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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: T Parsons

Wigan 0–1 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.75 fair 2.80
Draw 3.75 fair 3.92
Away ✓ 1.75 fair 2.58
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 1.93 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Wigan Derby
10 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 5
11 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (262 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
WiganDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 9% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Wigan before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.45scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:28
Derby before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
1.81scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 38:18
Wigan all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.81
1.27 Goals conceded 0.86
2.73 Total goals 2.67
10.05 Shots 12.62
3.00 Shots on target 4.67
15.68 Shots faced 9.76
3.64 Corners 6.52
5.59 Corners against 5.48
11.59 Fouls 10.90
2.95 Yellow cards 1.86
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

41% Wins 57%
18% Draws 19%
41% Losses 24%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
91% Over 1.5 goals 81%
55% Over 2.5 goals 57%
18% Over 3.5 goals 24%
14% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
59% Both teams scored 52%
27% Clean sheets 43%
18% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 38%
18% Draws 48%
41% Losses 14%
91% Over 0.5 goals 67%
36% Over 1.5 goals 29%
18% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Wigan all matches
Derby all matches
Wigan before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:10
Derby before this match, away
1.90points / match
1.90scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:10
Wigan at home away Derby

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.90
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.60 Total goals 2.90
11.70 Shots 11.50
3.70 Shots on target 5.10
14.10 Shots faced 11.50
4.40 Corners 5.50
5.10 Corners against 6.80
11.70 Fouls 11.00
2.40 Yellow cards 1.30
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

60% Wins 60%
10% Draws 10%
30% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
10% Over 3.5 goals 30%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 50%
40% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
20% Draws 50%
40% Losses 10%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Wigan at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Wigan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Reading – Wigan 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.93 1.93
16.12.23 Port Vale – Wigan 3–2 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.00 1.85
09.12.23 Wigan – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.20 2.03 1.83
28.11.23 Wigan – Fleetwood Town 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.85 2.00
25.11.23 Leyton Orient – Wigan 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.604.00 1.90 1.95
11.11.23 Cheltenham – Wigan 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 2.00 1.85
07.11.23 Wigan – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.75 2.05
31.10.23 Wigan – Charlton 2–3 (0–3) 2.253.503.10 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Wigan – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.03 1.83
24.10.23 Wigan – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.73 2.08

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83
16.12.23 Derby – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 1.95
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80

Wigan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Wigan – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.20 2.03 1.83
28.11.23 Wigan – Fleetwood Town 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.85 2.00
07.11.23 Wigan – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.75 2.05
31.10.23 Wigan – Charlton 2–3 (0–3) 2.253.503.10 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Wigan – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.03 1.83
24.10.23 Wigan – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.73 2.08
30.09.23 Wigan – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.702.25 1.98 1.88
16.09.23 Wigan – Cambridge 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 1.88 1.98
26.08.23 Wigan – Barnsley 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
12.08.23 Wigan – Northampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.75 1.75 2.05

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Wigan winsDrawsDerby wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.08.23E2 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 22 14 7 1 38 17 +21 49
2 Peterboro 22 13 5 4 43 21 +22 44
3 Bolton 21 13 3 5 41 24 +17 42
4 Derby 21 12 4 5 38 18 +20 40
5 Oxford 22 12 4 6 36 24 +12 40
6 Stevenage 23 11 7 5 33 23 +10 40
7 Barnsley 21 11 5 5 40 23 +17 38
8 Blackpool 23 10 6 7 40 28 +12 36
9 Lincoln 23 8 8 7 28 24 +4 32
10 Wigan 22 9 4 9 32 28 +4 31
11 Northampton 22 9 3 10 28 29 -1 30
12 Charlton 22 7 8 7 34 30 +4 29
13 Bristol Rvs 21 7 7 7 28 28 0 28
14 Leyton Orient 23 7 7 9 23 31 -8 28
15 Cambridge 22 7 6 9 20 28 -8 27
16 Shrewsbury 23 8 3 12 14 32 -18 27
17 Port Vale 21 7 5 9 19 30 -11 26
18 Wycombe 21 6 6 9 25 30 -5 24
19 Reading 22 6 4 12 27 35 -8 22
20 Burton 22 5 6 11 18 33 -15 21
21 Exeter 21 5 4 12 13 33 -20 19
22 Fleetwood Town 21 4 5 12 19 36 -17 17
23 Carlisle 22 3 7 12 17 32 -15 16
24 Cheltenham 21 4 4 13 13 30 -17 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 13 8 2 3 28 14 +14 26
2 Bolton 12 8 1 3 27 17 +10 25
3 Portsmouth 12 7 4 1 17 11 +6 25
4 Peterboro 10 7 2 1 25 7 +18 23
5 Derby 11 6 3 2 19 8 +11 21
6 Oxford 10 6 3 1 18 7 +11 21
7 Charlton 12 6 3 3 24 16 +8 21
8 Cambridge 12 6 3 3 13 12 +1 21
9 Northampton 12 6 2 4 18 14 +4 20
10 Wigan 10 6 1 3 16 10 +6 19
11 Shrewsbury 12 6 1 5 11 14 -3 19
12 Reading 12 5 3 4 18 13 +5 18
13 Stevenage 11 4 6 1 14 10 +4 18
14 Barnsley 11 5 2 4 22 14 +8 17
15 Lincoln 10 4 4 2 16 9 +7 16
16 Bristol Rvs 9 3 5 1 15 9 +6 14
17 Leyton Orient 11 4 2 5 10 17 -7 14
18 Port Vale 9 4 0 5 9 10 -1 12
19 Burton 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
20 Wycombe 11 3 3 5 11 14 -3 12
21 Carlisle 12 2 5 5 10 14 -4 11
22 Exeter 10 2 3 5 5 10 -5 9
23 Cheltenham 10 2 2 6 6 15 -9 8
24 Fleetwood Town 10 2 1 7 8 18 -10 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 10 7 3 0 21 6 +15 24
2 Stevenage 12 7 1 4 19 13 +6 22
3 Barnsley 10 6 3 1 18 9 +9 21
4 Peterboro 12 6 3 3 18 14 +4 21
5 Derby 10 6 1 3 19 10 +9 19
6 Oxford 12 6 1 5 18 17 +1 19
7 Bolton 9 5 2 2 14 7 +7 17
8 Lincoln 13 4 4 5 12 15 -3 16
9 Leyton Orient 12 3 5 4 13 14 -1 14
10 Bristol Rvs 12 4 2 6 13 19 -6 14
11 Port Vale 12 3 5 4 10 20 -10 14
12 Wigan 12 3 3 6 16 18 -2 12
13 Wycombe 10 3 3 4 14 16 -2 12
14 Blackpool 10 2 4 4 12 14 -2 10
15 Northampton 10 3 1 6 10 15 -5 10
16 Fleetwood Town 11 2 4 5 11 18 -7 10
17 Exeter 11 3 1 7 8 23 -15 10
18 Burton 12 2 3 7 7 20 -13 9
19 Charlton 10 1 5 4 10 14 -4 8
20 Cheltenham 11 2 2 7 7 15 -8 8
21 Shrewsbury 11 2 2 7 3 18 -15 8
22 Cambridge 10 1 3 6 7 16 -9 6
23 Carlisle 10 1 2 7 7 18 -11 5
24 Reading 10 1 1 8 9 22 -13 4

Wigan   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 23 8 15 1.7 1.2 10 6 7 40 28 36
2 5 Oxford 22 8 14 1.6 1.1 12 4 6 36 24 40
3 11 Northampton 22 8 14 1.3 1.3 9 3 10 28 29 30
4 3 Bolton 21 8 13 2.0 1.1 13 3 5 41 24 42
5 12 Charlton 22 9 13 1.5 1.4 7 8 7 34 30 29
6 2 Peterboro 22 10 12 2.0 1.0 13 5 4 43 21 44
7 4 Derby 21 9 12 1.8 0.9 12 4 5 38 18 40
8 6 Stevenage 23 11 12 1.4 1.0 11 7 5 33 23 40
9 7 Barnsley 21 9 12 1.9 1.1 11 5 5 40 23 38
10 10 Wigan 22 10 12 1.5 1.3 9 4 9 32 28 31
11 19 Reading 22 10 12 1.2 1.6 6 4 12 27 35 22
12 1 Portsmouth 22 11 11 1.7 0.8 14 7 1 38 17 49
13 18 Wycombe 21 10 11 1.2 1.4 6 6 9 25 30 24
14 22 Fleetwood Town 21 10 11 0.9 1.7 4 5 12 19 36 17
15 13 Bristol Rvs 21 11 10 1.3 1.3 7 7 7 28 28 28
16 14 Leyton Orient 23 13 10 1.0 1.3 7 7 9 23 31 28
17 20 Burton 22 12 10 0.8 1.5 5 6 11 18 33 21
18 9 Lincoln 23 14 9 1.2 1.0 8 8 7 28 24 32
19 15 Cambridge 22 13 9 0.9 1.3 7 6 9 20 28 27
20 16 Shrewsbury 23 15 8 0.6 1.4 8 3 12 14 32 27
21 17 Port Vale 21 13 8 0.9 1.4 7 5 9 19 30 26
22 21 Exeter 21 14 7 0.6 1.6 5 4 12 13 33 19
23 24 Cheltenham 21 14 7 0.6 1.4 4 4 13 13 30 16
24 23 Carlisle 22 16 6 0.8 1.5 3 7 12 17 32 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bolton 12 2 10 2.2 1.4 8 1 3 27 17 25
2 8 Blackpool 13 3 10 2.2 1.1 8 2 3 28 14 26
3 12 Charlton 12 3 9 2.0 1.3 6 3 3 24 16 21
4 11 Northampton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 2 4 18 14 20
5 5 Oxford 10 3 7 1.8 0.7 6 3 1 18 7 21
6 7 Barnsley 11 4 7 2.0 1.3 5 2 4 22 14 17
7 2 Peterboro 10 4 6 2.5 0.7 7 2 1 25 7 23
8 4 Derby 11 5 6 1.7 0.7 6 3 2 19 8 21
9 10 Wigan 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 6 1 3 16 10 19
10 1 Portsmouth 12 7 5 1.4 0.9 7 4 1 17 11 25
11 14 Leyton Orient 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 4 2 5 10 17 14
12 16 Shrewsbury 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 6 1 5 11 14 19
13 19 Reading 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 5 3 4 18 13 18
14 20 Burton 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
15 22 Fleetwood Town 10 5 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 7 8 18 7
16 6 Stevenage 11 7 4 1.3 0.9 4 6 1 14 10 18
17 9 Lincoln 10 6 4 1.6 0.9 4 4 2 16 9 16
18 13 Bristol Rvs 9 5 4 1.7 1.0 3 5 1 15 9 14
19 15 Cambridge 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 6 3 3 13 12 21
20 18 Wycombe 11 7 4 1.0 1.3 3 3 5 11 14 12
21 17 Port Vale 9 6 3 1.0 1.1 4 0 5 9 10 12
22 24 Cheltenham 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 2 2 6 6 15 8
23 21 Exeter 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 2 3 5 5 10 9
24 23 Carlisle 12 10 2 0.8 1.2 2 5 5 10 14 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stevenage 12 4 8 1.6 1.1 7 1 4 19 13 22
2 5 Oxford 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 6 1 5 18 17 19
3 18 Wycombe 10 3 7 1.4 1.6 3 3 4 14 16 12
4 19 Reading 10 3 7 0.9 2.2 1 1 8 9 22 4
5 1 Portsmouth 10 4 6 2.1 0.6 7 3 0 21 6 24
6 2 Peterboro 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 14 21
7 4 Derby 10 4 6 1.9 1.0 6 1 3 19 10 19
8 10 Wigan 12 6 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 6 16 18 12
9 11 Northampton 10 4 6 1.0 1.5 3 1 6 10 15 10
10 13 Bristol Rvs 12 6 6 1.1 1.6 4 2 6 13 19 14
11 22 Fleetwood Town 11 5 6 1.0 1.6 2 4 5 11 18 10
12 7 Barnsley 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 6 3 1 18 9 21
13 8 Blackpool 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 2 4 4 12 14 10
14 9 Lincoln 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 4 4 5 12 15 16
15 14 Leyton Orient 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 3 5 4 13 14 14
16 15 Cambridge 10 5 5 0.7 1.6 1 3 6 7 16 6
17 17 Port Vale 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 5 4 10 20 14
18 20 Burton 12 7 5 0.6 1.7 2 3 7 7 20 9
19 21 Exeter 11 6 5 0.7 2.1 3 1 7 8 23 10
20 12 Charlton 10 6 4 1.0 1.4 1 5 4 10 14 8
21 23 Carlisle 10 6 4 0.7 1.8 1 2 7 7 18 5
22 24 Cheltenham 11 7 4 0.6 1.4 2 2 7 7 15 8
23 3 Bolton 9 6 3 1.6 0.8 5 2 2 14 7 17
24 16 Shrewsbury 11 8 3 0.3 1.6 2 2 7 3 18 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40