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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Tallis

Exeter 0–3 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.50 fair 4.07
Draw 3.60 fair 3.69
Away ✓ 2.05 fair 2.07
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Exeter Derby
13 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 1
9 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (367 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.84
Expected goals 0.92 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
ExeterDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 13.7% 1–1 12.6% 0–0 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Exeter before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
0.78scored / match
1.34conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 25:43
Derby before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.74scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 54:29
Exeter all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.78 Goals scored 1.74
1.34 Goals conceded 0.94
2.13 Total goals 2.68
11.59 Shots 12.90
3.81 Shots on target 4.39
12.81 Shots faced 10.03
6.09 Corners 6.87
6.06 Corners against 5.16
11.16 Fouls 10.58
2.03 Yellow cards 1.87
0.28 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

34% Wins 58%
19% Draws 19%
47% Losses 23%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
63% Over 1.5 goals 74%
38% Over 2.5 goals 55%
9% Over 3.5 goals 29%
9% Over 4.5 goals 13%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
31% Both teams scored 55%
31% Clean sheets 39%
50% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 39%
44% Draws 48%
44% Losses 13%
63% Over 0.5 goals 65%
22% Over 1.5 goals 29%
6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter all matches
Derby all matches
Exeter before this match, at home
1.25points / match
0.63scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 10:13
Derby before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.69scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:14
Exeter at home away Derby

Per match

0.63 Goals scored 1.69
0.81 Goals conceded 0.88
1.44 Total goals 2.56
13.88 Shots 12.38
3.81 Shots on target 4.50
10.25 Shots faced 11.25
7.44 Corners 6.94
5.25 Corners against 6.00
10.56 Fouls 10.69
2.31 Yellow cards 1.75
0.06 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

31% Wins 63%
31% Draws 13%
38% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 94%
44% Over 1.5 goals 63%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 31%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
31% Both teams scored 44%
38% Clean sheets 44%
56% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 44%
63% Draws 44%
38% Losses 13%
44% Over 0.5 goals 69%
6% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Wigan – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.08 1.73
06.02.24 Exeter – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.80 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.95 1.90
27.01.24 Barnsley – Exeter 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.90 1.95
20.01.24 Exeter – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.65
13.01.24 Blackpool – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.006.50 1.85 2.00
06.01.24 Exeter – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Reading – Exeter 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 1.90 1.95
29.12.23 Exeter – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.95 1.90

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Derby – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
03.02.24 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
06.01.24 Fleetwood Town – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 5.504.001.60 1.80 2.00
01.01.24 Derby – Peterboro 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93

Exeter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.02.24 Exeter – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.80 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.95 1.90
20.01.24 Exeter – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.65
06.01.24 Exeter – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.15 1.67
29.12.23 Exeter – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.95 1.90
26.12.23 Exeter – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.55 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Exeter – Port Vale 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 2.05 1.75
28.11.23 Exeter – Shrewsbury 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.15 1.67
28.10.23 Exeter – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Exeter – Wigan 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.30 1.88 1.98

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
06.01.24 Fleetwood Town – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 5.504.001.60 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Exeter winsDrawsDerby wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.23E2 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
18.04.23E2 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
25.10.22E2 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 32 19 9 4 51 28 +23 66
2 Derby 31 18 6 7 54 29 +25 60
3 Bolton 29 18 5 6 52 28 +24 59
4 Barnsley 30 16 8 6 55 34 +21 56
5 Peterboro 31 16 8 7 59 39 +20 56
6 Stevenage 30 15 8 7 44 30 +14 53
7 Oxford 31 15 7 9 50 38 +12 52
8 Blackpool 31 13 8 10 48 36 +12 47
9 Wigan 31 13 6 12 44 38 +6 45
10 Leyton Orient 31 12 9 10 35 36 -1 45
11 Lincoln 31 10 11 10 33 31 +2 41
12 Northampton 30 12 5 13 37 43 -6 41
13 Bristol Rvs 31 11 7 13 41 43 -2 40
14 Exeter 32 11 6 15 25 43 -18 39
15 Reading 31 10 8 13 40 44 -4 38
16 Wycombe 30 9 10 11 40 41 -1 37
17 Cambridge 29 9 8 12 25 35 -10 35
18 Burton 31 9 8 14 27 40 -13 35
19 Shrewsbury 31 10 4 17 22 42 -20 34
20 Charlton 31 7 10 14 43 48 -5 31
21 Port Vale 29 8 7 14 30 45 -15 31
22 Cheltenham 29 7 5 17 22 40 -18 26
23 Fleetwood Town 31 6 7 18 31 52 -21 25
24 Carlisle 31 4 8 19 26 51 -25 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 17 10 4 3 34 16 +18 34
2 Bolton 15 10 2 3 30 18 +12 32
3 Portsmouth 15 9 4 2 23 16 +7 31
4 Peterboro 14 8 4 2 33 15 +18 28
5 Derby 15 8 4 3 27 15 +12 28
6 Reading 16 8 4 4 25 16 +9 28
7 Wigan 16 9 1 6 23 16 +7 28
8 Barnsley 16 8 3 5 30 20 +10 27
9 Oxford 15 7 5 3 25 15 +10 26
10 Northampton 16 7 4 5 21 18 +3 25
11 Cambridge 16 7 4 5 15 16 -1 25
12 Stevenage 14 6 6 2 18 11 +7 24
13 Bristol Rvs 16 6 5 5 24 19 +5 23
14 Burton 15 6 4 5 16 15 +1 22
15 Shrewsbury 15 7 1 7 15 18 -3 22
16 Lincoln 15 5 6 4 19 13 +6 21
17 Charlton 16 6 3 7 28 24 +4 21
18 Leyton Orient 14 6 3 5 14 19 -5 21
19 Wycombe 15 5 5 5 22 21 +1 20
20 Exeter 16 5 5 6 10 13 -3 20
21 Port Vale 15 5 2 8 19 20 -1 17
22 Cheltenham 14 4 3 7 13 21 -8 15
23 Carlisle 16 3 5 8 14 23 -9 14
24 Fleetwood Town 15 3 2 10 13 25 -12 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 17 10 5 2 28 12 +16 35
2 Derby 16 10 2 4 27 14 +13 32
3 Barnsley 14 8 5 1 25 14 +11 29
4 Stevenage 16 9 2 5 26 19 +7 29
5 Peterboro 17 8 4 5 26 24 +2 28
6 Bolton 14 8 3 3 22 10 +12 27
7 Oxford 16 8 2 6 25 23 +2 26
8 Leyton Orient 17 6 6 5 21 17 +4 24
9 Lincoln 16 5 5 6 14 18 -4 20
10 Exeter 16 6 1 9 15 30 -15 19
11 Wigan 15 4 5 6 21 22 -1 17
12 Wycombe 15 4 5 6 18 20 -2 17
13 Bristol Rvs 15 5 2 8 17 24 -7 17
14 Northampton 14 5 1 8 16 25 -9 16
15 Fleetwood Town 16 3 5 8 18 27 -9 14
16 Port Vale 14 3 5 6 11 25 -14 14
17 Blackpool 14 3 4 7 14 20 -6 13
18 Burton 16 3 4 9 11 25 -14 13
19 Shrewsbury 16 3 3 10 7 24 -17 12
20 Cheltenham 15 3 2 10 9 19 -10 11
21 Charlton 15 1 7 7 15 24 -9 10
22 Cambridge 13 2 4 7 10 19 -9 10
23 Reading 15 2 4 9 15 28 -13 10
24 Carlisle 15 1 3 11 12 28 -16 6

Exeter   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Peterboro 31 11 20 1.9 1.3 16 8 7 59 39 56
2 7 Oxford 31 11 20 1.6 1.2 15 7 9 50 38 52
3 4 Barnsley 30 12 18 1.8 1.1 16 8 6 55 34 56
4 12 Northampton 30 12 18 1.2 1.4 12 5 13 37 43 41
5 20 Charlton 31 13 18 1.4 1.5 7 10 14 43 48 31
6 1 Portsmouth 32 15 17 1.6 0.9 19 9 4 51 28 66
7 2 Derby 31 14 17 1.7 0.9 18 6 7 54 29 60
8 8 Blackpool 31 14 17 1.5 1.2 13 8 10 48 36 47
9 13 Bristol Rvs 31 14 17 1.3 1.4 11 7 13 41 43 40
10 23 Fleetwood Town 31 14 17 1.0 1.7 6 7 18 31 52 25
11 6 Stevenage 30 14 16 1.5 1.0 15 8 7 44 30 53
12 9 Wigan 31 16 15 1.4 1.2 13 6 12 44 38 45
13 15 Reading 31 16 15 1.3 1.4 10 8 13 40 44 38
14 16 Wycombe 30 15 15 1.3 1.4 9 10 11 40 41 37
15 3 Bolton 29 15 14 1.8 1.0 18 5 6 52 28 59
16 21 Port Vale 29 15 14 1.0 1.6 8 7 14 30 45 31
17 10 Leyton Orient 31 18 13 1.1 1.2 12 9 10 35 36 45
18 14 Exeter 32 20 12 0.8 1.3 11 6 15 25 43 39
19 17 Cambridge 29 17 12 0.9 1.2 9 8 12 25 35 35
20 18 Burton 31 19 12 0.9 1.3 9 8 14 27 40 35
21 24 Carlisle 31 19 12 0.8 1.6 4 8 19 26 51 20
22 11 Lincoln 31 20 11 1.1 1.0 10 11 10 33 31 41
23 19 Shrewsbury 31 20 11 0.7 1.4 10 4 17 22 42 34
24 22 Cheltenham 29 18 11 0.8 1.4 7 5 17 22 40 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Charlton 16 4 12 1.8 1.5 6 3 7 28 24 21
2 4 Barnsley 16 5 11 1.9 1.2 8 3 5 30 20 27
3 3 Bolton 15 5 10 2.0 1.2 10 2 3 30 18 32
4 5 Peterboro 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 8 4 2 33 15 28
5 7 Oxford 15 5 10 1.7 1.0 7 5 3 25 15 26
6 8 Blackpool 17 7 10 2.0 0.9 10 4 3 34 16 34
7 2 Derby 15 6 9 1.8 1.0 8 4 3 27 15 28
8 13 Bristol Rvs 16 7 9 1.5 1.2 6 5 5 24 19 23
9 1 Portsmouth 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 9 4 2 23 16 31
10 9 Wigan 16 8 8 1.4 1.0 9 1 6 23 16 28
11 12 Northampton 16 8 8 1.3 1.1 7 4 5 21 18 25
12 16 Wycombe 15 8 7 1.5 1.4 5 5 5 22 21 20
13 19 Shrewsbury 15 8 7 1.0 1.2 7 1 7 15 18 22
14 21 Port Vale 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 2 8 19 20 17
15 23 Fleetwood Town 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 3 2 10 13 25 11
16 10 Leyton Orient 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 6 3 5 14 19 21
17 11 Lincoln 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 5 6 4 19 13 21
18 15 Reading 16 10 6 1.6 1.0 8 4 4 25 16 28
19 22 Cheltenham 14 8 6 0.9 1.5 4 3 7 13 21 15
20 6 Stevenage 14 9 5 1.3 0.8 6 6 2 18 11 24
21 17 Cambridge 16 11 5 0.9 1.0 7 4 5 15 16 25
22 18 Burton 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 5 16 15 22
23 24 Carlisle 16 11 5 0.9 1.4 3 5 8 14 23 14
24 14 Exeter 16 12 4 0.6 0.8 5 5 6 10 13 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stevenage 16 5 11 1.6 1.2 9 2 5 26 19 29
2 5 Peterboro 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 8 4 5 26 24 28
3 7 Oxford 16 6 10 1.6 1.4 8 2 6 25 23 26
4 12 Northampton 14 4 10 1.1 1.8 5 1 8 16 25 16
5 23 Fleetwood Town 16 6 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 8 18 27 14
6 1 Portsmouth 17 8 9 1.6 0.7 10 5 2 28 12 35
7 15 Reading 15 6 9 1.0 1.9 2 4 9 15 28 10
8 2 Derby 16 8 8 1.7 0.9 10 2 4 27 14 32
9 13 Bristol Rvs 15 7 8 1.1 1.6 5 2 8 17 24 17
10 14 Exeter 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 6 1 9 15 30 19
11 16 Wycombe 15 7 8 1.2 1.3 4 5 6 18 20 17
12 4 Barnsley 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 8 5 1 25 14 29
13 8 Blackpool 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 4 7 14 20 13
14 9 Wigan 15 8 7 1.4 1.5 4 5 6 21 22 17
15 10 Leyton Orient 17 10 7 1.2 1.0 6 6 5 21 17 24
16 17 Cambridge 13 6 7 0.8 1.5 2 4 7 10 19 10
17 18 Burton 16 9 7 0.7 1.6 3 4 9 11 25 13
18 21 Port Vale 14 7 7 0.8 1.8 3 5 6 11 25 14
19 24 Carlisle 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 1 3 11 12 28 6
20 20 Charlton 15 9 6 1.0 1.6 1 7 7 15 24 10
21 11 Lincoln 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 5 5 6 14 18 20
22 22 Cheltenham 15 10 5 0.6 1.3 3 2 10 9 19 11
23 3 Bolton 14 10 4 1.6 0.7 8 3 3 22 10 27
24 19 Shrewsbury 16 12 4 0.4 1.5 3 3 10 7 24 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51