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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 1–0 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.38
Draw 3.30 fair 3.84
Away 3.10 fair 3.13
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.96
Over 2.5 2.08 fair 2.05

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Nacional
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 4
22 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (42 league matches this season so far).
Result Estoril to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 1:5
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:8
Estoril all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

0.25 Goals scored 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded 2.00
1.50 Total goals 3.00
6.50 Shots 11.50
1.50 Shots on target 3.25
13.00 Shots faced 15.25
3.75 Corners 3.00
5.25 Corners against 5.00
16.50 Fouls 13.00
4.00 Yellow cards 2.75
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

0% Wins 25%
50% Draws 25%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
25% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 25%
75% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
75% Draws 0%
25% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Nacional all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:4
Nacional before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:2
Estoril at home away Nacional

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 0.50
2.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.50 Total goals 1.50
8.00 Shots 8.50
2.00 Shots on target 1.50
9.50 Shots faced 13.50
4.50 Corners 2.00
2.00 Corners against 6.50
15.00 Fouls 12.00
5.00 Yellow cards 3.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Boavista – Estoril 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.35 1.57
25.08.24 Estoril – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.63 2.05 1.75
18.08.24 Guimaraes – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.50 1.93 1.93
11.08.24 Estoril – Santa Clara 1–4 (1–1) 2.153.103.60 2.35 1.57
18.05.24 Moreirense – Estoril 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
11.05.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.005.001.44 1.53 2.40
05.05.24 Farense – Estoril 3–2 (2–1) 2.553.202.90 1.88 1.98
28.04.24 Estoril – Famalicao 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
21.04.24 Chaves – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.00 1.85
13.04.24 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.57 2.35

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.09.24 Nacional – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.90 1.95
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35
10.08.24 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.24 Estoril – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.63 2.05 1.75
11.08.24 Estoril – Santa Clara 1–4 (1–1) 2.153.103.60 2.35 1.57
11.05.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.005.001.44 1.53 2.40
28.04.24 Estoril – Famalicao 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
13.04.24 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.57 2.35
30.03.24 Estoril – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 9.005.001.36 1.57 2.35
15.03.24 Estoril – Portimonense 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–3 (0–3) 3.503.502.10 1.88 1.98
18.02.24 Estoril – Gil Vicente 1–3 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.93 1.93
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93
10.08.24 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 5 5 0 0 19 2 +17 15 WWWWW
2 Porto 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12 WWWLW
3 Benfica 5 3 1 1 9 4 +5 10 LWWDW
4 Famalicao 5 3 1 1 8 3 +5 10 WWWLD
5 Guimaraes 4 3 0 1 4 2 +2 9 WWLW
6 Santa Clara 5 3 0 2 9 8 +1 9 WLWWL
7 Sp Braga 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8 DWWD
8 Moreirense 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7 WWLDL
9 AVS 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7 DLWLW
10 Gil Vicente 5 1 3 1 5 6 -1 6 LWDDD
11 Casa Pia 5 2 0 3 4 7 -3 6 LLLWW
12 Rio Ave 5 2 0 3 3 6 -3 6 LWLWL
13 Boavista 4 1 1 2 1 2 -1 4 WLLD
14 Nacional 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4 DLLW
15 Arouca 5 1 0 4 2 8 -6 3 LLWLL
16 Estoril 4 0 2 2 1 5 -4 2 LLDD
17 Estrela 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1 DLLL
18 Farense 5 0 0 5 2 12 -10 0 LLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9 WWW
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 7 1 +6 9 WWW
3 Famalicao 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7 WWD
4 AVS 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7 DWW
5 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6 WW
6 Guimaraes 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6 WW
7 Rio Ave 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6 WW
8 Gil Vicente 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4 WD
9 Moreirense 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4 WD
10 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4 DW
11 Casa Pia 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3 LLW
12 Santa Clara 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3 LW
13 Nacional 2 1 0 1 3 6 -3 3 LW
14 Arouca 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3 LWL
15 Boavista 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1 LD
16 Estoril 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1 LD
17 Estrela 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0 LL
18 Farense 2 0 0 2 1 7 -6 0 LL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 14 1 +13 9 WWW
2 Santa Clara 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6 WWL
3 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4 WD
4 Famalicao 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3 WL
5 Porto 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 WL
6 Boavista 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 WL
7 Guimaraes 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 WL
8 Casa Pia 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3 LW
9 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3 WLL
10 Gil Vicente 3 0 2 1 1 4 -3 2 LDD
11 Estrela 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1 DL
12 Nacional 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1 DL
13 Estoril 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1 LD
14 Benfica 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1 LD
15 AVS 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0 LL
16 Arouca 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0 LL
17 Farense 3 0 0 3 1 5 -4 0 LLL
18 Rio Ave 3 0 0 3 1 6 -5 0 LLL

Estoril   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 5 1 4 3.8 0.4 5 0 0 19 2 15 OOOUO
2 8 Moreirense 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7 OOOUO
3 6 Santa Clara 5 2 3 1.8 1.6 3 0 2 9 8 9 OUUOO
4 18 Farense 5 2 3 0.4 2.4 0 0 5 2 12 0 OUOUO
5 2 Porto 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12 OUUUO
6 3 Benfica 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 1 9 4 10 UOUUO
7 4 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 1 1 8 3 10 UOUOU
8 9 AVS 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7 UOUOU
9 10 Gil Vicente 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 3 1 5 6 6 OOUUU
10 11 Casa Pia 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 0 3 4 7 6 UOUUO
11 15 Arouca 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 1 0 4 2 8 3 UOUUO
12 5 Guimaraes 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 3 0 1 4 2 9 UUUO
13 7 Sp Braga 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8 UUOU
14 12 Rio Ave 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 2 0 3 3 6 6 OUUUU
15 14 Nacional 4 3 1 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4 UOUU
16 16 Estoril 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 0 2 2 1 5 2 OUUU
17 17 Estrela 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 0 1 3 1 6 1 UOUU
18 13 Boavista 4 4 0 0.2 0.5 1 1 2 1 2 4 UUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 3 0 0 7 1 9 OUO
2 3 Benfica 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9 OUO
3 18 Farense 2 0 2 0.5 3.5 0 0 2 1 7 0 OO
4 1 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6 OU
5 5 Guimaraes 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6 UO
6 6 Santa Clara 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3 UO
7 7 Sp Braga 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4 UO
8 8 Moreirense 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4 OU
9 10 Gil Vicente 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4 OU
10 11 Casa Pia 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3 UUO
11 14 Nacional 2 1 1 1.5 3.0 1 0 1 3 6 3 OU
12 15 Arouca 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3 UUO
13 16 Estoril 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1 OU
14 17 Estrela 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0 OU
15 4 Famalicao 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7 UUU
16 9 AVS 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7 UUU
17 12 Rio Ave 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6 UU
18 13 Boavista 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1 UU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 3 0 3 4.7 0.3 3 0 0 14 1 9 OOO
2 8 Moreirense 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3 OOO
3 4 Famalicao 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3 OO
4 6 Santa Clara 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6 OUO
5 9 AVS 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0 OO
6 10 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 2 1 1 4 2 OUU
7 11 Casa Pia 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3 OU
8 12 Rio Ave 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 0 3 1 6 0 OUU
9 15 Arouca 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0 OU
10 18 Farense 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 0 3 1 5 0 UUO
11 2 Porto 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 UU
12 3 Benfica 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1 UU
13 5 Guimaraes 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3 UU
14 7 Sp Braga 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4 UU
15 13 Boavista 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3 UU
16 14 Nacional 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1 UU
17 16 Estoril 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1 UU
18 17 Estrela 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1 UU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10