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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Porto 1–1 Sp Lisbon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.80 fair 2.45
Draw ✓ 3.10 fair 4.24
Away 2.55 fair 2.80
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 2.56
Over 2.5 2.15 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Porto Sp Lisbon
17 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 3
16 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (180 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
PortoDrawSp Lisbon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Porto before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
2.20scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 44:17
Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
2.80scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 56:15
Porto all matches all matches Sp Lisbon

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 2.80
0.85 Goals conceded 0.75
3.05 Total goals 3.55
15.15 Shots 19.60
6.15 Shots on target 6.85
7.25 Shots faced 6.35
6.00 Corners 6.90
2.80 Corners against 2.45
13.60 Fouls 11.30
2.70 Yellow cards 1.40
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

65% Wins 80%
15% Draws 10%
20% Losses 10%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
100% Over 1.5 goals 85%
60% Over 2.5 goals 70%
35% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 30%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
35% Both teams scored 40%
55% Clean sheets 55%
10% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 65%
30% Draws 20%
25% Losses 15%
75% Over 0.5 goals 85%
30% Over 1.5 goals 60%
5% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto all matches
Sp Lisbon all matches
Porto before this match, at home
2.80points / match
2.60scored / match
0.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 26:3
Sp Lisbon before this match, away
2.30points / match
3.20scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 32:9
Porto at home away Sp Lisbon

Per match

2.60 Goals scored 3.20
0.30 Goals conceded 0.90
2.90 Total goals 4.10
17.30 Shots 20.50
7.60 Shots on target 7.50
6.70 Shots faced 6.40
7.40 Corners 6.70
3.00 Corners against 2.50
13.20 Fouls 10.80
1.30 Yellow cards 1.50
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

90% Wins 70%
10% Draws 20%
0% Losses 10%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
100% Over 1.5 goals 90%
60% Over 2.5 goals 90%
30% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 40%
0% Over 5.5 goals 30%
30% Both teams scored 40%
70% Clean sheets 60%
0% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 60%
30% Draws 20%
10% Losses 20%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 70%
0% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto at home
Sp Lisbon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.25 Rio Ave – Porto 2–2 (1–0) 7.004.501.42 1.75 2.05
26.01.25 Porto – Santa Clara 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.107.50 2.10 1.70
19.01.25 Gil Vicente – Porto 3–1 (1–0) 7.504.501.40 2.00 1.85
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
28.12.24 Porto – Boavista 4–0 (1–0) 1.139.0015.00 1.40 2.88
21.12.24 Moreirense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 7.004.101.48 2.05 1.75
16.12.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
07.12.24 Famalicao – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 6.004.331.50 1.95 1.90
02.12.24 Porto – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.2513.00 1.53 2.40
10.11.24 Benfica – Porto 4–1 (1–1) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.25 Sp Lisbon – Farense 3–1 (2–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.44 2.70
25.01.25 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
18.01.25 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 9.505.501.30 1.53 2.40
03.01.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 4–4 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.95 1.90
29.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.60 1.67 2.15
22.12.24 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 0–0 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.53 2.40
14.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Boavista 3–2 (1–1) 1.0810.0023.00 1.25 4.00
05.12.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (2–1) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
30.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–1) 1.176.5017.00 1.65 2.20
10.11.24 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–4 (2–0) 5.254.201.57 1.57 2.35

Porto at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Porto – Santa Clara 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.107.50 2.10 1.70
28.12.24 Porto – Boavista 4–0 (1–0) 1.139.0015.00 1.40 2.88
16.12.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
02.12.24 Porto – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.2513.00 1.53 2.40
03.11.24 Porto – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.44 2.70
06.10.24 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.603.756.00 1.67 2.15
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
15.09.24 Porto – Farense 2–1 (0–0) 1.147.5021.00 1.48 2.60
24.08.24 Porto – Rio Ave 2–0 (2–0) 1.256.2510.00 1.70 2.10
10.08.24 Porto – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.53 2.40

Sp Lisbon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 9.505.501.30 1.53 2.40
03.01.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 4–4 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.95 1.90
22.12.24 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 0–0 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.53 2.40
05.12.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (2–1) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
10.11.24 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–4 (2–0) 5.254.201.57 1.57 2.35
26.10.24 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 7.005.501.36 1.75 2.05
27.09.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 13.007.501.17 1.40 2.88
13.09.24 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.70
23.08.24 Farense – Sp Lisbon 0–5 (0–2) 10.008.001.20 1.36 3.10
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Porto winsDrawsSp Lisbon wins
7matches
2.86goals / match
57%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.70 2.10
28.04.24P1 Porto – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (2–0) 2.633.302.70 1.83 2.03
18.12.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.03 1.83
12.02.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 2.603.252.55 2.05 1.80
20.08.22P1 Porto – Sp Lisbon 3–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88
11.02.22P1 Porto – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (1–2) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.70
11.09.21P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.202.70 2.07 1.72

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 20 16 2 2 56 15 +41 50 DWDWWW
2 Benfica 20 14 2 4 46 16 +30 44 WLLWLW
3 Porto 20 13 3 4 44 17 +27 42 WWLLDD
4 Sp Braga 20 12 4 4 36 20 +16 40 WLWWWW
5 Santa Clara 20 11 2 7 23 21 +2 35 LWDLDW
6 Casa Pia 20 8 6 6 26 25 +1 30 WWDWWL
7 Guimaraes 20 7 8 5 30 25 +5 29 DDDDLW
8 Estoril 20 7 6 7 24 31 -7 27 LDWWWW
9 Famalicao 20 5 9 6 22 24 -2 24 LLDLDW
10 Rio Ave 20 6 6 8 22 34 -12 24 LWDLWD
11 Moreirense 20 6 5 9 23 28 -5 23 LDDDLL
12 Gil Vicente 20 5 7 8 23 30 -7 22 DDDWLL
13 Arouca 20 6 4 10 18 31 -13 22 LDWDWW
14 Nacional 20 5 4 11 17 28 -11 19 DLWWLL
15 AVS 20 3 9 8 15 29 -14 18 DDDLWL
16 Estrela 20 4 5 11 18 33 -15 17 WDLLDL
17 Farense 20 3 6 11 13 28 -15 15 WDDDLL
18 Boavista 20 2 6 12 13 34 -21 12 DLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 9 1 0 26 3 +23 28 WWWWWD
2 Benfica 10 9 0 1 31 5 +26 27 WWWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 10 9 0 1 24 6 +18 27 WLWWWW
4 Santa Clara 11 7 1 3 12 10 +2 22 WWLDLW
5 Guimaraes 10 5 4 1 20 14 +6 19 WWDDDW
6 Rio Ave 10 4 5 1 16 15 +1 17 DWDWLD
7 Gil Vicente 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16 LWDDWL
8 Casa Pia 10 4 4 2 14 10 +4 16 WDDWDW
9 Moreirense 10 4 4 2 12 11 +1 16 WWLDDL
10 Nacional 10 5 1 4 12 14 -2 16 DWLWWL
11 Sp Braga 10 4 3 3 21 15 +6 15 WLDDLW
12 Estoril 10 4 3 3 11 13 -2 15 WDWLDW
13 Estrela 11 4 2 5 15 18 -3 14 WWWLLL
14 AVS 10 3 4 3 8 12 -4 13 LLLDDW
15 Famalicao 10 2 5 3 7 9 -2 11 LDDLLD
16 Arouca 9 3 2 4 6 10 -4 11 DLLWDW
17 Farense 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7 WLWLDL
18 Boavista 10 0 3 7 4 17 -13 3 LDDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Braga 10 8 1 1 15 5 +10 25 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 10 7 2 1 32 9 +23 23 WWLDDW
3 Benfica 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17 WDWLLW
4 Porto 10 4 2 4 18 14 +4 14 LDWLLD
5 Casa Pia 10 4 2 4 12 15 -3 14 DLWWWL
6 Famalicao 10 3 4 3 15 15 0 13 WLDDLW
7 Santa Clara 9 4 1 4 11 11 0 13 LLWLWD
8 Estoril 10 3 3 4 13 18 -5 12 LDLWWW
9 Arouca 11 3 2 6 12 21 -9 11 DLLWDW
10 Guimaraes 10 2 4 4 10 11 -1 10 DLLDDL
11 Boavista 10 2 3 5 9 17 -8 9 DWDLLL
12 Farense 11 1 5 5 6 13 -7 8 DDWDDL
13 Moreirense 10 2 1 7 11 17 -6 7 WLLLDL
14 Rio Ave 10 2 1 7 6 19 -13 7 LWLLDW
15 Gil Vicente 10 1 3 6 7 20 -13 6 LLLWDL
16 AVS 10 0 5 5 7 17 -10 5 DDDDLL
17 Nacional 10 0 3 7 5 14 -9 3 LLLDLL
18 Estrela 9 0 3 6 3 15 -12 3 LLLLDD

Porto   Sp Lisbon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 20 6 14 2.8 0.8 16 2 2 56 15 50 UUOOUO
2 2 Benfica 20 8 12 2.3 0.8 14 2 4 46 16 44 OUOOOO
3 3 Porto 20 8 12 2.2 0.8 13 3 4 44 17 42 OOUOUO
4 4 Sp Braga 20 8 12 1.8 1.0 12 4 4 36 20 40 UOOUOO
5 8 Estoril 20 8 12 1.2 1.6 7 6 7 24 31 27 OOOOUO
6 10 Rio Ave 20 9 11 1.1 1.7 6 6 8 22 34 24 UOUOOO
7 11 Moreirense 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 23 28 23 OOUUUO
8 12 Gil Vicente 20 9 11 1.1 1.5 5 7 8 23 30 22 UUUOUO
9 7 Guimaraes 20 10 10 1.5 1.2 7 8 5 30 25 29 OOOOUU
10 13 Arouca 20 10 10 0.9 1.6 6 4 10 18 31 22 OUOOUO
11 9 Famalicao 20 11 9 1.1 1.2 5 9 6 22 24 24 OOUOUU
12 16 Estrela 20 11 9 0.9 1.6 4 5 11 18 33 17 UUOUUO
13 18 Boavista 20 11 9 0.7 1.7 2 6 12 13 34 12 UOOOOU
14 6 Casa Pia 20 12 8 1.3 1.2 8 6 6 26 25 30 OOUOOO
15 17 Farense 20 12 8 0.7 1.4 3 6 11 13 28 15 OOUUOO
16 5 Santa Clara 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 11 2 7 23 21 35 UOUOUO
17 14 Nacional 20 13 7 0.8 1.4 5 4 11 17 28 19 OOUOUO
18 15 AVS 20 14 6 0.8 1.4 3 9 8 15 29 18 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 10 2 8 3.1 0.5 9 0 1 31 5 27 OOUOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 10 3 7 2.1 1.5 4 3 3 21 15 15 UOOOOO
3 7 Guimaraes 10 3 7 2.0 1.4 5 4 1 20 14 19 UOOOOU
4 10 Rio Ave 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 5 1 16 15 17 OOOOOO
5 16 Estrela 11 4 7 1.4 1.6 4 2 5 15 18 14 UOUOUO
6 3 Porto 10 4 6 2.6 0.3 9 1 0 26 3 28 OOUUOU
7 12 Gil Vicente 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16 OOUUOO
8 1 Sp Lisbon 10 5 5 2.4 0.6 9 0 1 24 6 27 OUOUUO
9 8 Estoril 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 4 3 3 11 13 15 OUOUOU
10 11 Moreirense 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 4 4 2 12 11 16 OOOUUO
11 17 Farense 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7 UOUUOO
12 5 Santa Clara 11 7 4 1.1 0.9 7 1 3 12 10 22 UUUUOO
13 14 Nacional 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 5 1 4 12 14 16 UUUUOO
14 6 Casa Pia 10 7 3 1.4 1.0 4 4 2 14 10 16 UUUOUO
15 9 Famalicao 10 7 3 0.7 0.9 2 5 3 7 9 11 OUUOOU
16 18 Boavista 10 7 3 0.4 1.7 0 3 7 4 17 3 UUUOOU
17 13 Arouca 9 7 2 0.7 1.1 3 2 4 6 10 11 UOUUUU
18 15 AVS 10 8 2 0.8 1.2 3 4 3 8 12 13 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 10 1 9 3.2 0.9 7 2 1 32 9 23 OOOUOO
2 13 Arouca 11 3 8 1.1 1.9 3 2 6 12 21 11 UOOOOO
3 8 Estoril 10 3 7 1.3 1.8 3 3 4 13 18 12 OOOOOO
4 3 Porto 10 4 6 1.8 1.4 4 2 4 18 14 14 OUOUOO
5 9 Famalicao 10 4 6 1.5 1.5 3 4 3 15 15 13 OOOUOU
6 11 Moreirense 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 2 1 7 11 17 7 UUOUOU
7 18 Boavista 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 2 3 5 9 17 9 OOUOOO
8 4 Sp Braga 10 5 5 1.5 0.5 8 1 1 15 5 25 OUUOUO
9 6 Casa Pia 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 4 2 4 12 15 14 OUUOOO
10 12 Gil Vicente 10 5 5 0.7 2.0 1 3 6 7 20 6 OOOUUU
11 2 Benfica 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17 UUUUOO
12 10 Rio Ave 10 6 4 0.6 1.9 2 1 7 6 19 7 OUUUUO
13 15 AVS 10 6 4 0.7 1.7 0 5 5 7 17 5 UUUUOU
14 5 Santa Clara 9 6 3 1.2 1.2 4 1 4 11 11 13 UUUUOU
15 7 Guimaraes 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 4 4 10 11 10 OUUOOU
16 14 Nacional 10 7 3 0.5 1.4 0 3 7 5 14 3 UUOOOU
17 17 Farense 11 8 3 0.5 1.2 1 5 5 6 13 8 UUOUUO
18 16 Estrela 9 7 2 0.3 1.7 0 3 6 3 15 3 OOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11