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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Braga 4–1 Estoril

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.30 fair 1.52
Draw 5.00 fair 4.91
Away 9.00 fair 7.23
Under 2.5 2.25 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Braga Estoril
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 2
14 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (240 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Braga to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 2.00 – 0.79
Home / Draw / Away
Sp BragaDrawEstoril
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 12.3% 1–0 12.3% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Sp Braga before this match, all matches
2.27points / match
2.15scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 56:23
Estoril before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
0.85scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 22:39
Sp Braga all matches all matches Estoril

Per match

2.15 Goals scored 0.85
0.88 Goals conceded 1.50
3.04 Total goals 2.35
16.62 Shots 10.96
6.77 Shots on target 3.50
11.00 Shots faced 13.88
5.85 Corners 4.92
4.35 Corners against 6.04
13.08 Fouls 14.46
2.65 Yellow cards 3.00
0.96 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

73% Wins 27%
8% Draws 15%
19% Losses 58%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 73%
62% Over 2.5 goals 31%
35% Over 3.5 goals 19%
27% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 4%
35% Both teams scored 35%
54% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 31%
31% Draws 12%
23% Losses 58%
77% Over 0.5 goals 88%
46% Over 1.5 goals 35%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga all matches
Estoril all matches
Sp Braga before this match, at home
2.17points / match
1.92scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 23:6
Estoril before this match, away
0.85points / match
0.77scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:17
Sp Braga at home away Estoril

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 0.77
0.50 Goals conceded 1.31
2.42 Total goals 2.08
17.75 Shots 11.38
6.17 Shots on target 3.23
9.50 Shots faced 14.23
5.83 Corners 5.62
3.58 Corners against 6.62
13.58 Fouls 13.54
2.67 Yellow cards 2.92
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

67% Wins 23%
17% Draws 15%
17% Losses 62%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
58% Over 1.5 goals 62%
33% Over 2.5 goals 23%
25% Over 3.5 goals 15%
25% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
17% Both teams scored 31%
67% Clean sheets 23%
25% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 23%
42% Draws 23%
17% Losses 54%
67% Over 0.5 goals 77%
25% Over 1.5 goals 23%
8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga at home
Estoril away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.23 Chaves – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.801.67 1.90 1.95
19.03.23 Sp Braga – Porto 0–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.20 1.93 1.93
11.03.23 Vizela – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–1) 3.803.601.95 1.95 1.90
05.03.23 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.208.00 1.88 1.98
27.02.23 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.501.91 2.00 1.85
19.02.23 Sp Braga – Arouca 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.757.00 1.60 2.30
12.02.23 Maritimo – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–2) 5.504.001.57 1.83 2.02
05.02.23 Sp Braga – Famalicao 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.758.00 1.70 2.10
01.02.23 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 5–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.83 2.02
21.01.23 Pacos Ferreira – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.44 1.75 2.05

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.03.23 Estoril – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.55 2.02 1.83
18.03.23 Estoril – Chaves 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
10.03.23 Porto – Estoril 3–2 (2–1) 1.186.5013.00 1.57 2.35
04.03.23 Estoril – Vizela 0–3 (0–2) 2.633.202.63 2.15 1.67
27.02.23 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5010.00 1.53 2.40
18.02.23 Estoril – Pacos Ferreira 1–3 (0–2) 2.003.303.80 2.20 1.65
13.02.23 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.40 1.53
09.02.23 Estoril – Boavista 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.102.88 2.25 1.62
04.02.23 Estoril – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.752.882.90 2.40 1.53
29.01.23 Famalicao – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.30 1.60

Sp Braga at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.23 Sp Braga – Porto 0–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.20 1.93 1.93
05.03.23 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.208.00 1.88 1.98
19.02.23 Sp Braga – Arouca 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.757.00 1.60 2.30
05.02.23 Sp Braga – Famalicao 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.758.00 1.70 2.10
14.01.23 Sp Braga – Boavista 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0010.00 1.70 2.10
30.12.22 Sp Braga – Benfica 3–0 (2–0) 4.503.801.70 1.80 2.05
06.11.22 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.00 1.72 2.07
09.10.22 Sp Braga – Chaves 0–1 (0–1) 1.285.509.00 1.57 2.35
18.09.22 Sp Braga – Vizela 2–0 (0–0) 1.305.009.50 1.60 2.30
03.09.22 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.00 1.65 2.20

Estoril away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.23 Porto – Estoril 3–2 (2–1) 1.186.5013.00 1.57 2.35
27.02.23 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5010.00 1.53 2.40
13.02.23 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.40 1.53
29.01.23 Famalicao – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.30 1.60
22.01.23 Maritimo – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.103.00 2.40 1.53
07.01.23 Arouca – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.08 1.73
14.11.22 Santa Clara – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 2.253.203.20 2.25 1.61
30.10.22 Portimonense – Estoril 1–1 (0–1) 2.373.303.00 2.20 1.65
07.10.22 Gil Vicente – Estoril 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.25 1.98 1.88
01.10.22 Chaves – Estoril 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.103.20 2.15 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Braga winsDrawsEstoril wins
3matches
1.33goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22P1 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–2 (0–2) 4.503.751.66 1.72 2.07
18.04.22P1 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.301.95 2.05 1.75
05.12.21P1 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 1.80 2.00

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 27 23 2 2 68 16 +52 71 WWWWWL
2 Porto 27 20 4 3 58 18 +40 64 LWWDWW
3 Sp Braga 26 19 2 5 56 23 +33 59 WLWWDW
4 Sp Lisbon 26 17 3 6 52 23 +29 54 WWWWWD
5 Arouca 27 12 8 7 31 32 -1 44 WDWDWW
6 Guimaraes 27 12 5 10 26 31 -5 41 WWLLDL
7 Vizela 27 11 5 11 31 28 +3 38 LWLWWW
8 Casa Pia 26 11 5 10 23 27 -4 38 DLWLWL
9 Famalicao 27 11 3 13 28 34 -6 36 WLWWLW
10 Rio Ave 27 9 7 11 27 31 -4 34 WLWWLD
11 Boavista 27 9 6 12 32 45 -13 33 WDLLLW
12 Chaves 26 8 8 10 27 33 -6 32 LLLWWL
13 Gil Vicente 26 8 6 12 26 32 -6 30 DWWLLD
14 Portimonense 27 8 3 16 20 35 -15 27 LLLLLD
15 Estoril 26 7 4 15 22 39 -17 25 LLLLLW
16 Maritimo 27 5 4 18 21 50 -29 19 WLLLWL
17 Pacos Ferreira 27 4 5 18 20 46 -26 17 LLWDDL
18 Santa Clara 27 3 6 18 17 42 -25 15 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 14 12 1 1 43 12 +31 37 DWWWWL
2 Sp Lisbon 13 11 0 2 35 7 +28 33 WWLWWW
3 Porto 13 11 0 2 36 9 +27 33 WWWLWW
4 Guimaraes 14 8 3 3 14 10 +4 27 LWWWLD
5 Sp Braga 12 8 2 2 23 6 +17 26 WWWWWD
6 Arouca 14 8 2 4 20 16 +4 26 WLWWDW
7 Boavista 14 6 5 3 18 18 0 23 DWDDLW
8 Rio Ave 13 7 1 5 14 10 +4 22 LLWWWL
9 Famalicao 13 7 1 5 13 10 +3 22 DWLWWL
10 Casa Pia 13 6 3 4 12 9 +3 21 DLWDWW
11 Portimonense 14 5 3 6 12 14 -2 18 DWWLLD
12 Vizela 13 5 2 6 15 14 +1 17 WWDLLW
13 Gil Vicente 13 4 5 4 11 11 0 17 WWDDWD
14 Chaves 13 3 5 5 15 17 -2 14 DWLLWL
15 Maritimo 13 4 2 7 14 18 -4 14 WLLWLW
16 Estoril 13 4 2 7 12 22 -10 14 LWLLLW
17 Santa Clara 14 2 4 8 13 26 -13 10 LDLLLL
18 Pacos Ferreira 14 2 2 10 10 26 -16 8 LLWLWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 13 11 1 1 25 4 +21 34 WWWWWW
2 Sp Braga 14 11 0 3 33 17 +16 33 WLWLWW
3 Porto 14 9 4 1 22 9 +13 31 WWWWDW
4 Vizela 14 6 3 5 16 14 +2 21 LLDWWW
5 Sp Lisbon 13 6 3 4 17 16 +1 21 LDWWWD
6 Chaves 13 5 3 5 12 16 -4 18 DDLDLW
7 Arouca 13 4 6 3 11 16 -5 18 DDLDWW
8 Casa Pia 13 5 2 6 11 18 -7 17 LLDLLL
9 Famalicao 14 4 2 8 15 24 -9 14 LLWLWW
10 Guimaraes 13 4 2 7 12 21 -9 14 LWDWLL
11 Gil Vicente 13 4 1 8 15 21 -6 13 WLWWLL
12 Rio Ave 14 2 6 6 13 21 -8 12 DLLLWD
13 Estoril 13 3 2 8 10 17 -7 11 LLLLLL
14 Boavista 13 3 1 9 14 27 -13 10 DLLWLL
15 Pacos Ferreira 13 2 3 8 10 20 -10 9 WLWLDD
16 Portimonense 13 3 0 10 8 21 -13 9 LLLLLL
17 Santa Clara 13 1 2 10 4 16 -12 5 DLLLLL
18 Maritimo 14 1 2 11 7 32 -25 5 LLLLLL

Sp Braga   Estoril

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Benfica 27 9 18 2.5 0.6 23 2 2 68 16 71 UUOOUO
2 4 Sp Lisbon 26 8 18 2.0 0.9 17 3 6 52 23 54 OUUOOU
3 11 Boavista 27 10 17 1.2 1.7 9 6 12 32 45 33 OUOOOO
4 3 Sp Braga 26 10 16 2.2 0.9 19 2 5 56 23 59 UOUOUO
5 2 Porto 27 13 14 2.1 0.7 20 4 3 58 18 64 OOOUUO
6 16 Maritimo 27 13 14 0.8 1.9 5 4 18 21 50 19 OUOUOU
7 17 Pacos Ferreira 27 14 13 0.7 1.7 4 5 18 20 46 17 OOUUUO
8 18 Santa Clara 27 14 13 0.6 1.6 3 6 18 17 42 15 OOUUOU
9 6 Guimaraes 27 15 12 1.0 1.1 12 5 10 26 31 41 OOUOUO
10 9 Famalicao 27 15 12 1.0 1.3 11 3 13 28 34 36 UUUOUO
11 13 Gil Vicente 26 14 12 1.0 1.2 8 6 12 26 32 30 UOUOUU
12 7 Vizela 27 16 11 1.1 1.0 11 5 11 31 28 38 UOOUOU
13 8 Casa Pia 26 16 10 0.9 1.0 11 5 10 23 27 38 UUOUUO
14 12 Chaves 26 16 10 1.0 1.3 8 8 10 27 33 32 OUOUUO
15 14 Portimonense 27 17 10 0.7 1.3 8 3 16 20 35 27 UUUUUO
16 5 Arouca 27 18 9 1.1 1.2 12 8 7 31 32 44 UUUUUU
17 10 Rio Ave 27 18 9 1.0 1.1 9 7 11 27 31 34 UUOUUO
18 15 Estoril 26 18 8 0.8 1.5 7 4 15 22 39 25 OUOOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Benfica 14 2 12 3.1 0.9 12 1 1 43 12 37 OOOUOO
2 4 Sp Lisbon 13 2 11 2.7 0.5 11 0 2 35 7 33 OOOUOO
3 2 Porto 13 4 9 2.8 0.7 11 0 2 36 9 33 OUUOOU
4 18 Santa Clara 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 2 4 8 13 26 10 OOOOUU
5 11 Boavista 14 6 8 1.3 1.3 6 5 3 18 18 23 UOUUOO
6 16 Maritimo 13 6 7 1.1 1.4 4 2 7 14 18 14 UUOOOO
7 17 Pacos Ferreira 14 7 7 0.7 1.9 2 2 10 10 26 8 OUOOUO
8 5 Arouca 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 8 2 4 20 16 26 OOUUUU
9 7 Vizela 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 5 2 6 15 14 17 OOUUOO
10 9 Famalicao 13 8 5 1.0 0.8 7 1 5 13 10 22 UUUUUU
11 12 Chaves 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 3 5 5 15 17 14 UOOOUO
12 14 Portimonense 14 9 5 0.9 1.0 5 3 6 12 14 18 UUOUUO
13 15 Estoril 13 8 5 0.9 1.7 4 2 7 12 22 14 UOOOUU
14 3 Sp Braga 12 8 4 1.9 0.5 8 2 2 23 6 26 OUOUUU
15 6 Guimaraes 14 10 4 1.0 0.7 8 3 3 14 10 27 UOUOUU
16 8 Casa Pia 13 9 4 0.9 0.7 6 3 4 12 9 21 UOOUOU
17 10 Rio Ave 13 10 3 1.1 0.8 7 1 5 14 10 22 UUUUOU
18 13 Gil Vicente 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 5 4 11 11 17 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Braga 14 2 12 2.4 1.2 11 0 3 33 17 33 OOOOOO
2 11 Boavista 13 4 9 1.1 2.1 3 1 9 14 27 10 OOOOOO
3 13 Gil Vicente 13 4 9 1.2 1.6 4 1 8 15 21 13 OOUOOU
4 6 Guimaraes 13 5 8 0.9 1.6 4 2 7 12 21 14 OUUOOO
5 4 Sp Lisbon 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 6 3 4 17 16 21 UOUOUU
6 9 Famalicao 14 7 7 1.1 1.7 4 2 8 15 24 14 OOOUOO
7 16 Maritimo 14 7 7 0.5 2.3 1 2 11 7 32 5 OOOUUU
8 1 Benfica 13 7 6 1.9 0.3 11 1 1 25 4 34 OUOUOU
9 8 Casa Pia 13 7 6 0.8 1.4 5 2 6 11 18 17 UOUUUO
10 10 Rio Ave 14 8 6 0.9 1.5 2 6 6 13 21 12 UOUUUO
11 17 Pacos Ferreira 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 2 3 8 10 20 9 UUOOUU
12 2 Porto 14 9 5 1.6 0.6 9 4 1 22 9 31 UUOOUO
13 7 Vizela 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 6 3 5 16 14 21 OUUOUU
14 12 Chaves 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 5 12 16 18 UUOUUU
15 14 Portimonense 13 8 5 0.6 1.6 3 0 10 8 21 9 OOUUUU
16 18 Santa Clara 13 9 4 0.3 1.2 1 2 10 4 16 5 UOUOUO
17 5 Arouca 13 10 3 0.8 1.2 4 6 3 11 16 18 UUUUUU
18 15 Estoril 13 10 3 0.8 1.3 3 2 8 10 17 11 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10