Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave – Portugal Primeira Liga, 10 May 2025

Match facts

Nacional Rio Ave

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 7

4 Corners 5

11 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (288 league matches this season so far).

Result Nacional to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.93

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.14

Home / Draw / Away

44% 26% 30%

NacionalDrawRio Ave

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches

1.03points / match

0.91scored / match

1.38conceded / match

9 6 17

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 29:44

Rio Ave before this match, all matches

1.13points / match

1.09scored / match

1.59conceded / match

9 9 14

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 35:51

Nacional all matches all matches Rio Ave

Per match

0.91 Goals scored 1.09

1.38 Goals conceded 1.59

2.28 Total goals 2.69

13.38 Shots 10.78

4.00 Shots on target 3.56

14.19 Shots faced 15.06

4.41 Corners 4.13

5.84 Corners against 5.63

13.59 Fouls 13.66

2.31 Yellow cards 2.16

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

28% Wins 28%

19% Draws 28%

53% Losses 44%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 81%

41% Over 2.5 goals 50%

16% Over 3.5 goals 28%

3% Over 4.5 goals 9%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

38% Both teams scored 53%

25% Clean sheets 16%

44% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 28%

38% Draws 31%

38% Losses 41%

72% Over 0.5 goals 81%

28% Over 1.5 goals 34%

9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches

1

L

2

1

W

3

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

L

1

W

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

Rio Ave all matches

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

2

L

2

W

1

D

3

L

2

W

Nacional before this match, at home

1.44points / match

1.25scored / match

1.50conceded / match

7 2 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:24

Rio Ave before this match, away

0.69points / match

0.69scored / match

1.75conceded / match

3 2 11

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 11:28

Nacional at home away Rio Ave

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.69

1.50 Goals conceded 1.75

2.75 Total goals 2.44

14.69 Shots 9.63

4.63 Shots on target 3.06

12.50 Shots faced 16.31

4.63 Corners 3.31

5.00 Corners against 5.69

13.25 Fouls 13.25

2.19 Yellow cards 2.38

0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.19

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.06

How often Full Time

44% Wins 19%

13% Draws 13%

44% Losses 69%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

81% Over 1.5 goals 75%

56% Over 2.5 goals 44%

25% Over 3.5 goals 19%

6% Over 4.5 goals 6%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

44% Both teams scored 38%

31% Clean sheets 13%

31% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%

38% Draws 31%

25% Losses 56%

69% Over 0.5 goals 75%

38% Over 1.5 goals 38%

19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home

2

L

2

W

3

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

L

3

L

1

2

L

Rio Ave away

1

L

1

L

1

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

2

W

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.05.25	Nacional – Guimaraes	1–2 (0–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.98	1.88
27.04.25	Moreirense – Nacional	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65
19.04.25	Nacional – Gil Vicente	0–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.20	2.25	1.62
12.04.25	Boavista – Nacional	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.10	2.63	2.15	1.67
06.04.25	Nacional – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.70	2.35	1.57
30.03.25	Santa Clara – Nacional	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.20	4.33	2.50	1.50
16.03.25	Nacional – Casa Pia	3–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.30	2.90	2.20	1.65
08.03.25	Benfica – Nacional	3–0 (2–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.44	2.60
01.03.25	Nacional – Famalicao	2–1 (1–0)	2.60	3.00	2.90	2.20	1.65
21.02.25	Sp Braga – Nacional	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	3.80	6.00	1.73	2.08

Rio Ave all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.05.25	Rio Ave – Estrela	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.08	1.73
27.04.25	Guimaraes – Rio Ave	3–0 (3–0)	1.53	4.10	6.25	1.85	2.00
18.04.25	Rio Ave – Santa Clara	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	2.90	2.70	2.40	1.53
13.04.25	Moreirense – Rio Ave	0–2 (0–0)	1.95	3.25	4.10	2.20	1.65
07.04.25	Rio Ave – Boavista	0–2 (0–1)	1.85	3.40	4.50	2.10	1.70
29.03.25	Casa Pia – Rio Ave	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	3.75	2.08	1.73
16.03.25	Rio Ave – Benfica	2–3 (0–1)	6.50	5.25	1.38	1.57	2.35
10.03.25	Famalicao – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.30	4.10	2.15	1.67
02.03.25	Rio Ave – Sp Braga	2–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.60	1.83	1.85	2.00
22.02.25	Estoril – Rio Ave	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80

Nacional at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.05.25	Nacional – Guimaraes	1–2 (0–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.98	1.88
19.04.25	Nacional – Gil Vicente	0–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.20	2.25	1.62
06.04.25	Nacional – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.70	2.35	1.57
16.03.25	Nacional – Casa Pia	3–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.30	2.90	2.20	1.65
01.03.25	Nacional – Famalicao	2–1 (1–0)	2.60	3.00	2.90	2.20	1.65
15.02.25	Nacional – Estoril	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.20	3.30	2.15	1.67
01.02.25	Nacional – Arouca	1–2 (1–2)	2.50	3.20	2.88	2.15	1.67
19.01.25	Nacional – AVS	3–1 (3–1)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.25	1.62
12.01.25	Nacional – Porto	2–0 (2–0)	8.50	4.75	1.36	1.73	2.08
19.12.24	Nacional – Benfica	0–2 (0–0)	8.50	7.00	1.25	1.40	2.88

Rio Ave away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.25	Guimaraes – Rio Ave	3–0 (3–0)	1.53	4.10	6.25	1.85	2.00
13.04.25	Moreirense – Rio Ave	0–2 (0–0)	1.95	3.25	4.10	2.20	1.65
29.03.25	Casa Pia – Rio Ave	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	3.75	2.08	1.73
10.03.25	Famalicao – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.30	4.10	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Estoril – Rio Ave	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80
10.02.25	Arouca – Rio Ave	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.25	4.20	2.10	1.70
25.01.25	Farense – Rio Ave	1–2 (0–1)	2.55	2.90	3.00	2.40	1.50
06.01.25	Gil Vicente – Rio Ave	1–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.20	3.40	2.15	1.67
23.12.24	Estrela – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
07.12.24	Santa Clara – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.30	4.75	2.20	1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Nacional winsDrawsRio Ave wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.24P1	Rio Ave – Nacional	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.08	1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Sp Lisbon	32	24	6	2	85	26	+59	78	WDWWWW
2	Benfica	32	25	3	4	82	26	+56	78	WWDWWW
3	Porto	32	20	5	7	60	29	+31	65	WLWWLW
4	Sp Braga	32	19	8	5	53	27	+26	65	WDWWDD
5	Guimaraes	32	14	12	6	46	33	+13	54	DWWLWW
6	Santa Clara	32	15	6	11	32	30	+2	51	WLLDWD
7	Famalicao	32	11	11	10	41	36	+5	44	WWWLDL
8	Casa Pia	32	11	9	12	36	41	-5	42	WDLDLD
9	Estoril	32	11	9	12	42	51	-9	42	LWLLWL
10	Moreirense	32	9	9	14	37	48	-11	36	DWLLDL
11	Rio Ave	32	9	9	14	35	51	-16	36	LLWDLW
12	Arouca	32	8	10	14	30	47	-17	34	LLDWLD
13	Nacional	32	9	6	17	29	44	-15	33	LLWLDL
14	Gil Vicente	32	8	8	16	32	45	-13	32	WLLWWL
15	Estrela	32	7	8	17	24	45	-21	29	LWLLWL
16	Farense	32	5	9	18	22	43	-21	24	LDWLLW
17	Boavista	32	6	6	20	22	53	-31	24	LWLWLW
18	AVS	32	4	12	16	24	57	-33	24	LLLDLL

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Benfica	16	14	1	1	51	11	+40	43	WWWWDW
2	Sp Lisbon	16	13	2	1	38	13	+25	41	DWWDWW
3	Porto	16	12	3	1	36	11	+25	39	DDWLWW
4	Guimaraes	16	9	5	2	28	17	+11	32	DWWWLW
5	Sp Braga	16	9	4	3	32	18	+14	31	WWWWWD
6	Santa Clara	16	9	2	5	16	13	+3	29	WLDWLW
7	Famalicao	16	6	7	3	18	11	+7	25	DWWWWD
8	Casa Pia	16	7	4	5	20	18	+2	25	WWLWLL
9	Rio Ave	16	6	7	3	24	23	+1	25	DWLLDW
10	Moreirense	16	6	7	3	20	19	+1	25	WDWDLD
11	Nacional	16	7	2	7	20	24	-4	23	DWWLLL
12	Estoril	16	6	4	6	19	23	-4	22	WWDLLL
13	Gil Vicente	16	5	4	7	17	18	-1	19	LLLLLW
14	Estrela	16	5	4	7	18	23	-5	19	LDDLLW
15	Arouca	16	4	6	6	12	18	-6	18	DLDLWD
16	AVS	16	3	6	7	13	23	-10	15	LDLLDL
17	Farense	16	3	2	11	9	22	-13	11	LLLDLW
18	Boavista	16	1	3	12	7	29	-22	6	LWLLLL

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Sp Lisbon	16	11	4	1	47	13	+34	37	DDWWWW
2	Benfica	16	11	2	3	31	15	+16	35	WWWWWW
3	Sp Braga	16	10	4	2	21	9	+12	34	DLWDWD
4	Porto	16	8	2	6	24	18	+6	26	WWLWWL
5	Guimaraes	16	5	7	4	18	16	+2	22	DDWDWW
6	Santa Clara	16	6	4	6	16	17	-1	22	DLWLDD
7	Estoril	16	5	5	6	23	28	-5	20	DLDWLW
8	Famalicao	16	5	4	7	23	25	-2	19	WLLWLL
9	Boavista	16	5	3	8	15	24	-9	18	LLLWWW
10	Casa Pia	16	4	5	7	16	23	-7	17	LLLDDD
11	Arouca	16	4	4	8	18	29	-11	16	WDWLDL
12	Farense	16	2	7	7	13	21	-8	13	LDDLWL
13	Gil Vicente	16	3	4	9	15	27	-12	13	LLDWWL
14	Moreirense	16	3	2	11	17	29	-12	11	LLDWLL
15	Rio Ave	16	3	2	11	11	28	-17	11	DLLLWL
16	Nacional	16	2	4	10	9	20	-11	10	WLLLWD
17	Estrela	16	2	4	10	6	22	-16	10	WDLWLL
18	AVS	16	1	6	9	11	34	-23	9	DWLLLL

Nacional Rio Ave

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	1	Sp Lisbon	32	9	23	2.7	0.8	24	6	2	85	26	78	OUUOOO
2	2	Benfica	32	9	23	2.6	0.8	25	3	4	82	26	78	OOOOOO
3	9	Estoril	32	10	22	1.3	1.6	11	9	12	42	51	42	OOOUOO
4	3	Porto	32	16	16	1.9	0.9	20	5	7	60	29	65	OOUOUO
5	7	Famalicao	32	16	16	1.3	1.1	11	11	10	41	36	44	OOOOUO
6	10	Moreirense	32	16	16	1.2	1.5	9	9	14	37	48	36	OUUOUO
7	11	Rio Ave	32	16	16	1.1	1.6	9	9	14	35	51	36	OUUUOU
8	4	Sp Braga	32	17	15	1.7	0.8	19	8	5	53	27	65	OUOUUU
9	5	Guimaraes	32	17	15	1.4	1.0	14	12	6	46	33	54	OUUOOO
10	12	Arouca	32	17	15	0.9	1.5	8	10	14	30	47	34	OOOUUU
11	14	Gil Vicente	32	17	15	1.0	1.4	8	8	16	32	45	32	OUUOUO
12	17	Boavista	32	17	15	0.7	1.7	6	6	20	22	53	24	OUUUOO
13	8	Casa Pia	32	19	13	1.1	1.3	11	9	12	36	41	42	OUUUOU
14	13	Nacional	32	19	13	0.9	1.4	9	6	17	29	44	33	UUUOUO
15	18	AVS	32	19	13	0.8	1.8	4	12	16	24	57	24	OOOUOO
16	16	Farense	32	20	12	0.7	1.3	5	9	18	22	43	24	OUUUUO
17	15	Estrela	32	22	10	0.8	1.4	7	8	17	24	45	29	OUUUUU
18	6	Santa Clara	32	24	8	1.0	0.9	15	6	11	32	30	51	UUUUUU

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	2	Benfica	16	2	14	3.2	0.7	14	1	1	51	11	43	OOOOOO
2	1	Sp Lisbon	16	6	10	2.4	0.8	13	2	1	38	13	41	OOOUOO
3	9	Estoril	16	6	10	1.2	1.4	6	4	6	19	23	22	OOOOUO
4	3	Porto	16	7	9	2.2	0.7	12	3	1	36	11	39	UUUOOO
5	4	Sp Braga	16	7	9	2.0	1.1	9	4	3	32	18	31	UUUOOU
6	5	Guimaraes	16	7	9	1.8	1.1	9	5	2	28	17	32	UUUUOO
7	11	Rio Ave	16	7	9	1.5	1.4	6	7	3	24	23	25	UOOUUU
8	13	Nacional	16	7	9	1.2	1.5	7	2	7	20	24	23	OOOUOO
9	15	Estrela	16	8	8	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	18	23	19	OUUOUU
10	10	Moreirense	16	9	7	1.2	1.2	6	7	3	20	19	25	OUUOUU
11	14	Gil Vicente	16	9	7	1.1	1.1	5	4	7	17	18	19	UUOUUU
12	8	Casa Pia	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	7	4	5	20	18	25	UUOOUO
13	16	Farense	16	10	6	0.6	1.4	3	2	11	9	22	11	UUUUUO
14	17	Boavista	16	10	6	0.4	1.8	1	3	12	7	29	6	UUOOUO
15	18	AVS	16	10	6	0.8	1.4	3	6	7	13	23	15	OOUOUO
16	7	Famalicao	16	11	5	1.1	0.7	6	7	3	18	11	25	UUUOOU
17	6	Santa Clara	16	12	4	1.0	0.8	9	2	5	16	13	29	OUUUUU
18	12	Arouca	16	12	4	0.8	1.1	4	6	6	12	18	18	OUUOUU

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	1	Sp Lisbon	16	3	13	2.9	0.8	11	4	1	47	13	37	UOOOUO
2	9	Estoril	16	4	12	1.4	1.8	5	5	6	23	28	20	OOUOOO
3	7	Famalicao	16	5	11	1.4	1.6	5	4	7	23	25	19	UOOOOO
4	12	Arouca	16	5	11	1.1	1.8	4	4	8	18	29	16	OOUOOU
5	2	Benfica	16	7	9	1.9	0.9	11	2	3	31	15	35	UOOOOO
6	10	Moreirense	16	7	9	1.1	1.8	3	2	11	17	29	11	OUUUOO
7	17	Boavista	16	7	9	0.9	1.5	5	3	8	15	24	18	OOUUUO
8	14	Gil Vicente	16	8	8	0.9	1.7	3	4	9	15	27	13	UUUOOO
9	3	Porto	16	9	7	1.5	1.1	8	2	6	24	18	26	UUUOUU
10	8	Casa Pia	16	9	7	1.0	1.4	4	5	7	16	23	17	OUOUUU
11	11	Rio Ave	16	9	7	0.7	1.8	3	2	11	11	28	11	UOUOUO
12	18	AVS	16	9	7	0.7	2.1	1	6	9	11	34	9	UUUOOO
13	4	Sp Braga	16	10	6	1.3	0.6	10	4	2	21	9	34	UOUUUU
14	5	Guimaraes	16	10	6	1.1	1.0	5	7	4	18	16	22	UUOOUO
15	16	Farense	16	10	6	0.8	1.3	2	7	7	13	21	13	OOOOUU
16	6	Santa Clara	16	12	4	1.0	1.1	6	4	6	16	17	22	UUUUUU
17	13	Nacional	16	12	4	0.6	1.2	2	4	10	9	20	10	UUOUUU
18	15	Estrela	16	14	2	0.4	1.4	2	4	10	6	22	10	UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.