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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Gill

Derby 2–0 Exeter

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 2.16
Draw 4.00 fair 3.74
Away 5.75 fair 3.69
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 2.27

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Exeter
26 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 0
4 Corners 3
9 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (152 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawExeter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 12.4% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:12
Exeter before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
0.85scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:16
Derby all matches all matches Exeter

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.85
1.00 Goals conceded 1.23
2.50 Total goals 2.08
12.00 Shots 14.00
3.92 Shots on target 3.69
11.25 Shots faced 11.38
7.00 Corners 6.31
6.33 Corners against 5.62
11.50 Fouls 10.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.85
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

42% Wins 38%
25% Draws 8%
33% Losses 54%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
75% Over 1.5 goals 62%
50% Over 2.5 goals 38%
17% Over 3.5 goals 8%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
58% Both teams scored 23%
33% Clean sheets 38%
17% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 8%
50% Draws 69%
17% Losses 23%
67% Over 0.5 goals 46%
25% Over 1.5 goals 23%
8% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Exeter all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:5
Exeter before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.17scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:8
Derby at home away Exeter

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.17
1.00 Goals conceded 1.33
1.80 Total goals 2.50
13.20 Shots 12.17
3.00 Shots on target 4.50
9.40 Shots faced 12.50
9.20 Corners 4.67
5.60 Corners against 6.33
13.20 Fouls 10.67
2.80 Yellow cards 1.00
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

20% Wins 50%
40% Draws 0%
40% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 67%
40% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 17%
40% Clean sheets 50%
20% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 17%
40% Draws 67%
40% Losses 17%
60% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Exeter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Exeter – Wigan 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.30 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Exeter – Barnsley 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
03.10.23 Charlton – Exeter 4–1 (1–1) 2.053.603.60 1.73 2.08
30.09.23 Exeter – Northampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.30 2.15 1.67
23.09.23 Oxford – Exeter 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
16.09.23 Exeter – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.93 1.93
09.09.23 Exeter – Leyton Orient 1–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.98 1.88
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Exeter – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.503.80 2.00 1.85
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.04.23 Derby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.05 1.80
01.04.23 Derby – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.20 2.08 1.73
18.03.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.337.50 1.90 1.95

Exeter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23 Charlton – Exeter 4–1 (1–1) 2.053.603.60 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Oxford – Exeter 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Portsmouth – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
05.08.23 Wycombe – Exeter 0–3 (0–2) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
29.04.23 Ipswich – Exeter 6–0 (5–0) 1.186.5017.00 1.60 2.30
22.04.23 Sheffield Weds – Exeter 2–1 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.90 1.95
10.04.23 Peterboro – Exeter 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Fleetwood Town – Exeter 2–2 (2–1) 2.803.252.63 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsExeter wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.23E2 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
25.10.22E2 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 13 9 4 0 22 8 +14 31
2 Oxford 12 9 1 2 24 10 +14 28
3 Barnsley 13 7 2 4 26 13 +13 23
4 Bolton 12 7 2 3 21 16 +5 23
5 Peterboro 13 6 4 3 20 14 +6 22
6 Stevenage 14 6 4 4 18 15 +3 22
7 Blackpool 13 5 5 3 16 13 +3 20
8 Wycombe 12 6 2 4 18 17 +1 20
9 Burton 14 5 4 5 15 17 -2 19
10 Charlton 12 5 3 4 21 14 +7 18
11 Derby 12 5 3 4 18 12 +6 18
12 Lincoln 12 5 3 4 15 12 +3 18
13 Leyton Orient 13 5 3 5 12 16 -4 18
14 Port Vale 13 5 3 5 11 20 -9 18
15 Shrewsbury 13 5 2 6 7 13 -6 17
16 Wigan 12 5 1 6 17 17 0 16
17 Exeter 13 5 1 7 11 16 -5 16
18 Bristol Rvs 12 4 3 5 17 17 0 15
19 Cambridge 13 4 3 6 12 15 -3 15
20 Northampton 12 4 1 7 12 13 -1 13
21 Carlisle 14 2 5 7 11 17 -6 11
22 Reading 12 3 1 8 9 19 -10 10
23 Fleetwood Town 12 2 2 8 8 19 -11 8
24 Cheltenham 13 1 2 10 2 20 -18 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
2 Charlton 8 5 1 2 19 10 +9 16
3 Oxford 7 5 1 1 13 5 +8 16
4 Bolton 8 5 1 2 15 13 +2 16
5 Blackpool 7 4 2 1 12 5 +7 14
6 Peterboro 7 4 2 1 13 7 +6 14
7 Shrewsbury 7 4 1 2 5 4 +1 13
8 Burton 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11
9 Cambridge 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11
10 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 9 2 +7 10
11 Reading 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
12 Wycombe 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
14 Leyton Orient 6 3 1 2 6 9 -3 10
15 Port Vale 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
16 Bristol Rvs 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
17 Northampton 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
18 Exeter 7 2 1 4 4 8 -4 7
19 Barnsley 6 2 0 4 13 10 +3 6
20 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
21 Carlisle 7 1 3 3 5 8 -3 6
22 Derby 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
23 Cheltenham 7 1 1 5 2 12 -10 4
24 Fleetwood Town 6 1 0 5 2 11 -9 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 7 5 2 0 13 3 +10 17
2 Derby 7 4 1 2 14 7 +7 13
3 Oxford 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12
4 Stevenage 7 4 0 3 11 9 +2 12
5 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
6 Wigan 8 3 1 4 12 11 +1 10
7 Wycombe 7 3 1 3 11 12 -1 10
8 Exeter 6 3 0 3 7 8 -1 9
9 Port Vale 8 2 3 3 6 16 -10 9
10 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
11 Leyton Orient 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
12 Burton 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8
13 Lincoln 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
14 Bolton 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
15 Bristol Rvs 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
16 Northampton 6 2 0 4 5 6 -1 6
17 Blackpool 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6
18 Fleetwood Town 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
19 Carlisle 7 1 2 4 6 9 -3 5
20 Cambridge 6 1 1 4 4 7 -3 4
21 Shrewsbury 6 1 1 4 2 9 -7 4
22 Charlton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
23 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1
24 Reading 7 0 0 7 4 17 -13 0

Derby   Exeter

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 12 3 9 2.0 0.8 9 1 2 24 10 28
2 4 Bolton 12 3 9 1.8 1.3 7 2 3 21 16 23
3 8 Wycombe 12 4 8 1.5 1.4 6 2 4 18 17 20
4 10 Charlton 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 5 3 4 21 14 18
5 16 Wigan 12 4 8 1.4 1.4 5 1 6 17 17 16
6 6 Stevenage 14 7 7 1.3 1.1 6 4 4 18 15 22
7 1 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.7 0.6 9 4 0 22 8 31
8 3 Barnsley 13 7 6 2.0 1.0 7 2 4 26 13 23
9 7 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.2 1.0 5 5 3 16 13 20
10 9 Burton 14 8 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 5 15 17 19
11 11 Derby 12 6 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 4 18 12 18
12 18 Bristol Rvs 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 4 3 5 17 17 15
13 22 Reading 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 3 1 8 9 19 10
14 5 Peterboro 13 8 5 1.5 1.1 6 4 3 20 14 22
15 12 Lincoln 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 4 15 12 18
16 13 Leyton Orient 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 5 12 16 18
17 14 Port Vale 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 5 3 5 11 20 18
18 17 Exeter 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 5 1 7 11 16 16
19 20 Northampton 12 7 5 1.0 1.1 4 1 7 12 13 13
20 19 Cambridge 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 4 3 6 12 15 15
21 23 Fleetwood Town 12 8 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 8 8 19 8
22 24 Cheltenham 13 10 3 0.2 1.5 1 2 10 2 20 5
23 15 Shrewsbury 13 11 2 0.5 1.0 5 2 6 7 13 17
24 21 Carlisle 14 12 2 0.8 1.2 2 5 7 11 17 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Bolton 8 1 7 1.9 1.6 5 1 2 15 13 16
2 10 Charlton 8 1 7 2.4 1.2 5 1 2 19 10 16
3 2 Oxford 7 2 5 1.9 0.7 5 1 1 13 5 16
4 3 Barnsley 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 0 4 13 10 6
5 7 Blackpool 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 4 2 1 12 5 14
6 9 Burton 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11
7 1 Portsmouth 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
8 5 Peterboro 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 4 2 1 13 7 14
9 13 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 3 1 2 6 9 10
10 16 Wigan 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
11 18 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
12 20 Northampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
13 6 Stevenage 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
14 8 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
15 11 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
16 12 Lincoln 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 1 1 9 2 10
17 17 Exeter 7 5 2 0.6 1.1 2 1 4 4 8 7
18 19 Cambridge 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 3 2 2 8 8 11
19 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 0.3 1.8 1 0 5 2 11 3
20 24 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.3 1.7 1 1 5 2 12 4
21 14 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
22 15 Shrewsbury 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 4 1 2 5 4 13
23 22 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
24 21 Carlisle 7 7 0 0.7 1.1 1 3 3 5 8 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Wycombe 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 3 11 12 10
2 6 Stevenage 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 0 3 11 9 12
3 16 Wigan 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 1 4 12 11 10
4 22 Reading 7 2 5 0.6 2.4 0 0 7 4 17 0
5 2 Oxford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12
6 11 Derby 7 3 4 2.0 1.0 4 1 2 14 7 13
7 14 Port Vale 8 4 4 0.8 2.0 2 3 3 6 16 9
8 1 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
9 12 Lincoln 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
10 17 Exeter 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 3 0 3 7 8 9
11 18 Bristol Rvs 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
12 3 Barnsley 7 5 2 1.9 0.4 5 2 0 13 3 17
13 4 Bolton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
14 5 Peterboro 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
15 7 Blackpool 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6
16 9 Burton 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8
17 13 Leyton Orient 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
18 19 Cambridge 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 1 1 4 4 7 4
19 20 Northampton 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 0 4 5 6 6
20 21 Carlisle 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 1 2 4 6 9 5
21 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
22 10 Charlton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
23 15 Shrewsbury 6 5 1 0.3 1.5 1 1 4 2 9 4
24 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40