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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Kitchen

Cardiff 1–0 Millwall

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.18
Draw 3.20 fair 3.97
Away 3.80 fair 3.45
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 2.25 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Millwall
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
11 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (231 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.42scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 27:23
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.11scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:26
Cardiff all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.11
1.21 Goals conceded 1.37
2.63 Total goals 2.47
11.05 Shots 11.95
4.11 Shots on target 3.74
12.00 Shots faced 13.74
4.79 Corners 4.58
5.79 Corners against 5.37
9.42 Fouls 12.89
1.58 Yellow cards 2.16
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

42% Wins 26%
16% Draws 32%
42% Losses 42%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
79% Over 1.5 goals 74%
47% Over 2.5 goals 53%
26% Over 3.5 goals 26%
16% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 42%
32% Clean sheets 32%
26% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 26%
58% Draws 42%
11% Losses 32%
53% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 32%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Millwall all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.67scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:10
Millwall before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.44scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:10
Cardiff at home away Millwall

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.44
1.11 Goals conceded 1.11
2.78 Total goals 2.56
11.22 Shots 9.22
4.33 Shots on target 3.22
9.44 Shots faced 16.44
4.78 Corners 3.44
5.00 Corners against 6.33
8.11 Fouls 12.67
1.22 Yellow cards 2.56
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

56% Wins 33%
11% Draws 44%
33% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
44% Over 2.5 goals 44%
22% Over 3.5 goals 44%
22% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 56%
33% Clean sheets 44%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 22%
56% Draws 56%
11% Losses 22%
56% Over 0.5 goals 67%
22% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
25.11.23 Preston – Cardiff 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.203.00 2.35 1.57
11.11.23 Cardiff – Norwich 2–3 (2–1) 2.003.503.60 1.85 2.00
04.11.23 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Cardiff – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.15 1.67
24.10.23 Huddersfield – Cardiff 0–4 (0–3) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Blackburn – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
03.10.23 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Millwall – Sunderland 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.38 1.98 1.88
29.11.23 Ipswich – Millwall 3–1 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Millwall – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 0–4 (0–2) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65
24.10.23 Millwall – Blackburn 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.502.88 1.88 1.98
21.10.23 Preston – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.203.10 2.30 1.60
07.10.23 Millwall – Hull 2–2 (1–2) 2.303.403.10 2.03 1.83
03.10.23 Plymouth – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.502.80 1.73 2.08

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
11.11.23 Cardiff – Norwich 2–3 (2–1) 2.003.503.60 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Cardiff – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.15 1.67
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Cardiff – Coventry 3–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Cardiff – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.10 1.73
12.08.23 Cardiff – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.73
30.04.23 Cardiff – Huddersfield 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.20 1.67

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.23 Ipswich – Millwall 3–1 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 0–4 (0–2) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65
21.10.23 Preston – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.203.10 2.30 1.60
03.10.23 Plymouth – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.502.80 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Birmingham – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.25 2.38 1.57
20.08.23 Norwich – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 2.03 1.83
05.08.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
28.04.23 Blackpool – Millwall 2–3 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsMillwall wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23E1 Cardiff – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.50 1.53
03.09.22E1 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
12.02.22E1 Millwall – Cardiff 2–1 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.30 1.61
21.08.21E1 Cardiff – Millwall 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.50 1.53

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 19 15 1 3 34 12 +22 46
2 Ipswich 19 14 3 2 41 25 +16 45
3 Leeds 20 12 5 3 36 20 +16 41
4 Southampton 19 11 4 4 31 27 +4 37
5 West Brom 20 9 5 6 31 21 +10 32
6 Sunderland 20 9 3 8 31 23 +8 30
7 Hull 19 8 6 5 29 24 +5 30
8 Blackburn 20 9 1 10 32 33 -1 28
9 Preston 19 8 4 7 24 32 -8 28
10 Watford 19 7 6 6 28 23 +5 27
11 Cardiff 19 8 3 8 27 23 +4 27
12 Middlesbrough 19 8 3 8 31 29 +2 27
13 Norwich 19 8 2 9 34 36 -2 26
14 Coventry 20 6 7 7 26 23 +3 25
15 Bristol City 19 7 4 8 20 21 -1 25
16 Birmingham 20 6 5 9 23 29 -6 23
17 Plymouth 19 6 4 9 31 29 +2 22
18 Swansea 19 5 6 8 26 27 -1 21
19 Millwall 19 5 6 8 21 26 -5 21
20 Stoke 19 6 3 10 19 27 -8 21
21 Huddersfield 19 4 8 7 18 31 -13 20
22 QPR 19 4 4 11 17 30 -13 16
23 Rotherham 19 2 7 10 17 37 -20 13
24 Sheffield Weds 19 2 4 13 12 31 -19 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 10 9 0 1 30 17 +13 27
2 Leeds 10 7 3 0 21 9 +12 24
3 Leicester 9 7 0 2 13 4 +9 21
4 West Brom 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
5 Southampton 10 6 2 2 19 14 +5 20
6 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 24 14 +10 19
7 Birmingham 10 5 4 1 15 9 +6 19
8 Watford 10 5 3 2 21 10 +11 18
9 Sunderland 10 6 0 4 19 13 +6 18
10 Coventry 10 4 5 1 12 7 +5 17
11 Preston 10 5 2 3 15 17 -2 17
12 Cardiff 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
13 Hull 10 4 4 2 15 10 +5 16
14 Middlesbrough 9 5 1 3 11 7 +4 16
15 Norwich 9 5 0 4 13 12 +1 15
16 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 13 12 +1 14
17 Stoke 9 4 1 4 9 11 -2 13
18 Blackburn 10 4 0 6 13 18 -5 12
19 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
20 Swansea 10 2 5 3 12 12 0 11
21 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
22 Sheffield Weds 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
23 Millwall 10 2 2 6 8 16 -8 8
24 QPR 8 1 2 5 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25
2 Ipswich 9 5 3 1 11 8 +3 18
3 Leeds 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
4 Southampton 9 5 2 2 12 13 -1 17
5 Blackburn 10 5 1 4 19 15 +4 16
6 Hull 9 4 2 3 14 14 0 14
7 Millwall 9 3 4 2 13 10 +3 13
8 West Brom 10 3 3 4 14 12 +2 12
9 Sunderland 10 3 3 4 12 10 +2 12
10 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 12 13 -1 11
11 Middlesbrough 10 3 2 5 20 22 -2 11
12 Bristol City 9 3 2 4 7 9 -2 11
13 Norwich 10 3 2 5 21 24 -3 11
14 QPR 11 3 2 6 9 14 -5 11
15 Preston 9 3 2 4 9 15 -6 11
16 Swansea 9 3 1 5 14 15 -1 10
17 Huddersfield 10 2 4 4 10 17 -7 10
18 Watford 9 2 3 4 7 13 -6 9
19 Coventry 10 2 2 6 14 16 -2 8
20 Stoke 10 2 2 6 10 16 -6 8
21 Birmingham 10 1 1 8 8 20 -12 4
22 Plymouth 9 0 3 6 7 15 -8 3
23 Rotherham 10 0 2 8 4 25 -21 2
24 Sheffield Weds 9 0 1 8 4 17 -13 1

Cardiff   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackburn 20 5 15 1.6 1.6 9 1 10 32 33 28
2 13 Norwich 19 5 14 1.8 1.9 8 2 9 34 36 26
3 6 Sunderland 20 7 13 1.6 1.1 9 3 8 31 23 30
4 17 Plymouth 19 6 13 1.6 1.5 6 4 9 31 29 22
5 2 Ipswich 19 7 12 2.2 1.3 14 3 2 41 25 45
6 4 Southampton 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 11 4 4 31 27 37
7 9 Preston 19 7 12 1.3 1.7 8 4 7 24 32 28
8 3 Leeds 20 9 11 1.8 1.0 12 5 3 36 20 41
9 5 West Brom 20 9 11 1.6 1.1 9 5 6 31 21 32
10 7 Hull 19 8 11 1.5 1.3 8 6 5 29 24 30
11 12 Middlesbrough 19 8 11 1.6 1.5 8 3 8 31 29 27
12 18 Swansea 19 8 11 1.4 1.4 5 6 8 26 27 21
13 19 Millwall 19 9 10 1.1 1.4 5 6 8 21 26 21
14 23 Rotherham 19 9 10 0.9 1.9 2 7 10 17 37 13
15 1 Leicester 19 10 9 1.8 0.6 15 1 3 34 12 46
16 10 Watford 19 10 9 1.5 1.2 7 6 6 28 23 27
17 11 Cardiff 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 8 3 8 27 23 27
18 16 Birmingham 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 23 29 23
19 21 Huddersfield 19 10 9 0.9 1.6 4 8 7 18 31 20
20 22 QPR 19 10 9 0.9 1.6 4 4 11 17 30 16
21 24 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 0.6 1.6 2 4 13 12 31 10
22 14 Coventry 20 12 8 1.3 1.1 6 7 7 26 23 25
23 20 Stoke 19 11 8 1.0 1.4 6 3 10 19 27 21
24 15 Bristol City 19 12 7 1.1 1.1 7 4 8 20 21 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 10 1 9 3.0 1.7 9 0 1 30 17 27
2 6 Sunderland 10 2 8 1.9 1.3 6 0 4 19 13 18
3 9 Preston 10 2 8 1.5 1.7 5 2 3 15 17 17
4 17 Plymouth 10 2 8 2.4 1.4 6 1 3 24 14 19
5 3 Leeds 10 3 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 0 21 9 24
6 8 Blackburn 10 3 7 1.3 1.8 4 0 6 13 18 12
7 4 Southampton 10 4 6 1.9 1.4 6 2 2 19 14 20
8 10 Watford 10 4 6 2.1 1.0 5 3 2 21 10 18
9 19 Millwall 10 4 6 0.8 1.6 2 2 6 8 16 8
10 5 West Brom 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
11 13 Norwich 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 5 0 4 13 12 15
12 16 Birmingham 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 5 4 1 15 9 19
13 18 Swansea 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 2 5 3 12 12 11
14 22 QPR 8 3 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 5 8 16 5
15 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
16 7 Hull 10 6 4 1.5 1.0 4 4 2 15 10 16
17 11 Cardiff 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
18 15 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 4 2 4 13 12 14
19 20 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 4 9 11 13
20 21 Huddersfield 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
21 24 Sheffield Weds 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
22 1 Leicester 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 0 2 13 4 21
23 12 Middlesbrough 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 1 3 11 7 16
24 14 Coventry 10 8 2 1.2 0.7 4 5 1 12 7 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 10 1 9 2.0 2.2 3 2 5 20 22 11
2 13 Norwich 10 1 9 2.1 2.4 3 2 5 21 24 11
3 8 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.9 1.5 5 1 4 19 15 16
4 7 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 3 14 14 14
5 1 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25
6 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 5 2 2 12 13 17
7 5 West Brom 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 3 3 4 14 12 12
8 14 Coventry 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 6 14 16 8
9 18 Swansea 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 5 14 15 10
10 6 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.2 1.0 3 3 4 12 10 12
11 11 Cardiff 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 3 2 5 12 13 11
12 17 Plymouth 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 0 3 6 7 15 3
13 21 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 4 4 10 17 10
14 23 Rotherham 10 5 5 0.4 2.5 0 2 8 4 25 2
15 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.4 1.9 0 1 8 4 17 1
16 3 Leeds 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
17 9 Preston 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 4 9 15 11
18 16 Birmingham 10 6 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 8 8 20 4
19 19 Millwall 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 3 4 2 13 10 13
20 20 Stoke 10 6 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 6 10 16 8
21 22 QPR 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 3 2 6 9 14 11
22 2 Ipswich 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 3 1 11 8 18
23 10 Watford 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 2 3 4 7 13 9
24 15 Bristol City 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 3 2 4 7 9 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51