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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Nield

Bristol City 0–1 Millwall

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.05 fair 2.29
Draw 3.40 fair 3.74
Away ✓ 3.60 fair 3.38
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bristol City Millwall
5 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 5
5 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (301 league matches this season so far).
Result Bristol City to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.6% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.20scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 30:27
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
1.08scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 27:31
Bristol City all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.08
1.08 Goals conceded 1.24
2.28 Total goals 2.32
11.92 Shots 11.44
3.52 Shots on target 3.84
11.92 Shots faced 13.32
5.28 Corners 4.08
5.24 Corners against 5.48
10.08 Fouls 13.20
1.52 Yellow cards 2.28
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

40% Wins 28%
24% Draws 32%
36% Losses 40%
88% Over 0.5 goals 92%
60% Over 1.5 goals 68%
40% Over 2.5 goals 44%
20% Over 3.5 goals 24%
20% Over 4.5 goals 4%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
52% Both teams scored 40%
28% Clean sheets 36%
32% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 32%
40% Draws 44%
32% Losses 24%
64% Over 0.5 goals 68%
24% Over 1.5 goals 24%
12% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches
Millwall all matches
Bristol City before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.42scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:14
Millwall before this match, away
1.17points / match
1.25scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:14
Bristol City at home away Millwall

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.25
1.17 Goals conceded 1.17
2.58 Total goals 2.42
12.83 Shots 8.83
4.33 Shots on target 3.25
12.33 Shots faced 15.75
5.92 Corners 3.08
6.17 Corners against 6.42
10.00 Fouls 13.33
1.58 Yellow cards 2.67
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
17% Draws 42%
33% Losses 33%
92% Over 0.5 goals 83%
58% Over 1.5 goals 67%
42% Over 2.5 goals 42%
33% Over 3.5 goals 42%
33% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 42%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 58%
25% Losses 17%
75% Over 0.5 goals 58%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
25% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 Birmingham – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Watford – Bristol City 1–4 (0–2) 1.953.404.20 2.10 1.70
22.12.23 Bristol City – Hull 3–2 (1–2) 2.703.302.63 2.15 1.67
16.12.23 Bristol City – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.25 2.03 1.83
12.12.23 Blackburn – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.08
09.12.23 Huddersfield – Bristol City 1–1 (1–0) 3.203.102.38 2.35 1.57
03.12.23 Bristol City – Norwich 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.83 2.03
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.63 2.10 1.70

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 Millwall – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Millwall – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.75 2.35 1.57
23.12.23 Stoke – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 2.10 1.70
16.12.23 Millwall – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.20 1.65
13.12.23 Leicester – Millwall 3–2 (0–1) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.08
09.12.23 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.25 1.62
02.12.23 Millwall – Sunderland 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.38 1.98 1.88
29.11.23 Ipswich – Millwall 3–1 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Millwall – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 0–4 (0–2) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53

Bristol City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.23 Bristol City – Hull 3–2 (1–2) 2.703.302.63 2.15 1.67
16.12.23 Bristol City – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.25 2.03 1.83
03.12.23 Bristol City – Norwich 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.83 2.03
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
04.11.23 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.15 1.67
25.10.23 Bristol City – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Bristol City – Coventry 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.402.90 2.00 1.85
30.09.23 Bristol City – Stoke 2–3 (2–1) 2.303.253.20 2.03 1.83
19.09.23 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–1 (3–1) 1.753.804.33 1.62 2.30
16.09.23 Bristol City – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.98 1.88

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Stoke – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 2.10 1.70
13.12.23 Leicester – Millwall 3–2 (0–1) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.08
09.12.23 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.25 1.62
29.11.23 Ipswich – Millwall 3–1 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 0–4 (0–2) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65
21.10.23 Preston – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.203.10 2.30 1.60
03.10.23 Plymouth – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.502.80 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Birmingham – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.25 2.38 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bristol City winsDrawsMillwall wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.08.23E1 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
29.12.22E1 Millwall – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.05 1.80
15.10.22E1 Bristol City – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.05 1.80
02.01.22E1 Bristol City – Millwall 3–2 (1–2) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.61
29.09.21E1 Millwall – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 25 20 2 3 50 17 +33 62
2 Ipswich 25 16 6 3 48 33 +15 54
3 Southampton 25 15 6 4 45 30 +15 51
4 Leeds 25 13 6 6 42 25 +17 45
5 West Brom 25 12 6 7 36 23 +13 42
6 Sunderland 26 12 4 10 36 28 +8 40
7 Hull 25 11 6 8 39 33 +6 39
8 Bristol City 25 10 6 9 30 27 +3 36
9 Middlesbrough 25 11 3 11 37 36 +1 36
10 Watford 25 9 8 8 39 33 +6 35
11 Preston 26 10 5 11 31 44 -13 35
12 Coventry 25 8 10 7 35 27 +8 34
13 Norwich 25 10 4 11 41 41 0 34
14 Cardiff 25 10 4 11 32 32 0 34
15 Blackburn 25 10 1 14 37 46 -9 31
16 Millwall 25 7 8 10 27 31 -4 29
17 Swansea 25 7 8 10 34 39 -5 29
18 Plymouth 25 7 7 11 40 42 -2 28
19 Stoke 25 7 7 11 25 32 -7 28
20 Birmingham 25 7 7 11 30 38 -8 28
21 Huddersfield 25 5 10 10 25 40 -15 25
22 QPR 25 5 6 14 20 35 -15 21
23 Sheffield Weds 25 5 4 16 18 39 -21 19
24 Rotherham 25 3 8 14 22 48 -26 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 12 10 0 2 23 6 +17 30
2 Ipswich 13 9 3 1 33 20 +13 30
3 Southampton 13 9 2 2 30 15 +15 29
4 Leeds 12 8 4 0 26 10 +16 28
5 West Brom 13 8 3 2 20 10 +10 27
6 Sunderland 13 8 0 5 22 16 +6 24
7 Plymouth 12 7 2 3 30 19 +11 23
8 Hull 13 6 4 3 21 13 +8 22
9 Coventry 13 5 7 1 17 10 +7 22
10 Norwich 12 7 1 4 18 13 +5 22
11 Watford 14 5 5 4 25 18 +7 20
12 Birmingham 13 5 5 3 18 15 +3 20
13 Cardiff 13 6 2 5 18 15 +3 20
14 Bristol City 12 6 2 4 17 14 +3 20
15 Preston 13 6 2 5 18 24 -6 20
16 Middlesbrough 12 6 1 5 13 11 +2 19
17 Rotherham 13 3 6 4 16 17 -1 15
18 Stoke 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15
19 Blackburn 12 5 0 7 16 21 -5 15
20 Millwall 13 4 3 6 12 17 -5 15
21 Swansea 12 3 5 4 15 15 0 14
22 Huddersfield 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
23 Sheffield Weds 12 3 3 6 11 17 -6 12
24 QPR 11 2 3 6 10 17 -7 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 13 10 2 1 27 11 +16 32
2 Ipswich 12 7 3 2 15 13 +2 24
3 Southampton 12 6 4 2 15 15 0 22
4 Leeds 13 5 2 6 16 15 +1 17
5 Middlesbrough 13 5 2 6 24 25 -1 17
6 Hull 12 5 2 5 18 20 -2 17
7 Sunderland 13 4 4 5 14 12 +2 16
8 Bristol City 13 4 4 5 13 13 0 16
9 Blackburn 13 5 1 7 21 25 -4 16
10 West Brom 12 4 3 5 16 13 +3 15
11 Watford 11 4 3 4 14 15 -1 15
12 Swansea 13 4 3 6 19 24 -5 15
13 Preston 13 4 3 6 13 20 -7 15
14 Millwall 12 3 5 4 15 14 +1 14
15 Cardiff 12 4 2 6 14 17 -3 14
16 Stoke 13 3 4 6 15 19 -4 13
17 Coventry 12 3 3 6 18 17 +1 12
18 Norwich 13 3 3 7 23 28 -5 12
19 QPR 14 3 3 8 10 18 -8 12
20 Huddersfield 12 2 5 5 11 20 -9 11
21 Birmingham 12 2 2 8 12 23 -11 8
22 Sheffield Weds 13 2 1 10 7 22 -15 7
23 Plymouth 13 0 5 8 10 23 -13 5
24 Rotherham 12 0 2 10 6 31 -25 2

Bristol City   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Blackburn 25 5 20 1.5 1.8 10 1 14 37 46 31
2 18 Plymouth 25 7 18 1.6 1.7 7 7 11 40 42 28
3 11 Preston 26 10 16 1.2 1.7 10 5 11 31 44 35
4 13 Norwich 25 9 16 1.6 1.6 10 4 11 41 41 34
5 17 Swansea 25 9 16 1.4 1.6 7 8 10 34 39 29
6 2 Ipswich 25 10 15 1.9 1.3 16 6 3 48 33 54
7 3 Southampton 25 10 15 1.8 1.2 15 6 4 45 30 51
8 7 Hull 25 10 15 1.6 1.3 11 6 8 39 33 39
9 6 Sunderland 26 12 14 1.4 1.1 12 4 10 36 28 40
10 9 Middlesbrough 25 11 14 1.5 1.4 11 3 11 37 36 36
11 1 Leicester 25 12 13 2.0 0.7 20 2 3 50 17 62
12 4 Leeds 25 12 13 1.7 1.0 13 6 6 42 25 45
13 10 Watford 25 12 13 1.6 1.3 9 8 8 39 33 35
14 24 Rotherham 25 12 13 0.9 1.9 3 8 14 22 48 17
15 14 Cardiff 25 13 12 1.3 1.3 10 4 11 32 32 34
16 20 Birmingham 25 13 12 1.2 1.5 7 7 11 30 38 28
17 21 Huddersfield 25 13 12 1.0 1.6 5 10 10 25 40 25
18 23 Sheffield Weds 25 13 12 0.7 1.6 5 4 16 18 39 19
19 5 West Brom 25 14 11 1.4 0.9 12 6 7 36 23 42
20 16 Millwall 25 14 11 1.1 1.2 7 8 10 27 31 29
21 8 Bristol City 25 15 10 1.2 1.1 10 6 9 30 27 36
22 12 Coventry 25 15 10 1.4 1.1 8 10 7 35 27 34
23 22 QPR 25 15 10 0.8 1.4 5 6 14 20 35 21
24 19 Stoke 25 16 9 1.0 1.3 7 7 11 25 32 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 13 3 10 2.5 1.5 9 3 1 33 20 30
2 11 Preston 13 3 10 1.4 1.8 6 2 5 18 24 20
3 18 Plymouth 12 2 10 2.5 1.6 7 2 3 30 19 23
4 3 Southampton 13 4 9 2.3 1.2 9 2 2 30 15 29
5 6 Sunderland 13 4 9 1.7 1.2 8 0 5 22 16 24
6 15 Blackburn 12 3 9 1.3 1.8 5 0 7 16 21 15
7 4 Leeds 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 8 4 0 26 10 28
8 10 Watford 14 6 8 1.8 1.3 5 5 4 25 18 20
9 17 Swansea 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 15 15 14
10 20 Birmingham 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 3 18 15 20
11 21 Huddersfield 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
12 1 Leicester 12 6 6 1.9 0.5 10 0 2 23 6 30
13 7 Hull 13 7 6 1.6 1.0 6 4 3 21 13 22
14 13 Norwich 12 6 6 1.5 1.1 7 1 4 18 13 22
15 16 Millwall 13 7 6 0.9 1.3 4 3 6 12 17 15
16 23 Sheffield Weds 12 6 6 0.9 1.4 3 3 6 11 17 12
17 24 Rotherham 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 3 6 4 16 17 15
18 5 West Brom 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 8 3 2 20 10 27
19 8 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.4 1.2 6 2 4 17 14 20
20 14 Cardiff 13 8 5 1.4 1.2 6 2 5 18 15 20
21 22 QPR 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 3 6 10 17 9
22 19 Stoke 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15
23 9 Middlesbrough 12 9 3 1.1 0.9 6 1 5 13 11 19
24 12 Coventry 13 10 3 1.3 0.8 5 7 1 17 10 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Middlesbrough 13 2 11 1.8 1.9 5 2 6 24 25 17
2 15 Blackburn 13 2 11 1.6 1.9 5 1 7 21 25 16
3 13 Norwich 13 3 10 1.8 2.2 3 3 7 23 28 12
4 7 Hull 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 5 2 5 18 20 17
5 17 Swansea 13 4 9 1.5 1.8 4 3 6 19 24 15
6 18 Plymouth 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 0 5 8 10 23 5
7 1 Leicester 13 6 7 2.1 0.8 10 2 1 27 11 32
8 12 Coventry 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 3 3 6 18 17 12
9 14 Cardiff 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 14 17 14
10 24 Rotherham 12 5 7 0.5 2.6 0 2 10 6 31 2
11 3 Southampton 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 6 4 2 15 15 22
12 5 West Brom 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 4 3 5 16 13 15
13 11 Preston 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 20 15
14 23 Sheffield Weds 13 7 6 0.5 1.7 2 1 10 7 22 7
15 2 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 7 3 2 15 13 24
16 4 Leeds 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 5 2 6 16 15 17
17 6 Sunderland 13 8 5 1.1 0.9 4 4 5 14 12 16
18 8 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.0 1.0 4 4 5 13 13 16
19 10 Watford 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 4 3 4 14 15 15
20 16 Millwall 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 15 14 14
21 19 Stoke 13 8 5 1.2 1.5 3 4 6 15 19 13
22 20 Birmingham 12 7 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 8 12 23 8
23 21 Huddersfield 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 2 5 5 11 20 11
24 22 QPR 14 9 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 8 10 18 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51