Estoril 4–0 Estrela – Portugal Primeira Liga, 17 May 2025

Match facts

Estoril Estrela

10 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 4

18 Fouls 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (299 league matches this season so far).

Result Estoril to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.94

Expected goals 1.47 – 0.99

Home / Draw / Away

48% 26% 25%

EstorilDrawEstrela

Under / Over 2.5 goals

55% 45%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.5% 1–1 12.4% 2–0 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches

1.30points / match

1.33scored / match

1.61conceded / match

11 10 12

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 44:53

Estrela before this match, all matches

0.88points / match

0.73scored / match

1.39conceded / match

7 8 18

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 24:46

Estoril all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.73

1.61 Goals conceded 1.39

2.94 Total goals 2.12

9.91 Shots 9.52

3.61 Shots on target 2.79

11.64 Shots faced 13.03

3.76 Corners 3.94

5.09 Corners against 5.94

15.76 Fouls 15.45

2.48 Yellow cards 2.91

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.30

0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

33% Wins 21%

30% Draws 24%

36% Losses 55%

91% Over 0.5 goals 94%

79% Over 1.5 goals 58%

70% Over 2.5 goals 30%

39% Over 3.5 goals 15%

12% Over 4.5 goals 9%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

58% Both teams scored 33%

18% Clean sheets 21%

33% Failed to score 52%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 15%

42% Draws 48%

33% Losses 36%

73% Over 0.5 goals 55%

48% Over 1.5 goals 21%

15% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches

1

3

L

2

D

1

D

1

2

L

3

W

3

L

2

L

3

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

Estrela all matches

1

D

1

D

2

L

3

L

1

W

1

L

1

L

2

W

2

L

1

L

Estoril before this match, at home

1.38points / match

1.19scored / match

1.44conceded / match

6 4 6

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:23

Estrela before this match, away

0.63points / match

0.38scored / match

1.38conceded / match

2 4 10

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 6:22

Estoril at home away Estrela

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 0.38

1.44 Goals conceded 1.38

2.63 Total goals 1.75

10.19 Shots 9.00

3.56 Shots on target 2.75

10.81 Shots faced 13.56

3.75 Corners 3.94

5.06 Corners against 6.63

16.56 Fouls 15.19

2.75 Yellow cards 2.88

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.19

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

38% Wins 13%

25% Draws 25%

38% Losses 63%

88% Over 0.5 goals 94%

75% Over 1.5 goals 50%

63% Over 2.5 goals 13%

25% Over 3.5 goals 6%

13% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 25%

25% Clean sheets 19%

31% Failed to score 63%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 13%

50% Draws 44%

19% Losses 44%

63% Over 0.5 goals 56%

50% Over 1.5 goals 13%

19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home

2

1

W

2

L

2

D

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

Estrela away

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

1

D

2

L

1

W

1

L

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.05.25	Moreirense – Estoril	2–2 (1–0)	2.35	3.40	2.90	2.08	1.73
03.05.25	Estoril – Benfica	1–2 (0–2)	11.00	8.00	1.18	1.37	2.87
29.04.25	Casa Pia – Estoril	1–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.20	3.90	2.15	1.67
19.04.25	Estoril – Sp Braga	0–2 (0–2)	3.80	3.40	1.95	2.03	1.83
12.04.25	Famalicao – Estoril	3–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.75	2.10	1.70
04.04.25	AVS – Estoril	0–3 (0–2)	3.00	3.10	2.45	2.25	1.62
30.03.25	Estoril – Porto	1–2 (1–1)	6.25	4.10	1.53	2.00	1.85
16.03.25	Arouca – Estoril	1–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	2.05	1.75
08.03.25	Estoril – Farense	2–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
03.03.25	Sp Lisbon – Estoril	3–1 (2–0)	1.20	7.00	11.00	1.44	2.70

Estrela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.05.25	Estrela – AVS	0–1 (0–0)	1.90	3.60	3.80	2.15	1.67
05.05.25	Rio Ave – Estrela	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.08	1.73
26.04.25	Estrela – Porto	2–0 (1–0)	6.25	3.90	1.53	2.05	1.80
19.04.25	Arouca – Estrela	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.10	1.70
13.04.25	Estrela – Farense	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.50
06.04.25	Nacional – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.70	2.35	1.57
29.03.25	Estrela – Sp Lisbon	0–3 (0–0)	9.00	5.00	1.33	1.73	2.08
16.03.25	Guimaraes – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.10	7.50	2.08	1.73
07.03.25	Estrela – Gil Vicente	1–1 (0–0)	2.62	3.00	2.80	2.50	1.50
02.03.25	Moreirense – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.00	4.75	2.50	1.50

Estoril at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.05.25	Estoril – Benfica	1–2 (0–2)	11.00	8.00	1.18	1.37	2.87
19.04.25	Estoril – Sp Braga	0–2 (0–2)	3.80	3.40	1.95	2.03	1.83
30.03.25	Estoril – Porto	1–2 (1–1)	6.25	4.10	1.53	2.00	1.85
08.03.25	Estoril – Farense	2–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
22.02.25	Estoril – Rio Ave	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80
09.02.25	Estoril – Boavista	2–1 (1–0)	1.55	3.90	6.50	2.08	1.73
26.01.25	Estoril – Guimaraes	1–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.83	2.03	1.83
28.12.24	Estoril – Moreirense	2–2 (2–1)	3.25	3.00	2.40	2.50	1.50
15.12.24	Estoril – Casa Pia	0–2 (0–0)	2.63	3.10	2.75	2.25	1.62
01.12.24	Estoril – Famalicao	2–1 (2–1)	3.20	3.40	2.20	2.35	1.57

Estrela away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.05.25	Rio Ave – Estrela	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.08	1.73
19.04.25	Arouca – Estrela	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.10	1.70
06.04.25	Nacional – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.70	2.35	1.57
16.03.25	Guimaraes – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.10	7.50	2.08	1.73
02.03.25	Moreirense – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.00	4.75	2.50	1.50
14.02.25	Boavista – Estrela	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.50	1.50
09.02.25	Casa Pia – Estrela	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.40	4.50	2.30	1.60
25.01.25	Famalicao – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	1.82	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.65
28.12.24	AVS – Estrela	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.25	1.62
16.12.24	Porto – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	1.14	7.50	19.00	1.48	2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Estoril winsDrawsEstrela wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.01.25P1	Estrela – Estoril	2–4 (0–3)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.25	1.62
04.02.24P1	Estoril – Estrela	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.60	1.98	1.88
25.08.23P1	Estrela – Estoril	2–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.35	1.57

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	33	24	7	2	86	27	+59	79
2	Benfica	33	25	4	4	83	27	+56	79
3	Porto	33	21	5	7	62	30	+32	68
4	Sp Braga	33	19	8	6	54	29	+25	65
5	Guimaraes	33	14	12	7	47	35	+12	54
6	Santa Clara	33	16	6	11	34	31	+3	54
7	Famalicao	34	12	11	11	44	39	+5	47
8	Casa Pia	34	12	9	13	39	44	-5	45
9	Estoril	33	11	10	12	44	53	-9	43
10	Rio Ave	34	9	11	14	39	55	-16	38
11	Moreirense	33	9	10	14	39	50	-11	37
12	Arouca	33	8	11	14	31	48	-17	35
13	Gil Vicente	34	8	10	16	34	47	-13	34
14	Nacional	33	9	7	17	32	47	-15	34
15	Estrela	33	7	8	18	24	46	-22	29
16	Farense	33	6	9	18	24	44	-20	27
17	AVS	33	5	12	16	25	57	-32	27
18	Boavista	33	6	6	21	23	55	-32	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	17	14	2	1	52	12	+40	44
2	Sp Lisbon	16	13	2	1	38	13	+25	41
3	Porto	16	12	3	1	36	11	+25	39
4	Guimaraes	17	9	5	3	29	19	+10	32
5	Santa Clara	17	10	2	5	18	14	+4	32
6	Sp Braga	16	9	4	3	32	18	+14	31
7	Famalicao	17	7	7	3	20	12	+8	28
8	Casa Pia	17	8	4	5	22	19	+3	28
9	Rio Ave	17	6	8	3	25	24	+1	26
10	Moreirense	17	6	8	3	22	21	+1	26
11	Nacional	17	7	3	7	23	27	-4	24
12	Estoril	16	6	4	6	19	23	-4	22
13	Gil Vicente	17	5	5	7	18	19	-1	20
14	Estrela	17	5	4	8	18	24	-6	19
15	Arouca	16	4	6	6	12	18	-6	18
16	AVS	16	3	6	7	13	23	-10	15
17	Farense	16	3	2	11	9	22	-13	11
18	Boavista	17	1	3	13	8	31	-23	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	17	11	5	1	48	14	+34	38
2	Benfica	16	11	2	3	31	15	+16	35
3	Sp Braga	17	10	4	3	22	11	+11	34
4	Porto	17	9	2	6	26	19	+7	29
5	Guimaraes	16	5	7	4	18	16	+2	22
6	Santa Clara	16	6	4	6	16	17	-1	22
7	Estoril	17	5	6	6	25	30	-5	21
8	Famalicao	17	5	4	8	24	27	-3	19
9	Boavista	16	5	3	8	15	24	-9	18
10	Casa Pia	17	4	5	8	17	25	-8	17
11	Arouca	17	4	5	8	19	30	-11	17
12	Farense	17	3	7	7	15	22	-7	16
13	Gil Vicente	17	3	5	9	16	28	-12	14
14	Rio Ave	17	3	3	11	14	31	-17	12
15	AVS	17	2	6	9	12	34	-22	12
16	Moreirense	16	3	2	11	17	29	-12	11
17	Nacional	16	2	4	10	9	20	-11	10
18	Estrela	16	2	4	10	6	22	-16	10

Estoril Estrela

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	33	10	23	2.6	0.8	24	7	2	86	27	79
2	2	Benfica	33	10	23	2.5	0.8	25	4	4	83	27	79
3	9	Estoril	33	10	23	1.3	1.6	11	10	12	44	53	43
4	7	Famalicao	34	16	18	1.3	1.1	12	11	11	44	39	47
5	3	Porto	33	16	17	1.9	0.9	21	5	7	62	30	68
6	10	Rio Ave	34	17	17	1.1	1.6	9	11	14	39	55	38
7	11	Moreirense	33	16	17	1.2	1.5	9	10	14	39	50	37
8	4	Sp Braga	33	17	16	1.6	0.9	19	8	6	54	29	65
9	5	Guimaraes	33	17	16	1.4	1.1	14	12	7	47	35	54
10	18	Boavista	33	17	16	0.7	1.7	6	6	21	23	55	24
11	8	Casa Pia	34	19	15	1.1	1.3	12	9	13	39	44	45
12	12	Arouca	33	18	15	0.9	1.5	8	11	14	31	48	35
13	13	Gil Vicente	34	19	15	1.0	1.4	8	10	16	34	47	34
14	14	Nacional	33	19	14	1.0	1.4	9	7	17	32	47	34
15	16	Farense	33	20	13	0.7	1.3	6	9	18	24	44	27
16	17	AVS	33	20	13	0.8	1.7	5	12	16	25	57	27
17	15	Estrela	33	23	10	0.7	1.4	7	8	18	24	46	29
18	6	Santa Clara	33	24	9	1.0	0.9	16	6	11	34	31	54

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Benfica	17	3	14	3.1	0.7	14	2	1	52	12	44
2	1	Sp Lisbon	16	6	10	2.4	0.8	13	2	1	38	13	41
3	5	Guimaraes	17	7	10	1.7	1.1	9	5	3	29	19	32
4	9	Estoril	16	6	10	1.2	1.4	6	4	6	19	23	22
5	14	Nacional	17	7	10	1.4	1.6	7	3	7	23	27	24
6	3	Porto	16	7	9	2.2	0.7	12	3	1	36	11	39
7	4	Sp Braga	16	7	9	2.0	1.1	9	4	3	32	18	31
8	10	Rio Ave	17	8	9	1.5	1.4	6	8	3	25	24	26
9	11	Moreirense	17	9	8	1.3	1.2	6	8	3	22	21	26
10	15	Estrela	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	5	4	8	18	24	19
11	8	Casa Pia	17	10	7	1.3	1.1	8	4	5	22	19	28
12	13	Gil Vicente	17	10	7	1.1	1.1	5	5	7	18	19	20
13	18	Boavista	17	10	7	0.5	1.8	1	3	13	8	31	6
14	7	Famalicao	17	11	6	1.2	0.7	7	7	3	20	12	28
15	16	Farense	16	10	6	0.6	1.4	3	2	11	9	22	11
16	17	AVS	16	10	6	0.8	1.4	3	6	7	13	23	15
17	6	Santa Clara	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	10	2	5	18	14	32
18	12	Arouca	16	12	4	0.8	1.1	4	6	6	12	18	18

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	17	4	13	2.8	0.8	11	5	1	48	14	38
2	9	Estoril	17	4	13	1.5	1.8	5	6	6	25	30	21
3	7	Famalicao	17	5	12	1.4	1.6	5	4	8	24	27	19
4	12	Arouca	17	6	11	1.1	1.8	4	5	8	19	30	17
5	2	Benfica	16	7	9	1.9	0.9	11	2	3	31	15	35
6	11	Moreirense	16	7	9	1.1	1.8	3	2	11	17	29	11
7	18	Boavista	16	7	9	0.9	1.5	5	3	8	15	24	18
8	3	Porto	17	9	8	1.5	1.1	9	2	6	26	19	29
9	8	Casa Pia	17	9	8	1.0	1.5	4	5	8	17	25	17
10	10	Rio Ave	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	3	3	11	14	31	12
11	13	Gil Vicente	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	3	5	9	16	28	14
12	4	Sp Braga	17	10	7	1.3	0.6	10	4	3	22	11	34
13	16	Farense	17	10	7	0.9	1.3	3	7	7	15	22	16
14	17	AVS	17	10	7	0.7	2.0	2	6	9	12	34	12
15	5	Guimaraes	16	10	6	1.1	1.0	5	7	4	18	16	22
16	6	Santa Clara	16	12	4	1.0	1.1	6	4	6	16	17	22
17	14	Nacional	16	12	4	0.6	1.2	2	4	10	9	20	10
18	15	Estrela	16	14	2	0.4	1.4	2	4	10	6	22	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.