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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Moreirense 2–1 Estoril

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.11
Draw 3.30 fair 4.06
Away 3.10 fair 3.57
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Moreirense Estoril
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 6
8 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (303 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
MoreirenseDrawEstoril
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.03scored / match
1.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 34:34
Estoril before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.45scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 48:56
Moreirense all matches all matches Estoril

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 1.45
1.03 Goals conceded 1.70
2.06 Total goals 3.15
10.67 Shots 10.91
3.36 Shots on target 4.21
10.67 Shots faced 13.30
4.39 Corners 4.97
4.88 Corners against 5.24
14.30 Fouls 13.39
2.27 Yellow cards 2.30
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

45% Wins 27%
21% Draws 18%
33% Losses 55%
88% Over 0.5 goals 97%
45% Over 1.5 goals 70%
33% Over 2.5 goals 61%
21% Over 3.5 goals 48%
12% Over 4.5 goals 18%
3% Over 5.5 goals 12%
27% Both teams scored 58%
48% Clean sheets 30%
36% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 15%
42% Draws 48%
21% Losses 36%
61% Over 0.5 goals 61%
27% Over 1.5 goals 48%
9% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches
Estoril all matches
Moreirense before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.13scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:17
Estoril before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.44scored / match
2.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:38
Moreirense at home away Estoril

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.44
1.06 Goals conceded 2.38
2.19 Total goals 3.81
11.38 Shots 11.19
3.50 Shots on target 4.19
9.94 Shots faced 13.81
5.25 Corners 5.19
4.81 Corners against 5.31
13.44 Fouls 12.13
1.88 Yellow cards 2.31
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 1.13

How often Full Time

44% Wins 6%
25% Draws 31%
31% Losses 63%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
44% Over 1.5 goals 81%
31% Over 2.5 goals 69%
25% Over 3.5 goals 56%
19% Over 4.5 goals 38%
6% Over 5.5 goals 25%
38% Both teams scored 81%
50% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 6%
44% Draws 44%
19% Losses 50%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 63%
19% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home
Estoril away

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.002.90 2.30 1.60
03.05.24 Moreirense – Vizela 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.05 1.75
28.04.24 Portimonense – Moreirense 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.10 1.70
20.04.24 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.60 2.15 1.67
14.04.24 Benfica – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.15
07.04.24 Moreirense – Estrela 2–2 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.40 1.53
30.03.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.65
17.03.24 Moreirense – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.203.00 2.15 1.67
09.03.24 Boavista – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.30 1.60
02.03.24 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.35 1.57

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.005.001.44 1.53 2.40
05.05.24 Farense – Estoril 3–2 (2–1) 2.553.202.90 1.88 1.98
28.04.24 Estoril – Famalicao 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
21.04.24 Chaves – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.00 1.85
13.04.24 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.57 2.35
08.04.24 Casa Pia – Estoril 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.103.00 2.25 1.62
30.03.24 Estoril – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 9.005.001.36 1.57 2.35
15.03.24 Estoril – Portimonense 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 1.73 2.08
10.03.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–3 (0–3) 3.503.502.10 1.88 1.98

Moreirense at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.24 Moreirense – Vizela 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.05 1.75
20.04.24 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.60 2.15 1.67
07.04.24 Moreirense – Estrela 2–2 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.40 1.53
17.03.24 Moreirense – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.203.00 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.35 1.57
19.02.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–2) 7.505.001.36 1.75 2.05
10.02.24 Moreirense – Chaves 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.05 1.75
28.01.24 Moreirense – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.65
08.01.24 Moreirense – Casa Pia 1–4 (1–3) 1.913.504.00 2.25 1.62
17.12.23 Moreirense – Portimonense 5–2 (2–1) 1.703.605.00 1.93 1.93

Estoril away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Farense – Estoril 3–2 (2–1) 2.553.202.90 1.88 1.98
21.04.24 Chaves – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.00 1.85
08.04.24 Casa Pia – Estoril 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.103.00 2.25 1.62
10.03.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.36 3.10
25.02.24 Vizela – Estoril 3–3 (2–0) 2.503.252.88 1.95 1.90
10.02.24 Boavista – Estoril 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.253.10 2.00 1.85
31.01.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.95 1.90
05.01.24 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 5–1 (2–0) 1.255.7511.00 1.40 2.88
17.12.23 Famalicao – Estoril 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.30 2.00 1.85
03.12.23 Sp Braga – Estoril 3–1 (1–1) 1.335.256.50 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Moreirense winsDrawsEstoril wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24P1 Estoril – Moreirense 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.252.90 1.98 1.88
07.05.22P1 Estoril – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 2.05 1.75
28.12.21P1 Moreirense – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.102.50 2.25 1.61

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 33 28 3 2 93 29 +64 87 WWWDWW
2 Benfica 34 25 5 4 77 28 +49 80 WWWLWD
3 Porto 33 21 6 6 62 27 +35 69 LDWDWW
4 Sp Braga 33 21 5 7 71 49 +22 68 LWWLWW
5 Guimaraes 34 19 6 9 52 38 +14 63 DLWLLW
6 Moreirense 33 15 7 11 34 34 0 52 DLLWWW
7 Arouca 34 13 7 14 54 50 +4 46 WDDDLL
8 Famalicao 34 10 12 12 37 41 -4 42 LDLWWL
9 Casa Pia 34 10 8 16 38 50 -12 38 DLWLLW
10 Farense 34 10 7 17 46 51 -5 37 DLWWLL
11 Rio Ave 34 6 19 9 38 43 -5 37 DDDWDD
12 Gil Vicente 34 9 9 16 42 52 -10 36 LWDDWL
13 Estoril 33 9 6 18 48 56 -8 33 DLDWLL
14 Estrela 34 7 12 15 33 53 -20 33 DDLDLW
15 Boavista 34 7 11 16 39 62 -23 32 LDLDLD
16 Portimonense 34 8 8 18 39 72 -33 32 DDLLDW
17 Vizela 34 5 11 18 36 66 -30 26 LLDLWD
18 Chaves 33 5 8 20 31 69 -38 23 LWDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 16 16 0 0 54 11 +43 48 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 17 15 2 0 48 7 +41 47 WWWWWW
3 Porto 17 11 4 2 35 13 +22 37 WWLDDW
4 Guimaraes 17 11 2 4 31 18 +13 35 LWWDWL
5 Sp Braga 16 10 3 3 33 19 +14 33 WWWLWW
6 Rio Ave 17 6 8 3 25 20 +5 26 DDWDWD
7 Estoril 17 8 1 8 25 18 +7 25 LWWLWL
8 Gil Vicente 17 6 7 4 28 22 +6 25 DDLLDW
9 Moreirense 16 7 4 5 18 17 +1 25 LDWDLW
10 Arouca 17 7 3 7 26 26 0 24 WLWWDL
11 Famalicao 17 6 6 5 21 21 0 24 DWLDWL
12 Farense 17 6 4 7 24 23 +1 22 LDWLWL
13 Estrela 17 6 3 8 22 27 -5 21 DWLDLW
14 Boavista 17 4 8 5 21 30 -9 20 LWDDDD
15 Portimonense 17 3 6 8 18 31 -13 15 DLLDLD
16 Casa Pia 17 3 5 9 10 18 -8 14 DLDLWL
17 Vizela 17 3 5 9 20 32 -12 14 DWLLDW
18 Chaves 17 3 4 10 21 37 -16 13 LLLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 17 12 3 2 39 18 +21 39 WWWWDW
2 Sp Braga 17 11 2 4 38 30 +8 35 WDWWLW
3 Benfica 17 10 3 4 29 21 +8 33 LWLWLD
4 Porto 16 10 2 4 27 14 +13 32 LDWLWW
5 Guimaraes 17 8 4 5 21 20 +1 28 WWWLLW
6 Moreirense 17 8 3 6 16 17 -1 27 WLLLWW
7 Casa Pia 17 7 3 7 28 32 -4 24 WLWDLW
8 Arouca 17 6 4 7 28 24 +4 22 WLWDDL
9 Famalicao 17 4 6 7 16 20 -4 18 LLWDLW
10 Portimonense 17 5 2 10 21 41 -20 17 LLWDLW
11 Farense 17 4 3 10 22 28 -6 15 LLLDWL
12 Boavista 17 3 3 11 18 32 -14 12 DLLLLL
13 Estrela 17 1 9 7 11 26 -15 12 LDDDDL
14 Vizela 17 2 6 9 16 34 -18 12 DLLLLD
15 Rio Ave 17 0 11 6 13 23 -10 11 DDDDDD
16 Gil Vicente 17 3 2 12 14 30 -16 11 DLLWDL
17 Chaves 16 2 4 10 10 32 -22 10 LDDLWL
18 Estoril 16 1 5 10 23 38 -15 8 LDLDDL

Moreirense   Estoril

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 33 8 25 2.8 0.9 28 3 2 93 29 87 OUOOOU
2 4 Sp Braga 33 9 24 2.2 1.5 21 5 7 71 49 68 OUOOOO
3 7 Arouca 34 12 22 1.6 1.5 13 7 14 54 50 46 OUOUOO
4 2 Benfica 34 13 21 2.3 0.8 25 5 4 77 28 80 OOOUOU
5 16 Portimonense 34 13 21 1.1 2.1 8 8 18 39 72 32 OOUOOO
6 13 Estoril 33 13 20 1.5 1.7 9 6 18 48 56 33 UUOUOU
7 18 Chaves 33 13 20 0.9 2.1 5 8 20 31 69 23 OUOOOU
8 3 Porto 33 14 19 1.9 0.8 21 6 6 62 27 69 OOOOOO
9 5 Guimaraes 34 15 19 1.5 1.1 19 6 9 52 38 63 UOUOOO
10 10 Farense 34 15 19 1.4 1.5 10 7 17 46 51 37 UOOOUO
11 17 Vizela 34 15 19 1.1 1.9 5 11 18 36 66 26 UOUUOO
12 15 Boavista 34 16 18 1.1 1.8 7 11 16 39 62 32 OUUUOO
13 12 Gil Vicente 34 17 17 1.2 1.5 9 9 16 42 52 36 OUOUUU
14 9 Casa Pia 34 18 16 1.1 1.5 10 8 16 38 50 38 OOOOUO
15 14 Estrela 34 18 16 1.0 1.6 7 12 15 33 53 33 OUOUOU
16 8 Famalicao 34 19 15 1.1 1.2 10 12 12 37 41 42 UOUUUO
17 11 Rio Ave 34 22 12 1.1 1.3 6 19 9 38 43 37 OUUOOU
18 6 Moreirense 33 22 11 1.0 1.0 15 7 11 34 34 52 OOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 16 3 13 3.4 0.7 16 0 0 54 11 48 OOOOOO
2 18 Chaves 17 4 13 1.2 2.2 3 4 10 21 37 13 OOOOOU
3 2 Benfica 17 6 11 2.8 0.4 15 2 0 48 7 47 OOUOOO
4 4 Sp Braga 16 5 11 2.1 1.2 10 3 3 33 19 33 OOOOOO
5 7 Arouca 17 6 11 1.5 1.5 7 3 7 26 26 24 OOOOUO
6 3 Porto 17 7 10 2.1 0.8 11 4 2 35 13 37 OOOOOO
7 5 Guimaraes 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 11 2 4 31 18 35 UUUUUO
8 14 Estrela 17 7 10 1.3 1.6 6 3 8 22 27 21 UOOOOU
9 17 Vizela 17 7 10 1.2 1.9 3 5 9 20 32 14 OOOUUO
10 8 Famalicao 17 8 9 1.2 1.2 6 6 5 21 21 24 UOUOUO
11 10 Farense 17 8 9 1.4 1.4 6 4 7 24 23 22 UUUOOO
12 13 Estoril 17 8 9 1.5 1.1 8 1 8 25 18 25 OUUUUU
13 15 Boavista 17 8 9 1.2 1.8 4 8 5 21 30 20 OUUUUO
14 16 Portimonense 17 8 9 1.1 1.8 3 6 8 18 31 15 UOOOUO
15 12 Gil Vicente 17 10 7 1.6 1.3 6 7 4 28 22 25 UUOOOU
16 11 Rio Ave 17 11 6 1.5 1.2 6 8 3 25 20 26 OUOUOU
17 6 Moreirense 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 18 17 25 UUUOUU
18 9 Casa Pia 17 12 5 0.6 1.1 3 5 9 10 18 14 UUUOOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 17 4 13 2.2 1.8 11 2 4 38 30 35 OUOUOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 17 5 12 2.3 1.1 12 3 2 39 18 39 OOOUOU
3 16 Portimonense 17 5 12 1.2 2.4 5 2 10 21 41 17 OUOOOO
4 7 Arouca 17 6 11 1.6 1.4 6 4 7 28 24 22 OUOUOO
5 9 Casa Pia 17 6 11 1.6 1.9 7 3 7 28 32 24 UOOOOO
6 13 Estoril 16 5 11 1.4 2.4 1 5 10 23 38 8 OOOUOO
7 2 Benfica 17 7 10 1.7 1.2 10 3 4 29 21 33 OUOOUU
8 10 Farense 17 7 10 1.3 1.6 4 3 10 22 28 15 OOOUOU
9 12 Gil Vicente 17 7 10 0.8 1.8 3 2 12 14 30 11 UOOUUU
10 3 Porto 16 7 9 1.7 0.9 10 2 4 27 14 32 OUOUOO
11 5 Guimaraes 17 8 9 1.2 1.2 8 4 5 21 20 28 OOOOOO
12 15 Boavista 17 8 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 11 18 32 12 UOUOUO
13 17 Vizela 17 8 9 0.9 2.0 2 6 9 16 34 12 UOOOUO
14 18 Chaves 16 9 7 0.6 2.0 2 4 10 10 32 10 UUUUUO
15 6 Moreirense 17 11 6 0.9 1.0 8 3 6 16 17 27 UUUOUU
16 8 Famalicao 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 4 6 7 16 20 18 OUOOUU
17 11 Rio Ave 17 11 6 0.8 1.4 0 11 6 13 23 11 UUUOUO
18 14 Estrela 17 11 6 0.6 1.5 1 9 7 11 26 12 OUOUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10