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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Benfica 4–1 Porto

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.24
Draw 3.30 fair 4.15
Away 3.50 fair 3.20
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Benfica Porto
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 2
10 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (97 league matches this season so far).
Result Benfica to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
BenficaDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Benfica before this match, all matches
2.44points / match
2.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 24:6
Porto before this match, all matches
2.70points / match
2.70scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 27:4
Benfica all matches all matches Porto

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 2.70
0.67 Goals conceded 0.40
3.33 Total goals 3.10
17.78 Shots 15.00
7.11 Shots on target 6.80
7.00 Shots faced 7.50
8.44 Corners 5.80
1.78 Corners against 2.80
10.56 Fouls 13.60
1.78 Yellow cards 1.90
1.22 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

78% Wins 90%
11% Draws 0%
11% Losses 10%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 70%
33% Over 3.5 goals 30%
33% Over 4.5 goals 10%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 20%
44% Clean sheets 70%
11% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 60%
33% Draws 40%
11% Losses 0%
78% Over 0.5 goals 60%
56% Over 1.5 goals 40%
33% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Benfica all matches
Porto all matches
Benfica before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.60scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 18:2
Porto before this match, away
2.25points / match
2.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:2
Benfica at home away Porto

Per match

3.60 Goals scored 2.50
0.40 Goals conceded 0.50
4.00 Total goals 3.00
20.80 Shots 10.00
8.60 Shots on target 4.75
6.00 Shots faced 6.75
9.60 Corners 3.50
1.80 Corners against 2.75
12.20 Fouls 14.75
1.40 Yellow cards 3.25
1.60 1st-half goals scored 1.50
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 75%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 50%
60% Over 3.5 goals 25%
60% Over 4.5 goals 25%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 0%
60% Clean sheets 75%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 50%
20% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 50%
60% Over 1.5 goals 50%
60% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Benfica at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Benfica all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Farense – Benfica 1–2 (1–1) 11.006.501.22 1.40 2.88
27.10.24 Benfica – Rio Ave 5–0 (3–0) 1.177.5013.00 1.48 2.60
28.09.24 Benfica – Gil Vicente 5–1 (2–1) 1.207.0011.00 1.48 2.60
23.09.24 Boavista – Benfica 0–3 (0–2) 11.006.001.25 1.70 2.10
14.09.24 Benfica – Santa Clara 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.0010.00 1.65 2.20
30.08.24 Moreirense – Benfica 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.44 1.85 2.00
24.08.24 Benfica – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.50 2.50
17.08.24 Benfica – Casa Pia 3–0 (0–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.44 2.70
11.08.24 Famalicao – Benfica 2–0 (1–0) 7.004.331.44 1.57 2.35
17.05.24 Rio Ave – Benfica 1–1 (0–1) 6.255.001.40 1.44 2.70

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24 Porto – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.44 2.70
28.10.24 AVS – Porto 0–5 (0–4) 9.005.501.30 1.75 2.05
06.10.24 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.603.756.00 1.67 2.15
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
21.09.24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 (0–0) 3.503.102.20 2.20 1.65
15.09.24 Porto – Farense 2–1 (0–0) 1.147.5021.00 1.48 2.60
31.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.70 2.10
24.08.24 Porto – Rio Ave 2–0 (2–0) 1.256.2510.00 1.70 2.10
16.08.24 Santa Clara – Porto 0–2 (0–2) 6.004.101.53 1.95 1.90
10.08.24 Porto – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.53 2.40

Benfica at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Benfica – Rio Ave 5–0 (3–0) 1.177.5013.00 1.48 2.60
28.09.24 Benfica – Gil Vicente 5–1 (2–1) 1.207.0011.00 1.48 2.60
14.09.24 Benfica – Santa Clara 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.0010.00 1.65 2.20
24.08.24 Benfica – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.50 2.50
17.08.24 Benfica – Casa Pia 3–0 (0–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.44 2.70
12.05.24 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.509.00 1.36 3.10
27.04.24 Benfica – Sp Braga 3–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
14.04.24 Benfica – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.15
29.03.24 Benfica – Chaves 1–0 (0–0) 1.1010.0023.00 1.33 3.40
10.03.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.36 3.10

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.24 AVS – Porto 0–5 (0–4) 9.005.501.30 1.75 2.05
21.09.24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 (0–0) 3.503.102.20 2.20 1.65
31.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.70 2.10
16.08.24 Santa Clara – Porto 0–2 (0–2) 6.004.101.53 1.95 1.90
18.05.24 Sp Braga – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.10 1.57 2.35
04.05.24 Chaves – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 10.005.501.29 1.50 2.50
21.04.24 Casa Pia – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.95 1.90
30.03.24 Estoril – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 9.005.001.36 1.57 2.35
08.03.24 Portimonense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.506.501.25 1.53 2.40
25.02.24 Gil Vicente – Porto 1–1 (0–0) 7.504.751.40 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Benfica winsDrawsPorto wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.24P1 Porto – Benfica 5–0 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.83 2.03
29.09.23P1 Benfica – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
07.04.23P1 Benfica – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 1.953.503.80 2.02 1.83
21.10.22P1 Porto – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.00 2.00 1.85
07.05.22P1 Benfica – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 1.72 2.07
30.12.21P1 Porto – Benfica 3–1 (2–0) 1.853.754.20 1.88 1.98

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 11 11 0 0 39 5 +34 33 WWWWWW
2 Porto 10 9 0 1 27 4 +23 27 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 9 7 1 1 24 6 +18 22 DWWWWW
4 Santa Clara 11 7 0 4 14 12 +2 21 WWLWLW
5 Sp Braga 11 6 2 3 19 11 +8 20 WWLWWL
6 Guimaraes 11 5 3 3 12 11 +1 18 LDDDWL
7 Famalicao 11 4 5 2 12 9 +3 17 DDDLWD
8 Moreirense 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17 DLWWLW
9 Casa Pia 11 3 4 4 10 14 -4 13 DDLWDD
10 Rio Ave 11 3 3 5 10 20 -10 12 DLDLDW
11 Gil Vicente 11 2 4 5 14 19 -5 10 DLWLLL
12 Estoril 11 2 4 5 8 16 -8 10 DLLWLD
13 AVS 11 2 4 5 9 19 -10 10 LDDLLD
14 Boavista 11 2 3 6 7 15 -8 9 LLDLWL
15 Estrela 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9 LWLDLW
16 Nacional 10 2 2 6 6 15 -9 8 LLDLWL
17 Arouca 11 2 2 7 6 19 -13 8 WLDLLD
18 Farense 11 1 2 8 5 18 -13 5 LDWLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 17 2 +15 18 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 5 5 0 0 18 2 +16 15 WWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 5 5 0 0 15 2 +13 15 WWWWW
4 Santa Clara 6 5 0 1 7 4 +3 15 LWWWWW
5 Moreirense 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11 WDDWW
6 Sp Braga 6 3 1 2 12 8 +4 10 DWLWWL
7 Guimaraes 5 3 1 1 6 6 0 10 WWLDW
8 Rio Ave 5 2 3 0 7 5 +2 9 WWDDD
9 Famalicao 6 2 3 1 4 4 0 9 WWDDLD
10 Gil Vicente 5 2 2 1 9 5 +4 8 WDDWL
11 Casa Pia 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8 LLWDWD
12 Estrela 6 2 2 2 8 9 -1 8 LLDWDW
13 Estoril 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8 LDWLWD
14 AVS 6 2 2 2 5 9 -4 8 DWWDLL
15 Nacional 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6 LWLW
16 Arouca 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4 LWLDL
17 Farense 5 1 0 4 3 10 -7 3 LLLWL
18 Boavista 5 0 1 4 0 8 -8 1 LDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 6 6 0 0 24 3 +21 18 WWWWWW
2 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10 WDWLW
3 Porto 4 3 0 1 10 2 +8 9 WLWW
4 Famalicao 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8 WLDDW
5 Guimaraes 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8 WLWDDL
6 Boavista 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8 WLDLDW
7 Benfica 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7 LDWW
8 Santa Clara 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6 WWLLL
9 Moreirense 6 2 0 4 7 10 -3 6 WLLLWL
10 Casa Pia 5 1 2 2 4 8 -4 5 LWDLD
11 Arouca 6 1 1 4 3 12 -9 4 LLWLLD
12 Rio Ave 6 1 0 5 3 15 -12 3 LLLLLW
13 Nacional 6 0 2 4 1 6 -5 2 DLLDLL
14 AVS 5 0 2 3 4 10 -6 2 LLLDD
15 Estoril 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2 LDDLL
16 Farense 6 0 2 4 2 8 -6 2 LLLDLD
17 Gil Vicente 6 0 2 4 5 14 -9 2 LDDLLL
18 Estrela 5 0 1 4 2 11 -9 1 DLLLL

Benfica   Porto

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 11 2 9 3.5 0.5 11 0 0 39 5 33 OOUOOO
2 2 Porto 10 3 7 2.7 0.4 9 0 1 27 4 27 OOOOOO
3 11 Gil Vicente 11 4 7 1.3 1.7 2 4 5 14 19 10 UOOOOO
4 3 Benfica 9 3 6 2.7 0.7 7 1 1 24 6 22 UOOOOO
5 5 Sp Braga 11 5 6 1.7 1.0 6 2 3 19 11 20 OOOUOO
6 8 Moreirense 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17 UOUUUO
7 15 Estrela 11 5 6 0.9 1.8 2 3 6 10 20 9 UOOOOU
8 10 Rio Ave 11 6 5 0.9 1.8 3 3 5 10 20 12 OOUOOU
9 12 Estoril 11 6 5 0.7 1.5 2 4 5 8 16 10 OOUOOU
10 13 AVS 11 6 5 0.8 1.7 2 4 5 9 19 10 OUUOOU
11 17 Arouca 11 6 5 0.5 1.7 2 2 7 6 19 8 UOUOOU
12 4 Santa Clara 11 7 4 1.3 1.1 7 0 4 14 12 21 UUUOUU
13 6 Guimaraes 11 7 4 1.1 1.0 5 3 3 12 11 18 OUOOUU
14 7 Famalicao 11 7 4 1.1 0.8 4 5 2 12 9 17 UUUOOU
15 14 Boavista 11 7 4 0.6 1.4 2 3 6 7 15 9 OUOUOU
16 18 Farense 11 7 4 0.5 1.6 1 2 8 5 18 5 UUUUOU
17 9 Casa Pia 11 8 3 0.9 1.3 3 4 4 10 14 13 UUUUOU
18 16 Nacional 10 8 2 0.6 1.5 2 2 6 6 15 8 UOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 6 1 5 2.8 0.3 6 0 0 17 2 18 OUOOOO
2 3 Benfica 5 1 4 3.6 0.4 5 0 0 18 2 15 OUOOO
3 15 Estrela 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 2 2 2 8 9 8 OUOOOU
4 1 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 3.0 0.4 5 0 0 15 2 15 OUOUO
5 5 Sp Braga 6 3 3 2.0 1.3 3 1 2 12 8 10 UOUOUO
6 6 Guimaraes 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 1 1 6 6 10 UOOOU
7 11 Gil Vicente 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 2 2 1 9 5 8 OUUOO
8 12 Estoril 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 2 2 6 8 8 OUUOOU
9 18 Farense 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 1 0 4 3 10 3 OOUUO
10 4 Santa Clara 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 5 0 1 7 4 15 UOUUOU
11 8 Moreirense 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11 OUUUO
12 10 Rio Ave 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 3 0 7 5 9 UUOUO
13 13 AVS 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 2 2 2 5 9 8 UUUUOO
14 16 Nacional 4 2 2 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6 OUOU
15 17 Arouca 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4 UUOUO
16 7 Famalicao 6 5 1 0.7 0.7 2 3 1 4 4 9 UUUUOU
17 9 Casa Pia 6 5 1 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8 UUOUUU
18 14 Boavista 5 4 1 0.0 1.6 0 1 4 0 8 1 UUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 6 0 6 4.0 0.5 6 0 0 24 3 18 OOOOOO
2 8 Moreirense 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 2 0 4 7 10 6 OOOOUU
3 11 Gil Vicente 6 2 4 0.8 2.3 0 2 4 5 14 2 OUUOOO
4 5 Sp Braga 5 2 3 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10 UUOOO
5 7 Famalicao 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8 OOUUO
6 10 Rio Ave 6 3 3 0.5 2.5 1 0 5 3 15 3 OUUOOU
7 13 AVS 5 2 3 0.8 2.0 0 2 3 4 10 2 OOOUU
8 14 Boavista 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8 UUOUOO
9 17 Arouca 6 3 3 0.5 2.0 1 1 4 3 12 4 OUUOOU
10 2 Porto 4 2 2 2.5 0.5 3 0 1 10 2 9 UUOO
11 3 Benfica 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7 UUOO
12 4 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.4 1.6 2 0 3 7 8 6 OUOUU
13 9 Casa Pia 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 2 2 4 8 5 OUUUO
14 12 Estoril 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2 UUOUO
15 15 Estrela 5 3 2 0.4 2.2 0 1 4 2 11 1 UUUOO
16 6 Guimaraes 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8 UUUUOU
17 18 Farense 6 5 1 0.3 1.3 0 2 4 2 8 2 UUOUUU
18 16 Nacional 6 6 0 0.2 1.0 0 2 4 1 6 2 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10