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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Aston Villa 2–1 Man United

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.08
Draw 3.60 fair 4.30
Away 3.30 fair 3.48
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.49
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Man United
12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 5
11 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (168 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.06points / match
1.56scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:17
Man United before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.88scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:26
Aston Villa all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.88
1.06 Goals conceded 1.63
2.63 Total goals 3.50
11.56 Shots 16.63
4.25 Shots on target 5.69
12.56 Shots faced 11.06
5.06 Corners 4.69
4.88 Corners against 4.50
10.38 Fouls 10.56
1.50 Yellow cards 1.38
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

63% Wins 44%
19% Draws 31%
19% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 88%
56% Over 2.5 goals 69%
25% Over 3.5 goals 44%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
50% Both teams scored 75%
31% Clean sheets 6%
31% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
44% Draws 19%
31% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
31% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Man United all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.38points / match
1.63scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:6
Man United before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:14
Aston Villa at home away Man United

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.75
0.75 Goals conceded 1.75
2.38 Total goals 3.50
12.00 Shots 14.00
5.13 Shots on target 5.00
11.63 Shots faced 13.00
5.25 Corners 4.63
5.00 Corners against 5.25
9.75 Fouls 10.38
1.25 Yellow cards 1.38
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

75% Wins 38%
13% Draws 38%
13% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 100%
63% Over 2.5 goals 88%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 88%
50% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 38%
38% Draws 25%
13% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
08.12.25 Wolves – Man United 1–4 (1–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
04.12.25 Man United – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.53 2.50
30.11.25 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.10
24.11.25 Man United – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50
19.10.25 Liverpool – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.505.00 1.44 2.75
04.10.25 Man United – Sunderland 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.755.75 1.62 2.30

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
31.08.25 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 0–3 (0–1) 1.853.704.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
16.05.25 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
03.05.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.773.754.50 1.68 2.05

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.25 Wolves – Man United 1–4 (1–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
30.11.25 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Liverpool – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.505.00 1.44 2.75
27.09.25 Brentford – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.403.802.00 1.67 2.20
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
24.08.25 Fulham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.15 1.80 2.00
16.05.25 Chelsea – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
04.05.25 Brentford – Man United 4–3 (2–1) 1.654.104.75 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsMan United wins
8matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.05.25E0 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
06.10.24E0 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50
11.02.24E0 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
26.12.23E0 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
30.04.23E0 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
06.11.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
15.01.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.873.502.40 1.89 2.01
25.09.21E0 Man United – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 10 +21 39
2 Man City 17 12 1 4 41 16 +25 37
3 Aston Villa 16 10 3 3 25 17 +8 33
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 17 +12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 25 +3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 17 +2 27
7 Man United 16 7 5 4 30 26 +4 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 19 +2 26
9 Brighton 17 6 6 5 25 23 +2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle 17 6 5 6 23 22 +1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 25 -1 23
13 Tottenham 17 6 4 7 26 23 +3 22
14 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 29 -3 22
15 Fulham 16 6 2 8 23 26 -3 20
16 Leeds 17 5 4 8 24 31 -7 19
17 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 17 25 -8 18
18 West Ham 17 3 4 10 19 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 34 -15 11
20 Wolves 17 0 2 15 9 37 -28 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24
2 Arsenal 8 7 1 0 20 3 +17 22
3 Aston Villa 8 6 1 1 13 6 +7 19
4 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 15 7 +8 18
5 Brentford 8 5 2 1 16 9 +7 17
6 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
7 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
8 Bournemouth 9 4 4 1 11 6 +5 16
9 Liverpool 8 5 1 2 13 9 +4 16
10 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15
11 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
12 Man United 8 4 2 2 16 12 +4 14
13 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
14 Fulham 8 4 1 3 14 10 +4 13
15 Crystal Palace 8 2 4 2 9 10 -1 10
16 Nott'm Forest 8 3 1 4 11 13 -2 10
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8
18 Burnley 8 2 1 5 7 10 -3 7
19 West Ham 8 2 0 6 10 20 -10 6
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 7 23 -16 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
2 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16
3 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
4 Tottenham 8 4 2 2 15 12 +3 14
5 Aston Villa 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14
6 Man City 8 4 1 3 16 10 +6 13
7 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
8 Man United 8 3 3 2 14 14 0 12
9 Everton 8 3 1 4 7 10 -3 10
10 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9
11 Brighton 8 2 2 4 9 12 -3 8
12 Nott'm Forest 8 2 2 4 6 12 -6 8
13 West Ham 9 1 4 4 9 15 -6 7
14 Fulham 8 2 1 5 9 16 -7 7
15 Newcastle 8 1 3 4 7 10 -3 6
16 Bournemouth 8 1 3 4 15 23 -8 6
17 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6
18 Burnley 9 1 1 7 12 24 -12 4
19 Leeds 8 1 1 6 7 19 -12 4
20 Wolves 8 0 1 7 2 14 -12 1

Aston Villa   Man United

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 17 5 12 2.4 0.9 12 1 4 41 16 37
2 13 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.5 1.4 6 4 7 26 23 22
3 16 Leeds 17 5 12 1.4 1.8 5 4 8 24 31 19
4 5 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.6 1.5 9 2 6 28 25 29
5 7 Man United 16 5 11 1.9 1.6 7 5 4 30 26 26
6 11 Newcastle 17 6 11 1.4 1.3 6 5 6 23 22 23
7 18 West Ham 17 6 11 1.1 2.1 3 4 10 19 35 13
8 4 Chelsea 17 7 10 1.7 1.0 8 5 4 29 17 29
9 14 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.5 1.7 5 7 5 26 29 22
10 3 Aston Villa 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 10 3 3 25 17 33
11 8 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.2 1.1 7 5 5 21 19 26
12 9 Brighton 17 8 9 1.5 1.4 6 6 5 25 23 24
13 12 Brentford 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 8 24 25 23
14 15 Fulham 16 7 9 1.4 1.6 6 2 8 23 26 20
15 17 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 5 3 8 17 25 18
16 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.1 2.0 3 2 12 19 34 11
17 20 Wolves 17 9 8 0.5 2.2 0 2 15 9 37 2
18 1 Arsenal 17 10 7 1.8 0.6 12 3 2 31 10 39
19 6 Sunderland 17 11 6 1.1 1.0 7 6 4 19 17 27
20 10 Everton 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 7 3 7 18 20 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24
2 11 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
3 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15
4 9 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
5 17 Nott'm Forest 8 2 6 1.4 1.6 3 1 4 11 13 10
6 18 West Ham 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 2 0 6 10 20 6
7 3 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.6 0.8 6 1 1 13 6 19
8 12 Brentford 8 3 5 2.0 1.1 5 2 1 16 9 17
9 13 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8
10 20 Wolves 9 4 5 0.8 2.6 0 1 8 7 23 1
11 1 Arsenal 8 4 4 2.5 0.4 7 1 0 20 3 22
12 4 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
13 5 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 5 1 2 13 9 16
14 6 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.9 0.9 5 3 0 15 7 18
15 7 Man United 8 4 4 2.0 1.5 4 2 2 16 12 14
16 8 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 4 2 9 10 10
17 10 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
18 15 Fulham 8 4 4 1.8 1.2 4 1 3 14 10 13
19 14 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 4 1 11 6 16
20 19 Burnley 8 7 1 0.9 1.2 2 1 5 7 10 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 9 1 8 1.3 2.7 1 1 7 12 24 4
2 5 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
3 7 Man United 8 1 7 1.8 1.8 3 3 2 14 14 12
4 13 Tottenham 8 1 7 1.9 1.5 4 2 2 15 12 14
5 14 Bournemouth 8 1 7 1.9 2.9 1 3 4 15 23 6
6 4 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
7 2 Man City 8 3 5 2.0 1.2 4 1 3 16 10 13
8 8 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16
9 15 Fulham 8 3 5 1.1 2.0 2 1 5 9 16 7
10 16 Leeds 8 3 5 0.9 2.4 1 1 6 7 19 4
11 18 West Ham 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 4 9 15 7
12 3 Aston Villa 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14
13 11 Newcastle 8 4 4 0.9 1.2 1 3 4 7 10 6
14 12 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6
15 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
16 9 Brighton 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 2 2 4 9 12 8
17 17 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 2 2 4 6 12 8
18 20 Wolves 8 5 3 0.2 1.8 0 1 7 2 14 1
19 6 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9
20 10 Everton 8 6 2 0.9 1.2 3 1 4 7 10 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40