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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Bristol City 3–2 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.60 fair 2.41
Draw 3.30 fair 3.91
Away 2.10 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bristol City Middlesbrough
10 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 8
8 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (193 league matches this season so far).
Result Bristol City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:16
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.44scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:23
Bristol City all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.44
1.00 Goals conceded 1.44
2.00 Total goals 2.88
11.81 Shots 14.75
3.19 Shots on target 5.81
11.81 Shots faced 11.38
5.19 Corners 6.75
5.13 Corners against 5.00
11.06 Fouls 10.94
1.69 Yellow cards 1.75
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

38% Wins 44%
25% Draws 19%
38% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 81%
31% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
44% Both teams scored 50%
31% Clean sheets 25%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 6%
50% Draws 50%
31% Losses 44%
56% Over 0.5 goals 56%
19% Over 1.5 goals 31%
13% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Bristol City before this match, at home
1.38points / match
1.13scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:8
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.38points / match
2.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:16
Bristol City at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.13 Total goals 4.00
12.75 Shots 15.88
3.75 Shots on target 5.63
11.25 Shots faced 11.50
6.25 Corners 5.75
5.38 Corners against 5.50
10.75 Fouls 11.00
1.38 Yellow cards 1.50
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

38% Wins 38%
25% Draws 25%
38% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
25% Over 2.5 goals 88%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 38%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
38% Both teams scored 75%
38% Clean sheets 13%
38% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%
38% Draws 25%
25% Losses 63%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
25% Over 2.5 goals 38%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.63 2.10 1.70
04.11.23 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.15 1.67
28.10.23 Cardiff – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.15 1.67
25.10.23 Bristol City – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Bristol City – Coventry 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.402.90 2.00 1.85
07.10.23 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Rotherham – Bristol City 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.03 1.83
30.09.23 Bristol City – Stoke 2–3 (2–1) 2.303.253.20 2.03 1.83
23.09.23 Leicester – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.73 2.10
19.09.23 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–1 (3–1) 1.753.804.33 1.62 2.30

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
23.09.23 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10
19.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95

Bristol City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.15 1.67
25.10.23 Bristol City – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Bristol City – Coventry 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.402.90 2.00 1.85
30.09.23 Bristol City – Stoke 2–3 (2–1) 2.303.253.20 2.03 1.83
19.09.23 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–1 (3–1) 1.753.804.33 1.62 2.30
16.09.23 Bristol City – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.98 1.88
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
05.08.23 Bristol City – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.10 1.73
29.04.23 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
22.04.23 Bristol City – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 1.98 1.88

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.75 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 4–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.95 1.90
12.08.23 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 1.98 1.88
01.05.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.90
24.04.23 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bristol City winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.23E1 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.603.502.05 1.90 1.95
05.11.22E1 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.75 1.90 1.95
19.02.22E1 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.252.10 2.20 1.66
14.08.21E1 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 16 13 0 3 29 10 +19 39
2 Ipswich 16 12 3 1 36 21 +15 39
3 Leeds 17 9 5 3 28 17 +11 32
4 Southampton 16 9 3 4 27 26 +1 30
5 Preston 16 8 4 4 23 24 -1 28
6 Sunderland 16 8 2 6 27 17 +10 26
7 West Brom 16 7 5 4 26 17 +9 26
8 Hull 16 7 5 4 22 19 +3 26
9 Cardiff 16 7 3 6 25 19 +6 24
10 Middlesbrough 16 7 3 6 23 23 0 24
11 Bristol City 16 6 4 6 16 16 0 22
12 Blackburn 16 7 1 8 24 26 -2 22
13 Watford 16 5 6 5 23 18 +5 21
14 Stoke 16 6 3 7 16 18 -2 21
15 Millwall 16 5 5 6 19 19 0 20
16 Norwich 16 6 2 8 29 32 -3 20
17 Swansea 16 5 4 7 22 21 +1 19
18 Birmingham 16 5 4 7 19 22 -3 19
19 Plymouth 16 4 4 8 27 27 0 16
20 Coventry 16 3 7 6 19 21 -2 16
21 Huddersfield 16 3 6 7 14 28 -14 15
22 Rotherham 17 2 6 9 16 33 -17 12
23 QPR 16 2 4 10 11 27 -16 10
24 Sheffield Weds 16 1 3 12 7 27 -20 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 25 15 +10 21
2 Leeds 8 5 3 0 15 6 +9 18
3 Leicester 8 6 0 2 11 4 +7 18
4 West Brom 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
5 Preston 8 5 2 1 14 13 +1 17
6 Cardiff 8 5 1 2 15 9 +6 16
7 Watford 9 4 3 2 18 8 +10 15
8 Sunderland 8 5 0 3 16 10 +6 15
9 Birmingham 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
10 Southampton 8 4 2 2 16 14 +2 14
11 Plymouth 8 4 1 3 20 13 +7 13
12 Hull 8 3 4 1 10 7 +3 13
13 Stoke 8 4 1 3 9 8 +1 13
14 Middlesbrough 8 4 1 3 7 7 0 13
15 Norwich 8 4 0 4 12 12 0 12
16 Coventry 8 2 5 1 9 7 +2 11
17 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
18 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
19 Swansea 8 2 3 3 9 9 0 9
20 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 9 14 -5 9
21 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 7 13 -6 9
22 Millwall 8 2 1 5 7 12 -5 7
23 Sheffield Weds 8 1 2 5 4 12 -8 5
24 QPR 7 0 2 5 4 14 -10 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 18 6 +12 21
2 Ipswich 8 5 3 0 11 6 +5 18
3 Southampton 8 5 1 2 11 12 -1 16
4 Leeds 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
5 Millwall 8 3 4 1 12 7 +5 13
6 Blackburn 8 4 1 3 15 12 +3 13
7 Hull 8 4 1 3 12 12 0 13
8 Sunderland 8 3 2 3 11 7 +4 11
9 Middlesbrough 8 3 2 3 16 16 0 11
10 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
11 Preston 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11
12 Swansea 8 3 1 4 13 12 +1 10
13 West Brom 8 2 3 3 12 10 +2 9
14 Cardiff 8 2 2 4 10 10 0 8
15 Norwich 8 2 2 4 17 20 -3 8
16 Stoke 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
17 QPR 9 2 2 5 7 13 -6 8
18 Watford 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
19 Huddersfield 8 1 3 4 7 15 -8 6
20 Coventry 8 1 2 5 10 14 -4 5
21 Birmingham 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
22 Plymouth 8 0 3 5 7 14 -7 3
23 Sheffield Weds 8 0 1 7 3 15 -12 1
24 Rotherham 8 0 1 7 3 21 -18 1

Bristol City   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Southampton 16 4 12 1.7 1.6 9 3 4 27 26 30
2 12 Blackburn 16 4 12 1.5 1.6 7 1 8 24 26 22
3 16 Norwich 16 4 12 1.8 2.0 6 2 8 29 32 20
4 19 Plymouth 16 4 12 1.7 1.7 4 4 8 27 27 16
5 6 Sunderland 16 5 11 1.7 1.1 8 2 6 27 17 26
6 2 Ipswich 16 6 10 2.2 1.3 12 3 1 36 21 39
7 5 Preston 16 6 10 1.4 1.5 8 4 4 23 24 28
8 3 Leeds 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 9 5 3 28 17 32
9 7 West Brom 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 26 17 26
10 17 Swansea 16 7 9 1.4 1.3 5 4 7 22 21 19
11 22 Rotherham 17 8 9 0.9 1.9 2 6 9 16 33 12
12 1 Leicester 16 8 8 1.8 0.6 13 0 3 29 10 39
13 8 Hull 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 7 5 4 22 19 26
14 9 Cardiff 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 7 3 6 25 19 24
15 10 Middlesbrough 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 7 3 6 23 23 24
16 15 Millwall 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 5 5 6 19 19 20
17 21 Huddersfield 16 8 8 0.9 1.8 3 6 7 14 28 15
18 23 QPR 16 8 8 0.7 1.7 2 4 10 11 27 10
19 13 Watford 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 5 6 5 23 18 21
20 18 Birmingham 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 5 4 7 19 22 19
21 24 Sheffield Weds 16 9 7 0.4 1.7 1 3 12 7 27 6
22 20 Coventry 16 10 6 1.2 1.3 3 7 6 19 21 16
23 11 Bristol City 16 11 5 1.0 1.0 6 4 6 16 16 22
24 14 Stoke 16 11 5 1.0 1.1 6 3 7 16 18 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 8 1 7 3.1 1.9 7 0 1 25 15 21
2 5 Preston 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 5 2 1 14 13 17
3 19 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.5 1.6 4 1 3 20 13 13
4 4 Southampton 8 2 6 2.0 1.8 4 2 2 16 14 14
5 6 Sunderland 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 5 0 3 16 10 15
6 12 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.1 1.8 3 0 5 9 14 9
7 3 Leeds 8 3 5 1.9 0.8 5 3 0 15 6 18
8 13 Watford 9 4 5 2.0 0.9 4 3 2 18 8 15
9 15 Millwall 8 3 5 0.9 1.5 2 1 5 7 12 7
10 16 Norwich 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 4 0 4 12 12 12
11 22 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
12 7 West Brom 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
13 9 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.9 1.1 5 1 2 15 9 16
14 17 Swansea 8 4 4 1.1 1.1 2 3 3 9 9 9
15 18 Birmingham 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
16 21 Huddersfield 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 2 3 3 7 13 9
17 23 QPR 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 0 2 5 4 14 2
18 1 Leicester 8 5 3 1.4 0.5 6 0 2 11 4 18
19 14 Stoke 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 4 1 3 9 8 13
20 24 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 2 5 4 12 5
21 8 Hull 8 6 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 1 10 7 13
22 11 Bristol City 8 6 2 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
23 20 Coventry 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 2 5 1 9 7 11
24 10 Middlesbrough 8 7 1 0.9 0.9 4 1 3 7 7 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Middlesbrough 8 1 7 2.0 2.0 3 2 3 16 16 11
2 16 Norwich 8 1 7 2.1 2.5 2 2 4 17 20 8
3 4 Southampton 8 2 6 1.4 1.5 5 1 2 11 12 16
4 8 Hull 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 4 1 3 12 12 13
5 12 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 4 1 3 15 12 13
6 1 Leicester 8 3 5 2.2 0.8 7 0 1 18 6 21
7 6 Sunderland 8 3 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 3 11 7 11
8 7 West Brom 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 2 3 3 12 10 9
9 17 Swansea 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 3 1 4 13 12 10
10 19 Plymouth 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 0 3 5 7 14 3
11 3 Leeds 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
12 9 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.2 1.2 2 2 4 10 10 8
13 20 Coventry 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 1 2 5 10 14 5
14 21 Huddersfield 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 3 4 7 15 6
15 22 Rotherham 8 4 4 0.4 2.6 0 1 7 3 21 1
16 23 QPR 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 2 5 7 13 8
17 24 Sheffield Weds 8 4 4 0.4 1.9 0 1 7 3 15 1
18 2 Ipswich 8 5 3 1.4 0.8 5 3 0 11 6 18
19 5 Preston 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 3 2 3 9 11 11
20 11 Bristol City 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
21 15 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 3 4 1 12 7 13
22 18 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
23 13 Watford 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
24 14 Stoke 8 6 2 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51