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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 0–1 Farense

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.70 fair 2.43
Draw 3.00 fair 3.58
Away ✓ 2.75 fair 3.24
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 2.50 fair 2.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Farense
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 3
22 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (257 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawFarense
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 1–0 12.4% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
0.79scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 22:41
Farense before this match, all matches
0.64points / match
0.68scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 19:40
Estrela all matches all matches Farense

Per match

0.79 Goals scored 0.68
1.46 Goals conceded 1.43
2.25 Total goals 2.11
9.39 Shots 10.86
2.64 Shots on target 3.39
12.57 Shots faced 13.43
3.93 Corners 5.54
5.96 Corners against 5.54
15.36 Fouls 15.89
2.86 Yellow cards 2.68
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

21% Wins 11%
29% Draws 32%
50% Losses 57%
93% Over 0.5 goals 86%
61% Over 1.5 goals 57%
36% Over 2.5 goals 39%
18% Over 3.5 goals 21%
11% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
39% Both teams scored 43%
21% Clean sheets 21%
46% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 14%
43% Draws 54%
43% Losses 32%
61% Over 0.5 goals 54%
25% Over 1.5 goals 18%
14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Farense all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.14points / match
1.14scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:22
Farense before this match, away
0.71points / match
0.86scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:20
Estrela at home away Farense

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.86
1.57 Goals conceded 1.43
2.71 Total goals 2.29
9.64 Shots 9.64
2.64 Shots on target 3.57
12.36 Shots faced 14.71
3.86 Corners 4.29
5.00 Corners against 6.79
15.64 Fouls 15.00
3.14 Yellow cards 2.71
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 7%
29% Draws 50%
43% Losses 43%
93% Over 0.5 goals 79%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
57% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 57%
21% Clean sheets 21%
36% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 14%
50% Draws 50%
36% Losses 36%
57% Over 0.5 goals 57%
36% Over 1.5 goals 21%
21% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Farense away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57
29.03.25 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 9.005.001.33 1.73 2.08
16.03.25 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.107.50 2.08 1.73
07.03.25 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–0) 2.623.002.80 2.50 1.50
02.03.25 Moreirense – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.004.75 2.50 1.50
23.02.25 Estrela – Santa Clara 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.202.10 2.70 1.44
14.02.25 Boavista – Estrela 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.003.10 2.50 1.50
09.02.25 Casa Pia – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.404.50 2.30 1.60
02.02.25 Estrela – Benfica 2–3 (1–3) 9.005.751.29 1.60 2.30
25.01.25 Famalicao – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 1.823.404.33 2.20 1.65

Farense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.25 Farense – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.40 1.53
02.04.25 Benfica – Farense 3–2 (2–1) 1.138.5019.00 1.44 2.70
15.03.25 Farense – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.25 1.62
08.03.25 Estoril – Farense 2–2 (0–0) 2.053.203.80 2.25 1.62
02.03.25 Farense – AVS 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.40 2.50 1.50
23.02.25 Arouca – Farense 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.404.20 2.15 1.67
16.02.25 Farense – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.751.40 1.93 1.93
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65
02.02.25 Sp Lisbon – Farense 3–1 (2–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.44 2.70
25.01.25 Farense – Rio Ave 1–2 (0–1) 2.552.903.00 2.40 1.50

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 9.005.001.33 1.73 2.08
07.03.25 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–0) 2.623.002.80 2.50 1.50
23.02.25 Estrela – Santa Clara 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.202.10 2.70 1.44
02.02.25 Estrela – Benfica 2–3 (1–3) 9.005.751.29 1.60 2.30
19.01.25 Estrela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.67 1.85 2.00
05.01.25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
23.12.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62

Farense away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.25 Benfica – Farense 3–2 (2–1) 1.138.5019.00 1.44 2.70
08.03.25 Estoril – Farense 2–2 (0–0) 2.053.203.80 2.25 1.62
23.02.25 Arouca – Farense 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.404.20 2.15 1.67
02.02.25 Sp Lisbon – Farense 3–1 (2–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.44 2.70
19.01.25 Moreirense – Farense 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.204.33 2.50 1.50
05.01.25 Santa Clara – Farense 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.406.00 2.35 1.57
21.12.24 Famalicao – Farense 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.405.25 2.15 1.67
08.12.24 Boavista – Farense 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.103.10 2.25 1.62
09.11.24 Casa Pia – Farense 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.304.00 2.20 1.65
27.10.24 Sp Braga – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 1.336.007.00 1.54 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsFarense wins
3matches
1.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.24P1 Farense – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
29.04.24P1 Estrela – Farense 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.50 1.98 1.88
15.12.23P1 Farense – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.30 1.93 1.93

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 29 21 6 2 75 24 +51 69 WWWWDW
2 Benfica 28 22 2 4 69 23 +46 68 WWWWWW
3 Porto 29 18 5 6 55 25 +30 59 WLWWLW
4 Sp Braga 28 17 6 5 45 24 +21 57 WLWWWD
5 Guimaraes 29 12 12 5 41 29 +12 48 WWWDWW
6 Santa Clara 29 14 4 11 28 28 0 46 LDWWLL
7 Famalicao 29 11 10 8 38 31 +7 43 LWLWWW
8 Casa Pia 29 11 7 11 34 37 -3 40 LLLWDL
9 Estoril 29 10 9 10 38 46 -8 39 LDDLWL
10 Moreirense 28 9 8 11 34 39 -5 35 LDDWDW
11 Nacional 29 9 5 15 27 38 -11 32 WLWLLW
12 Arouca 28 7 8 13 27 43 -16 29 DLWDLL
13 Rio Ave 28 7 8 13 30 47 -17 29 LWLLLL
14 Gil Vicente 29 6 8 15 27 43 -16 26 DLLWLL
15 Estrela 28 6 8 14 22 41 -19 26 DDDLLW
16 AVS 28 4 11 13 21 44 -23 23 DWLLLL
17 Farense 28 3 9 16 19 40 -21 18 DLDLLD
18 Boavista 29 4 6 19 19 47 -28 18 WLLLWL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 14 13 0 1 43 9 +34 39 LWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 14 11 2 1 33 11 +22 35 WWDWWD
3 Porto 14 10 3 1 31 9 +22 33 WDDDWL
4 Guimaraes 14 8 5 1 25 14 +11 29 DWDWWW
5 Sp Braga 14 8 3 3 27 16 +11 27 LWWWWW
6 Santa Clara 15 8 2 5 14 13 +1 26 LWLDWL
7 Casa Pia 15 7 4 4 19 15 +4 25 WWWLWL
8 Famalicao 15 6 6 3 17 10 +7 24 DDWWWW
9 Moreirense 14 6 6 2 19 16 +3 24 DLWDWD
10 Nacional 14 7 2 5 19 19 0 23 WLDWWL
11 Estoril 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22 DWWWDL
12 Rio Ave 14 5 6 3 21 22 -1 21 LDDWLL
13 Gil Vicente 15 4 4 7 16 18 -2 16 LLLLLL
14 Estrela 14 4 4 6 16 22 -6 16 LLLDDL
15 Arouca 14 3 5 6 11 18 -7 14 WDDLDL
16 AVS 14 3 5 6 11 20 -9 14 DWLDLL
17 Farense 14 2 2 10 7 20 -13 8 LLLLLD
18 Boavista 15 1 3 11 7 24 -17 6 LLWLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 15 10 4 1 42 13 +29 34 WDDWWW
2 Sp Braga 14 9 3 2 18 8 +10 30 WWDLWD
3 Benfica 14 9 2 3 26 14 +12 29 LWWWWW
4 Porto 15 8 2 5 24 16 +8 26 DWWLWW
5 Santa Clara 14 6 2 6 14 15 -1 20 DWDLWL
6 Guimaraes 15 4 7 4 16 15 +1 19 LDDWDW
7 Famalicao 14 5 4 5 21 21 0 19 LWWLLW
8 Estoril 15 4 5 6 20 27 -7 17 WDLDWL
9 Casa Pia 14 4 3 7 15 22 -7 15 WLLLLD
10 Arouca 14 4 3 7 16 25 -9 15 WDWDWL
11 Boavista 14 3 3 8 12 23 -11 12 LLLLLW
12 Moreirense 14 3 2 9 15 23 -8 11 DLLLDW
13 Farense 14 1 7 6 12 20 -8 10 DDLDDL
14 Estrela 14 2 4 8 6 19 -13 10 DLWDLW
15 Gil Vicente 14 2 4 8 11 25 -14 10 DLLLDW
16 Nacional 15 2 3 10 8 19 -11 9 LWLLLW
17 AVS 14 1 6 7 10 24 -14 9 LLDWLL
18 Rio Ave 14 2 2 10 9 25 -16 8 DWDLLL

Estrela   Farense

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 29 9 20 2.6 0.8 21 6 2 75 24 69 OOOOUU
2 9 Estoril 29 9 20 1.3 1.6 10 9 10 38 46 39 OOUOOO
3 2 Benfica 28 9 19 2.5 0.8 22 2 4 69 23 68 OOOOOO
4 13 Rio Ave 28 13 15 1.1 1.7 7 8 13 30 47 29 OOUOOU
5 3 Porto 29 15 14 1.9 0.9 18 5 6 55 25 59 UUUOOU
6 4 Sp Braga 28 14 14 1.6 0.9 17 6 5 45 24 57 UOUUOU
7 7 Famalicao 29 15 14 1.3 1.1 11 10 8 38 31 43 OUOOOO
8 10 Moreirense 28 14 14 1.2 1.4 9 8 11 34 39 35 UUUUOU
9 12 Arouca 28 14 14 1.0 1.5 7 8 13 27 43 29 OUUUOO
10 14 Gil Vicente 29 16 13 0.9 1.5 6 8 15 27 43 26 UUOOUU
11 18 Boavista 29 16 13 0.7 1.6 4 6 19 19 47 18 UOUOUU
12 5 Guimaraes 29 17 12 1.4 1.0 12 12 5 41 29 48 UOUOUU
13 8 Casa Pia 29 17 12 1.2 1.3 11 7 11 34 37 40 UOOOUU
14 11 Nacional 29 18 11 0.9 1.3 9 5 15 27 38 32 OOOUUU
15 17 Farense 28 17 11 0.7 1.4 3 9 16 19 40 18 OUOUOU
16 15 Estrela 28 18 10 0.8 1.5 6 8 14 22 41 26 UUUUOU
17 16 AVS 28 18 10 0.8 1.6 4 11 13 21 44 23 OUUUOO
18 6 Santa Clara 29 21 8 1.0 1.0 14 4 11 28 28 46 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 14 2 12 3.1 0.6 13 0 1 43 9 39 OOOOOO
2 9 Estoril 14 5 9 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22 OUOOOO
3 13 Rio Ave 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 5 6 3 21 22 21 OOUOOU
4 1 Sp Lisbon 14 6 8 2.4 0.8 11 2 1 33 11 35 UOOOOU
5 4 Sp Braga 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 27 16 27 OOUUUO
6 15 Estrela 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 6 16 22 16 OUOUUO
7 3 Porto 14 7 7 2.2 0.6 10 3 1 31 9 33 OUUUUO
8 5 Guimaraes 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 8 5 1 25 14 29 OUUUUU
9 10 Moreirense 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 6 6 2 19 16 24 UOOUUO
10 11 Nacional 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 7 2 5 19 19 23 OOOOOU
11 14 Gil Vicente 15 8 7 1.1 1.2 4 4 7 16 18 16 OUUOUU
12 7 Famalicao 15 10 5 1.1 0.7 6 6 3 17 10 24 UUUUOO
13 8 Casa Pia 15 10 5 1.3 1.0 7 4 4 19 15 25 OUUOOU
14 16 AVS 14 9 5 0.8 1.4 3 5 6 11 20 14 UUOOUO
15 17 Farense 14 9 5 0.5 1.4 2 2 10 7 20 8 OUUUUU
16 18 Boavista 15 10 5 0.5 1.6 1 3 11 7 24 6 UUUOOU
17 6 Santa Clara 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 8 2 5 14 13 26 OOUUUU
18 12 Arouca 14 10 4 0.8 1.3 3 5 6 11 18 14 UUOUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 15 3 12 2.8 0.9 10 4 1 42 13 34 OUOOOU
2 9 Estoril 15 4 11 1.3 1.8 4 5 6 20 27 17 OOOUOO
3 12 Arouca 14 4 10 1.1 1.8 4 3 7 16 25 15 OOOOUO
4 7 Famalicao 14 5 9 1.5 1.5 5 4 5 21 21 19 OUUOOO
5 18 Boavista 14 6 8 0.9 1.6 3 3 8 12 23 12 OOOOUU
6 2 Benfica 14 7 7 1.9 1.0 9 2 3 26 14 29 OOUOOO
7 3 Porto 15 8 7 1.6 1.1 8 2 5 24 16 26 OUUUOU
8 8 Casa Pia 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 4 3 7 15 22 15 OOOUOU
9 10 Moreirense 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 3 2 9 15 23 11 OUOUUU
10 4 Sp Braga 14 8 6 1.3 0.6 9 3 2 18 8 30 UOUOUU
11 13 Rio Ave 14 8 6 0.6 1.8 2 2 10 9 25 8 UOUOUO
12 14 Gil Vicente 14 8 6 0.8 1.8 2 4 8 11 25 10 UUUUUO
13 17 Farense 14 8 6 0.9 1.4 1 7 6 12 20 10 UUOOOO
14 5 Guimaraes 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 4 7 4 16 15 19 UUUOOU
15 16 AVS 14 9 5 0.7 1.7 1 6 7 10 24 9 OUUUUO
16 6 Santa Clara 14 10 4 1.0 1.1 6 2 6 14 15 20 UOUUUU
17 11 Nacional 15 11 4 0.5 1.3 2 3 10 8 19 9 UUUOUU
18 15 Estrela 14 12 2 0.4 1.4 2 4 8 6 19 10 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10