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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Busby

Derby 3–0 Barnsley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 2.62
Draw 3.60 fair 3.86
Away 4.50 fair 2.78
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Barnsley
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 8
13 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (185 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawBarnsley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.3% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:15
Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
2.07scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 31:15
Derby all matches all matches Barnsley

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 2.07
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.67 Total goals 3.07
13.27 Shots 13.20
4.20 Shots on target 4.67
10.13 Shots faced 12.73
6.87 Corners 4.60
5.60 Corners against 5.53
11.07 Fouls 10.67
1.93 Yellow cards 2.00
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

47% Wins 53%
20% Draws 20%
33% Losses 27%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 87%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
27% Over 3.5 goals 40%
7% Over 4.5 goals 13%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
53% Both teams scored 47%
40% Clean sheets 47%
13% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 47%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 33%
73% Over 0.5 goals 80%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Barnsley all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.43scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:5
Barnsley before this match, away
2.43points / match
1.86scored / match
0.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:3
Derby at home away Barnsley

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.86
0.71 Goals conceded 0.43
2.14 Total goals 2.29
15.43 Shots 12.43
4.00 Shots on target 4.57
7.57 Shots faced 13.71
8.29 Corners 4.14
4.71 Corners against 6.43
11.43 Fouls 11.57
2.43 Yellow cards 2.43
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.14

How often Full Time

43% Wins 71%
29% Draws 29%
29% Losses 0%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 29%
14% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 43%
57% Clean sheets 57%
14% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 57%
29% Draws 29%
29% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
14% Over 1.5 goals 14%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Barnsley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Barnsley – Fleetwood Town 2–2 (1–2) 1.804.004.20 1.83 2.03
24.10.23 Barnsley – Shrewsbury 3–0 (2–0) 1.623.755.75 1.95 1.90
21.10.23 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 2.803.252.50 1.93 1.93
07.10.23 Exeter – Barnsley 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
03.10.23 Cambridge – Barnsley 0–4 (0–2) 2.903.502.38 2.00 1.85
30.09.23 Barnsley – Blackpool 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.803.10 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Northampton – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.75 2.05
19.09.23 Barnsley – Portsmouth 2–3 (0–3) 2.403.402.80 1.88 1.98
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
02.09.23 Cheltenham – Barnsley 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.93 1.93

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.04.23 Derby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.05 1.80

Barnsley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 2.803.252.50 1.93 1.93
07.10.23 Exeter – Barnsley 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
03.10.23 Cambridge – Barnsley 0–4 (0–2) 2.903.502.38 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Northampton – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.75 2.05
02.09.23 Cheltenham – Barnsley 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Wigan – Barnsley 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
12.08.23 Bristol Rvs – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Barnsley 4–4 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 2.02 1.82
18.04.23 Lincoln – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.91 2.15 1.67
15.04.23 Forest Green – Barnsley 1–5 (0–3) 7.504.001.50 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsBarnsley wins
4matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23E2 Barnsley – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.08 1.73
13.08.22E2 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
05.03.22E1 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
03.11.21E1 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 15 10 5 0 25 10 +15 35
2 Oxford 15 10 2 3 28 14 +14 32
3 Bolton 15 10 2 3 29 18 +11 32
4 Peterboro 17 9 4 4 31 18 +13 31
5 Barnsley 15 8 3 4 31 15 +16 27
6 Stevenage 16 7 5 4 22 17 +5 26
7 Wigan 16 8 1 7 25 21 +4 25
8 Derby 15 7 3 5 25 15 +10 24
9 Blackpool 16 6 6 4 24 22 +2 24
10 Lincoln 15 6 4 5 19 16 +3 22
11 Wycombe 15 6 4 5 22 23 -1 22
12 Charlton 15 6 3 6 25 21 +4 21
13 Bristol Rvs 15 5 5 5 21 20 +1 20
14 Burton 16 5 5 6 16 19 -3 20
15 Leyton Orient 15 5 5 5 14 18 -4 20
16 Cambridge 17 5 5 7 13 20 -7 20
17 Port Vale 15 5 3 7 12 23 -11 18
18 Exeter 15 5 2 8 12 19 -7 17
19 Shrewsbury 16 5 2 9 7 20 -13 17
20 Northampton 15 4 2 9 15 21 -6 14
21 Carlisle 16 3 5 8 13 19 -6 14
22 Fleetwood Town 15 3 4 8 15 25 -10 13
23 Reading 15 3 2 10 13 25 -12 11
24 Cheltenham 15 2 2 11 6 24 -18 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
2 Peterboro 8 5 2 1 18 7 +11 17
3 Oxford 8 5 2 1 15 7 +8 17
4 Blackpool 9 5 2 2 17 11 +6 17
5 Charlton 9 5 1 3 19 12 +7 16
6 Bolton 8 5 1 2 15 13 +2 16
7 Wigan 8 5 0 3 13 10 +3 15
8 Cambridge 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
9 Lincoln 7 4 1 2 12 5 +7 13
10 Stevenage 8 3 4 1 10 7 +3 13
11 Shrewsbury 8 4 1 3 5 6 -1 13
12 Bristol Rvs 7 3 3 1 13 7 +6 12
13 Burton 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
14 Derby 7 3 2 2 10 5 +5 11
15 Reading 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
16 Wycombe 7 3 2 2 9 9 0 11
17 Barnsley 8 3 1 4 18 12 +6 10
18 Leyton Orient 6 3 1 2 6 9 -3 10
19 Port Vale 7 3 0 4 6 7 -1 9
20 Carlisle 8 2 3 3 7 9 -2 9
21 Northampton 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
22 Exeter 8 2 2 4 5 9 -4 8
23 Fleetwood Town 7 1 1 5 5 14 -9 4
24 Cheltenham 7 1 1 5 2 12 -10 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 7 5 2 0 13 3 +10 17
2 Bolton 7 5 1 1 14 5 +9 16
3 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0 13 6 +7 15
4 Oxford 7 5 0 2 13 7 +6 15
5 Peterboro 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
6 Derby 8 4 1 3 15 10 +5 13
7 Stevenage 8 4 1 3 12 10 +2 13
8 Wycombe 8 3 2 3 13 14 -1 11
9 Wigan 8 3 1 4 12 11 +1 10
10 Leyton Orient 9 2 4 3 8 9 -1 10
11 Fleetwood Town 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
12 Exeter 7 3 0 4 7 10 -3 9
13 Lincoln 8 2 3 3 7 11 -4 9
14 Port Vale 8 2 3 3 6 16 -10 9
15 Burton 8 2 2 4 6 10 -4 8
16 Bristol Rvs 8 2 2 4 8 13 -5 8
17 Blackpool 7 1 4 2 7 11 -4 7
18 Northampton 8 2 0 6 6 12 -6 6
19 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
20 Carlisle 8 1 2 5 6 10 -4 5
21 Cambridge 8 1 2 5 4 12 -8 5
22 Cheltenham 8 1 1 6 4 12 -8 4
23 Shrewsbury 8 1 1 6 2 14 -12 4
24 Reading 7 0 0 7 4 17 -13 0

Derby   Barnsley

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 15 5 10 1.9 0.9 10 2 3 28 14 32
2 3 Bolton 15 5 10 1.9 1.2 10 2 3 29 18 32
3 7 Wigan 16 6 10 1.6 1.3 8 1 7 25 21 25
4 11 Wycombe 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 6 4 5 22 23 22
5 12 Charlton 15 5 10 1.7 1.4 6 3 6 25 21 21
6 9 Blackpool 16 7 9 1.5 1.4 6 6 4 24 22 24
7 4 Peterboro 17 9 8 1.8 1.1 9 4 4 31 18 31
8 5 Barnsley 15 7 8 2.1 1.0 8 3 4 31 15 27
9 6 Stevenage 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 7 5 4 22 17 26
10 8 Derby 15 7 8 1.7 1.0 7 3 5 25 15 24
11 20 Northampton 15 7 8 1.0 1.4 4 2 9 15 21 14
12 23 Reading 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 3 2 10 13 25 11
13 1 Portsmouth 15 8 7 1.7 0.7 10 5 0 25 10 35
14 13 Bristol Rvs 15 8 7 1.4 1.3 5 5 5 21 20 20
15 14 Burton 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 5 5 6 16 19 20
16 22 Fleetwood Town 15 8 7 1.0 1.7 3 4 8 15 25 13
17 10 Lincoln 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 19 16 22
18 15 Leyton Orient 15 9 6 0.9 1.2 5 5 5 14 18 20
19 17 Port Vale 15 9 6 0.8 1.5 5 3 7 12 23 18
20 16 Cambridge 17 12 5 0.8 1.2 5 5 7 13 20 20
21 18 Exeter 15 10 5 0.8 1.3 5 2 8 12 19 17
22 24 Cheltenham 15 10 5 0.4 1.6 2 2 11 6 24 8
23 19 Shrewsbury 16 13 3 0.4 1.2 5 2 9 7 20 17
24 21 Carlisle 16 13 3 0.8 1.2 3 5 8 13 19 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bolton 8 1 7 1.9 1.6 5 1 2 15 13 16
2 12 Charlton 9 2 7 2.1 1.3 5 1 3 19 12 16
3 2 Oxford 8 2 6 1.9 0.9 5 2 1 15 7 17
4 5 Barnsley 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 3 1 4 18 12 10
5 9 Blackpool 9 3 6 1.9 1.2 5 2 2 17 11 17
6 7 Wigan 8 3 5 1.6 1.2 5 0 3 13 10 15
7 4 Peterboro 8 4 4 2.2 0.9 5 2 1 18 7 17
8 13 Bristol Rvs 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 3 3 1 13 7 12
9 14 Burton 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
10 20 Northampton 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
11 1 Portsmouth 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
12 6 Stevenage 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 3 4 1 10 7 13
13 8 Derby 7 4 3 1.4 0.7 3 2 2 10 5 11
14 10 Lincoln 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 4 1 2 12 5 13
15 11 Wycombe 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 3 2 2 9 9 11
16 15 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 3 1 2 6 9 10
17 22 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 1 1 5 5 14 4
18 23 Reading 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
19 16 Cambridge 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
20 17 Port Vale 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 3 0 4 6 7 9
21 18 Exeter 8 6 2 0.6 1.1 2 2 4 5 9 8
22 24 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.3 1.7 1 1 5 2 12 4
23 19 Shrewsbury 8 7 1 0.6 0.8 4 1 3 5 6 13
24 21 Carlisle 8 7 1 0.9 1.1 2 3 3 7 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Wycombe 8 1 7 1.6 1.8 3 2 3 13 14 11
2 6 Stevenage 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 4 1 3 12 10 13
3 7 Wigan 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 1 4 12 11 10
4 8 Derby 8 3 5 1.9 1.2 4 1 3 15 10 13
5 23 Reading 7 2 5 0.6 2.4 0 0 7 4 17 0
6 1 Portsmouth 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 4 3 0 13 6 15
7 2 Oxford 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 5 0 2 13 7 15
8 4 Peterboro 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
9 17 Port Vale 8 4 4 0.8 2.0 2 3 3 6 16 9
10 20 Northampton 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 2 0 6 6 12 6
11 22 Fleetwood Town 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9
12 3 Bolton 7 4 3 2.0 0.7 5 1 1 14 5 16
13 9 Blackpool 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 1 4 2 7 11 7
14 10 Lincoln 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 3 7 11 9
15 12 Charlton 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
16 13 Bristol Rvs 8 5 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 4 8 13 8
17 14 Burton 8 5 3 0.8 1.2 2 2 4 6 10 8
18 15 Leyton Orient 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 2 4 3 8 9 10
19 16 Cambridge 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 2 5 4 12 5
20 18 Exeter 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 3 0 4 7 10 9
21 24 Cheltenham 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 1 6 4 12 4
22 5 Barnsley 7 5 2 1.9 0.4 5 2 0 13 3 17
23 19 Shrewsbury 8 6 2 0.2 1.8 1 1 6 2 14 4
24 21 Carlisle 8 6 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 5 6 10 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51