Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.40 fair 2.55
Draw 3.30 fair 3.80
Away 2.90 fair 2.90
Under 2.5 1.65 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Casa Pia
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 5
11 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (228 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawCasa Pia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
1.04points / match
0.92scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 23:35
Casa Pia before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.24scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 31:32
Nacional all matches all matches Casa Pia

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.24
1.40 Goals conceded 1.28
2.32 Total goals 2.52
12.60 Shots 10.28
3.88 Shots on target 3.52
14.84 Shots faced 13.96
4.04 Corners 3.96
6.48 Corners against 5.24
13.80 Fouls 14.76
2.48 Yellow cards 2.36
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

28% Wins 40%
20% Draws 24%
52% Losses 36%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
72% Over 1.5 goals 76%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
16% Over 3.5 goals 28%
4% Over 4.5 goals 8%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 56%
28% Clean sheets 20%
44% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 28%
40% Draws 52%
36% Losses 20%
72% Over 0.5 goals 68%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
12% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Casa Pia all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.33scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:17
Casa Pia before this match, away
1.17points / match
1.17scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:19
Nacional at home away Casa Pia

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.17
1.42 Goals conceded 1.58
2.75 Total goals 2.75
13.67 Shots 9.17
4.67 Shots on target 3.42
13.25 Shots faced 15.92
4.17 Corners 3.33
5.58 Corners against 6.00
13.58 Fouls 16.00
2.50 Yellow cards 1.92
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
17% Draws 17%
33% Losses 50%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
8% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 50%
42% Clean sheets 17%
25% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 17%
42% Draws 58%
17% Losses 25%
67% Over 0.5 goals 58%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Casa Pia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Benfica – Nacional 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.60
01.03.25 Nacional – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 2.603.002.90 2.20 1.65
21.02.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
15.02.25 Nacional – Estoril 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.203.30 2.15 1.67
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65
01.02.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
25.01.25 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 1–3 (1–2) 6.503.901.53 1.85 2.00
01.03.25 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 2.15 1.67
22.02.25 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.50 2.50 1.50
15.02.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 3–2 (3–0) 2.353.003.30 2.50 1.50
09.02.25 Casa Pia – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.404.50 2.30 1.60
01.02.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.103.80 2.70 1.44
25.01.25 Casa Pia – Benfica 3–1 (1–1) 8.504.751.38 1.70 2.10
20.01.25 Boavista – Casa Pia 2–3 (1–2) 3.403.002.30 2.40 1.53
05.01.25 Casa Pia – Famalicao 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.103.20 2.50 1.50
29.12.24 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.83 2.03

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Nacional – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 2.603.002.90 2.20 1.65
15.02.25 Nacional – Estoril 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.203.30 2.15 1.67
01.02.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25

Casa Pia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 2.15 1.67
15.02.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 3–2 (3–0) 2.353.003.30 2.50 1.50
01.02.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.103.80 2.70 1.44
20.01.25 Boavista – Casa Pia 2–3 (1–2) 3.403.002.30 2.40 1.53
29.12.24 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.83 2.03
15.12.24 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.102.75 2.25 1.62
02.12.24 Porto – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.2513.00 1.53 2.40
02.11.24 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.65
05.10.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.1310.0013.00 1.40 2.88
22.09.24 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.103.80 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsCasa Pia wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.24P1 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 26 19 5 2 70 23 +47 62 DDDWWW
2 Benfica 24 18 2 4 56 18 +38 56 LWWWWW
3 Porto 26 16 5 5 51 20 +31 53 DWDWLW
4 Sp Braga 26 16 5 5 42 22 +20 53 WDWLWW
5 Santa Clara 26 13 4 9 27 25 +2 43 WLDLDW
6 Guimaraes 25 9 11 5 34 27 +7 38 WDDDWW
7 Casa Pia 25 10 6 9 31 32 -1 36 LWLWLL
8 Estoril 25 9 8 8 33 40 -7 35 WWDWLD
9 Famalicao 26 8 10 8 29 29 0 34 DWWLWL
10 Rio Ave 25 7 8 10 27 40 -13 29 DDDLWL
11 Moreirense 25 7 7 11 30 37 -7 28 LLWLDD
12 Arouca 25 7 7 11 24 38 -14 28 WDDDLW
13 Nacional 25 7 5 13 23 35 -12 26 LWDLWL
14 Gil Vicente 25 5 8 12 24 37 -13 23 LLLLDL
15 Estrela 25 5 8 12 21 36 -15 23 LLWDDD
16 AVS 26 4 11 11 20 37 -17 23 LDDWLL
17 Farense 26 3 8 15 17 37 -20 17 LLDLDL
18 Boavista 25 3 6 16 16 42 -26 15 LLLLWL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 13 12 0 1 40 7 +33 36 WLWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 13 11 1 1 32 10 +22 34 WWWDWW
3 Porto 13 10 3 0 30 5 +25 33 WWDDDW
4 Sp Braga 13 7 3 3 25 15 +10 24 DLWWWW
5 Guimaraes 12 6 5 1 21 14 +7 23 DDDWDW
6 Santa Clara 13 7 2 4 13 12 +1 23 LDLWLD
7 Casa Pia 13 6 4 3 17 13 +4 22 WDWWWL
8 Estoril 13 6 4 3 17 17 0 22 LDWWWD
9 Rio Ave 12 5 6 1 19 17 +2 21 DWLDDW
10 Moreirense 12 5 5 2 16 14 +2 20 LDDLWD
11 Nacional 12 6 2 4 16 17 -1 20 LWWLDW
12 Famalicao 13 4 6 3 10 9 +1 18 LLDDWW
13 Gil Vicente 12 4 4 4 16 13 +3 16 DDWLLL
14 Estrela 13 4 4 5 16 19 -3 16 WLLLDD
15 AVS 13 3 5 5 11 17 -6 14 DDWLDL
16 Arouca 12 3 4 5 9 15 -6 13 WDWDDL
17 Farense 13 2 1 10 7 20 -13 7 DLLLLL
18 Boavista 13 1 3 9 6 20 -14 6 LLLLWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Braga 13 9 2 2 17 7 +10 29 WWWDLW
2 Sp Lisbon 13 8 4 1 38 13 +25 28 DDWDDW
3 Porto 13 6 2 5 21 15 +6 20 LLDWWL
4 Benfica 11 6 2 3 16 11 +5 20 DWLLWW
5 Santa Clara 13 6 2 5 14 13 +1 20 WDWDLW
6 Famalicao 13 4 4 5 19 20 -1 16 DLWWLL
7 Guimaraes 13 3 6 4 13 13 0 15 DDLDDW
8 Arouca 13 4 3 6 15 23 -8 15 LWDWDW
9 Casa Pia 12 4 2 6 14 19 -5 14 WWWLLL
10 Estoril 12 3 4 5 16 23 -7 13 LWWWDL
11 Farense 13 1 7 5 10 17 -7 10 WDDLDD
12 AVS 13 1 6 6 9 20 -11 9 DLLDWL
13 Boavista 12 2 3 7 10 22 -12 9 DLLLLL
14 Moreirense 13 2 2 9 14 23 -9 8 LDLLLD
15 Rio Ave 13 2 2 9 8 23 -15 8 LDWDLL
16 Estrela 12 1 4 7 5 17 -12 7 LDDLWD
17 Gil Vicente 13 1 4 8 8 24 -16 7 WDLLLD
18 Nacional 13 1 3 9 7 18 -11 6 DLLWLL

Nacional   Casa Pia

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 26 7 19 2.7 0.9 19 5 2 70 23 62 UOOOOO
2 8 Estoril 25 8 17 1.3 1.6 9 8 8 33 40 35 OOOOOO
3 2 Benfica 24 9 15 2.3 0.8 18 2 4 56 18 56 OOOUOO
4 4 Sp Braga 26 13 13 1.6 0.8 16 5 5 42 22 53 UUUOUU
5 10 Rio Ave 25 12 13 1.1 1.6 7 8 10 27 40 29 OUUOOU
6 11 Moreirense 25 12 13 1.2 1.5 7 7 11 30 37 28 OOOUUU
7 3 Porto 26 14 12 2.0 0.8 16 5 5 51 20 53 UUUUUU
8 12 Arouca 25 13 12 1.0 1.5 7 7 11 24 38 28 OUOOUU
9 18 Boavista 25 13 12 0.6 1.7 3 6 16 16 42 15 UOUOUO
10 6 Guimaraes 25 14 11 1.4 1.1 9 11 5 34 27 38 UUUUUO
11 9 Famalicao 26 15 11 1.1 1.1 8 10 8 29 29 34 UUUOUO
12 14 Gil Vicente 25 14 11 1.0 1.5 5 8 12 24 37 23 OUUUUU
13 7 Casa Pia 25 15 10 1.2 1.3 10 6 9 31 32 36 OUOUUO
14 13 Nacional 25 15 10 0.9 1.4 7 5 13 23 35 26 OUOUOO
15 17 Farense 26 16 10 0.7 1.4 3 8 15 17 37 17 UUOUOU
16 15 Estrela 25 16 9 0.8 1.4 5 8 12 21 36 23 OUUUUU
17 5 Santa Clara 26 18 8 1.0 1.0 13 4 9 27 25 43 OUUUUU
18 16 AVS 26 18 8 0.8 1.4 4 11 11 20 37 23 OUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 13 2 11 3.1 0.5 12 0 1 40 7 36 OOOOOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 13 5 8 2.5 0.8 11 1 1 32 10 34 UUOOOO
3 8 Estoril 13 5 8 1.3 1.3 6 4 3 17 17 22 UOUOOO
4 10 Rio Ave 12 4 8 1.6 1.4 5 6 1 19 17 21 OOOOUO
5 4 Sp Braga 13 6 7 1.9 1.2 7 3 3 25 15 24 OOOUUU
6 6 Guimaraes 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 6 5 1 21 14 23 OOOUUU
7 15 Estrela 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 4 4 5 16 19 16 UOUOUU
8 3 Porto 13 7 6 2.3 0.4 10 3 0 30 5 33 UOUUUU
9 11 Moreirense 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 5 5 2 16 14 20 OUUOOU
10 13 Nacional 12 6 6 1.3 1.4 6 2 4 16 17 20 UUOOOO
11 14 Gil Vicente 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 4 4 4 16 13 16 UUOOUU
12 17 Farense 13 8 5 0.5 1.5 2 1 10 7 20 7 OOUUUU
13 5 Santa Clara 13 9 4 1.0 0.9 7 2 4 13 12 23 UUOOUU
14 7 Casa Pia 13 9 4 1.3 1.0 6 4 3 17 13 22 OUOUUO
15 16 AVS 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 3 5 5 11 17 14 UUUOOU
16 18 Boavista 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 1 3 9 6 20 6 OOUUUO
17 9 Famalicao 13 10 3 0.8 0.7 4 6 3 10 9 18 OOUUUU
18 12 Arouca 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 9 15 13 UUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 13 2 11 2.9 1.0 8 4 1 38 13 28 UOOUOO
2 8 Estoril 12 3 9 1.3 1.9 3 4 5 16 23 13 OOOOOO
3 12 Arouca 13 4 9 1.2 1.8 4 3 6 15 23 15 OOOOOU
4 9 Famalicao 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 4 4 5 19 20 16 UOUUOO
5 18 Boavista 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 2 3 7 10 22 9 UOOOOO
6 11 Moreirense 13 6 7 1.1 1.8 2 2 9 14 23 8 UOUOUU
7 3 Porto 13 7 6 1.6 1.2 6 2 5 21 15 20 UOOUUU
8 4 Sp Braga 13 7 6 1.3 0.5 9 2 2 17 7 29 OUOUOU
9 7 Casa Pia 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 4 2 6 14 19 14 UOOOOU
10 10 Rio Ave 13 8 5 0.6 1.8 2 2 9 8 23 8 UUOUOU
11 14 Gil Vicente 13 8 5 0.6 1.8 1 4 8 8 24 7 UUUUUU
12 17 Farense 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 1 7 5 10 17 10 OUUOOO
13 2 Benfica 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 16 11 20 UUUOOU
14 5 Santa Clara 13 9 4 1.1 1.0 6 2 5 14 13 20 OUOUUU
15 6 Guimaraes 13 9 4 1.0 1.0 3 6 4 13 13 15 OOUUUO
16 13 Nacional 13 9 4 0.5 1.4 1 3 9 7 18 6 OOUUUO
17 16 AVS 13 9 4 0.7 1.5 1 6 6 9 20 9 UOUUUU
18 15 Estrela 12 10 2 0.4 1.4 1 4 7 5 17 7 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10