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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Linington

Millwall 1–1 Sunderland

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.00 fair 2.95
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.85
Away 2.38 fair 2.49
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Sunderland
7 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 4
14 Fouls 12
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (218 league matches this season so far).
Result Sunderland to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawSunderland
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 0–1 9.8% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.11scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:25
Sunderland before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.56scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:21
Millwall all matches all matches Sunderland

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.56
1.39 Goals conceded 1.17
2.50 Total goals 2.72
12.22 Shots 16.89
3.72 Shots on target 5.33
13.94 Shots faced 10.89
4.61 Corners 7.00
5.44 Corners against 4.00
12.83 Fouls 9.39
2.00 Yellow cards 2.11
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

28% Wins 44%
28% Draws 11%
44% Losses 44%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
72% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 67%
28% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
39% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 28%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 28%
44% Draws 56%
33% Losses 17%
72% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 61%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Sunderland all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
0.78points / match
0.78scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:15
Sunderland before this match, away
1.22points / match
1.22scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:9
Millwall at home away Sunderland

Per match

0.78 Goals scored 1.22
1.67 Goals conceded 1.00
2.44 Total goals 2.22
15.22 Shots 17.22
4.22 Shots on target 4.67
11.44 Shots faced 10.56
5.78 Corners 7.22
4.56 Corners against 4.00
13.00 Fouls 7.78
1.44 Yellow cards 2.11
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

22% Wins 33%
11% Draws 22%
67% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 78%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 56%
11% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
22% Both teams scored 44%
22% Clean sheets 33%
56% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 22%
33% Draws 56%
44% Losses 22%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 67%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Sunderland away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.23 Ipswich – Millwall 3–1 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Millwall – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 0–4 (0–2) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65
24.10.23 Millwall – Blackburn 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.502.88 1.88 1.98
21.10.23 Preston – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.203.10 2.30 1.60
07.10.23 Millwall – Hull 2–2 (1–2) 2.303.403.10 2.03 1.83
03.10.23 Plymouth – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.502.80 1.73 2.08
30.09.23 Millwall – Swansea 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.08 1.73

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.23 Sunderland – Huddersfield 1–2 (1–1) 1.574.335.50 1.73 2.08
25.11.23 Plymouth – Sunderland 2–0 (2–0) 3.403.752.00 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.50 1.85 2.00
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Sunderland – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.67 2.15
24.10.23 Leicester – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
29.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Sunderland 0–3 (0–3) 3.203.402.25 1.90 1.95

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Millwall – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 2.10 1.70
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Millwall – Blackburn 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.502.88 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Millwall – Hull 2–2 (1–2) 2.303.403.10 2.03 1.83
30.09.23 Millwall – Swansea 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.08 1.73
20.09.23 Millwall – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.03 1.83
17.09.23 Millwall – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.38 2.00 1.80
26.08.23 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
12.08.23 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
08.05.23 Millwall – Blackburn 3–4 (3–1) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95

Sunderland away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Plymouth – Sunderland 2–0 (2–0) 3.403.752.00 1.53 2.40
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
24.10.23 Leicester – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
29.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Sunderland 0–3 (0–3) 3.203.402.25 1.90 1.95
20.09.23 Blackburn – Sunderland 1–3 (1–2) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 QPR – Sunderland 1–3 (1–1) 3.103.502.25 1.85 2.00
26.08.23 Coventry – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.50 1.88 1.98
12.08.23 Preston – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.402.60 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Preston – Sunderland 0–3 (0–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsSunderland wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23E1 Millwall – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.20 1.67
03.12.22E1 Sunderland – Millwall 3–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.87 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 19 15 1 3 34 12 +22 46
2 Ipswich 18 13 3 2 39 24 +15 42
3 Leeds 18 10 5 3 31 18 +13 35
4 Southampton 18 10 4 4 29 27 +2 34
5 West Brom 19 9 5 5 30 19 +11 32
6 Hull 18 8 6 4 28 22 +6 30
7 Blackburn 18 9 1 8 31 28 +3 28
8 Preston 19 8 4 7 24 32 -8 28
9 Cardiff 18 8 3 7 27 21 +6 27
10 Middlesbrough 18 8 3 7 29 26 +3 27
11 Sunderland 18 8 2 8 28 21 +7 26
12 Bristol City 18 7 4 7 19 19 0 25
13 Watford 18 6 6 6 26 22 +4 24
14 Norwich 18 7 2 9 32 35 -3 23
15 Coventry 18 5 7 6 23 21 +2 22
16 Birmingham 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
17 Stoke 18 6 3 9 18 25 -7 21
18 Swansea 18 5 5 8 25 26 -1 20
19 Millwall 18 5 5 8 20 25 -5 20
20 Plymouth 18 5 4 9 29 28 +1 19
21 Huddersfield 18 4 7 7 17 30 -13 19
22 QPR 19 4 4 11 17 30 -13 16
23 Rotherham 18 2 6 10 17 37 -20 12
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 4 13 9 30 -21 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 9 8 0 1 28 16 +12 24
2 Leeds 9 6 3 0 18 7 +11 21
3 Leicester 9 7 0 2 13 4 +9 21
4 West Brom 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
5 Watford 10 5 3 2 21 10 +11 18
6 Birmingham 9 5 3 1 15 9 +6 18
7 Southampton 9 5 2 2 17 14 +3 17
8 Preston 10 5 2 3 15 17 -2 17
9 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 22 13 +9 16
10 Hull 9 4 4 1 14 8 +6 16
11 Cardiff 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
12 Middlesbrough 9 5 1 3 11 7 +4 16
13 Sunderland 9 5 0 4 17 12 +5 15
14 Norwich 9 5 0 4 13 12 +1 15
15 Coventry 9 3 5 1 10 7 +3 14
16 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
17 Stoke 9 4 1 4 9 11 -2 13
18 Blackburn 9 4 0 5 13 16 -3 12
19 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
20 Swansea 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
21 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
22 Millwall 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
23 Sheffield Weds 9 1 3 5 5 13 -8 6
24 QPR 8 1 2 5 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25
2 Ipswich 9 5 3 1 11 8 +3 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 12 13 -1 17
4 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 18 12 +6 16
5 Leeds 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
6 Hull 9 4 2 3 14 14 0 14
7 Millwall 9 3 4 2 13 10 +3 13
8 West Brom 9 3 3 3 13 10 +3 12
9 Sunderland 9 3 2 4 11 9 +2 11
10 Cardiff 9 3 2 4 12 11 +1 11
11 Middlesbrough 9 3 2 4 18 19 -1 11
12 Bristol City 9 3 2 4 7 9 -2 11
13 QPR 11 3 2 6 9 14 -5 11
14 Preston 9 3 2 4 9 15 -6 11
15 Swansea 9 3 1 5 14 15 -1 10
16 Huddersfield 9 2 3 4 9 16 -7 9
17 Coventry 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
18 Norwich 9 2 2 5 19 23 -4 8
19 Stoke 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
20 Watford 8 1 3 4 5 12 -7 6
21 Birmingham 9 1 1 7 8 18 -10 4
22 Plymouth 9 0 3 6 7 15 -8 3
23 Sheffield Weds 9 0 1 8 4 17 -13 1
24 Rotherham 9 0 1 8 4 25 -21 1

Millwall   Sunderland

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Blackburn 18 4 14 1.7 1.6 9 1 8 31 28 28
2 14 Norwich 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 7 2 9 32 35 23
3 4 Southampton 18 6 12 1.6 1.5 10 4 4 29 27 34
4 8 Preston 19 7 12 1.3 1.7 8 4 7 24 32 28
5 11 Sunderland 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 8 2 8 28 21 26
6 20 Plymouth 18 6 12 1.6 1.6 5 4 9 29 28 19
7 2 Ipswich 18 7 11 2.2 1.3 13 3 2 39 24 42
8 18 Swansea 18 7 11 1.4 1.4 5 5 8 25 26 20
9 3 Leeds 18 8 10 1.7 1.0 10 5 3 31 18 35
10 5 West Brom 19 9 10 1.6 1.0 9 5 5 30 19 32
11 6 Hull 18 8 10 1.6 1.2 8 6 4 28 22 30
12 10 Middlesbrough 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 8 3 7 29 26 27
13 19 Millwall 18 8 10 1.1 1.4 5 5 8 20 25 20
14 23 Rotherham 18 8 10 0.9 2.1 2 6 10 17 37 12
15 1 Leicester 19 10 9 1.8 0.6 15 1 3 34 12 46
16 9 Cardiff 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 8 3 7 27 21 27
17 16 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 23 27 22
18 21 Huddersfield 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 7 7 17 30 19
19 22 QPR 19 10 9 0.9 1.6 4 4 11 17 30 16
20 13 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 6 6 6 26 22 24
21 24 Sheffield Weds 18 10 8 0.5 1.7 1 4 13 9 30 7
22 15 Coventry 18 11 7 1.3 1.2 5 7 6 23 21 22
23 17 Stoke 18 11 7 1.0 1.4 6 3 9 18 25 21
24 12 Bristol City 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 7 19 19 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 9 1 8 3.1 1.8 8 0 1 28 16 24
2 8 Preston 10 2 8 1.5 1.7 5 2 3 15 17 17
3 7 Blackburn 9 2 7 1.4 1.8 4 0 5 13 16 12
4 11 Sunderland 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 5 0 4 17 12 15
5 20 Plymouth 9 2 7 2.4 1.4 5 1 3 22 13 16
6 3 Leeds 9 3 6 2.0 0.8 6 3 0 18 7 21
7 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.9 1.6 5 2 2 17 14 17
8 13 Watford 10 4 6 2.1 1.0 5 3 2 21 10 18
9 19 Millwall 9 3 6 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
10 5 West Brom 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
11 14 Norwich 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 5 0 4 13 12 15
12 16 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 1 15 9 18
13 18 Swansea 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
14 22 QPR 8 3 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 5 8 16 5
15 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
16 9 Cardiff 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
17 17 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 4 9 11 13
18 21 Huddersfield 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
19 1 Leicester 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 0 2 13 4 21
20 6 Hull 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 4 4 1 14 8 16
21 12 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
22 24 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 0.6 1.4 1 3 5 5 13 6
23 10 Middlesbrough 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 1 3 11 7 16
24 15 Coventry 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 3 5 1 10 7 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Middlesbrough 9 1 8 2.0 2.1 3 2 4 18 19 11
2 14 Norwich 9 1 8 2.1 2.6 2 2 5 19 23 8
3 6 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 3 14 14 14
4 7 Blackburn 9 2 7 2.0 1.3 5 1 3 18 12 16
5 1 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25
6 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 5 2 2 12 13 17
7 18 Swansea 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 5 14 15 10
8 5 West Brom 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 3 3 3 13 10 12
9 9 Cardiff 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 2 4 12 11 11
10 11 Sunderland 9 4 5 1.2 1.0 3 2 4 11 9 11
11 15 Coventry 9 4 5 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
12 20 Plymouth 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 0 3 6 7 15 3
13 21 Huddersfield 9 4 5 1.0 1.8 2 3 4 9 16 9
14 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 0.4 2.8 0 1 8 4 25 1
15 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.4 1.9 0 1 8 4 17 1
16 3 Leeds 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
17 8 Preston 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 4 9 15 11
18 16 Birmingham 9 5 4 0.9 2.0 1 1 7 8 18 4
19 19 Millwall 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 3 4 2 13 10 13
20 22 QPR 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 3 2 6 9 14 11
21 2 Ipswich 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 3 1 11 8 18
22 12 Bristol City 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 3 2 4 7 9 11
23 17 Stoke 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
24 13 Watford 8 6 2 0.6 1.5 1 3 4 5 12 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51