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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Liverpool 3–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 1.44
Draw 8.00 fair 5.83
Away 17.00 fair 7.41
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 3.04
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.49

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Burnley
25 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 3
11 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (229 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 2.46 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 9.5% 2–1 9.5% 3–0 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.22points / match
2.26scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 52:22
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
1.04scored / match
2.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 24:47
Liverpool all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

2.26 Goals scored 1.04
0.96 Goals conceded 2.04
3.22 Total goals 3.09
18.78 Shots 10.52
6.61 Shots on target 3.39
11.13 Shots faced 14.91
6.52 Corners 5.09
4.57 Corners against 5.74
12.04 Fouls 10.83
1.83 Yellow cards 1.87
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

65% Wins 13%
26% Draws 17%
9% Losses 70%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
96% Over 1.5 goals 91%
65% Over 2.5 goals 57%
39% Over 3.5 goals 35%
13% Over 4.5 goals 17%
9% Over 5.5 goals 4%
65% Both teams scored 57%
35% Clean sheets 9%
4% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 22%
52% Draws 17%
13% Losses 61%
74% Over 0.5 goals 91%
48% Over 1.5 goals 43%
13% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Burnley all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.64points / match
2.73scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 30:9
Burnley before this match, away
0.73points / match
1.00scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:20
Liverpool at home away Burnley

Per match

2.73 Goals scored 1.00
0.82 Goals conceded 1.82
3.55 Total goals 2.82
24.00 Shots 8.55
8.73 Shots on target 3.09
9.18 Shots faced 17.45
7.64 Corners 4.18
3.36 Corners against 6.45
12.00 Fouls 11.91
1.27 Yellow cards 2.36
1.18 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

82% Wins 18%
18% Draws 18%
0% Losses 64%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 91%
73% Over 2.5 goals 55%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 9%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 64%
45% Clean sheets 9%
9% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 27%
55% Draws 18%
0% Losses 55%
73% Over 0.5 goals 91%
64% Over 1.5 goals 27%
18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Sheffield United – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 12.007.501.20 1.33 3.40
03.12.23 Liverpool – Fulham 4–3 (2–2) 1.256.509.00 1.40 2.88

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Burnley – Fulham 2–2 (0–2) 2.903.402.38 1.99 1.91
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
12.01.24 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Fulham – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.92 1.98
16.12.23 Burnley – Everton 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.402.10 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
05.12.23 Wolves – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 2.05 1.85
02.12.23 Burnley – Sheffield United 5–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.50 2.06 1.84

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
03.12.23 Liverpool – Fulham 4–3 (2–2) 1.256.509.00 1.40 2.88
12.11.23 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
21.10.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
24.09.23 Liverpool – West Ham 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.40 3.00
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
23.12.23 Fulham – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.92 1.98
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
05.12.23 Wolves – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 2.05 1.85
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
28.10.23 Bournemouth – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Brentford – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.95 1.95
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsBurnley wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.23E0 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
13.02.22E0 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 10.005.251.28 1.57 2.37
21.08.21E0 Liverpool – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.53 2.50

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 23 16 4 3 56 25 +31 52
2 Liverpool 23 15 6 2 52 22 +30 51
3 Arsenal 23 15 4 4 47 22 +25 49
4 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 49 30 +19 46
5 Tottenham 23 13 5 5 49 35 +14 44
6 Man United 23 12 2 9 31 32 -1 38
7 West Ham 23 10 6 7 36 36 0 36
8 Brighton 23 9 8 6 42 38 +4 35
9 Newcastle 23 10 3 10 48 37 +11 33
10 Wolves 23 9 5 9 37 37 0 32
11 Chelsea 23 9 4 10 38 39 -1 31
12 Everton 24 8 5 11 26 32 -6 29
13 Bournemouth 22 7 6 9 30 41 -11 27
14 Fulham 23 7 5 11 30 38 -8 26
15 Crystal Palace 23 6 6 11 26 40 -14 24
16 Brentford 22 6 4 12 32 39 -7 22
17 Nott'm Forest 23 5 6 12 28 41 -13 21
18 Luton 22 5 5 12 32 42 -10 20
19 Burnley 23 3 4 16 24 47 -23 13
20 Sheffield United 23 2 4 17 19 59 -40 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 9 2 0 30 9 +21 29
2 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 30 11 +19 29
3 Aston Villa 11 9 1 1 30 11 +19 28
4 Man City 11 8 3 0 29 10 +19 27
5 Newcastle 12 8 1 3 29 14 +15 25
6 Tottenham 11 8 0 3 23 15 +8 24
7 Brighton 12 6 5 1 26 15 +11 23
8 Man United 12 7 1 4 18 18 0 22
9 Fulham 11 6 1 4 19 12 +7 19
10 West Ham 11 5 4 2 18 11 +7 19
11 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18
12 Wolves 11 5 3 3 19 18 +1 18
13 Brentford 12 4 3 5 21 23 -2 15
14 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 12 17 -5 13
15 Everton 12 3 3 6 13 14 -1 12
16 Nott'm Forest 11 3 3 5 15 17 -2 12
17 Crystal Palace 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12
18 Luton 11 3 2 6 17 17 0 11
19 Sheffield United 12 2 2 8 12 31 -19 8
20 Burnley 12 1 2 9 13 27 -14 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 8 1 3 27 15 +12 25
2 Liverpool 12 6 4 2 22 13 +9 22
3 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20
4 Arsenal 11 6 2 3 17 11 +6 20
5 Aston Villa 12 5 3 4 19 19 0 18
6 Everton 12 5 2 5 13 18 -5 17
7 West Ham 12 5 2 5 18 25 -7 17
8 Man United 11 5 1 5 13 14 -1 16
9 Wolves 12 4 2 6 18 19 -1 14
10 Bournemouth 11 4 2 5 18 24 -6 14
11 Chelsea 11 4 1 6 18 21 -3 13
12 Brighton 11 3 3 5 16 23 -7 12
13 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 12 24 -12 12
14 Luton 11 2 3 6 15 25 -10 9
15 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 13 24 -11 9
16 Newcastle 11 2 2 7 19 23 -4 8
17 Burnley 11 2 2 7 11 20 -9 8
18 Brentford 10 2 1 7 11 16 -5 7
19 Fulham 12 1 4 7 11 26 -15 7
20 Sheffield United 11 0 2 9 7 28 -21 2

Liverpool   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 23 5 18 2.1 1.5 13 5 5 49 35 44
2 1 Man City 23 7 16 2.4 1.1 16 4 3 56 25 52
3 4 Aston Villa 23 7 16 2.1 1.3 14 4 5 49 30 46
4 9 Newcastle 23 7 16 2.1 1.6 10 3 10 48 37 33
5 10 Wolves 23 7 16 1.6 1.6 9 5 9 37 37 32
6 16 Brentford 22 6 16 1.5 1.8 6 4 12 32 39 22
7 2 Liverpool 23 8 15 2.3 1.0 15 6 2 52 22 51
8 7 West Ham 23 8 15 1.6 1.6 10 6 7 36 36 36
9 8 Brighton 23 8 15 1.8 1.7 9 8 6 42 38 35
10 13 Bournemouth 22 7 15 1.4 1.9 7 6 9 30 41 27
11 18 Luton 22 7 15 1.5 1.9 5 5 12 32 42 20
12 20 Sheffield United 23 8 15 0.8 2.6 2 4 17 19 59 10
13 3 Arsenal 23 9 14 2.0 1.0 15 4 4 47 22 49
14 6 Man United 23 9 14 1.3 1.4 12 2 9 31 32 38
15 11 Chelsea 23 9 14 1.7 1.7 9 4 10 38 39 31
16 14 Fulham 23 10 13 1.3 1.7 7 5 11 30 38 26
17 15 Crystal Palace 23 10 13 1.1 1.7 6 6 11 26 40 24
18 17 Nott'm Forest 23 10 13 1.2 1.8 5 6 12 28 41 21
19 19 Burnley 23 10 13 1.0 2.0 3 4 16 24 47 13
20 12 Everton 24 12 12 1.1 1.3 8 5 11 26 32 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Brentford 12 2 10 1.8 1.9 4 3 5 21 23 15
2 3 Arsenal 12 3 9 2.5 0.9 9 2 1 30 11 29
3 5 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.1 1.4 8 0 3 23 15 24
4 6 Man United 12 3 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 4 18 18 22
5 20 Sheffield United 12 3 9 1.0 2.6 2 2 8 12 31 8
6 2 Liverpool 11 3 8 2.7 0.8 9 2 0 30 9 29
7 4 Aston Villa 11 3 8 2.7 1.0 9 1 1 30 11 28
8 8 Brighton 12 4 8 2.2 1.2 6 5 1 26 15 23
9 9 Newcastle 12 4 8 2.4 1.2 8 1 3 29 14 25
10 10 Wolves 11 3 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 3 19 18 18
11 18 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 3 2 6 17 17 11
12 19 Burnley 12 5 7 1.1 2.2 1 2 9 13 27 5
13 1 Man City 11 5 6 2.6 0.9 8 3 0 29 10 27
14 11 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18
15 12 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 14 12
16 13 Bournemouth 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 17 13
17 14 Fulham 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 1 4 19 12 19
18 15 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12
19 17 Nott'm Forest 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 3 5 15 17 12
20 7 West Ham 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 5 4 2 18 11 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 12 2 10 2.2 1.2 8 1 3 27 15 25
2 7 West Ham 12 2 10 1.5 2.1 5 2 5 18 25 17
3 5 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20
4 13 Bournemouth 11 2 9 1.6 2.2 4 2 5 18 24 14
5 4 Aston Villa 12 4 8 1.6 1.6 5 3 4 19 19 18
6 9 Newcastle 11 3 8 1.7 2.1 2 2 7 19 23 8
7 10 Wolves 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 4 2 6 18 19 14
8 11 Chelsea 11 3 8 1.6 1.9 4 1 6 18 21 13
9 18 Luton 11 3 8 1.4 2.3 2 3 6 15 25 9
10 2 Liverpool 12 5 7 1.8 1.1 6 4 2 22 13 22
11 8 Brighton 11 4 7 1.5 2.1 3 3 5 16 23 12
12 14 Fulham 12 5 7 0.9 2.2 1 4 7 11 26 7
13 15 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.0 2.0 3 3 6 12 24 12
14 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 2.0 2 3 7 13 24 9
15 12 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 5 2 5 13 18 17
16 16 Brentford 10 4 6 1.1 1.6 2 1 7 11 16 7
17 19 Burnley 11 5 6 1.0 1.8 2 2 7 11 20 8
18 20 Sheffield United 11 5 6 0.6 2.5 0 2 9 7 28 2
19 3 Arsenal 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 17 11 20
20 6 Man United 11 6 5 1.2 1.3 5 1 5 13 14 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44