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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: P Wright

Cheltenham 1–1 Derby

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 7.00 fair 4.62
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 4.01
Away 1.50 fair 1.87
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.87
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 2.15

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cheltenham Derby
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 8
1 Corners 8
17 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (125 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 0.92 – 1.61
Home / Draw / Away
CheltenhamDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 12.8% 1–1 11.8% 0–2 10.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cheltenham before this match, all matches
0.09points / match
0.00scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 0:19
Derby before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.70scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:10
Cheltenham all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 1.70
1.73 Goals conceded 1.00
1.73 Total goals 2.70
9.55 Shots 11.60
2.18 Shots on target 3.30
16.55 Shots faced 11.30
3.64 Corners 6.80
6.36 Corners against 6.60
8.82 Fouls 11.80
1.73 Yellow cards 2.20
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
9% Draws 20%
91% Losses 30%
91% Over 0.5 goals 90%
55% Over 1.5 goals 80%
27% Over 2.5 goals 60%
0% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
0% Both teams scored 60%
9% Clean sheets 40%
100% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 40%
55% Draws 40%
45% Losses 20%
45% Over 0.5 goals 70%
18% Over 1.5 goals 20%
9% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cheltenham all matches
Derby all matches
Cheltenham before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 0:11
Derby before this match, away
2.40points / match
2.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 13:5
Cheltenham at home away Derby

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 2.60
2.20 Goals conceded 1.00
2.20 Total goals 3.60
9.20 Shots 10.00
2.60 Shots on target 3.60
18.20 Shots faced 13.20
3.20 Corners 4.40
5.60 Corners against 7.60
8.80 Fouls 10.40
1.80 Yellow cards 1.60
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.40
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

0% Wins 80%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
40% Over 2.5 goals 80%
0% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
0% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 40%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 60%
40% Draws 40%
60% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cheltenham at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cheltenham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23 Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 2.03 1.83
30.09.23 Lincoln – Cheltenham 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.00 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Cheltenham – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.70
19.09.23 Peterboro – Cheltenham 3–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.67 2.15
16.09.23 Exeter – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Cheltenham – Barnsley 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Cheltenham – Northampton 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.05 1.80
19.08.23 Portsmouth – Cheltenham 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.50 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Reading – Cheltenham 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.505.00 2.00 1.85
12.08.23 Cheltenham – Bolton 0–3 (0–3) 4.003.401.95 2.05 1.75

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90

Cheltenham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23 Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 2.03 1.83
23.09.23 Cheltenham – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.70
02.09.23 Cheltenham – Barnsley 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Cheltenham – Northampton 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.05 1.80
12.08.23 Cheltenham – Bolton 0–3 (0–3) 4.003.401.95 2.05 1.75
07.05.23 Cheltenham – Charlton 2–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.60 1.67 2.15
22.04.23 Cheltenham – Forest Green 3–1 (3–0) 1.703.605.25 2.20 1.65
10.04.23 Cheltenham – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 7.503.801.53 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
29.03.23 Cheltenham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (0–0) 5.253.501.73 2.15 1.67

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90
18.04.23 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
07.04.23 Forest Green – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.60 2.05 1.75
25.03.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cheltenham winsDrawsDerby wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.23E2 Derby – Cheltenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.75 2.05
14.01.23E2 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Oxford 11 9 0 2 23 9 +14 27
2 Portsmouth 11 7 4 0 19 8 +11 25
3 Bolton 10 6 2 2 18 12 +6 20
4 Barnsley 11 6 1 4 24 12 +12 19
5 Stevenage 11 5 3 3 17 12 +5 18
6 Peterboro 11 5 3 3 16 12 +4 18
7 Derby 10 5 2 3 17 10 +7 17
8 Port Vale 11 5 2 4 11 18 -7 17
9 Wycombe 10 5 1 4 12 14 -2 16
10 Exeter 11 5 1 5 11 13 -2 16
11 Lincoln 9 4 3 2 14 9 +5 15
12 Bristol Rvs 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15
13 Blackpool 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
14 Charlton 10 4 2 4 15 12 +3 14
15 Cambridge 10 4 2 4 10 11 -1 14
16 Northampton 10 4 1 5 11 10 +1 13
17 Wigan 10 4 1 5 15 16 -1 13
18 Leyton Orient 10 3 2 5 8 14 -6 11
19 Reading 10 3 1 6 8 13 -5 10
20 Burton 11 2 4 5 8 15 -7 10
21 Shrewsbury 10 3 1 6 4 12 -8 10
22 Carlisle 11 1 5 5 8 14 -6 8
23 Fleetwood Town 10 2 2 6 7 14 -7 8
24 Cheltenham 11 0 1 10 0 19 -19 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Oxford 6 5 0 1 12 4 +8 15
2 Portsmouth 6 4 2 0 9 4 +5 14
3 Bolton 6 4 1 1 12 9 +3 13
4 Charlton 6 4 0 2 13 8 +5 12
5 Blackpool 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
6 Lincoln 4 3 1 0 9 1 +8 10
7 Peterboro 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
8 Reading 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
9 Wycombe 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
10 Cambridge 6 3 1 2 7 7 0 10
11 Port Vale 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
12 Bristol Rvs 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
13 Northampton 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
14 Exeter 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
15 Shrewsbury 5 2 1 2 3 4 -1 7
16 Barnsley 6 2 0 4 13 10 +3 6
17 Stevenage 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
18 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
19 Carlisle 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
20 Leyton Orient 4 2 0 2 3 7 -4 6
21 Derby 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
22 Burton 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
23 Fleetwood Town 4 1 0 3 1 6 -5 3
24 Cheltenham 5 0 0 5 0 11 -11 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 5 4 1 0 11 2 +9 13
2 Derby 5 4 0 1 13 5 +8 12
3 Oxford 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12
4 Stevenage 6 4 0 2 11 6 +5 12
5 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
6 Exeter 6 3 0 3 7 8 -1 9
7 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
8 Port Vale 6 2 2 2 6 14 -8 8
9 Bolton 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
10 Wigan 6 2 1 3 10 10 0 7
11 Bristol Rvs 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
12 Northampton 4 2 0 2 4 3 +1 6
13 Wycombe 5 2 0 3 5 9 -4 6
14 Fleetwood Town 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
15 Leyton Orient 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
16 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
17 Burton 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5
18 Cambridge 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
19 Blackpool 4 1 1 2 1 5 -4 4
20 Shrewsbury 5 1 0 4 1 8 -7 3
21 Charlton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
22 Carlisle 5 0 2 3 3 7 -4 2
23 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1
24 Reading 5 0 0 5 3 11 -8 0

Cheltenham   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Oxford 11 2 9 2.1 0.8 9 0 2 23 9 27
2 17 Wigan 10 2 8 1.5 1.6 4 1 5 15 16 13
3 3 Bolton 10 3 7 1.8 1.2 6 2 2 18 12 20
4 2 Portsmouth 11 5 6 1.7 0.7 7 4 0 19 8 25
5 4 Barnsley 11 5 6 2.2 1.1 6 1 4 24 12 19
6 5 Stevenage 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 3 3 17 12 18
7 7 Derby 10 4 6 1.7 1.0 5 2 3 17 10 17
8 9 Wycombe 10 4 6 1.2 1.4 5 1 4 12 14 16
9 14 Charlton 10 4 6 1.5 1.2 4 2 4 15 12 14
10 8 Port Vale 11 6 5 1.0 1.6 5 2 4 11 18 17
11 10 Exeter 11 6 5 1.0 1.2 5 1 5 11 13 16
12 11 Lincoln 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 4 3 2 14 9 15
13 12 Bristol Rvs 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15
14 6 Peterboro 11 7 4 1.5 1.1 5 3 3 16 12 18
15 13 Blackpool 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
16 16 Northampton 10 6 4 1.1 1.0 4 1 5 11 10 13
17 18 Leyton Orient 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 3 2 5 8 14 11
18 19 Reading 10 6 4 0.8 1.3 3 1 6 8 13 10
19 20 Burton 11 7 4 0.7 1.4 2 4 5 8 15 10
20 15 Cambridge 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 4 2 4 10 11 14
21 23 Fleetwood Town 10 7 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 6 7 14 8
22 24 Cheltenham 11 8 3 0.0 1.7 0 1 10 0 19 1
23 21 Shrewsbury 10 8 2 0.4 1.2 3 1 6 4 12 10
24 22 Carlisle 11 10 1 0.7 1.3 1 5 5 8 14 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Oxford 6 1 5 2.0 0.7 5 0 1 12 4 15
2 3 Bolton 6 1 5 2.0 1.5 4 1 1 12 9 13
3 14 Charlton 6 1 5 2.2 1.3 4 0 2 13 8 12
4 4 Barnsley 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 0 4 13 10 6
5 2 Portsmouth 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 4 2 0 9 4 14
6 12 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
7 13 Blackpool 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
8 16 Northampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
9 17 Wigan 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
10 5 Stevenage 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
11 6 Peterboro 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
12 7 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
13 9 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
14 10 Exeter 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
15 11 Lincoln 4 2 2 2.2 0.2 3 1 0 9 1 10
16 15 Cambridge 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 3 1 2 7 7 10
17 18 Leyton Orient 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 2 0 2 3 7 6
18 20 Burton 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
19 24 Cheltenham 5 3 2 0.0 2.2 0 0 5 0 11 0
20 8 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
21 19 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
22 21 Shrewsbury 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 2 1 2 3 4 7
23 23 Fleetwood Town 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 1 0 3 1 6 3
24 22 Carlisle 6 6 0 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wigan 6 1 5 1.7 1.7 2 1 3 10 10 7
2 1 Oxford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12
3 5 Stevenage 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 2 11 6 12
4 7 Derby 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 4 0 1 13 5 12
5 8 Port Vale 6 2 4 1.0 2.3 2 2 2 6 14 8
6 9 Wycombe 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 2 0 3 5 9 6
7 2 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
8 10 Exeter 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 3 0 3 7 8 9
9 11 Lincoln 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
10 19 Reading 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 0 5 3 11 0
11 3 Bolton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
12 4 Barnsley 5 3 2 2.2 0.4 4 1 0 11 2 13
13 6 Peterboro 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
14 12 Bristol Rvs 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
15 18 Leyton Orient 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 3 5 7 5
16 20 Burton 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5
17 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
18 13 Blackpool 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 2 1 5 4
19 14 Charlton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
20 15 Cambridge 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4
21 16 Northampton 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 0 2 4 3 6
22 21 Shrewsbury 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 1 0 4 1 8 3
23 22 Carlisle 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 0 2 3 3 7 2
24 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51