Derby 2–1 Cheltenham – England League One, 27 Jan 2024

Match facts

Derby Cheltenham

12 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

11 Corners 1

12 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (326 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.76 – 0.82

Home / Draw / Away

60% 23% 17%

DerbyDrawCheltenham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 46%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.4% 2–0 11.8% 1–1 10.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.89points / match

1.79scored / match

0.96conceded / match

16 5 7

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 50:27

Cheltenham before this match, all matches

0.88points / match

0.73scored / match

1.35conceded / match

6 5 15

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 19:35

Derby all matches all matches Cheltenham

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 0.73

0.96 Goals conceded 1.35

2.75 Total goals 2.08

13.21 Shots 11.35

4.57 Shots on target 3.12

10.18 Shots faced 14.81

6.96 Corners 4.27

5.39 Corners against 6.12

10.61 Fouls 12.00

1.79 Yellow cards 2.31

0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.46

0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

57% Wins 23%

18% Draws 19%

25% Losses 58%

93% Over 0.5 goals 96%

75% Over 1.5 goals 65%

57% Over 2.5 goals 35%

32% Over 3.5 goals 8%

14% Over 4.5 goals 4%

4% Over 5.5 goals 0%

54% Both teams scored 35%

39% Clean sheets 19%

14% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 19%

46% Draws 54%

14% Losses 27%

68% Over 0.5 goals 65%

32% Over 1.5 goals 31%

14% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

3

W

1

D

3

1

W

1

W

3

2

W

2

3

L

3

1

W

3

2

W

D

1

L

Cheltenham all matches

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

2

W

2

D

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

Derby before this match, at home

1.85points / match

1.85scored / match

1.00conceded / match

7 3 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 24:13

Cheltenham before this match, away

0.62points / match

0.54scored / match

1.31conceded / match

2 2 9

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 7:17

Derby at home away Cheltenham

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 0.54

1.00 Goals conceded 1.31

2.85 Total goals 1.85

14.00 Shots 10.31

4.54 Shots on target 2.31

8.92 Shots faced 14.00

6.69 Corners 4.46

4.69 Corners against 6.54

10.62 Fouls 12.00

2.08 Yellow cards 2.38

0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

54% Wins 15%

23% Draws 15%

23% Losses 69%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

85% Over 1.5 goals 46%

62% Over 2.5 goals 31%

31% Over 3.5 goals 8%

15% Over 4.5 goals 8%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

62% Both teams scored 31%

38% Clean sheets 15%

8% Failed to score 62%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 15%

46% Draws 54%

15% Losses 31%

69% Over 0.5 goals 62%

23% Over 1.5 goals 31%

8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

D

2

W

4

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

3

1

W

2

3

L

3

2

W

Cheltenham away

1

L

3

L

2

L

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

W

1

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.01.24	Reading – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.73	2.08
20.01.24	Lincoln – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	4.75	3.75	1.75	2.08	1.73
15.01.24	Derby – Burton	3–2 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	10.00	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Fleetwood Town – Derby	1–3 (0–2)	5.50	4.00	1.60	1.80	2.00
01.01.24	Derby – Peterboro	2–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.80	2.00
29.12.23	Oxford – Derby	2–3 (2–1)	3.25	3.40	2.20	2.05	1.80
26.12.23	Wigan – Derby	0–1 (0–1)	4.75	3.75	1.75	1.93	1.93
21.12.23	Derby – Lincoln	3–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	6.00	2.03	1.83
16.12.23	Derby – Wycombe	1–1 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.90	1.95
09.12.23	Leyton Orient – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.60	3.50	2.05	2.10	1.70

Cheltenham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.01.24	Bolton – Cheltenham	1–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Cheltenham – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.83	2.03
01.01.24	Northampton – Cheltenham	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	2.05	1.75
29.12.23	Cheltenham – Reading	2–2 (2–2)	2.75	3.40	2.55	2.00	1.85
26.12.23	Cheltenham – Shrewsbury	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.50	3.25	2.30	1.60
23.12.23	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
16.12.23	Cheltenham – Leyton Orient	1–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.20	2.55	2.15	1.67
09.12.23	Bristol Rvs – Cheltenham	1–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.80	5.75	1.85	2.00
28.11.23	Charlton – Cheltenham	2–1 (1–1)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.70	2.10
25.11.23	Cheltenham – Oxford	2–0 (1–0)	4.50	3.90	1.73	1.88	1.98

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.01.24	Derby – Burton	3–2 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	10.00	1.75	2.05
01.01.24	Derby – Peterboro	2–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.80	2.00
21.12.23	Derby – Lincoln	3–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	6.00	2.03	1.83
16.12.23	Derby – Wycombe	1–1 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.90	1.95
25.11.23	Derby – Bristol Rvs	2–1 (0–0)	1.60	4.00	5.25	1.75	2.05
11.11.23	Derby – Barnsley	3–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.80	2.05
31.10.23	Derby – Northampton	4–0 (3–0)	1.55	3.80	6.50	1.85	2.00
24.10.23	Derby – Exeter	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	5.75	1.85	2.00
30.09.23	Derby – Cambridge	0–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.20	5.50	1.88	1.98
16.09.23	Derby – Portsmouth	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.95	1.90

Cheltenham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.01.24	Bolton – Cheltenham	1–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.75	2.05
01.01.24	Northampton – Cheltenham	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	2.05	1.75
23.12.23	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
09.12.23	Bristol Rvs – Cheltenham	1–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.80	5.75	1.85	2.00
28.11.23	Charlton – Cheltenham	2–1 (1–1)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.70	2.10
28.10.23	Port Vale – Cheltenham	1–2 (1–1)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.95	1.90
24.10.23	Blackpool – Cheltenham	3–2 (3–1)	1.33	4.75	10.00	1.83	2.03
30.09.23	Lincoln – Cheltenham	2–0 (2–0)	1.62	4.20	5.00	2.00	1.85
19.09.23	Peterboro – Cheltenham	3–0 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.67	2.15
16.09.23	Exeter – Cheltenham	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.25	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Derby winsDrawsCheltenham wins

3matches

3.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.10.23E2	Cheltenham – Derby	1–1 (1–1)	7.00	4.00	1.50	1.88	1.98
28.02.23E2	Derby – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	4.75	10.00	1.75	2.05
14.01.23E2	Cheltenham – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	4.75	3.75	1.75	2.05	1.80

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	28	16	8	4	43	25	+18	56
2	Peterboro	27	16	7	4	54	29	+25	55
3	Bolton	26	17	3	6	46	25	+21	54
4	Derby	28	16	5	7	50	27	+23	53
5	Barnsley	27	15	7	5	51	30	+21	52
6	Oxford	27	15	4	8	45	31	+14	49
7	Stevenage	26	13	7	6	38	25	+13	46
8	Blackpool	28	13	6	9	46	33	+13	45
9	Wigan	28	12	6	10	38	31	+7	42
10	Northampton	27	12	4	11	35	36	-1	40
11	Leyton Orient	27	10	8	9	29	31	-2	38
12	Lincoln	28	8	10	10	30	30	0	34
13	Bristol Rvs	27	9	7	11	36	38	-2	34
14	Cambridge	26	8	7	11	23	33	-10	31
15	Burton	28	8	7	13	25	38	-13	31
16	Charlton	28	7	9	12	42	44	-2	30
17	Wycombe	27	7	9	11	30	36	-6	30
18	Reading	27	8	6	13	35	42	-7	30
19	Port Vale	25	8	6	11	28	38	-10	30
20	Exeter	28	8	6	14	19	39	-20	30
21	Shrewsbury	28	9	3	16	18	39	-21	30
22	Cheltenham	26	6	5	15	19	35	-16	23
23	Carlisle	28	4	8	16	23	43	-20	20
24	Fleetwood Town	27	4	6	17	23	48	-25	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Blackpool	15	10	2	3	32	14	+18	32
2	Bolton	14	10	1	3	29	17	+12	31
3	Peterboro	13	8	4	1	31	12	+19	28
4	Wigan	14	9	1	4	20	11	+9	28
5	Portsmouth	14	8	4	2	19	15	+4	28
6	Derby	13	7	3	3	24	13	+11	24
7	Barnsley	14	7	3	4	27	17	+10	24
8	Oxford	13	7	3	3	22	12	+10	24
9	Reading	14	7	3	4	22	15	+7	24
10	Northampton	14	7	3	4	20	15	+5	24
11	Cambridge	14	7	3	4	15	15	0	24
12	Burton	14	6	4	4	16	14	+2	22
13	Shrewsbury	14	7	1	6	14	16	-2	22
14	Stevenage	12	5	6	1	17	10	+7	21
15	Charlton	15	6	3	6	28	23	+5	21
16	Bristol Rvs	13	5	5	3	20	14	+6	20
17	Leyton Orient	13	5	3	5	11	17	-6	18
18	Lincoln	13	4	5	4	17	12	+5	17
19	Exeter	14	4	5	5	8	11	-3	17
20	Port Vale	12	5	1	6	17	16	+1	16
21	Wycombe	13	4	4	5	15	17	-2	16
22	Cheltenham	13	4	3	6	12	18	-6	15
23	Carlisle	14	3	5	6	13	18	-5	14
24	Fleetwood Town	14	2	2	10	10	25	-15	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Derby	15	9	2	4	26	14	+12	29
2	Portsmouth	14	8	4	2	24	10	+14	28
3	Barnsley	13	8	4	1	24	13	+11	28
4	Peterboro	14	8	3	3	23	17	+6	27
5	Stevenage	14	8	1	5	21	15	+6	25
6	Oxford	14	8	1	5	23	19	+4	25
7	Bolton	12	7	2	3	17	8	+9	23
8	Leyton Orient	14	5	5	4	18	14	+4	20
9	Lincoln	15	4	5	6	13	18	-5	17
10	Northampton	13	5	1	7	15	21	-6	16
11	Wigan	14	3	5	6	18	20	-2	14
12	Wycombe	14	3	5	6	15	19	-4	14
13	Bristol Rvs	14	4	2	8	16	24	-8	14
14	Port Vale	13	3	5	5	11	22	-11	14
15	Blackpool	13	3	4	6	14	19	-5	13
16	Exeter	14	4	1	9	11	28	-17	13
17	Fleetwood Town	13	2	4	7	13	23	-10	10
18	Charlton	13	1	6	6	14	21	-7	9
19	Burton	14	2	3	9	9	24	-15	9
20	Cheltenham	13	2	2	9	7	17	-10	8
21	Shrewsbury	14	2	2	10	4	23	-19	8
22	Cambridge	12	1	4	7	8	18	-10	7
23	Reading	13	1	3	9	13	27	-14	6
24	Carlisle	14	1	3	10	10	25	-15	6

Derby Cheltenham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Oxford	27	9	18	1.7	1.1	15	4	8	45	31	49
2	16	Charlton	28	10	18	1.5	1.6	7	9	12	42	44	30
3	2	Peterboro	27	10	17	2.0	1.1	16	7	4	54	29	55
4	8	Blackpool	28	11	17	1.6	1.2	13	6	9	46	33	45
5	10	Northampton	27	10	17	1.3	1.3	12	4	11	35	36	40
6	4	Derby	28	12	16	1.8	1.0	16	5	7	50	27	53
7	5	Barnsley	27	11	16	1.9	1.1	15	7	5	51	30	52
8	1	Portsmouth	28	13	15	1.5	0.9	16	8	4	43	25	56
9	13	Bristol Rvs	27	12	15	1.3	1.4	9	7	11	36	38	34
10	18	Reading	27	12	15	1.3	1.6	8	6	13	35	42	30
11	7	Stevenage	26	12	14	1.5	1.0	13	7	6	38	25	46
12	24	Fleetwood Town	27	13	14	0.9	1.8	4	6	17	23	48	18
13	3	Bolton	26	13	13	1.8	1.0	17	3	6	46	25	54
14	9	Wigan	28	16	12	1.4	1.1	12	6	10	38	31	42
15	17	Wycombe	27	15	12	1.1	1.3	7	9	11	30	36	30
16	19	Port Vale	25	13	12	1.1	1.5	8	6	11	28	38	30
17	11	Leyton Orient	27	16	11	1.1	1.1	10	8	9	29	31	38
18	14	Cambridge	26	15	11	0.9	1.3	8	7	11	23	33	31
19	15	Burton	28	17	11	0.9	1.4	8	7	13	25	38	31
20	12	Lincoln	28	18	10	1.1	1.1	8	10	10	30	30	34
21	21	Shrewsbury	28	18	10	0.6	1.4	9	3	16	18	39	30
22	23	Carlisle	28	18	10	0.8	1.5	4	8	16	23	43	20
23	20	Exeter	28	19	9	0.7	1.4	8	6	14	19	39	30
24	22	Cheltenham	26	17	9	0.7	1.3	6	5	15	19	35	23

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Charlton	15	3	12	1.9	1.5	6	3	6	28	23	21
2	3	Bolton	14	4	10	2.1	1.2	10	1	3	29	17	31
3	8	Blackpool	15	5	10	2.1	0.9	10	2	3	32	14	32
4	2	Peterboro	13	4	9	2.4	0.9	8	4	1	31	12	28
5	5	Barnsley	14	5	9	1.9	1.2	7	3	4	27	17	24
6	6	Oxford	13	4	9	1.7	0.9	7	3	3	22	12	24
7	4	Derby	13	5	8	1.8	1.0	7	3	3	24	13	24
8	10	Northampton	14	6	8	1.4	1.1	7	3	4	20	15	24
9	1	Portsmouth	14	7	7	1.4	1.1	8	4	2	19	15	28
10	13	Bristol Rvs	13	6	7	1.5	1.1	5	5	3	20	14	20
11	9	Wigan	14	8	6	1.4	0.8	9	1	4	20	11	28
12	18	Reading	14	8	6	1.6	1.1	7	3	4	22	15	24
13	19	Port Vale	12	6	6	1.4	1.3	5	1	6	17	16	16
14	21	Shrewsbury	14	8	6	1.0	1.1	7	1	6	14	16	22
15	24	Fleetwood Town	14	8	6	0.7	1.8	2	2	10	10	25	8
16	7	Stevenage	12	7	5	1.4	0.8	5	6	1	17	10	21
17	11	Leyton Orient	13	8	5	0.8	1.3	5	3	5	11	17	18
18	12	Lincoln	13	8	5	1.3	0.9	4	5	4	17	12	17
19	14	Cambridge	14	9	5	1.1	1.1	7	3	4	15	15	24
20	15	Burton	14	9	5	1.1	1.0	6	4	4	16	14	22
21	17	Wycombe	13	8	5	1.2	1.3	4	4	5	15	17	16
22	22	Cheltenham	13	8	5	0.9	1.4	4	3	6	12	18	15
23	23	Carlisle	14	10	4	0.9	1.3	3	5	6	13	18	14
24	20	Exeter	14	11	3	0.6	0.8	4	5	5	8	11	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Oxford	14	5	9	1.6	1.4	8	1	5	23	19	25
2	7	Stevenage	14	5	9	1.5	1.1	8	1	5	21	15	25
3	10	Northampton	13	4	9	1.2	1.6	5	1	7	15	21	16
4	18	Reading	13	4	9	1.0	2.1	1	3	9	13	27	6
5	1	Portsmouth	14	6	8	1.7	0.7	8	4	2	24	10	28
6	2	Peterboro	14	6	8	1.6	1.2	8	3	3	23	17	27
7	4	Derby	15	7	8	1.7	0.9	9	2	4	26	14	29
8	13	Bristol Rvs	14	6	8	1.1	1.7	4	2	8	16	24	14
9	24	Fleetwood Town	13	5	8	1.0	1.8	2	4	7	13	23	10
10	5	Barnsley	13	6	7	1.8	1.0	8	4	1	24	13	28
11	8	Blackpool	13	6	7	1.1	1.5	3	4	6	14	19	13
12	17	Wycombe	14	7	7	1.1	1.4	3	5	6	15	19	14
13	9	Wigan	14	8	6	1.3	1.4	3	5	6	18	20	14
14	11	Leyton Orient	14	8	6	1.3	1.0	5	5	4	18	14	20
15	14	Cambridge	12	6	6	0.7	1.5	1	4	7	8	18	7
16	15	Burton	14	8	6	0.6	1.7	2	3	9	9	24	9
17	16	Charlton	13	7	6	1.1	1.6	1	6	6	14	21	9
18	19	Port Vale	13	7	6	0.8	1.7	3	5	5	11	22	14
19	20	Exeter	14	8	6	0.8	2.0	4	1	9	11	28	13
20	23	Carlisle	14	8	6	0.7	1.8	1	3	10	10	25	6
21	12	Lincoln	15	10	5	0.9	1.2	4	5	6	13	18	17
22	21	Shrewsbury	14	10	4	0.3	1.6	2	2	10	4	23	8
23	22	Cheltenham	13	9	4	0.5	1.3	2	2	9	7	17	8
24	3	Bolton	12	9	3	1.4	0.7	7	2	3	17	8	23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.