Estoril 1–2 Arouca – Portugal Primeira Liga, 20 Jan 2024

Match facts

Estoril Arouca

13 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 7

7 Corners 4

16 Fouls 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (156 league matches this season so far).

Result Estoril to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.56

Expected goals 1.83 – 1.44

Home / Draw / Away

47% 23% 30%

EstorilDrawArouca

Under / Over 2.5 goals

37% 63%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

36% 64%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

23% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10% 2–1 9.2% 1–2 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

1.82scored / match

1.88conceded / match

5 2 10

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:32

Arouca before this match, all matches

0.94points / match

1.35scored / match

1.47conceded / match

4 4 9

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:25

Estoril all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.35

1.88 Goals conceded 1.47

3.71 Total goals 2.82

11.65 Shots 12.53

5.00 Shots on target 4.29

14.24 Shots faced 10.18

5.71 Corners 4.29

5.41 Corners against 5.41

13.82 Fouls 12.88

2.65 Yellow cards 2.71

0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.41

0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

29% Wins 24%

12% Draws 24%

59% Losses 53%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

82% Over 1.5 goals 76%

71% Over 2.5 goals 53%

59% Over 3.5 goals 29%

24% Over 4.5 goals 12%

18% Over 5.5 goals 6%

59% Both teams scored 47%

29% Clean sheets 12%

12% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 12%

47% Draws 35%

29% Losses 53%

71% Over 0.5 goals 82%

59% Over 1.5 goals 35%

12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches

1

L

1

L

1

W

4

W

1

3

L

4

W

1

D

4

W

1

5

L

1

3

L

Arouca all matches

1

2

L

1

L

2

L

1

L

4

W

2

D

3

W

4

1

W

3

L

1

2

L

Estoril before this match, at home

1.63points / match

2.25scored / match

1.00conceded / match

4 1 3

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 18:8

Arouca before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.63scored / match

1.38conceded / match

2 2 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:11

Estoril at home away Arouca

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 1.63

1.00 Goals conceded 1.38

3.25 Total goals 3.00

12.88 Shots 12.13

5.75 Shots on target 4.25

12.50 Shots faced 9.75

5.88 Corners 3.50

5.00 Corners against 6.13

14.63 Fouls 13.63

2.75 Yellow cards 3.38

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%

13% Draws 25%

38% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

88% Over 1.5 goals 88%

75% Over 2.5 goals 63%

63% Over 3.5 goals 38%

0% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

38% Both teams scored 63%

50% Clean sheets 13%

13% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%

38% Draws 38%

25% Losses 50%

63% Over 0.5 goals 88%

50% Over 1.5 goals 50%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home

2

W

3

1

W

2

W

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

4

W

4

W

4

W

1

3

L

Arouca away

2

L

2

W

2

D

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

L

4

W

4

1

W

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.01.24	Estoril – Moreirense	1–3 (0–2)	2.40	3.25	2.90	1.98	1.88
05.01.24	Sp Lisbon – Estoril	5–1 (2–0)	1.25	5.75	11.00	1.40	2.88
30.12.23	Estoril – Farense	4–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.80	3.50	1.73	2.08
17.12.23	Famalicao – Estoril	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.25	3.30	2.00	1.85
10.12.23	Estoril – Chaves	4–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.83	2.03
03.12.23	Sp Braga – Estoril	3–1 (1–1)	1.33	5.25	6.50	1.44	2.70
10.11.23	Estoril – Casa Pia	4–0 (2–0)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.10	1.70
03.11.23	Porto – Estoril	0–1 (0–0)	1.18	7.50	12.00	1.40	2.88
28.10.23	Portimonense – Estoril	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.40	2.75	1.95	1.90
07.10.23	Estoril – Benfica	0–1 (0–0)	8.50	5.25	1.25	1.44	2.70

Arouca all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.01.24	Guimaraes – Arouca	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.75
06.01.24	Arouca – Benfica	0–3 (0–1)	6.00	4.75	1.50	1.70	2.10
28.12.23	Estrela – Arouca	1–4 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
16.12.23	Arouca – Gil Vicente	3–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.05	1.80
10.12.23	Arouca – Rio Ave	2–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.15	1.67
03.12.23	Boavista – Arouca	0–4 (0–3)	2.10	3.30	3.25	2.05	1.75
12.11.23	Arouca – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–1)	5.00	4.20	1.60	1.60	2.30
06.11.23	Farense – Arouca	2–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.20	2.05	1.75
27.10.23	Arouca – Moreirense	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.88	2.10	1.70
08.10.23	Sp Lisbon – Arouca	2–1 (1–0)	1.22	5.00	11.00	1.60	2.30

Estoril at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.01.24	Estoril – Moreirense	1–3 (0–2)	2.40	3.25	2.90	1.98	1.88
30.12.23	Estoril – Farense	4–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.80	3.50	1.73	2.08
10.12.23	Estoril – Chaves	4–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.83	2.03
10.11.23	Estoril – Casa Pia	4–0 (2–0)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.10	1.70
07.10.23	Estoril – Benfica	0–1 (0–0)	8.50	5.25	1.25	1.44	2.70
23.09.23	Estoril – Vizela	2–2 (0–0)	2.60	3.20	2.80	1.98	1.88
03.09.23	Estoril – Boavista	1–2 (1–2)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.05	1.75
20.08.23	Estoril – Rio Ave	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.65
27.05.23	Estoril – Maritimo	3–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	1.95	1.90
15.05.23	Estoril – Arouca	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.65

Arouca away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.01.24	Guimaraes – Arouca	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.75
28.12.23	Estrela – Arouca	1–4 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
03.12.23	Boavista – Arouca	0–4 (0–3)	2.10	3.30	3.25	2.05	1.75
06.11.23	Farense – Arouca	2–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.20	2.05	1.75
08.10.23	Sp Lisbon – Arouca	2–1 (1–0)	1.22	5.00	11.00	1.60	2.30
22.09.23	Famalicao – Arouca	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.15	1.67
03.09.23	Porto – Arouca	1–1 (0–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.53	2.40
20.08.23	Vizela – Arouca	2–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.25	3.40	2.15	1.67
27.05.23	Portimonense – Arouca	0–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.50	2.30	1.88	1.98
15.05.23	Estoril – Arouca	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3

Estoril winsDrawsArouca wins

5matches

3.20goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.08.23P1	Arouca – Estoril	4–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.20	3.40	2.30	1.60
15.05.23P1	Estoril – Arouca	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.65
07.01.23P1	Arouca – Estoril	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.08	1.73
27.01.22P1	Estoril – Arouca	1–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.25	1.61
07.08.21P1	Arouca – Estoril	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.10	3.40	2.30	1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Sp Lisbon	18	15	1	2	45	19	+26	46	LWWWWW
2	Benfica	18	14	3	1	37	11	+26	45	DWWWWW
3	Porto	17	12	2	3	25	12	+13	38	WWLWDW
4	Sp Braga	18	11	3	4	42	26	+16	36	WLWDLW
5	Guimaraes	17	10	3	4	28	19	+9	33	WWDWDW
6	Moreirense	17	8	5	4	24	18	+6	29	DDWDLW
7	Famalicao	18	5	7	6	18	22	-4	22	DDLDWL
8	Farense	17	6	3	8	23	23	0	21	LDDLWL
9	Boavista	18	5	5	8	26	33	-7	20	LDLDWL
10	Casa Pia	17	5	4	8	18	23	-5	19	WLWLWL
11	Estrela	17	4	6	7	18	24	-6	18	DWDLDD
12	Portimonense	17	5	3	9	18	36	-18	18	LDLLLW
13	Estoril	17	5	2	10	31	32	-1	17	LWDWLL
14	Arouca	17	4	4	9	23	25	-2	16	WDWWLL
15	Gil Vicente	17	4	4	9	27	31	-4	16	LDLWLD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	19	28	-9	15	DDDLWL
17	Vizela	18	2	7	9	18	32	-14	13	LDDDLL
18	Chaves	17	3	2	12	18	44	-26	11	WLLLDL

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Sp Lisbon	9	9	0	0	24	7	+17	27	WWWWWW
2	Benfica	9	7	2	0	20	4	+16	23	DWDWWW
3	Guimaraes	9	7	0	2	20	10	+10	21	WWLWWW
4	Porto	8	6	1	1	12	5	+7	19	WWLWWW
5	Gil Vicente	9	4	4	1	21	12	+9	16	WDDDWD
6	Sp Braga	8	4	2	2	18	9	+9	14	WWWWLD
7	Farense	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14	LDWLDW
8	Estoril	8	4	1	3	18	8	+10	13	DLWWWL
9	Rio Ave	9	3	3	3	13	13	0	12	LLWDDW
10	Famalicao	9	3	3	3	10	12	-2	12	LWLDDL
11	Moreirense	8	3	2	3	12	12	0	11	WDWDWL
12	Portimonense	8	3	2	3	9	12	-3	11	LWWDLW
13	Boavista	9	2	4	3	13	17	-4	10	DLLLDD
14	Estrela	9	3	1	5	10	14	-4	10	LWLWLD
15	Arouca	9	2	2	5	10	14	-4	8	LLLDWL
16	Chaves	8	2	1	5	12	19	-7	7	DWLWLL
17	Vizela	10	1	3	6	10	21	-11	6	LDLDLL
18	Casa Pia	8	1	2	5	4	10	-6	5	DLLWLL

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Benfica	9	7	1	1	17	7	+10	22	WWWDWW
2	Sp Braga	10	7	1	2	24	17	+7	22	DWWWLW
3	Sp Lisbon	9	6	1	2	21	12	+9	19	WLLWWW
4	Porto	9	6	1	2	13	7	+6	19	LWWWLD
5	Moreirense	9	5	3	1	12	6	+6	18	WWWDDW
6	Casa Pia	9	4	2	3	14	13	+1	14	LDLLWW
7	Guimaraes	8	3	3	2	8	9	-1	12	DWLWDD
8	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	8	10	-2	10	DLDDLW
9	Boavista	9	3	1	5	13	16	-3	10	DLLLWL
10	Arouca	8	2	2	4	13	11	+2	8	LLLWWL
11	Estrela	8	1	5	2	8	10	-2	8	DWLDDD
12	Vizela	8	1	4	3	8	11	-3	7	DDWLDD
13	Farense	8	2	1	5	9	14	-5	7	LWWDLL
14	Portimonense	9	2	1	6	9	24	-15	7	WLLLLL
15	Estoril	9	1	1	7	13	24	-11	4	LLWLDL
16	Chaves	9	1	1	7	6	25	-19	4	WLLLLD
17	Rio Ave	8	0	3	5	6	15	-9	3	LLDDLL
18	Gil Vicente	8	0	0	8	6	19	-13	0	LLLLLL

Estoril Arouca

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	1	Sp Lisbon	18	5	13	2.5	1.1	15	1	2	45	19	46	OUOOOO
2	4	Sp Braga	18	5	13	2.3	1.4	11	3	4	42	26	36	OUOUUO
3	18	Chaves	17	4	13	1.1	2.6	3	2	12	18	44	11	OOOUOO
4	13	Estoril	17	5	12	1.8	1.9	5	2	10	31	32	17	OOUOOO
5	5	Guimaraes	17	7	10	1.6	1.1	10	3	4	28	19	33	OOUUUO
6	9	Boavista	18	8	10	1.4	1.8	5	5	8	26	33	20	OUUUOU
7	15	Gil Vicente	17	7	10	1.6	1.8	4	4	9	27	31	16	OUOUUU
8	2	Benfica	18	9	9	2.1	0.6	14	3	1	37	11	45	UUOOOU
9	8	Farense	17	8	9	1.4	1.4	6	3	8	23	23	21	OUUOUU
10	12	Portimonense	17	8	9	1.1	2.1	5	3	9	18	36	18	UUOOUU
11	14	Arouca	17	8	9	1.4	1.5	4	4	9	23	25	16	OOOOOO
12	17	Vizela	18	9	9	1.0	1.8	2	7	9	18	32	13	OUUUOO
13	6	Moreirense	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	8	5	4	24	18	29	UUOUOO
14	7	Famalicao	18	10	8	1.0	1.2	5	7	6	18	22	22	UUOOUO
15	3	Porto	17	10	7	1.5	0.7	12	2	3	25	12	38	OOUUUU
16	10	Casa Pia	17	10	7	1.1	1.4	5	4	8	18	23	19	UOOOOU
17	11	Estrela	17	11	6	1.1	1.4	4	6	7	18	24	18	UOUOUU
18	16	Rio Ave	17	11	6	1.1	1.6	3	6	8	19	28	15	UOUUUO

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	5	Guimaraes	9	2	7	2.2	1.1	7	0	2	20	10	21	OOOOUO
2	18	Chaves	8	1	7	1.5	2.4	2	1	5	12	19	7	OOUOOO
3	1	Sp Lisbon	9	3	6	2.7	0.8	9	0	0	24	7	27	UOOOUO
4	13	Estoril	8	2	6	2.2	1.0	4	1	3	18	8	13	OUOOOO
5	17	Vizela	10	4	6	1.0	2.1	1	3	6	10	21	6	UUOUOO
6	4	Sp Braga	8	3	5	2.2	1.1	4	2	2	18	9	14	OOOOUU
7	7	Famalicao	9	4	5	1.1	1.3	3	3	3	10	12	12	OOOUOO
8	8	Farense	9	4	5	1.6	1.0	4	2	3	14	9	14	OUUOUU
9	9	Boavista	9	4	5	1.4	1.9	2	4	3	13	17	10	OUOOUU
10	2	Benfica	9	5	4	2.2	0.4	7	2	0	20	4	23	UOUOOU
11	6	Moreirense	8	4	4	1.5	1.5	3	2	3	12	12	11	UUUUOO
12	11	Estrela	9	5	4	1.1	1.6	3	1	5	10	14	10	OUUOOU
13	12	Portimonense	8	4	4	1.1	1.5	3	2	3	9	12	11	OUOUOU
14	14	Arouca	9	5	4	1.1	1.6	2	2	5	10	14	8	UUUOOO
15	15	Gil Vicente	9	5	4	2.3	1.3	4	4	1	21	12	16	UOUUUU
16	3	Porto	8	5	3	1.5	0.6	6	1	1	12	5	19	OUUOUU
17	16	Rio Ave	9	6	3	1.4	1.4	3	3	3	13	13	12	OOUUUU
18	10	Casa Pia	8	6	2	0.5	1.2	1	2	5	4	10	5	UUUUOU

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	4	Sp Braga	10	2	8	2.4	1.7	7	1	2	24	17	22	OUOOUO
2	1	Sp Lisbon	9	2	7	2.3	1.3	6	1	2	21	12	19	UOOOOO
3	13	Estoril	9	3	6	1.4	2.7	1	1	7	13	24	4	OUUOUO
4	15	Gil Vicente	8	2	6	0.8	2.4	0	0	8	6	19	0	OOOOOU
5	18	Chaves	9	3	6	0.7	2.8	1	1	7	6	25	4	UOOOUO
6	2	Benfica	9	4	5	1.9	0.8	7	1	1	17	7	22	OUUUUO
7	9	Boavista	9	4	5	1.4	1.8	3	1	5	13	16	10	UUOUOU
8	10	Casa Pia	9	4	5	1.6	1.4	4	2	3	14	13	14	UUOOOO
9	12	Portimonense	9	4	5	1.0	2.7	2	1	6	9	24	7	OUOUOU
10	14	Arouca	8	3	5	1.6	1.4	2	2	4	13	11	8	UOUOOO
11	3	Porto	9	5	4	1.4	0.8	6	1	2	13	7	19	UUOOUU
12	6	Moreirense	9	5	4	1.3	0.7	5	3	1	12	6	18	OUUUUO
13	8	Farense	8	4	4	1.1	1.8	2	1	5	9	14	7	UOOUOU
14	5	Guimaraes	8	5	3	1.0	1.1	3	3	2	8	9	12	UOUOUU
15	7	Famalicao	9	6	3	0.9	1.1	2	4	3	8	10	10	OUUUOU
16	16	Rio Ave	8	5	3	0.8	1.9	0	3	5	6	15	3	UOUOUO
17	17	Vizela	8	5	3	1.0	1.4	1	4	3	8	11	7	OUUOUU
18	11	Estrela	8	6	2	1.0	1.2	1	5	2	8	10	8	OUOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.