preston 34 13 21 1.4 1.5 15 7 12 47 52 52
5 9 Norwich 33 12 21 1.8 1.5 15 6 12 58 50 51
6 18 Swansea 33 12 21 1.2 1.6 9 9 15 41 54 36
7 4 Southampton 33 13 20 1.9 1.2 20 7 6 64 40 67
8 6 Hull 33 13 20 1.5 1.3 16 6 11 49 42 54
9 1 Leicester 33 14 19 2.1 0.8 25 3 5 69 26 78
10 13 Middlesbrough 32 13 19 1.5 1.5 13 5 14 47 47 44
11 2 Leeds 33 15 18 1.8 0.8 21 6 6 61 26 69
12 8 Coventry 34 16 18 1.5 1.2 13 12 9 51 40 51
13 10 Sunderland 33 15 18 1.4 1.1 14 5 14 45 37 47
14 11 Watford 33 16 17 1.5 1.4 11 11 11 49 45 44
15 24 Rotherham 33 16 17 0.9 1.9 3 10 20 29 64 19
16 14 Cardiff 33 17 16 1.1 1.4 12 5 16 37 47 41
17 15 Birmingham 32 16 16 1.2 1.5 10 8 14 37 48 38
18 20 Huddersfield 33 17 16 1.2 1.6 7 13 13 38 54 34
19 23 Sheffield Weds 33 17 16 0.8 1.6 8 5 20 26 52 29
20 5 West Brom 33 19 14 1.5 0.9 16 7 10 48 31 55
21 21 Millwall 33 19 14 0.9 1.4 8 9 16 31 46 33
22 22 QPR 33 19 14 0.9 1.3 8 8 17 30 44 32
23 12 Bristol City 33 20 13 1.2 1.1 12 8 13 38 37 44
24 19 Stoke 33 20 13 0.9 1.4 9 8 16 30 46 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Plymouth 17 3 14 2.2 1.8 8 4 5 38 30 28
2 3 Ipswich 16 3 13 2.6 1.6 11 4 1 41 26 37
3 7 Preston 17 4 13 1.6 1.7 9 3 5 27 29 30
4 4 Southampton 16 4 12 2.5 1.2 11 2 3 40 20 35
5 16 Blackburn 16 4 12 1.4 1.7 6 2 8 23 27 20
6 2 Leeds 16 5 11 2.2 0.7 12 4 0 35 11 40
7 10 Sunderland 16 5 11 1.8 1.2 10 0 6 28 19 30
8 18 Swansea 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 4 5 8 18 25 17
9 1 Leicester 17 8 9 2.0 0.6 13 1 3 34 11 40
10 9 Norwich 17 8 9 1.8 1.1 11 2 4 31 18 35
11 11 Watford 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 5 5 6 26 21 20
12 15 Birmingham 16 7 9 1.4 1.1 7 6 3 23 18 27
13 20 Huddersfield 17 8 9 1.2 1.4 5 6 6 21 23 21
14 21 Millwall 17 9 8 0.8 1.6 4 4 9 14 27 16
15 22 QPR 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 3 5 8 17 24 14
16 23 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 5 4 7 17 20 19
17 6 Hull 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 7 4 5 23 16 25
18 8 Coventry 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 7 8 2 24 17 29
19 24 Rotherham 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 3 6 8 17 23 15
20 5 West Brom 17 11 6 1.6 0.8 11 3 3 27 13 36
21 12 Bristol City 17 11 6 1.2 1.1 7 3 7 21 19 24
22 14 Cardiff 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 6 3 7 18 20 21
23 19 Stoke 17 11 6 0.7 1.2 5 4 8 12 21 19
24 13 Middlesbrough 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 7 17 18 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Middlesbrough 16 2 14 1.9 1.8 7 2 7 30 29 23
2 6 Hull 17 4 13 1.5 1.5 9 2 6 26 26 29
3 16 Blackburn 17 4 13 1.4 1.9 5 3 9 24 32 18
4 9 Norwich 16 4 12 1.7 2.0 4 4 8 27 32 16
5 8 Coventry 17 6 11 1.6 1.4 6 4 7 27 23 22
6 18 Swansea 16 5 11 1.4 1.8 5 4 7 23 29 19
7 1 Leicester 16 6 10 2.2 0.9 12 2 2 35 15 38
8 14 Cardiff 17 7 10 1.1 1.6 6 2 9 19 27 20
9 24 Rotherham 16 6 10 0.8 2.6 0 4 12 12 41 4
10 17 Plymouth 16 7 9 0.8 1.7 1 6 9 13 27 9
11 3 Ipswich 17 9 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 3 24 18 32
12 4 Southampton 17 9 8 1.4 1.2 9 5 3 24 20 32
13 5 West Brom 16 8 8 1.3 1.1 5 4 7 21 18 19
14 7 Preston 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 20 23 22
15 11 Watford 17 9 8 1.4 1.4 6 6 5 23 24 24
16 23 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 0.5 1.9 3 1 13 9 32 10
17 2 Leeds 17 10 7 1.5 0.9 9 2 6 26 15 29
18 10 Sunderland 17 10 7 1.0 1.1 4 5 8 17 18 17
19 12 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 5 6 17 18 20
20 15 Birmingham 16 9 7 0.9 1.9 3 2 11 14 30 11
21 19 Stoke 16 9 7 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 18 25 16
22 20 Huddersfield 16 9 7 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 17 31 13
23 21 Millwall 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 7 17 19 17
24 22 QPR 17 11 6 0.8 1.2 5 3 9 13 20 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51