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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.09
Draw 3.70 fair 4.00
Away 3.80 fair 3.69
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Brighton
15 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 5
9 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (254 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.44scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 36:27
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.36scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 34:33
Aston Villa all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.36
1.08 Goals conceded 1.32
2.52 Total goals 2.68
12.44 Shots 13.00
4.48 Shots on target 4.28
12.92 Shots faced 12.16
5.28 Corners 4.92
4.84 Corners against 4.60
10.12 Fouls 11.84
1.44 Yellow cards 2.40
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

56% Wins 28%
20% Draws 40%
24% Losses 32%
88% Over 0.5 goals 92%
68% Over 1.5 goals 88%
52% Over 2.5 goals 48%
24% Over 3.5 goals 20%
12% Over 4.5 goals 8%
4% Over 5.5 goals 8%
52% Both teams scored 68%
28% Clean sheets 20%
32% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 24%
44% Draws 28%
28% Losses 48%
72% Over 0.5 goals 76%
24% Over 1.5 goals 16%
8% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Brighton all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.08points / match
1.50scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:10
Brighton before this match, away
0.83points / match
1.17scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:19
Aston Villa at home away Brighton

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.17
0.83 Goals conceded 1.58
2.33 Total goals 2.75
13.67 Shots 12.17
4.92 Shots on target 3.92
11.08 Shots faced 14.25
5.75 Corners 4.50
4.50 Corners against 4.42
10.17 Fouls 12.75
1.08 Yellow cards 3.33
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

67% Wins 17%
8% Draws 33%
25% Losses 50%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
58% Over 1.5 goals 92%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
42% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 17%
33% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 17%
42% Draws 8%
17% Losses 75%
75% Over 0.5 goals 92%
25% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
18.01.26 Aston Villa – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.905.25 1.93 1.93
07.01.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.50 1.80 2.00
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Brighton – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.10 1.90 1.95
24.01.26 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.73 2.10
19.01.26 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.50 2.63
07.01.26 Man City – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
03.01.26 Brighton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.00 1.73 2.10
30.12.25 West Ham – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 3.403.752.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Brighton – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.25 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Aston Villa – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.905.25 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.50 1.80 2.00
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.73 2.10
07.01.26 Man City – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
30.12.25 West Ham – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 3.403.752.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50
05.10.25 Wolves – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.702.00 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Chelsea – Brighton 1–3 (1–0) 1.853.803.80 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsBrighton wins
9matches
3.56goals / match
67%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
02.04.25E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.62 2.30
30.12.24E0 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
05.05.24E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.752.45 1.50 2.63
30.09.23E0 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
28.05.23E0 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.53 2.50
13.11.22E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
26.02.22E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.50 2.10 1.72
20.11.21E0 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 25 17 5 3 49 17 +32 56
2 Man City 25 15 5 5 51 24 +27 50
3 Aston Villa 25 14 5 6 36 27 +9 47
4 Man United 26 12 9 5 47 37 +10 45
5 Chelsea 26 12 8 6 47 30 +17 44
6 Liverpool 25 11 6 8 40 35 +5 39
7 Brentford 25 12 3 10 39 34 +5 39
8 Everton 26 10 7 9 29 30 -1 37
9 Bournemouth 26 9 10 7 43 45 -2 37
10 Newcastle 26 10 6 10 37 37 0 36
11 Sunderland 25 9 9 7 27 29 -2 36
12 Fulham 25 10 4 11 35 37 -2 34
13 Crystal Palace 25 8 8 9 26 29 -3 32
14 Brighton 25 7 10 8 34 33 +1 31
15 Leeds 26 7 9 10 36 45 -9 30
16 Tottenham 26 7 8 11 36 37 -1 29
17 Nott'm Forest 25 7 5 13 25 38 -13 26
18 West Ham 26 6 6 14 32 49 -17 24
19 Burnley 25 3 6 16 25 49 -24 15
20 Wolves 25 1 5 19 16 48 -32 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 10 2 1 31 8 +23 32
2 Man City 12 9 2 1 29 8 +21 29
3 Man United 13 8 3 2 25 15 +10 27
4 Sunderland 12 7 5 0 21 9 +12 26
5 Aston Villa 12 8 1 3 18 10 +8 25
6 Brentford 12 7 3 2 23 12 +11 24
7 Liverpool 13 7 3 3 21 14 +7 24
8 Fulham 13 7 2 4 22 16 +6 23
9 Bournemouth 13 6 5 2 20 14 +6 23
10 Newcastle 13 7 2 4 24 20 +4 23
11 Chelsea 13 6 4 3 22 15 +7 22
12 Leeds 13 6 4 3 22 18 +4 22
13 Brighton 13 5 6 2 20 14 +6 21
14 Everton 13 4 4 5 16 18 -2 16
15 Crystal Palace 12 2 6 4 11 15 -4 12
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 18 -5 12
17 West Ham 13 3 2 8 17 27 -10 11
18 Tottenham 13 2 4 7 16 18 -2 10
19 Burnley 13 2 4 7 12 19 -7 10
20 Wolves 13 1 2 10 11 28 -17 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 7 3 2 18 9 +9 24
2 Chelsea 13 6 4 3 25 15 +10 22
3 Aston Villa 13 6 4 3 18 17 +1 22
4 Man City 13 6 3 4 22 16 +6 21
5 Everton 13 6 3 4 13 12 +1 21
6 Crystal Palace 13 6 2 5 15 14 +1 20
7 Tottenham 13 5 4 4 20 19 +1 19
8 Man United 13 4 6 3 22 22 0 18
9 Liverpool 12 4 3 5 19 21 -2 15
10 Brentford 13 5 0 8 16 22 -6 15
11 Bournemouth 13 3 5 5 23 31 -8 14
12 Nott'm Forest 13 4 2 7 12 20 -8 14
13 Newcastle 13 3 4 6 13 17 -4 13
14 West Ham 13 3 4 6 15 22 -7 13
15 Fulham 12 3 2 7 13 21 -8 11
16 Brighton 12 2 4 6 14 19 -5 10
17 Sunderland 13 2 4 7 6 20 -14 10
18 Leeds 13 1 5 7 14 27 -13 8
19 Burnley 12 1 2 9 13 30 -17 5
20 Wolves 12 0 3 9 5 20 -15 3

Aston Villa   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Chelsea 26 9 17 1.8 1.2 12 8 6 47 30 44
2 16 Tottenham 26 9 17 1.4 1.4 7 8 11 36 37 29
3 18 West Ham 26 9 17 1.2 1.9 6 6 14 32 49 24
4 6 Liverpool 25 9 16 1.6 1.4 11 6 8 40 35 39
5 9 Bournemouth 26 10 16 1.7 1.7 9 10 7 43 45 37
6 10 Newcastle 26 10 16 1.4 1.4 10 6 10 37 37 36
7 15 Leeds 26 10 16 1.4 1.7 7 9 10 36 45 30
8 2 Man City 25 10 15 2.0 1.0 15 5 5 51 24 50
9 4 Man United 26 11 15 1.8 1.4 12 9 5 47 37 45
10 12 Fulham 25 11 14 1.4 1.5 10 4 11 35 37 34
11 1 Arsenal 25 12 13 2.0 0.7 17 5 3 49 17 56
12 3 Aston Villa 25 12 13 1.4 1.1 14 5 6 36 27 47
13 7 Brentford 25 12 13 1.6 1.4 12 3 10 39 34 39
14 17 Nott'm Forest 25 12 13 1.0 1.5 7 5 13 25 38 26
15 19 Burnley 25 12 13 1.0 2.0 3 6 16 25 49 15
16 14 Brighton 25 13 12 1.4 1.3 7 10 8 34 33 31
17 11 Sunderland 25 14 11 1.1 1.2 9 9 7 27 29 36
18 13 Crystal Palace 25 14 11 1.0 1.2 8 8 9 26 29 32
19 20 Wolves 25 14 11 0.6 1.9 1 5 19 16 48 8
20 8 Everton 26 17 9 1.1 1.2 10 7 9 29 30 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Newcastle 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 7 2 4 24 20 23
2 15 Leeds 13 4 9 1.7 1.4 6 4 3 22 18 22
3 18 West Ham 13 4 9 1.3 2.1 3 2 8 17 27 11
4 1 Arsenal 13 5 8 2.4 0.6 10 2 1 31 8 32
5 5 Chelsea 13 5 8 1.7 1.2 6 4 3 22 15 22
6 12 Fulham 13 5 8 1.7 1.2 7 2 4 22 16 23
7 16 Tottenham 13 5 8 1.2 1.4 2 4 7 16 18 10
8 2 Man City 12 5 7 2.4 0.7 9 2 1 29 8 29
9 3 Aston Villa 12 5 7 1.5 0.8 8 1 3 18 10 25
10 6 Liverpool 13 6 7 1.6 1.1 7 3 3 21 14 24
11 7 Brentford 12 5 7 1.9 1.0 7 3 2 23 12 24
12 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 1.5 3 3 6 13 18 12
13 20 Wolves 13 6 7 0.8 2.2 1 2 10 11 28 5
14 8 Everton 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 4 5 16 18 16
15 9 Bournemouth 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 6 5 2 20 14 23
16 11 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 5 0 21 9 26
17 14 Brighton 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 5 6 2 20 14 21
18 4 Man United 13 8 5 1.9 1.2 8 3 2 25 15 27
19 13 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 2 6 4 11 15 12
20 19 Burnley 13 9 4 0.9 1.5 2 4 7 12 19 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man United 13 3 10 1.7 1.7 4 6 3 22 22 18
2 9 Bournemouth 13 3 10 1.8 2.4 3 5 5 23 31 14
3 5 Chelsea 13 4 9 1.9 1.2 6 4 3 25 15 22
4 6 Liverpool 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 4 3 5 19 21 15
5 16 Tottenham 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 5 4 4 20 19 19
6 19 Burnley 12 3 9 1.1 2.5 1 2 9 13 30 5
7 2 Man City 13 5 8 1.7 1.2 6 3 4 22 16 21
8 18 West Ham 13 5 8 1.2 1.7 3 4 6 15 22 13
9 10 Newcastle 13 6 7 1.0 1.3 3 4 6 13 17 13
10 15 Leeds 13 6 7 1.1 2.1 1 5 7 14 27 8
11 3 Aston Villa 13 7 6 1.4 1.3 6 4 3 18 17 22
12 7 Brentford 13 7 6 1.2 1.7 5 0 8 16 22 15
13 12 Fulham 12 6 6 1.1 1.8 3 2 7 13 21 11
14 13 Crystal Palace 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 6 2 5 15 14 20
15 14 Brighton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 4 6 14 19 10
16 17 Nott'm Forest 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 4 2 7 12 20 14
17 1 Arsenal 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 7 3 2 18 9 24
18 11 Sunderland 13 8 5 0.5 1.5 2 4 7 6 20 10
19 20 Wolves 12 8 4 0.4 1.7 0 3 9 5 20 3
20 8 Everton 13 10 3 1.0 0.9 6 3 4 13 12 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40