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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Simpson

Northampton 1–1 Bolton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.33 fair 3.36
Draw ✓ 3.75 fair 3.95
Away 1.80 fair 2.23
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Northampton Bolton
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 7
10 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (355 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.19 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
NorthamptonDrawBolton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 0–1 10.1% 1–2 9.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Northampton before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.24scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 36:42
Bolton before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
1.82scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 51:27
Northampton all matches all matches Bolton

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 1.82
1.45 Goals conceded 0.96
2.69 Total goals 2.79
11.28 Shots 13.25
3.90 Shots on target 4.46
13.03 Shots faced 10.79
4.21 Corners 5.82
4.69 Corners against 4.75
10.28 Fouls 11.25
1.69 Yellow cards 2.00
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.96
0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

41% Wins 64%
14% Draws 14%
45% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
76% Over 1.5 goals 75%
62% Over 2.5 goals 50%
24% Over 3.5 goals 29%
7% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
52% Both teams scored 46%
21% Clean sheets 43%
28% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 43%
38% Draws 43%
34% Losses 14%
66% Over 0.5 goals 71%
31% Over 1.5 goals 50%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Northampton all matches
Bolton all matches
Northampton before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.33scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:17
Bolton before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.62scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:9
Northampton at home away Bolton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.62
1.13 Goals conceded 0.69
2.47 Total goals 2.31
12.33 Shots 12.77
4.40 Shots on target 4.46
12.00 Shots faced 9.85
4.73 Corners 5.08
4.07 Corners against 4.46
9.53 Fouls 11.15
1.07 Yellow cards 1.85
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.08

How often Full Time

47% Wins 62%
20% Draws 15%
33% Losses 23%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
73% Over 1.5 goals 69%
53% Over 2.5 goals 31%
20% Over 3.5 goals 15%
0% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
47% Both teams scored 31%
27% Clean sheets 54%
27% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 46%
47% Draws 46%
33% Losses 8%
53% Over 0.5 goals 54%
20% Over 1.5 goals 31%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Northampton at home
Bolton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Northampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Portsmouth – Northampton 4–1 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
27.01.24 Northampton – Shrewsbury 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 2.20 1.65
23.01.24 Charlton – Northampton 2–3 (2–2) 1.913.604.00 1.75 2.05
13.01.24 Northampton – Wigan 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 2.05 1.75
01.01.24 Northampton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75
29.12.23 Lincoln – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.65
26.12.23 Stevenage – Northampton 3–0 (2–0) 1.703.605.50 2.05 1.75
23.12.23 Northampton – Oxford 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 2.05 1.75
16.12.23 Carlisle – Northampton 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.252.63 2.15 1.67
09.12.23 Northampton – Fleetwood Town 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 2.05 1.75

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Bolton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.83 2.03
27.01.24 Carlisle – Bolton 1–4 (0–2) 4.203.801.80 1.98 1.88
23.01.24 Bolton – Cheltenham 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
20.01.24 Leyton Orient – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.15 2.08 1.73
01.01.24 Bolton – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Fleetwood Town – Bolton 0–2 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Lincoln – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.05 1.75
23.12.23 Bolton – Leyton Orient 3–2 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.90 1.95
16.12.23 Bolton – Bristol Rvs 1–2 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
11.12.23 Portsmouth – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 2.03 1.83

Northampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Northampton – Shrewsbury 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 2.20 1.65
13.01.24 Northampton – Wigan 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 2.05 1.75
01.01.24 Northampton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75
23.12.23 Northampton – Oxford 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Northampton – Fleetwood Town 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 2.05 1.75
02.12.23 Northampton – Portsmouth 0–3 (0–2) 3.403.602.10 2.05 1.75
25.11.23 Northampton – Cambridge 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Northampton – Burton 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Northampton – Leyton Orient 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.15 1.67
03.10.23 Northampton – Reading 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.602.90 2.00 1.85

Bolton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Carlisle – Bolton 1–4 (0–2) 4.203.801.80 1.98 1.88
20.01.24 Leyton Orient – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.15 2.08 1.73
29.12.23 Fleetwood Town – Bolton 0–2 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Lincoln – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.05 1.75
11.12.23 Portsmouth – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 2.03 1.83
28.11.23 Oxford – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.502.60 1.85 2.00
07.11.23 Shrewsbury – Bolton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.91 2.05 1.80
28.10.23 Charlton – Bolton 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.502.88 1.65 2.20
24.10.23 Wycombe – Bolton 2–4 (0–2) 2.703.502.55 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Port Vale – Bolton 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.602.25 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Northampton winsDrawsBolton wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23E2 Bolton – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.753.75 1.88 1.98

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 31 18 9 4 50 28 +22 63
2 Derby 30 18 5 7 53 28 +25 59
3 Bolton 28 18 4 6 51 27 +24 58
4 Peterboro 30 16 8 6 57 34 +23 56
5 Barnsley 29 15 8 6 53 33 +20 53
6 Stevenage 29 15 7 7 42 28 +14 52
7 Oxford 30 15 6 9 49 37 +12 51
8 Blackpool 30 13 7 10 47 35 +12 46
9 Wigan 30 13 6 11 43 36 +7 45
10 Leyton Orient 30 12 9 9 34 34 0 45
11 Bristol Rvs 30 11 7 12 40 41 -1 40
12 Northampton 29 12 4 13 36 42 -6 40
13 Lincoln 30 9 11 10 31 30 +1 38
14 Exeter 31 10 6 15 23 42 -19 36
15 Reading 30 9 8 13 38 44 -6 35
16 Cambridge 28 9 8 11 25 34 -9 35
17 Wycombe 29 8 10 11 35 39 -4 34
18 Shrewsbury 30 10 3 17 21 41 -20 33
19 Burton 30 8 8 14 25 39 -14 32
20 Charlton 30 7 10 13 43 46 -3 31
21 Port Vale 28 8 6 14 28 43 -15 30
22 Fleetwood Town 30 6 7 17 30 50 -20 25
23 Cheltenham 28 6 5 17 21 40 -19 23
24 Carlisle 30 4 8 18 26 50 -24 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 16 10 3 3 33 15 +18 33
2 Bolton 15 10 2 3 30 18 +12 32
3 Portsmouth 15 9 4 2 23 16 +7 31
4 Peterboro 14 8 4 2 33 15 +18 28
5 Wigan 15 9 1 5 22 14 +8 28
6 Derby 14 8 3 3 26 14 +12 27
7 Oxford 15 7 5 3 25 15 +10 26
8 Reading 15 7 4 4 23 16 +7 25
9 Cambridge 15 7 4 4 15 15 0 25
10 Barnsley 15 7 3 5 28 19 +9 24
11 Stevenage 14 6 6 2 18 11 +7 24
12 Northampton 15 7 3 5 20 17 +3 24
13 Bristol Rvs 15 6 5 4 23 17 +6 23
14 Burton 15 6 4 5 16 15 +1 22
15 Shrewsbury 15 7 1 7 15 18 -3 22
16 Charlton 16 6 3 7 28 24 +4 21
17 Leyton Orient 14 6 3 5 14 19 -5 21
18 Exeter 16 5 5 6 10 13 -3 20
19 Lincoln 14 4 6 4 17 12 +5 18
20 Wycombe 14 4 5 5 17 19 -2 17
21 Port Vale 14 5 1 8 17 18 -1 16
22 Cheltenham 14 4 3 7 13 21 -8 15
23 Carlisle 15 3 5 7 14 22 -8 14
24 Fleetwood Town 15 3 2 10 13 25 -12 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 16 9 5 2 27 12 +15 32
2 Derby 16 10 2 4 27 14 +13 32
3 Barnsley 14 8 5 1 25 14 +11 29
4 Stevenage 15 9 1 5 24 17 +7 28
5 Peterboro 16 8 4 4 24 19 +5 28
6 Bolton 13 8 2 3 21 9 +12 26
7 Oxford 15 8 1 6 24 22 +2 25
8 Leyton Orient 16 6 6 4 20 15 +5 24
9 Lincoln 16 5 5 6 14 18 -4 20
10 Wigan 15 4 5 6 21 22 -1 17
11 Wycombe 15 4 5 6 18 20 -2 17
12 Bristol Rvs 15 5 2 8 17 24 -7 17
13 Northampton 14 5 1 8 16 25 -9 16
14 Exeter 15 5 1 9 13 29 -16 16
15 Fleetwood Town 15 3 5 7 17 25 -8 14
16 Port Vale 14 3 5 6 11 25 -14 14
17 Blackpool 14 3 4 7 14 20 -6 13
18 Shrewsbury 15 3 2 10 6 23 -17 11
19 Charlton 14 1 7 6 15 22 -7 10
20 Cambridge 13 2 4 7 10 19 -9 10
21 Reading 15 2 4 9 15 28 -13 10
22 Burton 15 2 4 9 9 24 -15 10
23 Cheltenham 14 2 2 10 8 19 -11 8
24 Carlisle 15 1 3 11 12 28 -16 6

Northampton   Bolton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Oxford 30 10 20 1.6 1.2 15 6 9 49 37 51
2 4 Peterboro 30 11 19 1.9 1.1 16 8 6 57 34 56
3 12 Northampton 29 11 18 1.2 1.4 12 4 13 36 42 40
4 20 Charlton 30 12 18 1.4 1.5 7 10 13 43 46 31
5 1 Portsmouth 31 14 17 1.6 0.9 18 9 4 50 28 63
6 2 Derby 30 13 17 1.8 0.9 18 5 7 53 28 59
7 5 Barnsley 29 12 17 1.8 1.1 15 8 6 53 33 53
8 8 Blackpool 30 13 17 1.6 1.2 13 7 10 47 35 46
9 11 Bristol Rvs 30 14 16 1.3 1.4 11 7 12 40 41 40
10 22 Fleetwood Town 30 14 16 1.0 1.7 6 7 17 30 50 25
11 6 Stevenage 29 14 15 1.4 1.0 15 7 7 42 28 52
12 15 Reading 30 15 15 1.3 1.5 9 8 13 38 44 35
13 3 Bolton 28 14 14 1.8 1.0 18 4 6 51 27 58
14 9 Wigan 30 16 14 1.4 1.2 13 6 11 43 36 45
15 17 Wycombe 29 15 14 1.2 1.3 8 10 11 35 39 34
16 21 Port Vale 28 15 13 1.0 1.5 8 6 14 28 43 30
17 10 Leyton Orient 30 18 12 1.1 1.1 12 9 9 34 34 45
18 16 Cambridge 28 16 12 0.9 1.2 9 8 11 25 34 35
19 24 Carlisle 30 18 12 0.9 1.7 4 8 18 26 50 20
20 14 Exeter 31 20 11 0.7 1.4 10 6 15 23 42 36
21 18 Shrewsbury 30 19 11 0.7 1.4 10 3 17 21 41 33
22 19 Burton 30 19 11 0.8 1.3 8 8 14 25 39 32
23 23 Cheltenham 28 17 11 0.8 1.4 6 5 17 21 40 23
24 13 Lincoln 30 20 10 1.0 1.0 9 11 10 31 30 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Charlton 16 4 12 1.8 1.5 6 3 7 28 24 21
2 3 Bolton 15 5 10 2.0 1.2 10 2 3 30 18 32
3 4 Peterboro 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 8 4 2 33 15 28
4 5 Barnsley 15 5 10 1.9 1.3 7 3 5 28 19 24
5 7 Oxford 15 5 10 1.7 1.0 7 5 3 25 15 26
6 8 Blackpool 16 6 10 2.1 0.9 10 3 3 33 15 33
7 2 Derby 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 8 3 3 26 14 27
8 1 Portsmouth 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 9 4 2 23 16 31
9 11 Bristol Rvs 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 23 17 23
10 12 Northampton 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 3 5 20 17 24
11 9 Wigan 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 9 1 5 22 14 28
12 18 Shrewsbury 15 8 7 1.0 1.2 7 1 7 15 18 22
13 22 Fleetwood Town 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 3 2 10 13 25 11
14 10 Leyton Orient 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 6 3 5 14 19 21
15 15 Reading 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 4 4 23 16 25
16 17 Wycombe 14 8 6 1.2 1.4 4 5 5 17 19 17
17 21 Port Vale 14 8 6 1.2 1.3 5 1 8 17 18 16
18 23 Cheltenham 14 8 6 0.9 1.5 4 3 7 13 21 15
19 6 Stevenage 14 9 5 1.3 0.8 6 6 2 18 11 24
20 13 Lincoln 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 4 6 4 17 12 18
21 16 Cambridge 15 10 5 1.0 1.0 7 4 4 15 15 25
22 19 Burton 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 5 16 15 22
23 24 Carlisle 15 10 5 0.9 1.5 3 5 7 14 22 14
24 14 Exeter 16 12 4 0.6 0.8 5 5 6 10 13 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stevenage 15 5 10 1.6 1.1 9 1 5 24 17 28
2 7 Oxford 15 5 10 1.6 1.5 8 1 6 24 22 25
3 12 Northampton 14 4 10 1.1 1.8 5 1 8 16 25 16
4 1 Portsmouth 16 7 9 1.7 0.8 9 5 2 27 12 32
5 4 Peterboro 16 7 9 1.5 1.2 8 4 4 24 19 28
6 15 Reading 15 6 9 1.0 1.9 2 4 9 15 28 10
7 22 Fleetwood Town 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 17 25 14
8 2 Derby 16 8 8 1.7 0.9 10 2 4 27 14 32
9 11 Bristol Rvs 15 7 8 1.1 1.6 5 2 8 17 24 17
10 17 Wycombe 15 7 8 1.2 1.3 4 5 6 18 20 17
11 5 Barnsley 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 8 5 1 25 14 29
12 8 Blackpool 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 4 7 14 20 13
13 9 Wigan 15 8 7 1.4 1.5 4 5 6 21 22 17
14 14 Exeter 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 5 1 9 13 29 16
15 16 Cambridge 13 6 7 0.8 1.5 2 4 7 10 19 10
16 21 Port Vale 14 7 7 0.8 1.8 3 5 6 11 25 14
17 24 Carlisle 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 1 3 11 12 28 6
18 10 Leyton Orient 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 6 6 4 20 15 24
19 19 Burton 15 9 6 0.6 1.6 2 4 9 9 24 10
20 20 Charlton 14 8 6 1.1 1.6 1 7 6 15 22 10
21 13 Lincoln 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 5 5 6 14 18 20
22 23 Cheltenham 14 9 5 0.6 1.4 2 2 10 8 19 8
23 3 Bolton 13 9 4 1.6 0.7 8 2 3 21 9 26
24 18 Shrewsbury 15 11 4 0.4 1.5 3 2 10 6 23 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40