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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 3–1 AVS

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.35
Draw 3.20 fair 3.64
Away 3.75 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.75
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.34

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional AVS
17 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 6
12 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (157 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawAVS
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 12.2% 0–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
0.76scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 13:23
AVS before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.76scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 13:24
Nacional all matches all matches AVS

Per match

0.76 Goals scored 0.76
1.35 Goals conceded 1.41
2.12 Total goals 2.18
12.47 Shots 10.76
3.76 Shots on target 2.76
14.76 Shots faced 13.71
4.24 Corners 3.76
6.71 Corners against 5.06
13.47 Fouls 12.59
2.29 Yellow cards 2.76
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

24% Wins 12%
24% Draws 53%
53% Losses 35%
88% Over 0.5 goals 82%
65% Over 1.5 goals 65%
29% Over 2.5 goals 29%
12% Over 3.5 goals 18%
6% Over 4.5 goals 18%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
29% Both teams scored 53%
35% Clean sheets 29%
47% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 0%
47% Draws 59%
29% Losses 41%
65% Over 0.5 goals 65%
29% Over 1.5 goals 35%
6% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
AVS all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.63points / match
1.00scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:11
AVS before this match, away
0.63points / match
0.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:12
Nacional at home away AVS

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded 1.50
2.38 Total goals 2.25
11.88 Shots 10.00
4.25 Shots on target 2.13
14.13 Shots faced 13.63
4.38 Corners 4.00
6.13 Corners against 5.38
12.88 Fouls 13.13
2.13 Yellow cards 2.75
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
13% Draws 63%
38% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 38%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
13% Both teams scored 63%
63% Clean sheets 25%
38% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 0%
50% Draws 63%
13% Losses 38%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 50%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 8 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
AVS away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62

AVS all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Moreirense – AVS 1–1 (1–1) 1.803.404.50 2.40 1.53
28.12.24 AVS – Estrela 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.003.10 2.25 1.62
21.12.24 Boavista – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.30 2.35 1.57
15.12.24 AVS – Benfica 1–1 (0–1) 13.007.001.18 1.53 2.40
08.12.24 Casa Pia – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.25 1.62
01.12.24 AVS – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.503.901.60 1.85 2.00
09.11.24 Estoril – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.50 2.25 1.62
03.11.24 AVS – Famalicao 2–3 (2–2) 3.103.002.45 2.50 1.50
28.10.24 AVS – Porto 0–5 (0–4) 9.005.501.30 1.75 2.05
05.10.24 Arouca – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.30 2.15 1.67

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
01.09.24 Nacional – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

AVS away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Moreirense – AVS 1–1 (1–1) 1.803.404.50 2.40 1.53
21.12.24 Boavista – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.30 2.35 1.57
08.12.24 Casa Pia – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.25 1.62
09.11.24 Estoril – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.50 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Arouca – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.30 2.15 1.67
22.09.24 Sp Lisbon – AVS 3–0 (2–0) 1.0712.0023.00 1.30 3.50
31.08.24 Santa Clara – AVS 2–1 (1–1) 1.803.404.75 2.10 1.70
16.08.24 Gil Vicente – AVS 4–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.30 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsAVS wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.08.24P1 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 18 14 2 2 51 14 +37 44 LWDWDW
2 Benfica 18 13 2 3 42 11 +31 41 DWWLLW
3 Porto 17 13 1 3 40 11 +29 40 WDWWWL
4 Sp Braga 17 9 4 4 30 19 +11 31 WDDWLW
5 Santa Clara 18 10 1 7 20 19 +1 31 WLLWDL
6 Guimaraes 18 6 8 4 28 24 +4 26 LDDDDD
7 Casa Pia 17 6 6 5 19 20 -1 24 LDWWWD
8 Moreirense 17 6 4 7 22 25 -3 22 LWLLDD
9 Estoril 18 5 6 7 21 30 -9 21 DLLDWW
10 Famalicao 18 4 8 6 20 24 -4 20 DDLLDL
11 Rio Ave 18 5 5 8 18 31 -13 20 LDLWDL
12 Gil Vicente 17 4 7 6 19 26 -7 19 LWWDDD
13 Nacional 17 4 4 9 13 23 -10 16 LWLDLW
14 Estrela 17 4 4 9 16 29 -13 16 LWLWDL
15 Arouca 18 4 4 10 15 30 -15 16 LWLDWD
16 AVS 17 2 9 6 13 24 -11 15 LDDDDD
17 Farense 17 3 5 9 11 23 -12 14 WDLWDD
18 Boavista 17 2 6 9 11 26 -15 12 DDLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 10 9 0 1 31 5 +26 27 WWWWLW
2 Porto 9 9 0 0 25 2 +23 27 WWWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 8 7 0 1 19 5 +14 21 WWWLWW
4 Santa Clara 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19 WWWLDL
5 Guimaraes 9 4 4 1 18 14 +4 16 DWWDDD
6 Rio Ave 9 4 4 1 14 13 +1 16 DDWDWL
7 Moreirense 8 4 3 1 11 9 +2 15 DWWWLD
8 Estrela 9 4 2 3 13 14 -1 14 WDWWWL
9 Gil Vicente 8 3 4 1 12 7 +5 13 DWLWDD
10 Casa Pia 9 3 4 2 11 9 +2 13 DWDDWD
11 Nacional 8 4 1 3 8 11 -3 13 LWDWLW
12 Sp Braga 9 3 3 3 18 15 +3 12 WWLDDL
13 Estoril 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12 LWDWLD
14 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 7 9 -2 10 DLDDLL
15 AVS 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10 DLLLDD
16 Arouca 8 2 2 4 5 10 -5 8 LDLLWD
17 Farense 8 2 1 5 6 13 -7 7 LWLWLD
18 Boavista 8 0 3 5 2 12 -10 3 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 7 2 1 32 9 +23 23 WWLDDW
2 Sp Braga 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19 WLWWWW
3 Benfica 8 4 2 2 11 6 +5 14 WWWDWL
4 Porto 8 4 1 3 15 9 +6 13 WWLDWL
5 Santa Clara 8 4 0 4 10 10 0 12 LLLWLW
6 Casa Pia 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 DLDLWW
7 Guimaraes 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10 DDLLDD
8 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 13 15 -2 10 DWLDDL
9 Boavista 9 2 3 4 9 14 -5 9 LDWDLL
10 Estoril 9 2 3 4 11 17 -6 9 LLDLWW
11 Arouca 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8 LDLLWD
12 Moreirense 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7 LWLLLD
13 Farense 9 1 4 4 5 10 -5 7 DLDDWD
14 Gil Vicente 9 1 3 5 7 19 -12 6 LLLLWD
15 AVS 8 0 5 3 6 12 -6 5 LDDDDD
16 Rio Ave 9 1 1 7 4 18 -14 4 LLWLLD
17 Nacional 9 0 3 6 5 12 -7 3 DLLLDL
18 Estrela 8 0 2 6 3 15 -12 2 LLLLLD

Nacional   AVS

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 18 5 13 2.8 0.8 14 2 2 51 14 44 OOUUOO
2 9 Estoril 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 5 6 7 21 30 21 OUOOOO
3 2 Benfica 18 8 10 2.3 0.6 13 2 3 42 11 41 UUOUOO
4 3 Porto 17 7 10 2.4 0.6 13 1 3 40 11 40 UUUOOU
5 4 Sp Braga 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 9 4 4 30 19 31 UOOUOO
6 6 Guimaraes 18 8 10 1.6 1.3 6 8 4 28 24 26 UOOOOO
7 8 Moreirense 17 7 10 1.3 1.5 6 4 7 22 25 22 OOUOOU
8 10 Famalicao 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 4 8 6 20 24 20 UOOOUO
9 11 Rio Ave 18 9 9 1.0 1.7 5 5 8 18 31 20 UOUOUO
10 12 Gil Vicente 17 8 9 1.1 1.5 4 7 6 19 26 19 OOUUUU
11 15 Arouca 18 9 9 0.8 1.7 4 4 10 15 30 16 OUOUOO
12 14 Estrela 17 9 8 0.9 1.7 4 4 9 16 29 16 UOUUUO
13 18 Boavista 17 10 7 0.6 1.5 2 6 9 11 26 12 UUOUOO
14 5 Santa Clara 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 10 1 7 20 19 31 UUUOUO
15 17 Farense 17 11 6 0.6 1.4 3 5 9 11 23 14 UUUOOU
16 7 Casa Pia 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 6 6 5 19 20 24 UUUOOU
17 13 Nacional 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 4 4 9 13 23 16 OUUOOU
18 16 AVS 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 2 9 6 13 24 15 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 10 2 8 3.1 0.5 9 0 1 31 5 27 OOUOOO
2 6 Guimaraes 9 2 7 2.0 1.6 4 4 1 18 14 16 OUOOOO
3 3 Porto 9 3 6 2.8 0.2 9 0 0 25 2 27 OOOUUO
4 4 Sp Braga 9 3 6 2.0 1.7 3 3 3 18 15 12 OUOOOO
5 11 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 4 1 14 13 16 UOOOOO
6 14 Estrela 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 4 2 3 13 14 14 OOUOUO
7 9 Estoril 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12 OOUOUO
8 1 Sp Lisbon 8 4 4 2.4 0.6 7 0 1 19 5 21 OUOUOU
9 8 Moreirense 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 4 3 1 11 9 15 UUOOOU
10 12 Gil Vicente 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 3 4 1 12 7 13 UOOOUU
11 17 Farense 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 2 1 5 6 13 7 UUOUUO
12 5 Santa Clara 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19 OUUUUO
13 10 Famalicao 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 2 4 3 7 9 10 UOUUOO
14 7 Casa Pia 9 7 2 1.2 1.0 3 4 2 11 9 13 UUUUOU
15 13 Nacional 8 6 2 1.0 1.4 4 1 3 8 11 13 OUUUUU
16 15 Arouca 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 2 2 4 5 10 8 OUOUUU
17 16 AVS 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10 UOOUUU
18 18 Boavista 8 6 2 0.2 1.5 0 3 5 2 12 3 OUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 10 1 9 3.2 0.9 7 2 1 32 9 23 OOOUOO
2 15 Arouca 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8 OUOOOO
3 8 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7 OUUOUO
4 9 Estoril 9 3 6 1.2 1.9 2 3 4 11 17 9 UOOOOO
5 10 Famalicao 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 2 4 3 13 15 10 UOOOUO
6 12 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 3 5 7 19 6 OOOOUU
7 18 Boavista 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 4 9 14 9 UOOUOO
8 3 Porto 8 4 4 1.9 1.1 4 1 3 15 9 13 OOOUOU
9 4 Sp Braga 8 4 4 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19 OOOUUO
10 5 Santa Clara 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 4 0 4 10 10 12 OUUUUO
11 6 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10 UOUUOO
12 7 Casa Pia 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 UUOUUO
13 11 Rio Ave 9 6 3 0.4 2.0 1 1 7 4 18 4 OOUUUU
14 13 Nacional 9 6 3 0.6 1.3 0 3 6 5 12 3 UUUOOO
15 16 AVS 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 0 5 3 6 12 5 OUUUUU
16 2 Benfica 8 6 2 1.4 0.8 4 2 2 11 6 14 OOUUUU
17 14 Estrela 8 6 2 0.4 1.9 0 2 6 3 15 2 UOOUUU
18 17 Farense 9 7 2 0.6 1.1 1 4 4 5 10 7 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10