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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.75 fair 3.19
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 4.20
Away 2.45 fair 2.23
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 2.41
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Rio Ave Estrela
11 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 6
1.24 Expected goals (xG) 1.87
4 Corners 5
16 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (50 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.67
Home / Draw / Away
Rio AveDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Rio Ave before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
0.40scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 2:11
Estrela before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
2.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:9
Rio Ave all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

0.40 Goals scored 2.20
2.20 Goals conceded 1.80
2.60 Total goals 4.00
0.47 xG created 1.18
1.63 xG allowed 1.53
6.60 Shots 11.20
1.80 Shots on target 4.80
15.00 Shots faced 12.40
3.00 Corners 3.60
5.60 Corners against 4.80
8.00 Fouls 11.40
1.20 Yellow cards 2.40
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 40%
0% Draws 60%
80% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
40% Over 2.5 goals 100%
40% Over 3.5 goals 80%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 100%
20% Clean sheets 0%
80% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
20% Draws 80%
60% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave all matches
Estrela all matches
Rio Ave before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 0:6
Estrela before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:4
Rio Ave at home away Estrela

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 2.50
3.00 Goals conceded 2.00
3.00 Total goals 4.50
0.52 xG created 1.70
1.82 xG allowed 1.30
9.50 Shots 12.00
0.50 Shots on target 5.50
14.00 Shots faced 12.00
4.00 Corners 1.50
4.50 Corners against 3.00
4.00 Fouls 10.50
0.50 Yellow cards 2.50
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
2.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.09.26 Santa Clara – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.404.75 2.20 1.65
28.08.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–4 (0–4) 8.505.501.27 1.60 2.30
22.08.26 Estoril – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–1) 1.863.504.00 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Rio Ave – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 7.504.501.39 1.83 2.03
09.08.26 Gil Vicente – Rio Ave 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 1.98 1.88
16.05.26 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.83 2.03
11.05.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–2) 10.005.501.24 1.40 2.88
03.05.26 Rio Ave – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 3.803.501.91 1.95 1.90
25.04.26 Guimaraes – Rio Ave 2–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.75 1.83 2.03
17.04.26 Rio Ave – AVS 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.704.75 1.98 1.88

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.09.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.601.71 2.00 1.80
05.09.26 Estrela – Famalicao 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.35 2.15 1.67
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Alverca – Estrela 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.40 2.15 1.67
08.08.26 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (0–0) 12.005.751.22 1.53 2.40
16.05.26 Sp Braga – Estrela 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.75 2.05
11.05.26 Estrela – Famalicao 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.601.96 1.85 1.95
02.05.26 Moreirense – Estrela 3–2 (1–2) 2.503.102.85 2.20 1.65
26.04.26 Estrela – Porto 1–2 (0–2) 8.005.251.33 1.83 2.03
19.04.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 1.93 1.93

Rio Ave at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.08.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–4 (0–4) 8.505.501.27 1.60 2.30
15.08.26 Rio Ave – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 7.504.501.39 1.83 2.03
11.05.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–2) 10.005.501.24 1.40 2.88
03.05.26 Rio Ave – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 3.803.501.91 1.95 1.90
17.04.26 Rio Ave – AVS 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.704.75 1.98 1.88
04.04.26 Rio Ave – Alverca 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
15.03.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
01.03.26 Rio Ave – Famalicao 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.81 1.93 1.93
16.02.26 Rio Ave – Moreirense 1–2 (1–1) 2.823.202.45 2.20 1.65
31.01.26 Rio Ave – Arouca 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.05 1.80

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Alverca – Estrela 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.40 2.15 1.67
16.05.26 Sp Braga – Estrela 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.75 2.05
02.05.26 Moreirense – Estrela 3–2 (1–2) 2.503.102.85 2.20 1.65
19.04.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 1.93 1.93
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
15.03.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65
14.02.26 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–1 (0–1) 1.623.505.50 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Rio Ave winsDrawsEstrela wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
25.10.25P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67
05.05.25P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 2.353.303.00 2.08 1.73
23.12.24P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
14.04.24P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57
02.12.23P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 15 2 +13 18 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 6 5 1 0 21 4 +17 16 DWWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 6 4 2 0 15 6 +9 14 DWWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14 DWWDWW
5 Arouca 6 3 1 2 8 5 +3 10 WWLWDL
6 Estrela 5 2 3 0 11 9 +2 9 DDWDW
7 Academico Viseu 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8 DLDLWW
8 Sp Braga 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7 DWWL
9 Gil Vicente 5 2 1 2 4 4 0 7 WWDLL
10 Maritimo 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7 WWDLL
11 Alverca 6 1 2 3 8 11 -3 5 LDLDLW
12 Famalicao 6 0 4 2 5 7 -2 4 DLLDDD
13 Guimaraes 6 1 1 4 4 7 -3 4 LLWLDL
14 Nacional 6 1 1 4 7 11 -4 4 DWLLLL
15 Moreirense 5 1 1 3 4 12 -8 4 DLWLL
16 Rio Ave 5 1 0 4 2 11 -9 3 LLWLL
17 Estoril 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2 DLLLD
18 Casa Pia 6 0 1 5 1 15 -14 1 LLLLDL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 8 3 +5 9 WWW
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9 WWW
3 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7 DWW
4 Benfica 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7 DWW
5 Arouca 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6 WWL
6 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 3 1 +2 6 WWL
7 Estrela 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5 DDW
8 Guimaraes 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4 LWD
9 Maritimo 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4 WDL
10 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
11 Nacional 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3 WLL
12 Academico Viseu 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3 LLW
13 Alverca 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2 DDL
14 Famalicao 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2 LDD
15 Estoril 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2 DLD
16 Moreirense 2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1 DL
17 Rio Ave 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0 LL
18 Casa Pia 3 0 0 3 1 12 -11 0 LLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 14 0 +14 9 WWW
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 9 1 +8 9 WWW
3 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7 WDW
4 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 0 7 3 +4 5 DWD
5 Academico Viseu 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5 DDW
6 Estrela 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4 DW
7 Sp Braga 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4 DWL
8 Arouca 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4 WLD
9 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3 WL
10 Alverca 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3 LLW
11 Rio Ave 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3 LWL
12 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 3 LWL
13 Famalicao 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2 DLD
14 Gil Vicente 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1 DL
15 Nacional 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1 DLL
16 Casa Pia 3 0 1 2 0 3 -3 1 LLD
17 Guimaraes 3 0 0 3 3 6 -3 0 LLL
18 Estoril 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0 LL

Rio Ave   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 6 0 6 3.5 0.7 5 1 0 21 4 16 OOOOOO
2 6 Estrela 5 0 5 2.2 1.8 2 3 0 11 9 9 OOOOO
3 3 Sp Lisbon 6 2 4 2.5 1.0 4 2 0 15 6 14 OOOOUU
4 7 Academico Viseu 6 2 4 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8 OUOOUO
5 10 Maritimo 5 1 4 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7 UOOOO
6 11 Alverca 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 1 2 3 8 11 5 UOOUOO
7 15 Moreirense 5 1 4 0.8 2.4 1 1 3 4 12 4 OOUOO
8 1 Porto 6 3 3 2.5 0.3 6 0 0 15 2 18 UUUOOO
9 4 Santa Clara 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14 OUUUOO
10 5 Arouca 6 3 3 1.3 0.8 3 1 2 8 5 10 UOUOUO
11 8 Sp Braga 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7 OUOO
12 14 Nacional 6 3 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 4 7 11 4 OUUOUO
13 12 Famalicao 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 0 4 2 5 7 4 UOUUOU
14 13 Guimaraes 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 1 1 4 4 7 4 UOUUUO
15 16 Rio Ave 5 3 2 0.4 2.2 1 0 4 2 11 3 UUUOO
16 18 Casa Pia 6 4 2 0.2 2.5 0 1 5 1 15 1 UOUUUO
17 9 Gil Vicente 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 1 2 4 4 7 UUUUO
18 17 Estoril 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 0 2 3 2 7 2 UUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7 OOO
2 5 Arouca 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6 OOO
3 6 Estrela 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5 OOO
4 3 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 3 0 0 8 3 9 OOU
5 4 Santa Clara 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7 OUO
6 7 Academico Viseu 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3 UOO
7 10 Maritimo 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4 UOO
8 11 Alverca 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2 OUO
9 14 Nacional 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3 UOO
10 15 Moreirense 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 1 1 2 6 1 OO
11 18 Casa Pia 3 1 2 0.3 4.0 0 0 3 1 12 0 OUO
12 1 Porto 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9 UUO
13 12 Famalicao 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2 OUU
14 16 Rio Ave 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0 UO
15 8 Sp Braga 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
16 9 Gil Vicente 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 0 1 3 1 6 UUU
17 13 Guimaraes 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4 UUU
18 17 Estoril 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2 UUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 3 0 3 4.7 0.0 3 0 0 14 0 9 OOO
2 8 Sp Braga 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4 OOO
3 1 Porto 3 1 2 3.0 0.3 3 0 0 9 1 9 UOO
4 3 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 1 2 0 7 3 5 OOU
5 6 Estrela 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4 OO
6 7 Academico Viseu 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5 OOU
7 10 Maritimo 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3 OO
8 11 Alverca 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3 UOO
9 13 Guimaraes 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 3 3 6 0 OUO
10 15 Moreirense 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 1 0 2 2 6 3 OUO
11 4 Santa Clara 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7 UUO
12 9 Gil Vicente 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1 UO
13 12 Famalicao 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2 UUO
14 14 Nacional 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1 OUU
15 16 Rio Ave 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3 UUO
16 17 Estoril 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0 UO
17 5 Arouca 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 1 1 1 2 4 UUU
18 18 Casa Pia 3 3 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 2 0 3 1 UUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10