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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Mather

Derby 4–0 Northampton

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.55 fair 2.18
Draw 3.80 fair 3.75
Away 6.50 fair 3.63
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.80
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 2.24

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Northampton
16 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 2
5 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (176 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawNorthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 12.2% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:15
Northampton before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.07scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:17
Derby all matches all matches Northampton

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.07
1.07 Goals conceded 1.21
2.57 Total goals 2.29
13.07 Shots 12.36
4.14 Shots on target 3.93
10.64 Shots faced 12.50
6.79 Corners 5.14
5.86 Corners against 3.79
11.50 Fouls 9.86
2.00 Yellow cards 1.57
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 29%
21% Draws 14%
36% Losses 57%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 57%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
21% Over 3.5 goals 21%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 21%
14% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 21%
43% Draws 36%
21% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 64%
29% Over 1.5 goals 21%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Northampton all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:5
Northampton before this match, away
0.86points / match
0.86scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:8
Derby at home away Northampton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.86
0.83 Goals conceded 1.14
1.83 Total goals 2.00
15.33 Shots 12.29
3.83 Shots on target 3.43
8.33 Shots faced 13.71
8.33 Corners 4.86
5.17 Corners against 4.43
12.50 Fouls 11.00
2.67 Yellow cards 2.29
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

33% Wins 29%
33% Draws 0%
33% Losses 71%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 57%
33% Over 2.5 goals 43%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 43%
50% Clean sheets 29%
17% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 29%
33% Draws 43%
33% Losses 29%
67% Over 0.5 goals 57%
0% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Northampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93

Northampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Northampton – Leyton Orient 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.15 1.67
21.10.23 Bolton – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.753.75 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Shrewsbury – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 2.15 1.67
03.10.23 Northampton – Reading 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.602.90 2.00 1.85
30.09.23 Exeter – Northampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.30 2.15 1.67
23.09.23 Northampton – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.75 2.05
16.09.23 Port Vale – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Northampton – Wycombe 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Cheltenham – Northampton 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.05 1.80

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.04.23 Derby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.05 1.80
01.04.23 Derby – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.20 2.08 1.73

Northampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Bolton – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.753.75 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Shrewsbury – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.23 Exeter – Northampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.30 2.15 1.67
16.09.23 Port Vale – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Cheltenham – Northampton 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.05 1.80
12.08.23 Wigan – Northampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.75 1.75 2.05
08.05.23E3 Tranmere – Northampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.801.67 2.02 1.82
18.04.23E3 Sutton – Northampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.102.70 2.40 1.53
15.04.23E3 Carlisle – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.60 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 15 10 5 0 25 10 +15 35
2 Oxford 14 9 2 3 26 14 +12 29
3 Bolton 14 9 2 3 27 18 +9 29
4 Peterboro 15 8 4 3 25 16 +9 28
5 Barnsley 15 8 3 4 31 15 +16 27
6 Stevenage 16 7 5 4 22 17 +5 26
7 Blackpool 15 6 5 4 21 19 +2 23
8 Lincoln 14 6 4 4 19 14 +5 22
9 Wigan 14 7 1 6 21 17 +4 22
10 Derby 14 6 3 5 21 15 +6 21
11 Wycombe 14 6 3 5 22 23 -1 21
12 Burton 16 5 5 6 16 19 -3 20
13 Leyton Orient 15 5 5 5 14 18 -4 20
14 Bristol Rvs 14 5 4 5 20 19 +1 19
15 Cambridge 15 5 4 6 13 15 -2 19
16 Charlton 14 5 3 6 22 19 +3 18
17 Port Vale 15 5 3 7 12 23 -11 18
18 Exeter 15 5 2 8 12 19 -7 17
19 Shrewsbury 15 5 2 8 7 18 -11 17
20 Northampton 14 4 2 8 15 17 -2 14
21 Carlisle 16 3 5 8 13 19 -6 14
22 Fleetwood Town 14 3 3 8 12 22 -10 12
23 Reading 14 3 1 10 12 24 -12 10
24 Cheltenham 15 2 2 11 6 24 -18 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
2 Oxford 8 5 2 1 15 7 +8 17
3 Blackpool 9 5 2 2 17 11 +6 17
4 Charlton 9 5 1 3 19 12 +7 16
5 Bolton 8 5 1 2 15 13 +2 16
6 Cambridge 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
7 Peterboro 7 4 2 1 13 7 +6 14
8 Lincoln 6 4 1 1 12 3 +9 13
9 Stevenage 8 3 4 1 10 7 +3 13
10 Shrewsbury 7 4 1 2 5 4 +1 13
11 Bristol Rvs 7 3 3 1 13 7 +6 12
12 Wigan 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12
13 Burton 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
14 Barnsley 8 3 1 4 18 12 +6 10
15 Reading 7 3 1 3 8 7 +1 10
16 Wycombe 6 3 1 2 9 9 0 10
17 Leyton Orient 6 3 1 2 6 9 -3 10
18 Port Vale 7 3 0 4 6 7 -1 9
19 Carlisle 8 2 3 3 7 9 -2 9
20 Derby 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
21 Northampton 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
22 Exeter 8 2 2 4 5 9 -4 8
23 Cheltenham 7 1 1 5 2 12 -10 4
24 Fleetwood Town 6 1 0 5 2 11 -9 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 7 5 2 0 13 3 +10 17
2 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0 13 6 +7 15
3 Peterboro 8 4 2 2 12 9 +3 14
4 Bolton 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
5 Derby 8 4 1 3 15 10 +5 13
6 Stevenage 8 4 1 3 12 10 +2 13
7 Oxford 6 4 0 2 11 7 +4 12
8 Wycombe 8 3 2 3 13 14 -1 11
9 Wigan 8 3 1 4 12 11 +1 10
10 Leyton Orient 9 2 4 3 8 9 -1 10
11 Fleetwood Town 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
12 Exeter 7 3 0 4 7 10 -3 9
13 Lincoln 8 2 3 3 7 11 -4 9
14 Port Vale 8 2 3 3 6 16 -10 9
15 Burton 8 2 2 4 6 10 -4 8
16 Bristol Rvs 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
17 Northampton 7 2 0 5 6 8 -2 6
18 Blackpool 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6
19 Carlisle 8 1 2 5 6 10 -4 5
20 Cambridge 6 1 1 4 4 7 -3 4
21 Cheltenham 8 1 1 6 4 12 -8 4
22 Shrewsbury 8 1 1 6 2 14 -12 4
23 Charlton 5 0 2 3 3 7 -4 2
24 Reading 7 0 0 7 4 17 -13 0

Derby   Northampton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 14 4 10 1.9 1.0 9 2 3 26 14 29
2 3 Bolton 14 4 10 1.9 1.3 9 2 3 27 18 29
3 11 Wycombe 14 4 10 1.6 1.6 6 3 5 22 23 21
4 16 Charlton 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 5 3 6 22 19 18
5 5 Barnsley 15 7 8 2.1 1.0 8 3 4 31 15 27
6 6 Stevenage 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 7 5 4 22 17 26
7 7 Blackpool 15 7 8 1.4 1.3 6 5 4 21 19 23
8 9 Wigan 14 6 8 1.5 1.2 7 1 6 21 17 22
9 23 Reading 14 6 8 0.9 1.7 3 1 10 12 24 10
10 1 Portsmouth 15 8 7 1.7 0.7 10 5 0 25 10 35
11 10 Derby 14 7 7 1.5 1.1 6 3 5 21 15 21
12 12 Burton 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 5 5 6 16 19 20
13 14 Bristol Rvs 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 5 4 5 20 19 19
14 20 Northampton 14 7 7 1.1 1.2 4 2 8 15 17 14
15 4 Peterboro 15 9 6 1.7 1.1 8 4 3 25 16 28
16 8 Lincoln 14 8 6 1.4 1.0 6 4 4 19 14 22
17 13 Leyton Orient 15 9 6 0.9 1.2 5 5 5 14 18 20
18 17 Port Vale 15 9 6 0.8 1.5 5 3 7 12 23 18
19 22 Fleetwood Town 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 3 3 8 12 22 12
20 18 Exeter 15 10 5 0.8 1.3 5 2 8 12 19 17
21 24 Cheltenham 15 10 5 0.4 1.6 2 2 11 6 24 8
22 15 Cambridge 15 11 4 0.9 1.0 5 4 6 13 15 19
23 19 Shrewsbury 15 12 3 0.5 1.2 5 2 8 7 18 17
24 21 Carlisle 16 13 3 0.8 1.2 3 5 8 13 19 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bolton 8 1 7 1.9 1.6 5 1 2 15 13 16
2 16 Charlton 9 2 7 2.1 1.3 5 1 3 19 12 16
3 2 Oxford 8 2 6 1.9 0.9 5 2 1 15 7 17
4 5 Barnsley 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 3 1 4 18 12 10
5 7 Blackpool 9 3 6 1.9 1.2 5 2 2 17 11 17
6 12 Burton 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
7 14 Bristol Rvs 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 3 3 1 13 7 12
8 20 Northampton 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
9 1 Portsmouth 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
10 4 Peterboro 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 4 2 1 13 7 14
11 6 Stevenage 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 3 4 1 10 7 13
12 8 Lincoln 6 3 3 2.0 0.5 4 1 1 12 3 13
13 9 Wigan 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12
14 11 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 3 1 2 9 9 10
15 13 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 3 1 2 6 9 10
16 23 Reading 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 3 1 3 8 7 10
17 10 Derby 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
18 15 Cambridge 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
19 17 Port Vale 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 3 0 4 6 7 9
20 18 Exeter 8 6 2 0.6 1.1 2 2 4 5 9 8
21 22 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 0.3 1.8 1 0 5 2 11 3
22 24 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.3 1.7 1 1 5 2 12 4
23 19 Shrewsbury 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 4 1 2 5 4 13
24 21 Carlisle 8 7 1 0.9 1.1 2 3 3 7 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Wycombe 8 1 7 1.6 1.8 3 2 3 13 14 11
2 6 Stevenage 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 4 1 3 12 10 13
3 9 Wigan 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 1 4 12 11 10
4 10 Derby 8 3 5 1.9 1.2 4 1 3 15 10 13
5 23 Reading 7 2 5 0.6 2.4 0 0 7 4 17 0
6 1 Portsmouth 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 4 3 0 13 6 15
7 2 Oxford 6 2 4 1.8 1.2 4 0 2 11 7 12
8 17 Port Vale 8 4 4 0.8 2.0 2 3 3 6 16 9
9 22 Fleetwood Town 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9
10 3 Bolton 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
11 4 Peterboro 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 2 2 12 9 14
12 8 Lincoln 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 3 7 11 9
13 12 Burton 8 5 3 0.8 1.2 2 2 4 6 10 8
14 13 Leyton Orient 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 2 4 3 8 9 10
15 14 Bristol Rvs 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
16 18 Exeter 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 3 0 4 7 10 9
17 20 Northampton 7 4 3 0.9 1.1 2 0 5 6 8 6
18 24 Cheltenham 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 1 6 4 12 4
19 5 Barnsley 7 5 2 1.9 0.4 5 2 0 13 3 17
20 7 Blackpool 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6
21 15 Cambridge 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 1 1 4 4 7 4
22 16 Charlton 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 0 2 3 3 7 2
23 19 Shrewsbury 8 6 2 0.2 1.8 1 1 6 2 14 4
24 21 Carlisle 8 6 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 5 6 10 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51