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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Joyce

Derby 2–3 Peterboro

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.05 fair 2.19
Draw 3.50 fair 4.03
Away ✓ 3.60 fair 3.39
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Peterboro
13 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 6
1 Corners 11
9 Fouls 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (284 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPeterboro
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.83scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 42:20
Peterboro before this match, all matches
1.92points / match
1.96scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 47:25
Derby all matches all matches Peterboro

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.96
0.87 Goals conceded 1.04
2.70 Total goals 3.00
12.91 Shots 16.58
4.65 Shots on target 5.71
9.74 Shots faced 11.04
7.00 Corners 7.58
5.35 Corners against 5.08
11.26 Fouls 9.46
2.00 Yellow cards 1.75
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

61% Wins 54%
17% Draws 29%
22% Losses 17%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 79%
57% Over 2.5 goals 58%
26% Over 3.5 goals 42%
9% Over 4.5 goals 13%
4% Over 5.5 goals 8%
52% Both teams scored 54%
43% Clean sheets 42%
9% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 46%
43% Draws 33%
17% Losses 21%
70% Over 0.5 goals 75%
30% Over 1.5 goals 42%
17% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Peterboro all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.91points / match
1.73scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:8
Peterboro before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.50scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:14
Derby at home away Peterboro

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.50
0.73 Goals conceded 1.17
2.45 Total goals 2.67
13.64 Shots 17.58
4.27 Shots on target 5.50
8.18 Shots faced 11.58
7.45 Corners 7.50
4.27 Corners against 5.33
10.82 Fouls 10.75
2.36 Yellow cards 1.92
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

55% Wins 50%
27% Draws 25%
18% Losses 25%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 67%
55% Over 2.5 goals 50%
18% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
55% Both teams scored 67%
45% Clean sheets 25%
9% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 33%
45% Draws 42%
18% Losses 25%
64% Over 0.5 goals 67%
18% Over 1.5 goals 25%
9% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Peterboro away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83
16.12.23 Derby – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 1.95
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73

Peterboro all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 Peterboro – Barnsley 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.57 2.35
26.12.23 Peterboro – Reading 2–2 (1–0) 1.504.506.50 1.60 2.30
23.12.23 Shrewsbury – Peterboro 1–2 (0–0) 5.254.201.60 1.90 1.95
16.12.23 Fleetwood Town – Peterboro 0–1 (0–1) 4.334.001.73 1.67 2.15
09.12.23 Peterboro – Oxford 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.93 1.93
28.11.23 Stevenage – Peterboro 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.402.63 1.93 1.93
25.11.23 Peterboro – Burton 4–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.00 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Peterboro – Cambridge 5–0 (3–0) 1.604.335.00 1.70 2.10
07.11.23 Wigan – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Blackpool – Peterboro 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.93

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83
16.12.23 Derby – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 1.95
25.11.23 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75

Peterboro away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Shrewsbury – Peterboro 1–2 (0–0) 5.254.201.60 1.90 1.95
16.12.23 Fleetwood Town – Peterboro 0–1 (0–1) 4.334.001.73 1.67 2.15
28.11.23 Stevenage – Peterboro 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.402.63 1.93 1.93
07.11.23 Wigan – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Blackpool – Peterboro 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.93
24.10.23 Port Vale – Peterboro 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.602.15 1.85 2.00
03.10.23 Carlisle – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.601.95 1.85 2.00
23.09.23 Bolton – Peterboro 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.88 1.98
02.09.23 Portsmouth – Peterboro 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Northampton – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsPeterboro wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23E2 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
25.03.23E2 Peterboro – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
27.08.22E2 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
19.02.22E1 Derby – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.72
14.08.21E1 Peterboro – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.66

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 24 14 8 2 39 19 +20 50
2 Bolton 23 15 3 5 44 24 +20 48
3 Peterboro 24 13 7 4 47 25 +22 46
4 Derby 23 14 4 5 42 20 +22 46
5 Stevenage 24 12 7 5 36 23 +13 43
6 Oxford 24 13 4 7 40 28 +12 43
7 Barnsley 23 12 6 5 45 27 +18 42
8 Blackpool 25 10 6 9 40 32 +8 36
9 Wigan 24 10 4 10 34 29 +5 34
10 Bristol Rvs 23 9 7 7 32 30 +2 34
11 Northampton 24 10 3 11 30 33 -3 33
12 Lincoln 25 8 8 9 29 27 +2 32
13 Charlton 23 7 8 8 35 32 +3 29
14 Leyton Orient 24 7 8 9 23 31 -8 29
15 Port Vale 23 8 5 10 24 33 -9 29
16 Cambridge 23 7 6 10 21 30 -9 27
17 Burton 24 7 6 11 20 33 -13 27
18 Shrewsbury 25 8 3 14 14 35 -21 27
19 Wycombe 23 6 7 10 25 31 -6 25
20 Reading 24 6 6 12 31 39 -8 24
21 Exeter 23 6 5 12 14 33 -19 23
22 Cheltenham 23 5 5 13 17 32 -15 20
23 Fleetwood Town 23 4 6 13 20 39 -19 18
24 Carlisle 24 3 8 13 18 35 -17 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 13 8 2 3 28 14 +14 26
2 Peterboro 12 7 4 1 29 11 +18 25
3 Bolton 12 8 1 3 27 17 +10 25
4 Portsmouth 12 7 4 1 17 11 +6 25
5 Oxford 12 7 3 2 22 11 +11 24
6 Wigan 12 7 1 4 18 11 +7 22
7 Derby 11 6 3 2 19 8 +11 21
8 Charlton 12 6 3 3 24 16 +8 21
9 Stevenage 12 5 6 1 17 10 +7 21
10 Cambridge 12 6 3 3 13 12 +1 21
11 Bristol Rvs 11 5 5 1 19 11 +8 20
12 Northampton 12 6 2 4 18 14 +4 20
13 Shrewsbury 12 6 1 5 11 14 -3 19
14 Reading 12 5 3 4 18 13 +5 18
15 Burton 12 5 3 4 13 13 0 18
16 Barnsley 11 5 2 4 22 14 +8 17
17 Lincoln 12 4 4 4 17 12 +5 16
18 Port Vale 11 5 0 6 14 13 +1 15
19 Leyton Orient 12 4 3 5 10 17 -7 15
20 Exeter 12 3 4 5 6 10 -4 13
21 Wycombe 11 3 3 5 11 14 -3 12
22 Cheltenham 12 3 3 6 10 17 -7 12
23 Carlisle 12 2 5 5 10 14 -4 11
24 Fleetwood Town 12 2 2 8 9 21 -12 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 12 7 4 1 22 8 +14 25
2 Derby 12 8 1 3 23 12 +11 25
3 Barnsley 12 7 4 1 23 13 +10 25
4 Bolton 11 7 2 2 17 7 +10 23
5 Stevenage 12 7 1 4 19 13 +6 22
6 Peterboro 12 6 3 3 18 14 +4 21
7 Oxford 12 6 1 5 18 17 +1 19
8 Lincoln 13 4 4 5 12 15 -3 16
9 Leyton Orient 12 3 5 4 13 14 -1 14
10 Bristol Rvs 12 4 2 6 13 19 -6 14
11 Port Vale 12 3 5 4 10 20 -10 14
12 Wycombe 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
13 Northampton 12 4 1 7 12 19 -7 13
14 Wigan 12 3 3 6 16 18 -2 12
15 Blackpool 12 2 4 6 12 18 -6 10
16 Fleetwood Town 11 2 4 5 11 18 -7 10
17 Exeter 11 3 1 7 8 23 -15 10
18 Burton 12 2 3 7 7 20 -13 9
19 Charlton 11 1 5 5 11 16 -5 8
20 Cheltenham 11 2 2 7 7 15 -8 8
21 Shrewsbury 13 2 2 9 3 21 -18 8
22 Cambridge 11 1 3 7 8 18 -10 6
23 Reading 12 1 3 8 13 26 -13 6
24 Carlisle 12 1 3 8 8 21 -13 6

Derby   Peterboro

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 24 8 16 1.7 1.2 13 4 7 40 28 43
2 8 Blackpool 25 9 16 1.6 1.3 10 6 9 40 32 36
3 11 Northampton 24 8 16 1.2 1.4 10 3 11 30 33 33
4 3 Peterboro 24 10 14 2.0 1.0 13 7 4 47 25 46
5 7 Barnsley 23 9 14 2.0 1.2 12 6 5 45 27 42
6 13 Charlton 23 9 14 1.5 1.4 7 8 8 35 32 29
7 20 Reading 24 10 14 1.3 1.6 6 6 12 31 39 24
8 2 Bolton 23 10 13 1.9 1.0 15 3 5 44 24 48
9 4 Derby 23 10 13 1.8 0.9 14 4 5 42 20 46
10 5 Stevenage 24 11 13 1.5 1.0 12 7 5 36 23 43
11 1 Portsmouth 24 12 12 1.6 0.8 14 8 2 39 19 50
12 9 Wigan 24 12 12 1.4 1.2 10 4 10 34 29 34
13 10 Bristol Rvs 23 11 12 1.4 1.3 9 7 7 32 30 34
14 19 Wycombe 23 12 11 1.1 1.3 6 7 10 25 31 25
15 23 Fleetwood Town 23 12 11 0.9 1.7 4 6 13 20 39 18
16 12 Lincoln 25 15 10 1.2 1.1 8 8 9 29 27 32
17 14 Leyton Orient 24 14 10 1.0 1.3 7 8 9 23 31 29
18 15 Port Vale 23 13 10 1.0 1.4 8 5 10 24 33 29
19 16 Cambridge 23 13 10 0.9 1.3 7 6 10 21 30 27
20 17 Burton 24 14 10 0.8 1.4 7 6 11 20 33 27
21 18 Shrewsbury 25 17 8 0.6 1.4 8 3 14 14 35 27
22 22 Cheltenham 23 15 8 0.7 1.4 5 5 13 17 32 20
23 21 Exeter 23 16 7 0.6 1.4 6 5 12 14 33 23
24 24 Carlisle 24 18 6 0.8 1.5 3 8 13 18 35 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bolton 12 2 10 2.2 1.4 8 1 3 27 17 25
2 8 Blackpool 13 3 10 2.2 1.1 8 2 3 28 14 26
3 6 Oxford 12 3 9 1.8 0.9 7 3 2 22 11 24
4 13 Charlton 12 3 9 2.0 1.3 6 3 3 24 16 21
5 3 Peterboro 12 4 8 2.4 0.9 7 4 1 29 11 25
6 11 Northampton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 2 4 18 14 20
7 7 Barnsley 11 4 7 2.0 1.3 5 2 4 22 14 17
8 4 Derby 11 5 6 1.7 0.7 6 3 2 19 8 21
9 9 Wigan 12 6 6 1.5 0.9 7 1 4 18 11 22
10 10 Bristol Rvs 11 5 6 1.7 1.0 5 5 1 19 11 20
11 1 Portsmouth 12 7 5 1.4 0.9 7 4 1 17 11 25
12 5 Stevenage 12 7 5 1.4 0.8 5 6 1 17 10 21
13 12 Lincoln 12 7 5 1.4 1.0 4 4 4 17 12 16
14 14 Leyton Orient 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 4 3 5 10 17 15
15 15 Port Vale 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 5 0 6 14 13 15
16 17 Burton 12 7 5 1.1 1.1 5 3 4 13 13 18
17 18 Shrewsbury 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 6 1 5 11 14 19
18 20 Reading 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 5 3 4 18 13 18
19 23 Fleetwood Town 12 7 5 0.8 1.8 2 2 8 9 21 8
20 16 Cambridge 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 6 3 3 13 12 21
21 19 Wycombe 11 7 4 1.0 1.3 3 3 5 11 14 12
22 22 Cheltenham 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 3 3 6 10 17 12
23 21 Exeter 12 10 2 0.5 0.8 3 4 5 6 10 13
24 24 Carlisle 12 10 2 0.8 1.2 2 5 5 10 14 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Reading 12 3 9 1.1 2.2 1 3 8 13 26 6
2 5 Stevenage 12 4 8 1.6 1.1 7 1 4 19 13 22
3 11 Northampton 12 4 8 1.0 1.6 4 1 7 12 19 13
4 1 Portsmouth 12 5 7 1.8 0.7 7 4 1 22 8 25
5 4 Derby 12 5 7 1.9 1.0 8 1 3 23 12 25
6 6 Oxford 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 6 1 5 18 17 19
7 7 Barnsley 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 7 4 1 23 13 25
8 19 Wycombe 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 14 17 13
9 3 Peterboro 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 14 21
10 8 Blackpool 12 6 6 1.0 1.5 2 4 6 12 18 10
11 9 Wigan 12 6 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 6 16 18 12
12 10 Bristol Rvs 12 6 6 1.1 1.6 4 2 6 13 19 14
13 16 Cambridge 11 5 6 0.7 1.6 1 3 7 8 18 6
14 23 Fleetwood Town 11 5 6 1.0 1.6 2 4 5 11 18 10
15 12 Lincoln 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 4 4 5 12 15 16
16 13 Charlton 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 1 5 5 11 16 8
17 14 Leyton Orient 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 3 5 4 13 14 14
18 15 Port Vale 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 5 4 10 20 14
19 17 Burton 12 7 5 0.6 1.7 2 3 7 7 20 9
20 21 Exeter 11 6 5 0.7 2.1 3 1 7 8 23 10
21 22 Cheltenham 11 7 4 0.6 1.4 2 2 7 7 15 8
22 24 Carlisle 12 8 4 0.7 1.8 1 3 8 8 21 6
23 2 Bolton 11 8 3 1.5 0.6 7 2 2 17 7 23
24 18 Shrewsbury 13 10 3 0.2 1.6 2 2 9 3 21 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38