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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Kitchen

Rotherham 1–0 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 5.75 fair 3.04
Draw 4.00 fair 4.27
Away 1.60 fair 2.29
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.58
Over 2.5 1.75 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Rotherham Middlesbrough
3 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 5
0 Corners 11
12 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (278 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.71
Home / Draw / Away
RotherhamDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 1–2 9% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Rotherham before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
0.87scored / match
2.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 20:47
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.52scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 35:34
Rotherham all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

0.87 Goals scored 1.52
2.04 Goals conceded 1.48
2.91 Total goals 3.00
7.39 Shots 13.78
2.30 Shots on target 5.52
16.17 Shots faced 11.04
3.65 Corners 6.22
7.13 Corners against 4.91
10.96 Fouls 11.65
1.96 Yellow cards 1.74
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

9% Wins 43%
30% Draws 13%
61% Losses 43%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
96% Over 1.5 goals 83%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
26% Over 3.5 goals 30%
17% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
61% Both teams scored 52%
9% Clean sheets 26%
35% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

9% Wins 22%
52% Draws 35%
39% Losses 43%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
43% Over 1.5 goals 35%
9% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rotherham all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Rotherham before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.27scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:16
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.27points / match
2.00scored / match
2.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 22:23
Rotherham at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 2.00
1.45 Goals conceded 2.09
2.73 Total goals 4.09
8.18 Shots 14.45
2.73 Shots on target 5.27
15.09 Shots faced 12.00
4.27 Corners 5.55
7.18 Corners against 5.18
9.36 Fouls 11.73
1.64 Yellow cards 2.00
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 1.18

How often Full Time

18% Wins 36%
45% Draws 18%
36% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
55% Over 2.5 goals 91%
18% Over 3.5 goals 55%
0% Over 4.5 goals 45%
0% Over 5.5 goals 18%
82% Both teams scored 82%
9% Clean sheets 9%
9% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%
64% Draws 18%
18% Losses 64%
64% Over 0.5 goals 82%
36% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 36%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rotherham at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Rotherham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Leicester – Rotherham 3–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.44 2.70
16.12.23 Plymouth – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10
12.12.23 Rotherham – West Brom 0–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.70 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
28.11.23 Hull – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.85 2.00
24.11.23 Rotherham – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.67 2.15
11.11.23 Watford – Rotherham 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.50 1.98 1.88
07.11.23 Rotherham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–1) 5.754.501.50 1.73 2.08
04.11.23 Rotherham – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.10 1.70

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.253.30 2.05 1.75
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
13.12.23 Middlesbrough – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
09.12.23 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.702.90 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
28.11.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.605.50 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05

Rotherham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.12.23 Rotherham – West Brom 0–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.70 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
24.11.23 Rotherham – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.67 2.15
07.11.23 Rotherham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–1) 5.754.501.50 1.73 2.08
04.11.23 Rotherham – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.10 1.70
25.10.23 Rotherham – Coventry 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 1.98 1.88
04.10.23 Rotherham – Bristol City 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.03 1.83
23.09.23 Rotherham – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 3.203.402.25 2.20 1.67
02.09.23 Rotherham – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 4.503.801.75 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Rotherham – Leicester 1–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.57 1.83 2.03

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.75 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 4–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Rotherham winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
0.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.05.23E1 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.90
17.09.22E1 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.75 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 23 19 1 3 47 16 +31 58
2 Ipswich 23 16 4 3 47 32 +15 52
3 Leeds 24 13 6 5 42 24 +18 45
4 Southampton 23 13 6 4 38 29 +9 45
5 West Brom 23 10 6 7 34 23 +11 36
6 Hull 23 10 6 7 36 30 +6 36
7 Preston 24 10 5 9 31 41 -10 35
8 Watford 23 9 7 7 37 28 +9 34
9 Norwich 23 10 4 9 41 39 +2 34
10 Sunderland 23 10 3 10 32 27 +5 33
11 Cardiff 23 10 3 10 30 28 +2 33
12 Middlesbrough 23 10 3 10 35 34 +1 33
13 Bristol City 23 9 5 9 26 26 0 32
14 Blackburn 23 10 1 12 35 40 -5 31
15 Coventry 23 7 9 7 31 25 +6 30
16 Swansea 23 7 7 9 32 32 0 28
17 Plymouth 23 7 6 10 37 38 -1 27
18 Birmingham 23 7 6 10 29 35 -6 27
19 Millwall 24 6 8 10 26 31 -5 26
20 Stoke 23 6 6 11 21 30 -9 24
21 Huddersfield 23 4 10 9 21 38 -17 22
22 QPR 24 5 5 14 20 35 -15 20
23 Sheffield Weds 23 4 4 15 17 37 -20 16
24 Rotherham 23 2 7 14 20 47 -27 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 12 10 0 2 23 6 +17 30
2 Leeds 12 8 4 0 26 10 +16 28
3 Ipswich 11 9 1 1 32 19 +13 28
4 Plymouth 12 7 2 3 30 19 +11 23
5 Southampton 11 7 2 2 23 14 +9 23
6 Norwich 12 7 1 4 18 13 +5 22
7 West Brom 11 6 3 2 18 10 +8 21
8 Sunderland 12 7 0 5 20 16 +4 21
9 Bristol City 12 6 2 4 17 14 +3 20
10 Preston 12 6 2 4 18 23 -5 20
11 Watford 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19
12 Hull 11 5 4 2 18 10 +8 19
13 Birmingham 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19
14 Cardiff 11 6 1 4 16 11 +5 19
15 Middlesbrough 12 6 1 5 13 11 +2 19
16 Coventry 11 4 6 1 13 8 +5 18
17 Stoke 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15
18 Blackburn 12 5 0 7 16 21 -5 15
19 Swansea 12 3 5 4 15 15 0 14
20 Millwall 12 3 3 6 11 17 -6 12
21 Sheffield Weds 12 3 3 6 11 17 -6 12
22 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 14 16 -2 11
23 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 10 18 -8 11
24 QPR 11 2 3 6 10 17 -7 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 11 9 1 1 24 10 +14 28
2 Ipswich 12 7 3 2 15 13 +2 24
3 Southampton 12 6 4 2 15 15 0 22
4 Leeds 12 5 2 5 16 14 +2 17
5 Hull 12 5 2 5 18 20 -2 17
6 Blackburn 11 5 1 5 19 19 0 16
7 West Brom 12 4 3 5 16 13 +3 15
8 Watford 11 4 3 4 14 15 -1 15
9 Preston 12 4 3 5 13 18 -5 15
10 Millwall 12 3 5 4 15 14 +1 14
11 Swansea 11 4 2 5 17 17 0 14
12 Middlesbrough 11 4 2 5 22 23 -1 14
13 Cardiff 12 4 2 6 14 17 -3 14
14 Coventry 12 3 3 6 18 17 +1 12
15 Sunderland 11 3 3 5 12 11 +1 12
16 Norwich 11 3 3 5 23 26 -3 12
17 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 9 12 -3 12
18 QPR 13 3 2 8 10 18 -8 11
19 Huddersfield 12 2 5 5 11 20 -9 11
20 Stoke 11 2 3 6 11 17 -6 9
21 Birmingham 12 2 2 8 12 23 -11 8
22 Plymouth 11 0 4 7 7 19 -12 4
23 Sheffield Weds 11 1 1 9 6 20 -14 4
24 Rotherham 12 0 2 10 6 31 -25 2

Rotherham   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Blackburn 23 5 18 1.5 1.7 10 1 12 35 40 31
2 7 Preston 24 8 16 1.3 1.7 10 5 9 31 41 35
3 9 Norwich 23 7 16 1.8 1.7 10 4 9 41 39 34
4 17 Plymouth 23 7 16 1.6 1.7 7 6 10 37 38 27
5 2 Ipswich 23 8 15 2.0 1.4 16 4 3 47 32 52
6 6 Hull 23 9 14 1.6 1.3 10 6 7 36 30 36
7 10 Sunderland 23 9 14 1.4 1.2 10 3 10 32 27 33
8 16 Swansea 23 9 14 1.4 1.4 7 7 9 32 32 28
9 1 Leicester 23 10 13 2.0 0.7 19 1 3 47 16 58
10 3 Leeds 24 11 13 1.8 1.0 13 6 5 42 24 45
11 4 Southampton 23 10 13 1.7 1.3 13 6 4 38 29 45
12 12 Middlesbrough 23 10 13 1.5 1.5 10 3 10 35 34 33
13 24 Rotherham 23 10 13 0.9 2.0 2 7 14 20 47 13
14 8 Watford 23 11 12 1.6 1.2 9 7 7 37 28 34
15 23 Sheffield Weds 23 11 12 0.7 1.6 4 4 15 17 37 16
16 5 West Brom 23 12 11 1.5 1.0 10 6 7 34 23 36
17 11 Cardiff 23 12 11 1.3 1.2 10 3 10 30 28 33
18 18 Birmingham 23 12 11 1.3 1.5 7 6 10 29 35 27
19 19 Millwall 24 13 11 1.1 1.3 6 8 10 26 31 26
20 21 Huddersfield 23 13 10 0.9 1.7 4 10 9 21 38 22
21 22 QPR 24 14 10 0.8 1.5 5 5 14 20 35 20
22 13 Bristol City 23 14 9 1.1 1.1 9 5 9 26 26 32
23 15 Coventry 23 14 9 1.3 1.1 7 9 7 31 25 30
24 20 Stoke 23 15 8 0.9 1.3 6 6 11 21 30 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 11 1 10 2.9 1.7 9 1 1 32 19 28
2 7 Preston 12 2 10 1.5 1.9 6 2 4 18 23 20
3 17 Plymouth 12 2 10 2.5 1.6 7 2 3 30 19 23
4 10 Sunderland 12 3 9 1.7 1.3 7 0 5 20 16 21
5 14 Blackburn 12 3 9 1.3 1.8 5 0 7 16 21 15
6 3 Leeds 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 8 4 0 26 10 28
7 4 Southampton 11 4 7 2.1 1.3 7 2 2 23 14 23
8 8 Watford 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19
9 16 Swansea 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 15 15 14
10 1 Leicester 12 6 6 1.9 0.5 10 0 2 23 6 30
11 9 Norwich 12 6 6 1.5 1.1 7 1 4 18 13 22
12 18 Birmingham 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19
13 19 Millwall 12 6 6 0.9 1.4 3 3 6 11 17 12
14 23 Sheffield Weds 12 6 6 0.9 1.4 3 3 6 11 17 12
15 24 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 2 5 4 14 16 11
16 5 West Brom 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 6 3 2 18 10 21
17 6 Hull 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 5 4 2 18 10 19
18 13 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.4 1.2 6 2 4 17 14 20
19 21 Huddersfield 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 4 10 18 11
20 22 QPR 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 3 6 10 17 9
21 11 Cardiff 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 1 4 16 11 19
22 20 Stoke 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15
23 12 Middlesbrough 12 9 3 1.1 0.9 6 1 5 13 11 19
24 15 Coventry 11 9 2 1.2 0.7 4 6 1 13 8 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Norwich 11 1 10 2.1 2.4 3 3 5 23 26 12
2 12 Middlesbrough 11 1 10 2.0 2.1 4 2 5 22 23 14
3 6 Hull 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 5 2 5 18 20 17
4 14 Blackburn 11 2 9 1.7 1.7 5 1 5 19 19 16
5 1 Leicester 11 4 7 2.2 0.9 9 1 1 24 10 28
6 11 Cardiff 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 14 17 14
7 15 Coventry 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 3 3 6 18 17 12
8 16 Swansea 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 17 17 14
9 24 Rotherham 12 5 7 0.5 2.6 0 2 10 6 31 2
10 4 Southampton 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 6 4 2 15 15 22
11 5 West Brom 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 4 3 5 16 13 15
12 7 Preston 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 4 3 5 13 18 15
13 17 Plymouth 11 5 6 0.6 1.7 0 4 7 7 19 4
14 23 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 0.5 1.8 1 1 9 6 20 4
15 2 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 7 3 2 15 13 24
16 3 Leeds 12 7 5 1.3 1.2 5 2 5 16 14 17
17 8 Watford 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 4 3 4 14 15 15
18 10 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 3 3 5 12 11 12
19 18 Birmingham 12 7 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 8 12 23 8
20 19 Millwall 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 15 14 14
21 21 Huddersfield 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 2 5 5 11 20 11
22 22 QPR 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 2 8 10 18 11
23 13 Bristol City 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 3 5 9 12 12
24 20 Stoke 11 7 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 17 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40