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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 2–3 Benfica

Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2024/2025

Home 9.00 fair 3.80
Draw 5.75 fair 4.06
Away ✓ 1.29 fair 2.04
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Benfica
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 8
0 Corners 7
14 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (177 league matches this season so far).
Result Benfica to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.12 – 1.63
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawBenfica
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 0–1 10.4% 1–2 9.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.84scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 16:30
Benfica before this match, all matches
2.16points / match
2.26scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 43:14
Estrela all matches all matches Benfica

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 2.26
1.58 Goals conceded 0.74
2.42 Total goals 3.00
9.53 Shots 16.68
2.79 Shots on target 6.47
12.63 Shots faced 8.05
4.26 Corners 7.37
6.21 Corners against 2.47
15.05 Fouls 10.63
2.53 Yellow cards 2.16
0.37 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.84 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

21% Wins 68%
26% Draws 11%
53% Losses 21%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 84%
42% Over 2.5 goals 58%
21% Over 3.5 goals 32%
11% Over 4.5 goals 21%
11% Over 5.5 goals 5%
42% Both teams scored 42%
16% Clean sheets 47%
47% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 53%
37% Draws 32%
47% Losses 16%
68% Over 0.5 goals 84%
32% Over 1.5 goals 47%
16% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Benfica all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.30scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:15
Benfica before this match, away
1.56points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:9
Estrela at home away Benfica

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.33
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.80 Total goals 2.33
10.30 Shots 14.67
2.90 Shots on target 5.44
13.20 Shots faced 9.78
3.90 Corners 7.22
5.20 Corners against 2.44
15.20 Fouls 10.00
2.60 Yellow cards 2.33
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

40% Wins 44%
20% Draws 22%
40% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 89%
60% Over 2.5 goals 33%
30% Over 3.5 goals 11%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 44%
20% Clean sheets 33%
30% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 33%
40% Draws 44%
40% Losses 22%
70% Over 0.5 goals 78%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Benfica away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Famalicao – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 1.823.404.33 2.20 1.65
19.01.25 Estrela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.67 1.85 2.00
05.01.25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
28.12.24 AVS – Estrela 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.003.10 2.25 1.62
23.12.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
16.12.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
29.11.24 Farense – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50

Benfica all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Casa Pia – Benfica 3–1 (1–1) 8.504.751.38 1.70 2.10
17.01.25 Benfica – Famalicao 4–0 (2–0) 1.256.259.50 1.53 2.40
04.01.25 Benfica – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–2) 1.424.507.00 1.57 2.35
29.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.60 1.67 2.15
23.12.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–0 (1–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.33 3.40
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
15.12.24 AVS – Benfica 1–1 (0–1) 13.007.001.18 1.53 2.40
07.12.24 Benfica – Guimaraes 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.67 2.15
01.12.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–2 (0–1) 9.505.751.27 1.53 2.40
10.11.24 Benfica – Porto 4–1 (1–1) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Estrela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.67 1.85 2.00
05.01.25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
23.12.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67

Benfica away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Casa Pia – Benfica 3–1 (1–1) 8.504.751.38 1.70 2.10
29.12.24 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.60 1.67 2.15
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
15.12.24 AVS – Benfica 1–1 (0–1) 13.007.001.18 1.53 2.40
01.12.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–2 (0–1) 9.505.751.27 1.53 2.40
02.11.24 Farense – Benfica 1–2 (1–1) 11.006.501.22 1.40 2.88
23.09.24 Boavista – Benfica 0–3 (0–2) 11.006.001.25 1.70 2.10
30.08.24 Moreirense – Benfica 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.44 1.85 2.00
11.08.24 Famalicao – Benfica 2–0 (1–0) 7.004.331.44 1.57 2.35
17.05.24 Rio Ave – Benfica 1–1 (0–1) 6.255.001.40 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsBenfica wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24P1 Benfica – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.50 2.50
29.01.24P1 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
19.08.23P1 Benfica – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.36 3.10

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 20 16 2 2 56 15 +41 50 DWDWWW
2 Benfica 19 13 2 4 43 14 +29 41 WWLLWL
3 Porto 19 13 2 4 42 15 +27 41 WWWLLD
4 Sp Braga 19 11 4 4 34 19 +15 37 DWLWWW
5 Santa Clara 20 11 2 7 23 21 +2 35 LWDLDW
6 Casa Pia 20 8 6 6 26 25 +1 30 WWDWWL
7 Guimaraes 20 7 8 5 30 25 +5 29 DDDDLW
8 Estoril 20 7 6 7 24 31 -7 27 LDWWWW
9 Famalicao 20 5 9 6 22 24 -2 24 LLDLDW
10 Moreirense 19 6 5 8 22 26 -4 23 LLDDDL
11 Rio Ave 19 6 5 8 20 32 -12 23 DLWDLW
12 Gil Vicente 20 5 7 8 23 30 -7 22 DDDWLL
13 Arouca 20 6 4 10 18 31 -13 22 LDWDWW
14 Nacional 20 5 4 11 17 28 -11 19 DLWWLL
15 AVS 20 3 9 8 15 29 -14 18 DDDLWL
16 Estrela 19 4 5 10 16 30 -14 17 LWDLLD
17 Farense 20 3 6 11 13 28 -15 15 WDDDLL
18 Boavista 20 2 6 12 13 34 -21 12 DLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 9 1 0 26 3 +23 28 WWWWWD
2 Benfica 10 9 0 1 31 5 +26 27 WWWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 10 9 0 1 24 6 +18 27 WLWWWW
4 Santa Clara 11 7 1 3 12 10 +2 22 WWLDLW
5 Guimaraes 10 5 4 1 20 14 +6 19 WWDDDW
6 Gil Vicente 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16 LWDDWL
7 Casa Pia 10 4 4 2 14 10 +4 16 WDDWDW
8 Moreirense 9 4 4 1 11 9 +2 16 WWWLDD
9 Rio Ave 9 4 4 1 14 13 +1 16 DDWDWL
10 Nacional 10 5 1 4 12 14 -2 16 DWLWWL
11 Sp Braga 10 4 3 3 21 15 +6 15 WLDDLW
12 Estoril 10 4 3 3 11 13 -2 15 WDWLDW
13 Estrela 10 4 2 4 13 15 -2 14 DWWWLL
14 AVS 10 3 4 3 8 12 -4 13 LLLDDW
15 Famalicao 10 2 5 3 7 9 -2 11 LDDLLD
16 Arouca 9 3 2 4 6 10 -4 11 DLLWDW
17 Farense 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7 WLWLDL
18 Boavista 10 0 3 7 4 17 -13 3 LDDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 7 2 1 32 9 +23 23 WWLDDW
2 Sp Braga 9 7 1 1 13 4 +9 22 LWWWWW
3 Benfica 9 4 2 3 12 9 +3 14 WWDWLL
4 Casa Pia 10 4 2 4 12 15 -3 14 DLWWWL
5 Porto 9 4 1 4 16 12 +4 13 WLDWLL
6 Famalicao 10 3 4 3 15 15 0 13 WLDDLW
7 Santa Clara 9 4 1 4 11 11 0 13 LLWLWD
8 Estoril 10 3 3 4 13 18 -5 12 LDLWWW
9 Arouca 11 3 2 6 12 21 -9 11 DLLWDW
10 Guimaraes 10 2 4 4 10 11 -1 10 DLLDDL
11 Boavista 10 2 3 5 9 17 -8 9 DWDLLL
12 Farense 11 1 5 5 6 13 -7 8 DDWDDL
13 Moreirense 10 2 1 7 11 17 -6 7 WLLLDL
14 Rio Ave 10 2 1 7 6 19 -13 7 LWLLDW
15 Gil Vicente 10 1 3 6 7 20 -13 6 LLLWDL
16 AVS 10 0 5 5 7 17 -10 5 DDDDLL
17 Nacional 10 0 3 7 5 14 -9 3 LLLDLL
18 Estrela 9 0 3 6 3 15 -12 3 LLLLDD

Estrela   Benfica

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 20 6 14 2.8 0.8 16 2 2 56 15 50 UUOOUO
2 8 Estoril 20 8 12 1.2 1.6 7 6 7 24 31 27 OOOOUO
3 2 Benfica 19 8 11 2.3 0.7 13 2 4 43 14 41 UOUOOO
4 3 Porto 19 8 11 2.2 0.8 13 2 4 42 15 41 UOOUOU
5 4 Sp Braga 19 8 11 1.8 1.0 11 4 4 34 19 37 OUOOUO
6 12 Gil Vicente 20 9 11 1.1 1.5 5 7 8 23 30 22 UUUOUO
7 7 Guimaraes 20 10 10 1.5 1.2 7 8 5 30 25 29 OOOOUU
8 10 Moreirense 19 9 10 1.2 1.4 6 5 8 22 26 23 UOOUUU
9 11 Rio Ave 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 6 5 8 20 32 23 OUOUOO
10 13 Arouca 20 10 10 0.9 1.6 6 4 10 18 31 22 OUOOUO
11 9 Famalicao 20 11 9 1.1 1.2 5 9 6 22 24 24 OOUOUU
12 18 Boavista 20 11 9 0.7 1.7 2 6 12 13 34 12 UOOOOU
13 6 Casa Pia 20 12 8 1.3 1.2 8 6 6 26 25 30 OOUOOO
14 16 Estrela 19 11 8 0.8 1.6 4 5 10 16 30 17 UUUOUU
15 17 Farense 20 12 8 0.7 1.4 3 6 11 13 28 15 OOUUOO
16 5 Santa Clara 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 11 2 7 23 21 35 UOUOUO
17 14 Nacional 20 13 7 0.8 1.4 5 4 11 17 28 19 OOUOUO
18 15 AVS 20 14 6 0.8 1.4 3 9 8 15 29 18 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 10 2 8 3.1 0.5 9 0 1 31 5 27 OOUOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 10 3 7 2.1 1.5 4 3 3 21 15 15 UOOOOO
3 7 Guimaraes 10 3 7 2.0 1.4 5 4 1 20 14 19 UOOOOU
4 3 Porto 10 4 6 2.6 0.3 9 1 0 26 3 28 OOUUOU
5 11 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 4 1 14 13 16 UOOOOO
6 12 Gil Vicente 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16 OOUUOO
7 16 Estrela 10 4 6 1.3 1.5 4 2 4 13 15 14 OUOUOU
8 1 Sp Lisbon 10 5 5 2.4 0.6 9 0 1 24 6 27 OUOUUO
9 8 Estoril 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 4 3 3 11 13 15 OUOUOU
10 17 Farense 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7 UOUUOO
11 5 Santa Clara 11 7 4 1.1 0.9 7 1 3 12 10 22 UUUUOO
12 10 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 1 11 9 16 UOOOUU
13 14 Nacional 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 5 1 4 12 14 16 UUUUOO
14 6 Casa Pia 10 7 3 1.4 1.0 4 4 2 14 10 16 UUUOUO
15 9 Famalicao 10 7 3 0.7 0.9 2 5 3 7 9 11 OUUOOU
16 18 Boavista 10 7 3 0.4 1.7 0 3 7 4 17 3 UUUOOU
17 13 Arouca 9 7 2 0.7 1.1 3 2 4 6 10 11 UOUUUU
18 15 AVS 10 8 2 0.8 1.2 3 4 3 8 12 13 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 10 1 9 3.2 0.9 7 2 1 32 9 23 OOOUOO
2 13 Arouca 11 3 8 1.1 1.9 3 2 6 12 21 11 UOOOOO
3 8 Estoril 10 3 7 1.3 1.8 3 3 4 13 18 12 OOOOOO
4 9 Famalicao 10 4 6 1.5 1.5 3 4 3 15 15 13 OOOUOU
5 10 Moreirense 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 2 1 7 11 17 7 UUOUOU
6 18 Boavista 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 2 3 5 9 17 9 OOUOOO
7 3 Porto 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 4 1 4 16 12 13 OOUOUO
8 6 Casa Pia 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 4 2 4 12 15 14 OUUOOO
9 12 Gil Vicente 10 5 5 0.7 2.0 1 3 6 7 20 6 OOOUUU
10 4 Sp Braga 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 1 1 13 4 22 OOUUOU
11 11 Rio Ave 10 6 4 0.6 1.9 2 1 7 6 19 7 OUUUUO
12 15 AVS 10 6 4 0.7 1.7 0 5 5 7 17 5 UUUUOU
13 2 Benfica 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 4 2 3 12 9 14 OUUUUO
14 5 Santa Clara 9 6 3 1.2 1.2 4 1 4 11 11 13 UUUUOU
15 7 Guimaraes 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 4 4 10 11 10 OUUOOU
16 14 Nacional 10 7 3 0.5 1.4 0 3 7 5 14 3 UUOOOU
17 17 Farense 11 8 3 0.5 1.2 1 5 5 6 13 8 UUOUUO
18 16 Estrela 9 7 2 0.3 1.7 0 3 6 3 15 3 OOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10