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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 1–4 Benfica

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 9.50 fair 3.88
Draw 5.50 fair 4.07
Away ✓ 1.29 fair 2.01
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Benfica
9 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 6
10 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (167 league matches this season so far).
Result Benfica to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.64
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawBenfica
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 0–1 10.5% 1–2 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:27
Benfica before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
2.06scored / match
0.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 37:11
Estrela all matches all matches Benfica

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.06
1.50 Goals conceded 0.61
2.50 Total goals 2.67
9.33 Shots 16.67
2.89 Shots on target 6.89
13.78 Shots faced 9.56
4.83 Corners 6.94
6.00 Corners against 3.06
11.94 Fouls 11.28
2.22 Yellow cards 2.11
0.22 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.11

How often Full Time

22% Wins 78%
33% Draws 17%
44% Losses 6%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
67% Over 1.5 goals 78%
39% Over 2.5 goals 50%
28% Over 3.5 goals 28%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 44%
17% Clean sheets 56%
33% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 50%
50% Draws 44%
33% Losses 6%
56% Over 0.5 goals 61%
6% Over 1.5 goals 22%
0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Benfica all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.11points / match
1.11scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:14
Benfica before this match, away
2.44points / match
1.89scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:7
Estrela at home away Benfica

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.89
1.56 Goals conceded 0.78
2.67 Total goals 2.67
9.78 Shots 14.22
3.11 Shots on target 5.56
12.56 Shots faced 11.67
5.00 Corners 4.67
5.56 Corners against 2.67
13.33 Fouls 9.78
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.22 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 78%
11% Draws 11%
56% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
56% Over 1.5 goals 67%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 44%
11% Clean sheets 56%
33% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 67%
44% Draws 33%
33% Losses 0%
56% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 22%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Benfica away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.24 Guimaraes – Estrela 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
14.01.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
06.01.24 Estrela – Vizela 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.70
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.12.23 Farense – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.30 1.93 1.93
10.12.23 Estrela – Boavista 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Rio Ave – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 2.05 1.80
11.11.23 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80
05.11.23 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 3–2 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.44 2.70
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65

Benfica all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.24 Benfica – Boavista 2–0 (0–0) 1.148.5019.00 1.30 3.50
14.01.24 Benfica – Rio Ave 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0012.00 1.50 2.50
06.01.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–3 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Benfica – Famalicao 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5010.00 1.62 2.25
17.12.23 Sp Braga – Benfica 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.302.30 1.67 2.15
08.12.23 Benfica – Farense 1–1 (0–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.40 2.88
03.12.23 Moreirense – Benfica 0–0 (0–0) 5.504.331.45 1.67 2.15
12.11.23 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.00 1.80 2.00
04.11.23 Chaves – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.751.29 1.44 2.70
28.10.23 Benfica – Casa Pia 1–1 (1–0) 1.206.5012.00 1.60 2.30

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.24 Estrela – Vizela 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.70
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73
10.12.23 Estrela – Boavista 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.98 1.88
11.11.23 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65
28.09.23 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4 (0–1) 4.503.801.70 1.70 2.10
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57
13.08.23 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.202.70 2.30 1.60

Benfica away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–3 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Sp Braga – Benfica 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.302.30 1.67 2.15
03.12.23 Moreirense – Benfica 0–0 (0–0) 5.504.331.45 1.67 2.15
04.11.23 Chaves – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.751.29 1.44 2.70
07.10.23 Estoril – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 8.505.251.25 1.44 2.70
24.09.23 Portimonense – Benfica 1–3 (0–2) 13.005.751.25 1.48 2.60
16.09.23 Vizela – Benfica 1–2 (0–2) 8.005.251.33 1.53 2.40
26.08.23 Gil Vicente – Benfica 2–3 (0–1) 8.006.001.29 1.53 2.40
14.08.23 Boavista – Benfica 3–2 (0–1) 9.005.501.30 1.60 2.30
21.05.23 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 2–2 (2–0) 2.553.302.50 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsBenfica wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23P1 Benfica – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.36 3.10

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 18 15 1 2 45 19 +26 46 LWWWWW
2 Benfica 18 14 3 1 37 11 +26 45 DWWWWW
3 Porto 19 14 2 3 33 13 +20 44 LWDWWW
4 Sp Braga 18 11 3 4 42 26 +16 36 WLWDLW
5 Guimaraes 19 11 3 5 31 20 +11 36 DWDWWL
6 Moreirense 19 9 5 5 25 23 +2 32 WDLWLW
7 Farense 19 7 3 9 27 27 0 24 DLWLWL
8 Arouca 19 6 4 9 30 26 +4 22 WWLLWW
9 Gil Vicente 19 6 4 9 30 31 -1 22 LWLDWW
10 Famalicao 19 5 7 7 18 23 -5 22 DLDWLL
11 Portimonense 19 6 3 10 22 39 -17 21 LLLWLW
12 Boavista 19 5 5 9 27 37 -10 20 DLDWLL
13 Casa Pia 18 5 4 9 19 26 -7 19 LWLWLL
14 Estrela 18 4 6 8 18 27 -9 18 WDLDDL
15 Estoril 18 5 2 11 32 34 -2 17 WDWLLL
16 Rio Ave 18 3 7 8 19 28 -9 16 DDLWLD
17 Vizela 19 2 7 10 18 37 -19 13 DDDLLL
18 Chaves 18 3 3 12 18 44 -26 12 LLLDLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 9 0 0 24 7 +17 27 WWWWWW
2 Guimaraes 10 8 0 2 23 10 +13 24 WLWWWW
3 Benfica 9 7 2 0 20 4 +16 23 DWDWWW
4 Porto 9 7 1 1 17 5 +12 22 WLWWWW
5 Gil Vicente 10 5 4 1 22 12 +10 19 DDDWDW
6 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 18 9 +9 14 WWWWLD
7 Farense 10 4 2 4 15 12 +3 14 DWLDWL
8 Moreirense 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14 DWDWLW
9 Estoril 9 4 1 4 19 10 +9 13 LWWWLL
10 Rio Ave 9 3 3 3 13 13 0 12 LLWDDW
11 Famalicao 9 3 3 3 10 12 -2 12 LWLDDL
12 Arouca 10 3 2 5 15 14 +1 11 LLDWLW
13 Portimonense 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11 WWDLWL
14 Estrela 9 3 1 5 10 14 -4 10 LWLWLD
15 Boavista 10 2 4 4 14 21 -7 10 LLLDDL
16 Chaves 9 2 2 5 12 19 -7 8 WLWLLD
17 Vizela 10 1 3 6 10 21 -11 6 LDLDLL
18 Casa Pia 9 1 2 6 5 13 -8 5 LLWLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 9 7 1 1 17 7 +10 22 WWWDWW
2 Porto 10 7 1 2 16 8 +8 22 WWWLDW
3 Sp Braga 10 7 1 2 24 17 +7 22 DWWWLW
4 Sp Lisbon 9 6 1 2 21 12 +9 19 WLLWWW
5 Moreirense 10 5 3 2 12 11 +1 18 WWDDWL
6 Casa Pia 9 4 2 3 14 13 +1 14 LDLLWW
7 Guimaraes 9 3 3 3 8 10 -2 12 WLWDDL
8 Arouca 9 3 2 4 15 12 +3 11 LLWWLW
9 Boavista 9 3 1 5 13 16 -3 10 DLLLWL
10 Farense 9 3 1 5 12 15 -3 10 WWDLLW
11 Famalicao 10 2 4 4 8 11 -3 10 LDDLWL
12 Portimonense 10 3 1 6 13 25 -12 10 LLLLLW
13 Estrela 9 1 5 3 8 13 -5 8 WLDDDL
14 Vizela 9 1 4 4 8 16 -8 7 DWLDDL
15 Rio Ave 9 0 4 5 6 15 -9 4 LDDLLD
16 Estoril 9 1 1 7 13 24 -11 4 LLWLDL
17 Chaves 9 1 1 7 6 25 -19 4 WLLLLD
18 Gil Vicente 9 1 0 8 8 19 -11 3 LLLLLW

Estrela   Benfica

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 18 5 13 2.5 1.1 15 1 2 45 19 46 OUOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 18 5 13 2.3 1.4 11 3 4 42 26 36 OUOUUO
3 15 Estoril 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 5 2 11 32 34 17 OUOOOO
4 18 Chaves 18 5 13 1.0 2.4 3 3 12 18 44 12 OOUOOU
5 5 Guimaraes 19 8 11 1.6 1.1 11 3 5 31 20 36 UUUOOU
6 7 Farense 19 8 11 1.4 1.4 7 3 9 27 27 24 UOUUOO
7 8 Arouca 19 8 11 1.6 1.4 6 4 9 30 26 22 OOOOOO
8 12 Boavista 19 8 11 1.4 1.9 5 5 9 27 37 20 UUUOUO
9 9 Gil Vicente 19 9 10 1.6 1.6 6 4 9 30 31 22 OUUUUU
10 11 Portimonense 19 9 10 1.2 2.1 6 3 10 22 39 21 OOUUUO
11 17 Vizela 19 9 10 0.9 1.9 2 7 10 18 37 13 UUUOOO
12 2 Benfica 18 9 9 2.1 0.6 14 3 1 37 11 45 UUOOOU
13 3 Porto 19 10 9 1.7 0.7 14 2 3 33 13 44 UUUUOO
14 6 Moreirense 19 10 9 1.3 1.2 9 5 5 25 23 32 OUOOOU
15 10 Famalicao 19 11 8 0.9 1.2 5 7 7 18 23 22 UOOUOU
16 13 Casa Pia 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 5 4 9 19 26 19 OOOOUO
17 14 Estrela 18 11 7 1.0 1.5 4 6 8 18 27 18 OUOUUO
18 16 Rio Ave 18 12 6 1.1 1.6 3 7 8 19 28 16 OUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Guimaraes 10 2 8 2.3 1.0 8 0 2 23 10 24 OOOUOO
2 15 Estoril 9 2 7 2.1 1.1 4 1 4 19 10 13 UOOOOO
3 18 Chaves 9 2 7 1.3 2.1 2 2 5 12 19 8 OUOOOU
4 1 Sp Lisbon 9 3 6 2.7 0.8 9 0 0 24 7 27 UOOOUO
5 7 Farense 10 4 6 1.5 1.2 4 2 4 15 12 14 UUOUUO
6 12 Boavista 10 4 6 1.4 2.1 2 4 4 14 21 10 UOOUUO
7 17 Vizela 10 4 6 1.0 2.1 1 3 6 10 21 6 UUOUOO
8 4 Sp Braga 8 3 5 2.2 1.1 4 2 2 18 9 14 OOOOUU
9 8 Arouca 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 2 5 15 14 11 UUOOOO
10 10 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 3 10 12 12 OOOUOO
11 2 Benfica 9 5 4 2.2 0.4 7 2 0 20 4 23 UOUOOU
12 3 Porto 9 5 4 1.9 0.6 7 1 1 17 5 22 UUOUUO
13 6 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14 UUUOOU
14 9 Gil Vicente 10 6 4 2.2 1.2 5 4 1 22 12 19 OUUUUU
15 11 Portimonense 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 3 2 4 9 14 11 UOUOUU
16 14 Estrela 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 3 1 5 10 14 10 OUUOOU
17 13 Casa Pia 9 6 3 0.6 1.4 1 2 6 5 13 5 UUUOUO
18 16 Rio Ave 9 6 3 1.4 1.4 3 3 3 13 13 12 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 10 2 8 2.4 1.7 7 1 2 24 17 22 OUOOUO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 2.3 1.3 6 1 2 21 12 19 UOOOOO
3 8 Arouca 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 3 2 4 15 12 11 OUOOOO
4 9 Gil Vicente 9 3 6 0.9 2.1 1 0 8 8 19 3 OOOOUU
5 11 Portimonense 10 4 6 1.3 2.5 3 1 6 13 25 10 UOUOUO
6 15 Estoril 9 3 6 1.4 2.7 1 1 7 13 24 4 OUUOUO
7 18 Chaves 9 3 6 0.7 2.8 1 1 7 6 25 4 UOOOUO
8 2 Benfica 9 4 5 1.9 0.8 7 1 1 17 7 22 OUUUUO
9 3 Porto 10 5 5 1.6 0.8 7 1 2 16 8 22 UOOUUO
10 6 Moreirense 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 5 3 2 12 11 18 UUUUOO
11 7 Farense 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 3 1 5 12 15 10 OOUOUO
12 12 Boavista 9 4 5 1.4 1.8 3 1 5 13 16 10 UUOUOU
13 13 Casa Pia 9 4 5 1.6 1.4 4 2 3 14 13 14 UUOOOO
14 17 Vizela 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 1 4 4 8 16 7 UUOUUO
15 5 Guimaraes 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 3 3 3 8 10 12 OUOUUU
16 10 Famalicao 10 7 3 0.8 1.1 2 4 4 8 11 10 UUUOUU
17 14 Estrela 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 1 5 3 8 13 8 UOUUUO
18 16 Rio Ave 9 6 3 0.7 1.7 0 4 5 6 15 4 OUOUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47