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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Attwell

Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.83 fair 2.20
Draw 3.90 fair 4.03
Away ✓ 4.00 fair 3.38
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Aston Villa
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 8
6 Corners 7
16 Fouls 8
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (177 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.71scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 29:17
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.12points / match
1.59scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:18
Chelsea all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.59
1.00 Goals conceded 1.06
2.71 Total goals 2.65
14.06 Shots 11.59
5.06 Shots on target 4.24
10.18 Shots faced 12.71
5.47 Corners 5.06
4.18 Corners against 4.88
11.76 Fouls 10.41
2.06 Yellow cards 1.47
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

47% Wins 65%
29% Draws 18%
24% Losses 18%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
82% Over 1.5 goals 71%
59% Over 2.5 goals 59%
29% Over 3.5 goals 24%
6% Over 4.5 goals 12%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
53% Both teams scored 53%
47% Clean sheets 29%
12% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 24%
35% Draws 47%
24% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 76%
35% Over 1.5 goals 35%
6% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.50scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:7
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:11
Chelsea at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded 1.38
2.38 Total goals 2.88
15.13 Shots 11.13
5.25 Shots on target 3.38
9.88 Shots faced 13.50
6.88 Corners 4.88
3.38 Corners against 4.75
11.38 Fouls 11.00
1.38 Yellow cards 1.75
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
50% Both teams scored 63%
50% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Chelsea – Everton 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.805.25 1.88 1.98
06.12.25 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.62 2.30
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Chelsea – Wolves 3–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.62 2.30
01.11.25 Tottenham – Chelsea 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Chelsea – Sunderland 1–2 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 3.703.801.95 1.73 2.10

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Chelsea – Everton 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.805.25 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
08.11.25 Chelsea – Wolves 3–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.62 2.30
25.10.25 Chelsea – Sunderland 1–2 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
04.10.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.752.30 1.53 2.50
27.09.25 Chelsea – Brighton 1–3 (1–0) 1.853.803.80 1.62 2.30
30.08.25 Chelsea – Fulham 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.25 1.67 2.20
17.08.25 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.50 1.67 2.20
16.05.25 Chelsea – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
04.05.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.703.10 1.53 2.50

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
21.09.25 Sunderland – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Everton – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.80
23.08.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
10.05.25 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsAston Villa wins
8matches
2.75goals / match
63%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.60 1.57 2.38
01.12.24E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.104.50 1.53 2.50
27.04.24E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
24.09.23E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
01.04.23E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
16.10.22E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
26.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.65 2.05 1.85
11.09.21E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.285.5011.00 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 18 13 3 2 33 11 +22 42 DWLWWW
2 Man City 18 13 1 4 43 17 +26 40 WWWWWW
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 18 +9 36 WWWWWW
4 Liverpool 18 10 2 6 30 26 +4 32 WDDWWW
5 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 17 +12 29 WDLDWD
6 Man United 18 8 5 5 32 28 +4 29 WDWDLW
7 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 17 +2 27 LWDLWD
8 Brentford 18 8 2 8 28 26 +2 26 WLLDWW
9 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 19 +2 26 WLWWLL
10 Fulham 18 8 2 8 25 26 -1 26 WLLWWW
11 Everton 18 7 4 7 18 20 -2 25 LWWLLD
12 Brighton 18 6 6 6 26 25 +1 24 WLDLDL
13 Newcastle 18 6 5 7 23 23 0 23 WDWLDL
14 Tottenham 17 6 4 7 26 23 +3 22 LLDWLL
15 Bournemouth 18 5 7 6 27 33 -6 22 LLDDDL
16 Leeds 17 5 4 8 24 31 -7 19 LLWDDW
17 Nott'm Forest 18 5 3 10 18 28 -10 18 LWLWLL
18 West Ham 18 3 4 11 19 36 -17 13 LDDLLL
19 Burnley 18 3 3 12 19 34 -15 12 LLLLDD
20 Wolves 18 0 2 16 10 39 -29 2 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 9 8 1 0 22 4 +18 25 WWWWWW
2 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24 WWWWWW
3 Aston Villa 9 7 1 1 15 7 +8 22 WWWWWW
4 Brentford 9 6 2 1 20 10 +10 20 LWWWDW
5 Liverpool 9 6 1 2 15 10 +5 19 LWLDWW
6 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 15 7 +8 18 DWDDWW
7 Man United 9 5 2 2 17 12 +5 17 WWLDDW
8 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17 WWWDWD
9 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16 WWWLDD
10 Fulham 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16 LWWLLW
11 Bournemouth 9 4 4 1 11 6 +5 16 WWDLDD
12 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15 LWLWDW
13 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14 LWLWDW
14 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14 WLWLWL
15 Crystal Palace 8 2 4 2 9 10 -1 10 WDWDLL
16 Nott'm Forest 9 3 1 5 12 15 -3 10 LDWLWL
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8 LLDLWL
18 Burnley 9 2 2 5 7 10 -3 8 WLLLLD
19 West Ham 9 2 0 7 10 21 -11 6 LWWLLL
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 7 23 -16 1 DLLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17 WWDDLW
2 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16 WLLWWW
3 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16 LLWWWL
4 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15 WWWLDD
5 Tottenham 8 4 2 2 15 12 +3 14 DWWLDL
6 Aston Villa 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14 DWLWWW
7 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13 LLLWDW
8 Man United 9 3 3 3 15 16 -1 12 WDDWWL
9 Everton 9 3 2 4 7 10 -3 11 LDWWLD
10 Fulham 9 3 1 5 10 16 -6 10 LLLWWW
11 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9 LWLDLD
12 Brighton 9 2 2 5 10 14 -4 8 DLDWLL
13 Nott'm Forest 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8 LLWWLL
14 West Ham 9 1 4 4 9 15 -6 7 LLDDDL
15 Newcastle 9 1 3 5 7 11 -4 6 LLLWLL
16 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6 WLLLLW
17 Bournemouth 9 1 3 5 16 27 -11 6 DLLLDL
18 Burnley 9 1 1 7 12 24 -12 4 LWLLLD
19 Leeds 8 1 1 6 7 19 -12 4 WLLLLD
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 3 16 -13 1 LLLLLL

Chelsea   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Man City 18 5 13 2.4 0.9 13 1 4 43 17 40 OOOOOO
2 4 Liverpool 18 6 12 1.7 1.4 10 2 6 30 26 32 UUOUOO
3 6 Man United 18 6 12 1.8 1.6 8 5 5 32 28 29 OUOOOU
4 14 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.5 1.4 6 4 7 26 23 22 OOOUOO
5 16 Leeds 17 5 12 1.4 1.8 5 4 8 24 31 19 OOOOUO
6 13 Newcastle 18 7 11 1.3 1.3 6 5 7 23 23 23 OOOUOU
7 15 Bournemouth 18 7 11 1.5 1.8 5 7 6 27 33 22 OUUOUO
8 18 West Ham 18 7 11 1.1 2.0 3 4 11 19 36 13 UUUOOU
9 3 Aston Villa 17 7 10 1.6 1.1 11 3 3 27 18 36 OUOOOO
10 5 Chelsea 17 7 10 1.7 1.0 8 5 4 29 17 29 UUOUUO
11 8 Brentford 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 8 2 8 28 26 26 OUUUUO
12 12 Brighton 18 8 10 1.4 1.4 6 6 6 26 25 24 UOUUUO
13 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.0 1.6 5 3 10 18 28 18 UUOOUO
14 9 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.2 1.1 7 5 5 21 19 26 UOUOOO
15 10 Fulham 18 9 9 1.4 1.4 8 2 8 25 26 26 OOOOUU
16 19 Burnley 18 9 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 12 19 34 12 OUOOUU
17 20 Wolves 18 9 9 0.6 2.2 0 2 16 10 39 2 UUOOUO
18 1 Arsenal 18 10 8 1.8 0.6 13 3 2 33 11 42 UUOOUO
19 7 Sunderland 17 11 6 1.1 1.0 7 6 4 19 17 27 UOUOUU
20 11 Everton 18 12 6 1.0 1.1 7 4 7 18 20 25 OUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24 UOOOOO
2 13 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17 UOOOOO
3 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15 OOOOOO
4 17 Nott'm Forest 9 2 7 1.3 1.7 3 1 5 12 15 10 OOOUOO
5 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 7 1 1 15 7 22 OUOUOO
6 8 Brentford 9 3 6 2.2 1.1 6 2 1 20 10 20 UOOOUO
7 12 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16 OOOOUU
8 18 West Ham 9 3 6 1.1 2.3 2 0 7 10 21 6 UOOUOU
9 1 Arsenal 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 1 0 22 4 25 UUOUOO
10 4 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 6 1 2 15 10 19 OUOUUO
11 14 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8 OUOOUO
12 20 Wolves 9 4 5 0.8 2.6 0 1 8 7 23 1 UOUUOU
13 5 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14 OOOOUU
14 6 Man United 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 5 2 2 17 12 17 UOUUOU
15 7 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.9 0.9 5 3 0 15 7 18 UUUOOU
16 9 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 4 2 9 10 10 OOUUOO
17 10 Fulham 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16 UOUOOU
18 11 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14 OOUOOU
19 15 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 4 1 11 6 16 OUOUUU
20 19 Burnley 9 8 1 0.8 1.1 2 2 5 7 10 8 UUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Man United 9 1 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 3 15 16 12 OOOOOO
2 15 Bournemouth 9 1 8 1.8 3.0 1 3 5 16 27 6 OOOOOO
3 19 Burnley 9 1 8 1.3 2.7 1 1 7 12 24 4 OOOOOU
4 4 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13 OOOUOO
5 14 Tottenham 8 1 7 1.9 1.5 4 2 2 15 12 14 OOOOOO
6 2 Man City 9 3 6 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16 UUOOOO
7 5 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15 OUUOUO
8 9 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16 OUUUOO
9 10 Fulham 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 3 1 5 10 16 10 OOUOOU
10 16 Leeds 8 3 5 0.9 2.4 1 1 6 7 19 4 OUOOOU
11 18 West Ham 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 4 9 15 7 UOOUUO
12 3 Aston Villa 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14 UOUOOO
13 8 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6 UUOUUU
14 12 Brighton 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 2 5 10 14 8 UOUUUO
15 13 Newcastle 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 1 3 5 7 11 6 OOOOUU
16 20 Wolves 9 5 4 0.3 1.8 0 1 8 3 16 1 UOOUOO
17 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17 UUOUOU
18 17 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8 UUOUOU
19 7 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9 UOUUOU
20 11 Everton 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 3 2 4 7 10 11 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11