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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 4–1 Arouca

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 2.27
Draw 3.20 fair 3.70
Away 2.40 fair 3.46
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.28

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Arouca
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 9
19 Fouls 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (73 league matches this season so far).
Result Estoril to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 1–0 12.1% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:11
Arouca before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.50scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:13
Estoril all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 0.50
1.38 Goals conceded 1.63
1.88 Total goals 2.13
7.13 Shots 9.63
2.00 Shots on target 2.00
14.88 Shots faced 15.75
3.38 Corners 5.38
6.38 Corners against 6.88
15.13 Fouls 13.38
3.13 Yellow cards 3.38
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

13% Wins 25%
38% Draws 13%
50% Losses 63%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 50%
38% Over 2.5 goals 38%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 25%
38% Clean sheets 25%
63% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 38%
50% Draws 13%
38% Losses 50%
63% Over 0.5 goals 88%
25% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Arouca all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.50scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 2:7
Arouca before this match, away
0.75points / match
0.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 2:8
Estoril at home away Arouca

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 0.50
1.75 Goals conceded 2.00
2.25 Total goals 2.50
8.00 Shots 10.75
2.25 Shots on target 2.00
14.00 Shots faced 16.75
3.25 Corners 5.25
5.50 Corners against 8.25
16.25 Fouls 13.50
3.50 Yellow cards 3.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
25% Draws 0%
50% Losses 75%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 25%
50% Clean sheets 25%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
50% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Farense – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.75
27.09.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 13.007.501.17 1.40 2.88
21.09.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.10 2.40 1.53
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
31.08.24 Boavista – Estoril 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.35 1.57
25.08.24 Estoril – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.63 2.05 1.75
18.08.24 Guimaraes – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.50 1.93 1.93
11.08.24 Estoril – Santa Clara 1–4 (1–1) 2.153.103.60 2.35 1.57
18.05.24 Moreirense – Estoril 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
11.05.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.005.001.44 1.53 2.40

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Arouca – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.30 2.15 1.67
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
22.09.24 Farense – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.102.70 1.95 1.90
13.09.24 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.70
01.09.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93
18.08.24 Moreirense – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
12.08.24 Arouca – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.38 1.93 1.93
18.05.24 Arouca – Guimaraes 1–3 (1–0) 2.803.402.40 1.73 2.08
12.05.24 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.509.00 1.36 3.10

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 13.007.501.17 1.40 2.88
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
25.08.24 Estoril – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.63 2.05 1.75
11.08.24 Estoril – Santa Clara 1–4 (1–1) 2.153.103.60 2.35 1.57
11.05.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.005.001.44 1.53 2.40
28.04.24 Estoril – Famalicao 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
13.04.24 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.57 2.35
30.03.24 Estoril – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 9.005.001.36 1.57 2.35
15.03.24 Estoril – Portimonense 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–3 (0–3) 3.503.502.10 1.88 1.98

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
22.09.24 Farense – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.102.70 1.95 1.90
01.09.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
18.08.24 Moreirense – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
12.05.24 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.509.00 1.36 3.10
26.04.24 Gil Vicente – Arouca 2–2 (0–0) 2.503.502.60 1.80 2.00
19.04.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.202.80 2.08 1.73
06.04.24 Sp Braga – Arouca 0–3 (0–2) 1.454.757.00 1.53 2.40
17.03.24 Moreirense – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.203.00 2.15 1.67
01.03.24 Chaves – Arouca 1–5 (1–2) 3.203.402.30 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estoril winsDrawsArouca wins
6matches
3.17goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24P1 Estoril – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.402.88 1.98 1.88
13.08.23P1 Arouca – Estoril 4–3 (1–1) 2.053.203.40 2.30 1.60
15.05.23P1 Estoril – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.102.80 2.20 1.65
07.01.23P1 Arouca – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.08 1.73
27.01.22P1 Estoril – Arouca 1–2 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.25 1.61
07.08.21P1 Arouca – Estoril 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.103.40 2.30 1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 8 8 0 0 27 2 +25 24 WWWWWW
2 Porto 8 7 0 1 18 4 +14 21 WLWWWW
3 Santa Clara 9 6 0 3 13 10 +3 18 WLWWLW
4 Benfica 7 5 1 1 17 5 +12 16 WWDWWW
5 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 13 6 +7 14 WDLWWL
6 Guimaraes 8 4 2 2 9 8 +1 14 LWWLDD
7 Famalicao 8 3 4 1 9 4 +5 13 WLDDDD
8 Moreirense 8 3 2 3 10 11 -1 11 LDLDLW
9 Casa Pia 9 3 2 4 7 11 -4 11 WWDDLW
10 Gil Vicente 9 2 4 3 11 14 -3 10 DDDLWL
11 AVS 8 2 3 3 7 11 -4 9 WLWLDD
12 Rio Ave 8 2 2 4 6 13 -7 8 LWLDLD
13 Arouca 8 2 1 5 4 13 -9 7 WLLWLD
14 Boavista 8 1 3 4 5 10 -5 6 LDDLLD
15 Estoril 8 1 3 4 4 11 -7 6 DDWDLL
16 Estrela 8 1 2 5 5 13 -8 5 LLDLWL
17 Nacional 8 1 2 5 4 13 -9 5 LWLLDL
18 Farense 8 1 1 6 3 13 -10 4 LLLLDW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 13 2 +11 15 WWWWW
2 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13 2 +11 12 WWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 10 1 +9 12 WWWW
4 Santa Clara 5 4 0 1 6 4 +2 12 LWWWW
5 Gil Vicente 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8 WDDW
6 Moreirense 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8 WDDW
7 Famalicao 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8 WWDD
8 Rio Ave 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8 WWDD
9 AVS 4 2 2 0 3 1 +2 8 DWWD
10 Sp Braga 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7 DWLW
11 Casa Pia 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7 LLWDW
12 Guimaraes 4 2 1 1 5 6 -1 7 WWLD
13 Estrela 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4 LLDW
14 Arouca 4 1 1 2 2 5 -3 4 LWLD
15 Estoril 4 1 1 2 2 7 -5 4 LDWL
16 Nacional 3 1 0 2 3 9 -6 3 LWL
17 Farense 4 1 0 3 2 8 -6 3 LLLW
18 Boavista 3 0 1 2 0 4 -4 1 LDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 17 1 +16 12 WWWW
2 Sp Braga 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7 WDWL
3 Guimaraes 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7 WLWD
4 Porto 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6 WLW
5 Santa Clara 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6 WWLL
6 Famalicao 4 1 2 1 5 3 +2 5 WLDD
7 Boavista 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 WLDLD
8 Benfica 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 LDW
9 Casa Pia 4 1 1 2 2 6 -4 4 LWDL
10 Moreirense 4 1 0 3 5 9 -4 3 WLLL
11 Arouca 4 1 0 3 2 8 -6 3 LLWL
12 Estoril 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2 LDDL
13 Nacional 5 0 2 3 1 4 -3 2 DLLDL
14 Gil Vicente 5 0 2 3 3 11 -8 2 LDDLL
15 Farense 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1 LLLD
16 Estrela 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1 DLLL
17 AVS 4 0 1 3 4 10 -6 1 LLLD
18 Rio Ave 4 0 0 4 1 10 -9 0 LLLL

Estoril   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 8 2 6 3.4 0.2 8 0 0 27 2 24 OUOOOU
2 2 Porto 8 3 5 2.2 0.5 7 0 1 18 4 21 UUOOOO
3 8 Moreirense 8 3 5 1.2 1.4 3 2 3 10 11 11 OUOUOU
4 10 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 3 11 14 10 UUUOOO
5 3 Santa Clara 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 6 0 3 13 10 18 OOUUUO
6 4 Benfica 7 3 4 2.4 0.7 5 1 1 17 5 16 OUUOOO
7 5 Sp Braga 8 4 4 1.6 0.8 4 2 2 13 6 14 OUUOOO
8 16 Estrela 8 4 4 0.6 1.6 1 2 5 5 13 5 UUOUOO
9 6 Guimaraes 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 2 9 8 14 UOUOUO
10 11 AVS 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 3 7 11 9 UOUOUU
11 12 Rio Ave 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 2 2 4 6 13 8 UUUOOU
12 13 Arouca 8 5 3 0.5 1.6 2 1 5 4 13 7 UUOUOU
13 14 Boavista 8 5 3 0.6 1.2 1 3 4 5 10 6 UUOOUO
14 15 Estoril 8 5 3 0.5 1.4 1 3 4 4 11 6 UUUOOU
15 18 Farense 8 5 3 0.4 1.6 1 1 6 3 13 4 OUOUUU
16 7 Famalicao 8 6 2 1.1 0.5 3 4 1 9 4 13 UOUUUU
17 9 Casa Pia 9 7 2 0.8 1.2 3 2 4 7 11 11 UOUUUU
18 17 Nacional 8 6 2 0.5 1.6 1 2 5 4 13 5 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 5 1 4 2.6 0.4 5 0 0 13 2 15 OUOOO
2 4 Benfica 4 1 3 3.2 0.5 4 0 0 13 2 12 OUOO
3 6 Guimaraes 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 1 1 5 6 7 UOOO
4 16 Estrela 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4 OUOO
5 1 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 2.5 0.2 4 0 0 10 1 12 OUOU
6 3 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 4 0 1 6 4 12 UOUUO
7 5 Sp Braga 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7 UOUO
8 10 Gil Vicente 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8 OUUO
9 15 Estoril 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 1 1 2 2 7 4 OUUO
10 17 Nacional 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 1 0 2 3 9 3 OUO
11 18 Farense 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 3 2 8 3 OOUU
12 8 Moreirense 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8 OUUU
13 9 Casa Pia 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7 UUOUU
14 12 Rio Ave 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8 UUOU
15 13 Arouca 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 2 2 5 4 UUOU
16 14 Boavista 3 2 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 2 0 4 1 UUO
17 7 Famalicao 4 4 0 1.0 0.2 2 2 0 4 1 8 UUUU
18 11 AVS 4 4 0 0.8 0.2 2 2 0 3 1 8 UUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 4 0 4 4.2 0.2 4 0 0 17 1 12 OOOO
2 8 Moreirense 4 0 4 1.2 2.2 1 0 3 5 9 3 OOOO
3 10 Gil Vicente 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 2 3 3 11 2 OUUOO
4 11 AVS 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 0 1 3 4 10 1 OOOU
5 3 Santa Clara 4 2 2 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6 OUOU
6 5 Sp Braga 4 2 2 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7 UUOO
7 7 Famalicao 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 1 2 1 5 3 5 OOUU
8 12 Rio Ave 4 2 2 0.2 2.5 0 0 4 1 10 0 OUUO
9 13 Arouca 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 3 2 8 3 OUUO
10 14 Boavista 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 UUOUO
11 2 Porto 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6 UUO
12 4 Benfica 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4 UUO
13 9 Casa Pia 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 1 1 2 2 6 4 OUUU
14 15 Estoril 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2 UUOU
15 16 Estrela 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 0 1 3 1 6 1 UUUO
16 18 Farense 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1 UUOU
17 6 Guimaraes 4 4 0 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7 UUUU
18 17 Nacional 5 5 0 0.2 0.8 0 2 3 1 4 2 UUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47