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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Linington

Middlesbrough 1–0 West Brom

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.70
Draw 3.25 fair 3.92
Away 3.30 fair 2.67
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough West Brom
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 10
13 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (267 league matches this season so far).
Result West Brom to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.38
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Brom
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 8.8% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.55scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 34:34
West Brom before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.55scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 34:22
Middlesbrough all matches all matches West Brom

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 1.55
1.55 Goals conceded 1.00
3.09 Total goals 2.55
13.82 Shots 11.36
5.59 Shots on target 3.27
11.14 Shots faced 9.82
6.41 Corners 5.55
4.68 Corners against 4.95
11.59 Fouls 8.14
1.77 Yellow cards 2.00
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

41% Wins 45%
14% Draws 27%
45% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 77%
59% Over 2.5 goals 50%
32% Over 3.5 goals 27%
23% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 5%
55% Both teams scored 55%
23% Clean sheets 45%
23% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 27%
36% Draws 55%
45% Losses 18%
68% Over 0.5 goals 59%
36% Over 1.5 goals 32%
23% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
West Brom all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.09scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:11
West Brom before this match, away
1.36points / match
1.45scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:12
Middlesbrough at home away West Brom

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.45
1.00 Goals conceded 1.09
2.09 Total goals 2.55
13.18 Shots 10.36
5.91 Shots on target 2.64
10.27 Shots faced 11.27
7.27 Corners 5.27
4.18 Corners against 4.27
11.45 Fouls 8.55
1.55 Yellow cards 2.55
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

45% Wins 36%
9% Draws 27%
45% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 82%
27% Over 2.5 goals 55%
9% Over 3.5 goals 27%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
27% Both teams scored 55%
36% Clean sheets 45%
36% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%
55% Draws 55%
27% Losses 27%
55% Over 0.5 goals 55%
27% Over 1.5 goals 36%
9% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
West Brom away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
13.12.23 Middlesbrough – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
09.12.23 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.702.90 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
28.11.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.605.50 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15

West Brom all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 West Brom – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 2.10 1.70
12.12.23 Rotherham – West Brom 0–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.70 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Sunderland – West Brom 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.253.20 2.05 1.80
02.12.23 West Brom – Leicester 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
25.11.23 West Brom – Ipswich 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.502.55 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
04.11.23 West Brom – Hull 3–1 (1–1) 2.053.203.80 2.05 1.75
30.10.23 Coventry – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.303.20 2.05 1.75
24.10.23 West Brom – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.95 1.90

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.23 Middlesbrough – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
09.12.23 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.702.90 1.67 2.15
28.11.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.605.50 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
03.10.23 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Middlesbrough – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
19.08.23 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00

West Brom away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.12.23 Rotherham – West Brom 0–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.70 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Sunderland – West Brom 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.253.20 2.05 1.80
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
30.10.23 Coventry – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.303.20 2.05 1.75
06.10.23 Birmingham – West Brom 3–1 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
30.09.23 Preston – West Brom 0–4 (0–2) 2.383.502.88 2.15 1.67
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Bristol City – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.98 1.88
18.08.23 Leeds – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsWest Brom wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23E1 West Brom – Middlesbrough 4–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.95 1.90
25.02.23E1 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.303.00 2.02 1.83
30.07.22E1 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.10 1.72
22.02.22E1 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.20 1.66
06.11.21E1 West Brom – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.75 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 22 18 1 3 44 16 +28 55
2 Ipswich 23 16 4 3 47 32 +15 52
3 Leeds 23 13 6 4 41 22 +19 45
4 Southampton 22 12 6 4 37 29 +8 42
5 West Brom 22 10 6 6 34 22 +12 36
6 Hull 23 10 6 7 36 30 +6 36
7 Sunderland 22 10 3 9 32 24 +8 33
8 Bristol City 23 9 5 9 26 26 0 32
9 Preston 23 9 5 9 29 40 -11 32
10 Watford 22 8 7 7 35 27 +8 31
11 Norwich 22 9 4 9 39 39 0 31
12 Blackburn 22 10 1 11 34 38 -4 31
13 Cardiff 22 9 3 10 28 27 +1 30
14 Middlesbrough 22 9 3 10 34 34 0 30
15 Swansea 23 7 7 9 32 32 0 28
16 Coventry 22 6 9 7 28 25 +3 27
17 Plymouth 22 7 5 10 34 35 -1 26
18 Birmingham 22 7 5 10 26 32 -6 26
19 Stoke 22 6 5 11 21 30 -9 23
20 Millwall 22 5 7 10 24 31 -7 22
21 Huddersfield 22 4 10 8 21 36 -15 22
22 QPR 22 5 5 12 20 32 -12 20
23 Sheffield Weds 22 4 4 14 16 35 -19 16
24 Rotherham 22 2 7 13 20 44 -24 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 12 8 4 0 26 10 +16 28
2 Ipswich 11 9 1 1 32 19 +13 28
3 Leicester 11 9 0 2 20 6 +14 27
4 Southampton 11 7 2 2 23 14 +9 23
5 Plymouth 11 7 1 3 27 16 +11 22
6 West Brom 11 6 3 2 18 10 +8 21
7 Sunderland 11 7 0 4 20 13 +7 21
8 Bristol City 12 6 2 4 17 14 +3 20
9 Watford 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19
10 Hull 11 5 4 2 18 10 +8 19
11 Birmingham 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19
12 Cardiff 11 6 1 4 16 11 +5 19
13 Norwich 11 6 1 4 16 13 +3 19
14 Coventry 11 4 6 1 13 8 +5 18
15 Preston 11 5 2 4 16 22 -6 17
16 Middlesbrough 11 5 1 5 12 11 +1 16
17 Blackburn 11 5 0 6 15 19 -4 15
18 Swansea 12 3 5 4 15 15 0 14
19 Stoke 11 4 2 5 10 13 -3 14
20 Sheffield Weds 11 3 3 5 10 15 -5 12
21 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 14 16 -2 11
22 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 10 18 -8 11
23 QPR 10 2 3 5 10 16 -6 9
24 Millwall 11 2 3 6 9 17 -8 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 11 9 1 1 24 10 +14 28
2 Ipswich 12 7 3 2 15 13 +2 24
3 Southampton 11 5 4 2 14 15 -1 19
4 Leeds 11 5 2 4 15 12 +3 17
5 Hull 12 5 2 5 18 20 -2 17
6 Blackburn 11 5 1 5 19 19 0 16
7 West Brom 11 4 3 4 16 12 +4 15
8 Preston 12 4 3 5 13 18 -5 15
9 Swansea 11 4 2 5 17 17 0 14
10 Middlesbrough 11 4 2 5 22 23 -1 14
11 Millwall 11 3 4 4 15 14 +1 13
12 Sunderland 11 3 3 5 12 11 +1 12
13 Watford 10 3 3 4 12 14 -2 12
14 Norwich 11 3 3 5 23 26 -3 12
15 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 9 12 -3 12
16 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
17 QPR 12 3 2 7 10 16 -6 11
18 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 11 18 -7 11
19 Coventry 11 2 3 6 15 17 -2 9
20 Stoke 11 2 3 6 11 17 -6 9
21 Birmingham 11 2 1 8 9 20 -11 7
22 Plymouth 11 0 4 7 7 19 -12 4
23 Sheffield Weds 11 1 1 9 6 20 -14 4
24 Rotherham 11 0 2 9 6 28 -22 2

Middlesbrough   West Brom

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Blackburn 22 5 17 1.5 1.7 10 1 11 34 38 31
2 11 Norwich 22 6 16 1.8 1.8 9 4 9 39 39 31
3 2 Ipswich 23 8 15 2.0 1.4 16 4 3 47 32 52
4 9 Preston 23 8 15 1.3 1.7 9 5 9 29 40 32
5 17 Plymouth 22 7 15 1.5 1.6 7 5 10 34 35 26
6 6 Hull 23 9 14 1.6 1.3 10 6 7 36 30 36
7 15 Swansea 23 9 14 1.4 1.4 7 7 9 32 32 28
8 4 Southampton 22 9 13 1.7 1.3 12 6 4 37 29 42
9 7 Sunderland 22 9 13 1.5 1.1 10 3 9 32 24 33
10 14 Middlesbrough 22 9 13 1.5 1.5 9 3 10 34 34 30
11 1 Leicester 22 10 12 2.0 0.7 18 1 3 44 16 55
12 3 Leeds 23 11 12 1.8 1.0 13 6 4 41 22 45
13 24 Rotherham 22 10 12 0.9 2.0 2 7 13 20 44 13
14 5 West Brom 22 11 11 1.5 1.0 10 6 6 34 22 36
15 10 Watford 22 11 11 1.6 1.2 8 7 7 35 27 31
16 20 Millwall 22 11 11 1.1 1.4 5 7 10 24 31 22
17 23 Sheffield Weds 22 11 11 0.7 1.6 4 4 14 16 35 16
18 13 Cardiff 22 12 10 1.3 1.2 9 3 10 28 27 30
19 18 Birmingham 22 12 10 1.2 1.5 7 5 10 26 32 26
20 21 Huddersfield 22 12 10 1.0 1.6 4 10 8 21 36 22
21 22 QPR 22 12 10 0.9 1.5 5 5 12 20 32 20
22 8 Bristol City 23 14 9 1.1 1.1 9 5 9 26 26 32
23 16 Coventry 22 14 8 1.3 1.1 6 9 7 28 25 27
24 19 Stoke 22 14 8 1.0 1.4 6 5 11 21 30 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 11 1 10 2.9 1.7 9 1 1 32 19 28
2 9 Preston 11 2 9 1.5 2.0 5 2 4 16 22 17
3 17 Plymouth 11 2 9 2.5 1.5 7 1 3 27 16 22
4 3 Leeds 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 8 4 0 26 10 28
5 7 Sunderland 11 3 8 1.8 1.2 7 0 4 20 13 21
6 12 Blackburn 11 3 8 1.4 1.7 5 0 6 15 19 15
7 4 Southampton 11 4 7 2.1 1.3 7 2 2 23 14 23
8 10 Watford 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19
9 15 Swansea 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 15 15 14
10 11 Norwich 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 6 1 4 16 13 19
11 18 Birmingham 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19
12 20 Millwall 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 2 3 6 9 17 9
13 24 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 2 5 4 14 16 11
14 1 Leicester 11 6 5 1.8 0.5 9 0 2 20 6 27
15 5 West Brom 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 6 3 2 18 10 21
16 6 Hull 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 5 4 2 18 10 19
17 8 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.4 1.2 6 2 4 17 14 20
18 21 Huddersfield 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 4 10 18 11
19 22 QPR 10 5 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 5 10 16 9
20 23 Sheffield Weds 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 3 3 5 10 15 12
21 13 Cardiff 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 1 4 16 11 19
22 19 Stoke 11 7 4 0.9 1.2 4 2 5 10 13 14
23 14 Middlesbrough 11 8 3 1.1 1.0 5 1 5 12 11 16
24 16 Coventry 11 9 2 1.2 0.7 4 6 1 13 8 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Norwich 11 1 10 2.1 2.4 3 3 5 23 26 12
2 14 Middlesbrough 11 1 10 2.0 2.1 4 2 5 22 23 14
3 6 Hull 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 5 2 5 18 20 17
4 12 Blackburn 11 2 9 1.7 1.7 5 1 5 19 19 16
5 1 Leicester 11 4 7 2.2 0.9 9 1 1 24 10 28
6 15 Swansea 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 17 17 14
7 4 Southampton 11 5 6 1.3 1.4 5 4 2 14 15 19
8 5 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 4 16 12 15
9 9 Preston 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 4 3 5 13 18 15
10 13 Cardiff 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11
11 16 Coventry 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 2 3 6 15 17 9
12 17 Plymouth 11 5 6 0.6 1.7 0 4 7 7 19 4
13 23 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 0.5 1.8 1 1 9 6 20 4
14 24 Rotherham 11 5 6 0.5 2.5 0 2 9 6 28 2
15 2 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 7 3 2 15 13 24
16 7 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 3 3 5 12 11 12
17 20 Millwall 11 6 5 1.4 1.3 3 4 4 15 14 13
18 21 Huddersfield 11 6 5 1.0 1.6 2 5 4 11 18 11
19 22 QPR 12 7 5 0.8 1.3 3 2 7 10 16 11
20 3 Leeds 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 5 2 4 15 12 17
21 8 Bristol City 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 3 5 9 12 12
22 10 Watford 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 4 12 14 12
23 18 Birmingham 11 7 4 0.8 1.8 2 1 8 9 20 7
24 19 Stoke 11 7 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 17 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40