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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Moreirense 1–1 Nacional

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.20 fair 2.21
Draw ✓ 3.10 fair 3.71
Away 3.60 fair 3.61
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.77
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.30

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Moreirense Nacional
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 5
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (274 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
MoreirenseDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 12.4% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.17scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 35:44
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
0.90scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 27:41
Moreirense all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 0.90
1.47 Goals conceded 1.37
2.63 Total goals 2.27
10.20 Shots 13.13
3.70 Shots on target 4.10
12.27 Shots faced 14.50
3.17 Corners 4.33
5.13 Corners against 6.07
14.77 Fouls 13.57
2.40 Yellow cards 2.40
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

30% Wins 30%
27% Draws 17%
43% Losses 53%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 40%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
13% Over 4.5 goals 3%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
60% Both teams scored 33%
20% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 27%
47% Draws 37%
27% Losses 37%
60% Over 0.5 goals 73%
30% Over 1.5 goals 30%
17% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches
Nacional all matches
Moreirense before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.27scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:18
Nacional before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.53scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 8:19
Moreirense at home away Nacional

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.53
1.20 Goals conceded 1.27
2.47 Total goals 1.80
10.93 Shots 11.67
3.93 Shots on target 3.33
11.40 Shots faced 16.40
3.27 Corners 4.13
4.80 Corners against 7.00
16.00 Fouls 14.00
2.40 Yellow cards 2.60
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

40% Wins 13%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 67%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 53%
47% Over 2.5 goals 27%
27% Over 3.5 goals 7%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 27%
27% Clean sheets 20%
27% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 13%
53% Draws 33%
13% Losses 53%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
33% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–1 (2–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.65 2.20
13.04.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.254.10 2.20 1.65
06.04.25 Gil Vicente – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.102.90 2.50 1.50
30.03.25 Moreirense – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 3.603.102.15 2.50 1.50
16.03.25 Moreirense – Boavista 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.305.25 2.35 1.57
09.03.25 Santa Clara – Moreirense 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.104.10 2.70 1.41
02.03.25 Moreirense – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.004.75 2.50 1.50
23.02.25 Famalicao – Moreirense 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.40 1.53
15.02.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 3–2 (3–0) 2.353.003.30 2.50 1.50
08.02.25 Benfica – Moreirense 3–2 (3–1) 1.187.0013.00 1.57 2.35

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.62
12.04.25 Boavista – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.15 1.67
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57
30.03.25 Santa Clara – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.204.33 2.50 1.50
16.03.25 Nacional – Casa Pia 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.302.90 2.20 1.65
08.03.25 Benfica – Nacional 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.60
01.03.25 Nacional – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 2.603.002.90 2.20 1.65
21.02.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
15.02.25 Nacional – Estoril 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.203.30 2.15 1.67
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65

Moreirense at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.254.10 2.20 1.65
30.03.25 Moreirense – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 3.603.102.15 2.50 1.50
16.03.25 Moreirense – Boavista 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.305.25 2.35 1.57
02.03.25 Moreirense – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.004.75 2.50 1.50
15.02.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 3–2 (3–0) 2.353.003.30 2.50 1.50
03.02.25 Moreirense – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.05 1.75
19.01.25 Moreirense – Farense 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.204.33 2.50 1.50
04.01.25 Moreirense – AVS 1–1 (1–1) 1.803.404.50 2.40 1.53
21.12.24 Moreirense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 7.004.101.48 2.05 1.75
05.12.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (2–1) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Boavista – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.15 1.67
30.03.25 Santa Clara – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.204.33 2.50 1.50
08.03.25 Benfica – Nacional 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.60
21.02.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65
25.01.25 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Moreirense winsDrawsNacional wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24P1 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 30 22 6 2 78 25 +53 72 WWWDWW
2 Benfica 30 23 3 4 74 25 +49 72 WWWWDW
3 Sp Braga 31 19 7 5 52 26 +26 64 WWDWWD
4 Porto 31 19 5 7 57 28 +29 62 WWLWWL
5 Santa Clara 31 15 5 11 31 29 +2 50 WWLLDW
6 Guimaraes 30 12 12 6 41 32 +9 48 WWDWWL
7 Famalicao 31 11 11 9 40 34 +6 44 LWWWLD
8 Casa Pia 30 11 8 11 35 38 -3 41 LLWDLD
9 Estoril 30 10 9 11 38 48 -10 39 DDLWLL
10 Moreirense 30 9 8 13 35 44 -9 35 DWDWLL
11 Rio Ave 30 8 9 13 33 48 -15 33 LLLLWD
12 Arouca 31 8 9 14 30 47 -17 33 DLLDWL
13 Gil Vicente 31 8 8 15 31 43 -12 32 LWLLWW
14 Nacional 30 9 5 16 27 41 -14 32 LWLLWL
15 Estrela 31 7 8 16 24 43 -19 29 LLWLLW
16 AVS 30 4 12 14 23 49 -26 24 LLLLLD
17 Farense 31 4 9 18 20 42 -22 21 LLDWLL
18 Boavista 30 5 6 19 20 47 -27 21 LLLWLW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 15 13 1 1 45 11 +34 40 WWWWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 15 12 2 1 36 12 +24 38 WDWWDW
3 Porto 15 11 3 1 33 10 +23 36 DDDWLW
4 Sp Braga 15 9 3 3 31 17 +14 30 WWWWWW
5 Guimaraes 15 8 5 2 25 17 +8 29 WDWWWL
6 Santa Clara 16 9 2 5 16 13 +3 29 WLDWLW
7 Famalicao 16 6 7 3 18 11 +7 25 DWWWWD
8 Casa Pia 15 7 4 4 19 15 +4 25 WWWLWL
9 Moreirense 15 6 6 3 19 18 +1 24 LWDWDL
10 Nacional 15 7 2 6 19 22 -3 23 LDWWLL
11 Rio Ave 15 5 7 3 22 23 -1 22 DDWLLD
12 Estoril 15 6 4 5 18 21 -3 22 WWWDLL
13 Gil Vicente 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19 LLLLLW
14 Estrela 16 5 4 7 18 23 -5 19 LDDLLW
15 Arouca 15 4 5 6 12 18 -6 17 DDLDLW
16 AVS 15 3 6 6 12 21 -9 15 WLDLLD
17 Farense 15 2 2 11 7 21 -14 8 LLLLDL
18 Boavista 15 1 3 11 7 24 -17 6 LLWLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 15 10 4 1 42 13 +29 34 WDDWWW
2 Sp Braga 16 10 4 2 21 9 +12 34 DLWDWD
3 Benfica 15 10 2 3 29 14 +15 32 WWWWWW
4 Porto 16 8 2 6 24 18 +6 26 WWLWWL
5 Santa Clara 15 6 3 6 15 16 -1 21 WDLWLD
6 Guimaraes 15 4 7 4 16 15 +1 19 LDDWDW
7 Famalicao 15 5 4 6 22 23 -1 19 WWLLWL
8 Estoril 15 4 5 6 20 27 -7 17 WDLDWL
9 Casa Pia 15 4 4 7 16 23 -7 16 LLLLDD
10 Arouca 16 4 4 8 18 29 -11 16 WDWLDL
11 Boavista 15 4 3 8 13 23 -10 15 LLLLWW
12 Farense 16 2 7 7 13 21 -8 13 LDDLWL
13 Gil Vicente 15 3 4 8 14 25 -11 13 LLLDWW
14 Moreirense 15 3 2 10 16 26 -10 11 LLLDWL
15 Rio Ave 15 3 2 10 11 25 -14 11 WDLLLW
16 Estrela 15 2 4 9 6 20 -14 10 LWDLWL
17 Nacional 15 2 3 10 8 19 -11 9 LWLLLW
18 AVS 15 1 6 8 11 28 -17 9 LDWLLL

Moreirense   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 30 9 21 2.6 0.8 22 6 2 78 25 72 OOOUUO
2 2 Benfica 30 9 21 2.5 0.8 23 3 4 74 25 72 OOOOOO
3 9 Estoril 30 10 20 1.3 1.6 10 9 11 38 48 39 OUOOOU
4 3 Sp Braga 31 16 15 1.7 0.8 19 7 5 52 26 64 UOUOUU
5 4 Porto 31 16 15 1.8 0.9 19 5 7 57 28 62 UOOUOU
6 7 Famalicao 31 16 15 1.3 1.1 11 11 9 40 34 44 OOOOOU
7 10 Moreirense 30 15 15 1.2 1.5 9 8 13 35 44 35 UUOUUO
8 11 Rio Ave 30 15 15 1.1 1.6 8 9 13 33 48 33 UOOUUU
9 12 Arouca 31 16 15 1.0 1.5 8 9 14 30 47 33 UOOOUU
10 13 Gil Vicente 31 17 14 1.0 1.4 8 8 15 31 43 32 OOUUOU
11 6 Guimaraes 30 17 13 1.4 1.1 12 12 6 41 32 48 OUOUUO
12 18 Boavista 30 17 13 0.7 1.6 5 6 19 20 47 21 OUOUUU
13 8 Casa Pia 30 18 12 1.2 1.3 11 8 11 35 38 41 OOOUUU
14 14 Nacional 30 18 12 0.9 1.4 9 5 16 27 41 32 OOUUUO
15 16 AVS 30 19 11 0.8 1.6 4 12 14 23 49 24 UUOOOU
16 17 Farense 31 20 11 0.6 1.4 4 9 18 20 42 21 UOUUUU
17 15 Estrela 31 21 10 0.8 1.4 7 8 16 24 43 29 UOUUUU
18 5 Santa Clara 31 23 8 1.0 0.9 15 5 11 31 29 50 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 15 2 13 3.0 0.7 13 1 1 45 11 40 OOOOOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 15 6 9 2.4 0.8 12 2 1 36 12 38 OOOOUO
3 3 Sp Braga 15 6 9 2.1 1.1 9 3 3 31 17 30 OUUUOO
4 9 Estoril 15 6 9 1.2 1.4 6 4 5 18 21 22 UOOOOU
5 11 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.5 1.5 5 7 3 22 23 22 OUOOUU
6 4 Porto 15 7 8 2.2 0.7 11 3 1 33 10 36 UUUUOO
7 6 Guimaraes 15 7 8 1.7 1.1 8 5 2 25 17 29 UUUUUO
8 14 Nacional 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 7 2 6 19 22 23 OOOOUO
9 15 Estrela 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 5 4 7 18 23 19 OUUOUU
10 10 Moreirense 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 6 6 3 19 18 24 OOUUOU
11 13 Gil Vicente 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 17 18 19 UUOUUU
12 7 Famalicao 16 11 5 1.1 0.7 6 7 3 18 11 25 UUUOOU
13 8 Casa Pia 15 10 5 1.3 1.0 7 4 4 19 15 25 OUUOOU
14 16 AVS 15 10 5 0.8 1.4 3 6 6 12 21 15 UOOUOU
15 17 Farense 15 10 5 0.5 1.4 2 2 11 7 21 8 UUUUUU
16 18 Boavista 15 10 5 0.5 1.6 1 3 11 7 24 6 UUUOOU
17 5 Santa Clara 16 12 4 1.0 0.8 9 2 5 16 13 29 OUUUUU
18 12 Arouca 15 11 4 0.8 1.2 4 5 6 12 18 17 UOUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 15 3 12 2.8 0.9 10 4 1 42 13 34 OUOOOU
2 9 Estoril 15 4 11 1.3 1.8 4 5 6 20 27 17 OOOUOO
3 12 Arouca 16 5 11 1.1 1.8 4 4 8 18 29 16 OOUOOU
4 7 Famalicao 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 5 4 6 22 23 19 UUOOOO
5 2 Benfica 15 7 8 1.9 0.9 10 2 3 29 14 32 OUOOOO
6 10 Moreirense 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 3 2 10 16 26 11 UOUUUO
7 18 Boavista 15 7 8 0.9 1.5 4 3 8 13 23 15 OOOUUU
8 4 Porto 16 9 7 1.5 1.1 8 2 6 24 18 26 UUUOUU
9 8 Casa Pia 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 16 23 16 OOUOUU
10 13 Gil Vicente 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 3 4 8 14 25 13 UUUUOO
11 3 Sp Braga 16 10 6 1.3 0.6 10 4 2 21 9 34 UOUUUU
12 11 Rio Ave 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 3 2 10 11 25 11 OUOUOU
13 16 AVS 15 9 6 0.7 1.9 1 6 8 11 28 9 UUUUOO
14 17 Farense 16 10 6 0.8 1.3 2 7 7 13 21 13 OOOOUU
15 6 Guimaraes 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 4 7 4 16 15 19 UUUOOU
16 5 Santa Clara 15 11 4 1.0 1.1 6 3 6 15 16 21 OUUUUU
17 14 Nacional 15 11 4 0.5 1.3 2 3 10 8 19 9 UUUOUU
18 15 Estrela 15 13 2 0.4 1.3 2 4 9 6 20 10 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47