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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 2–2 Alverca

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.90 fair 2.18
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.95
Away 4.10 fair 3.48
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Alverca
19 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 2
18 Fouls 24
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (24 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawAlverca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:2
Alverca before this match, all matches
0.00points / match
0.50scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:5
Estrela all matches all matches Alverca

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded 2.50
1.50 Total goals 3.00
12.00 Shots 9.50
3.50 Shots on target 2.50
11.00 Shots faced 11.00
4.50 Corners 1.50
4.00 Corners against 5.50
15.00 Fouls 10.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.50
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 2.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Alverca all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:1
Alverca before this match, away
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:2
Estrela at home away Alverca

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
1.00 Total goals 3.00
15.00 Shots 7.00
2.00 Shots on target 2.00
14.00 Shots faced 10.00
5.00 Corners 2.00
4.00 Corners against 6.00
14.00 Fouls 5.00
3.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
0% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Alverca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25 Estrela – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.57 2.35
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83
11.05.25 Estrela – AVS 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.15 1.67
05.05.25 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 2.353.303.00 2.08 1.73
26.04.25 Estrela – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 6.253.901.53 2.05 1.80
19.04.25 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.20 2.10 1.70
13.04.25 Estrela – Farense 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.75 2.50 1.50
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57
29.03.25 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 9.005.001.33 1.73 2.08

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.25 Alverca – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–3) 5.253.901.62 2.03 1.83
10.08.25 Moreirense – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.203.60 2.20 1.65

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25 Estrela – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.57 2.35
11.05.25 Estrela – AVS 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.15 1.67
26.04.25 Estrela – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 6.253.901.53 2.05 1.80
13.04.25 Estrela – Farense 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.75 2.50 1.50
29.03.25 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 9.005.001.33 1.73 2.08
07.03.25 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–0) 2.623.002.80 2.50 1.50
23.02.25 Estrela – Santa Clara 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.202.10 2.70 1.44
02.02.25 Estrela – Benfica 2–3 (1–3) 9.005.751.29 1.60 2.30
19.01.25 Estrela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.67 1.85 2.00
05.01.25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62

Alverca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.08.25 Moreirense – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.203.60 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 12 1 +11 9 WWW
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 9 0 +9 9 WWW
3 Moreirense 3 3 0 0 5 1 +4 9 WWW
4 Sp Braga 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7 WWD
5 Famalicao 3 2 1 0 4 0 +4 7 WWD
6 Benfica 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6 WW
7 Gil Vicente 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4 WLD
8 Arouca 3 1 1 1 6 10 -4 4 WLD
9 Guimaraes 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3 LWL
10 Casa Pia 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 3 LWL
11 Rio Ave 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2 DD
12 Estoril 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1 DL
13 Estrela 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1 DL
14 AVS 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1 LLD
15 Nacional 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1 LDL
16 Alverca 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0 LL
17 Santa Clara 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0 LL
18 Tondela 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0 LLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 2 2 0 0 7 0 +7 6 WW
2 Moreirense 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6 WW
3 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4 WD
4 Famalicao 2 1 1 0 3 0 +3 4 WD
5 Arouca 2 1 1 0 6 4 +2 4 WD
6 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 6 0 +6 3 W
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3 W
8 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3 W
9 Estoril 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
10 Rio Ave 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
11 Estrela 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0 L
12 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0 L
13 Tondela 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0 L
14 AVS 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0 L
15 Casa Pia 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0 L
16 Gil Vicente 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0 L
17 Alverca 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0 L
18 Nacional 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0 LL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6 WW
2 Gil Vicente 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4 WD
3 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3 W
4 Porto 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3 W
5 Benfica 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
6 Famalicao 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
7 Moreirense 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
8 Casa Pia 2 1 0 1 2 4 -2 3 WL
9 Rio Ave 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1 D
10 Estrela 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
11 Nacional 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
12 AVS 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1 LD
13 Estoril 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0 L
14 Alverca 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0 L
15 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0 L
16 Guimaraes 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0 LL
17 Arouca 1 0 0 1 0 6 -6 0 L
18 Tondela 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0 LL

Estrela   Alverca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 3 0 3 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7 OOO
2 8 Arouca 3 0 3 2.0 3.3 1 1 1 6 10 4 OOO
3 1 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 4.0 0.3 3 0 0 12 1 9 UOO
4 2 Porto 3 1 2 3.0 0.0 3 0 0 9 0 9 OUO
5 9 Guimaraes 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3 OOU
6 14 AVS 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1 OUO
7 16 Alverca 2 0 2 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0 OO
8 18 Tondela 3 1 2 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0 OUO
9 3 Moreirense 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 3 0 0 5 1 9 OUU
10 5 Famalicao 3 2 1 1.3 0.0 2 1 0 4 0 7 OUU
11 6 Benfica 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6 UO
12 10 Casa Pia 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 1 0 2 2 6 3 UUO
13 11 Rio Ave 2 1 1 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2 UO
14 12 Estoril 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1 UO
15 15 Nacional 3 2 1 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1 UUO
16 17 Santa Clara 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0 OU
17 7 Gil Vicente 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4 UUU
18 13 Estrela 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1 UU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 2 0 2 3.5 0.0 2 0 0 7 0 6 OO
2 4 Sp Braga 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4 OO
3 8 Arouca 2 0 2 3.0 2.0 1 1 0 6 4 4 OO
4 1 Sp Lisbon 1 0 1 6.0 0.0 1 0 0 6 0 3 O
5 3 Moreirense 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6 OU
6 5 Famalicao 2 1 1 1.5 0.0 1 1 0 3 0 4 OU
7 6 Benfica 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3 O
8 9 Guimaraes 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3 O
9 15 Nacional 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0 UO
10 16 Alverca 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0 O
11 7 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0 U
12 10 Casa Pia 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0 U
13 11 Rio Ave 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
14 12 Estoril 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
15 13 Estrela 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0 U
16 14 AVS 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0 U
17 17 Santa Clara 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0 U
18 18 Tondela 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0 U
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 14 AVS 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1 OO
2 18 Tondela 2 0 2 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0 OO
3 1 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6 UO
4 4 Sp Braga 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3 O
5 8 Arouca 1 0 1 0.0 6.0 0 0 1 0 6 0 O
6 9 Guimaraes 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0 OU
7 10 Casa Pia 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 1 0 1 2 4 3 UO
8 11 Rio Ave 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1 O
9 12 Estoril 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0 O
10 16 Alverca 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0 O
11 17 Santa Clara 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0 O
12 2 Porto 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3 U
13 3 Moreirense 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
14 5 Famalicao 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
15 6 Benfica 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
16 7 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4 UU
17 13 Estrela 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
18 15 Nacional 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11