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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Coy

Carlisle 0–2 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.40 fair 2.78
Draw 3.60 fair 3.78
Away ✓ 2.10 fair 2.66
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 1.93 fair 2.09

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Derby
9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 2
8 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (89 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 0–1 9.9% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.88scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:9
Derby before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.71scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:9
Carlisle all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.71
1.13 Goals conceded 1.29
2.00 Total goals 3.00
10.75 Shots 12.29
3.25 Shots on target 3.43
13.25 Shots faced 12.86
5.25 Corners 7.71
5.25 Corners against 6.57
11.00 Fouls 11.86
2.38 Yellow cards 2.57
0.38 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

13% Wins 43%
50% Draws 14%
38% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 86%
13% Over 2.5 goals 71%
13% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
50% Both teams scored 71%
13% Clean sheets 29%
38% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 43%
75% Draws 29%
13% Losses 29%
50% Over 0.5 goals 86%
25% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Derby all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:4
Derby before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:4
Carlisle at home away Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.67
1.00 Goals conceded 1.33
2.00 Total goals 4.00
12.50 Shots 10.67
4.00 Shots on target 3.67
11.75 Shots faced 15.67
6.75 Corners 5.67
4.00 Corners against 7.00
9.75 Fouls 9.33
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.25 1st-half goals scored 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

25% Wins 67%
50% Draws 0%
25% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
50% Both teams scored 67%
25% Clean sheets 33%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 67%
75% Draws 33%
25% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Lincoln – Carlisle 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.70
09.09.23 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.05 1.80
02.09.23 Carlisle – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.10 2.10 1.78
26.08.23 Port Vale – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.20 1.98 1.88
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Carlisle – Wigan 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.08 1.73
12.08.23 Oxford – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 1.90 1.95
05.08.23 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 2.08 1.73
08.05.23E3 Sutton – Carlisle 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 2.05 1.75
29.04.23E3 Carlisle – Salford 2–3 (0–2) 2.303.253.25 1.98 1.88

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Carlisle – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.10 2.10 1.78
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Carlisle – Wigan 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.08 1.73
05.08.23 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 2.08 1.73
29.04.23E3 Carlisle – Salford 2–3 (0–2) 2.303.253.25 1.98 1.88
18.04.23E3 Carlisle – Stockport 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.102.50 2.50 1.50
15.04.23E3 Carlisle – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.60 2.50 1.50
07.04.23E3 Carlisle – Tranmere 2–0 (2–0) 1.733.505.50 2.30 1.60
18.03.23E3 Carlisle – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.10 2.25 1.62
04.03.23E3 Carlisle – Grimsby 2–0 (2–0) 1.733.755.00 2.20 1.65

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90
18.04.23 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
07.04.23 Forest Green – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.60 2.05 1.75
25.03.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
11.03.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.502.00 1.98 1.88
07.03.23 Plymouth – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.55 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 8 4 4 0 13 5 +8 16
2 Exeter 8 5 1 2 10 4 +6 16
3 Port Vale 8 5 1 2 10 13 -3 16
4 Oxford 7 5 0 2 12 7 +5 15
5 Stevenage 8 4 3 1 11 6 +5 15
6 Barnsley 8 4 1 3 18 10 +8 13
7 Bolton 7 4 1 2 13 9 +4 13
8 Wigan 7 4 1 2 12 8 +4 13
9 Peterboro 8 4 1 3 12 10 +2 13
10 Wycombe 7 4 1 2 8 9 -1 13
11 Lincoln 7 3 3 1 11 7 +4 12
12 Cambridge 7 4 0 3 9 6 +3 12
13 Derby 7 3 1 3 12 9 +3 10
14 Bristol Rvs 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
15 Reading 7 3 0 4 6 6 0 9
16 Blackpool 7 2 3 2 4 6 -2 9
17 Shrewsbury 7 3 0 4 4 8 -4 9
18 Leyton Orient 8 2 2 4 7 13 -6 8
19 Charlton 7 2 1 4 8 10 -2 7
20 Carlisle 8 1 4 3 7 9 -2 7
21 Northampton 7 2 1 4 5 7 -2 7
22 Burton 8 1 2 5 5 13 -8 5
23 Fleetwood Town 7 0 1 6 3 13 -10 1
24 Cheltenham 8 0 1 7 0 12 -12 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cambridge 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9
2 Reading 4 3 0 1 5 2 +3 9
3 Bolton 4 3 0 1 8 6 +2 9
4 Port Vale 4 3 0 1 5 3 +2 9
5 Portsmouth 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Blackpool 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8
7 Lincoln 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
8 Peterboro 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
9 Exeter 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
10 Wycombe 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
11 Barnsley 5 2 0 3 13 9 +4 6
12 Stevenage 4 1 3 0 5 3 +2 6
13 Oxford 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
14 Charlton 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
15 Wigan 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
16 Shrewsbury 4 2 0 2 3 4 -1 6
17 Carlisle 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
18 Derby 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
19 Northampton 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
20 Leyton Orient 3 1 0 2 2 7 -5 3
21 Bristol Rvs 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Burton 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
23 Cheltenham 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
24 Fleetwood Town 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Exeter 4 3 0 1 6 1 +5 9
2 Oxford 4 3 0 1 8 4 +4 9
3 Stevenage 4 3 0 1 6 3 +3 9
4 Portsmouth 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8
5 Wigan 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
6 Barnsley 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
7 Bristol Rvs 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
8 Port Vale 4 2 1 1 5 10 -5 7
9 Derby 3 2 0 1 8 4 +4 6
10 Peterboro 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
11 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 3 4 -1 6
12 Leyton Orient 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
13 Lincoln 4 1 2 1 4 6 -2 5
14 Bolton 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
15 Burton 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
16 Cambridge 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
17 Northampton 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
18 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
19 Carlisle 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
20 Charlton 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
21 Fleetwood Town 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
22 Blackpool 3 0 1 2 0 5 -5 1
23 Cheltenham 5 0 1 4 0 6 -6 1
24 Reading 3 0 0 3 1 4 -3 0

Carlisle   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bolton 7 1 6 1.9 1.3 4 1 2 13 9 13
2 4 Oxford 7 2 5 1.7 1.0 5 0 2 12 7 15
3 8 Wigan 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 4 1 2 12 8 13
4 13 Derby 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 3 1 3 12 9 10
5 3 Port Vale 8 4 4 1.2 1.6 5 1 2 10 13 16
6 6 Barnsley 8 4 4 2.2 1.2 4 1 3 18 10 13
7 9 Peterboro 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 4 1 3 12 10 13
8 10 Wycombe 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 4 1 2 8 9 13
9 11 Lincoln 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 3 3 1 11 7 12
10 18 Leyton Orient 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 2 2 4 7 13 8
11 19 Charlton 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 1 4 8 10 7
12 1 Portsmouth 8 5 3 1.6 0.6 4 4 0 13 5 16
13 2 Exeter 8 5 3 1.2 0.5 5 1 2 10 4 16
14 5 Stevenage 8 5 3 1.4 0.8 4 3 1 11 6 15
15 22 Burton 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 2 5 5 13 5
16 23 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 0.4 1.9 0 1 6 3 13 1
17 12 Cambridge 7 5 2 1.3 0.9 4 0 3 9 6 12
18 14 Bristol Rvs 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
19 15 Reading 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 3 0 4 6 6 9
20 16 Blackpool 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 3 2 4 6 9
21 21 Northampton 7 5 2 0.7 1.0 2 1 4 5 7 7
22 24 Cheltenham 8 6 2 0.0 1.5 0 1 7 0 12 1
23 17 Shrewsbury 7 6 1 0.6 1.1 3 0 4 4 8 9
24 20 Carlisle 8 7 1 0.9 1.1 1 4 3 7 9 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Barnsley 5 1 4 2.6 1.8 2 0 3 13 9 6
2 7 Bolton 4 0 4 2.0 1.5 3 0 1 8 6 9
3 19 Charlton 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
4 2 Exeter 4 2 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
5 4 Oxford 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
6 8 Wigan 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
7 9 Peterboro 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
8 10 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
9 11 Lincoln 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
10 13 Derby 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
11 18 Leyton Orient 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 1 0 2 2 7 3
12 1 Portsmouth 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
13 3 Port Vale 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 3 0 1 5 3 9
14 5 Stevenage 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 0 5 3 6
15 12 Cambridge 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9
16 14 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
17 15 Reading 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 0 1 5 2 9
18 16 Blackpool 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 2 2 0 4 1 8
19 17 Shrewsbury 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 2 0 2 3 4 6
20 21 Northampton 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4
21 22 Burton 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
22 23 Fleetwood Town 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
23 24 Cheltenham 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
24 20 Carlisle 4 4 0 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Port Vale 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 2 1 1 5 10 7
2 4 Oxford 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 1 8 4 9
3 8 Wigan 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
4 13 Derby 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 2 0 1 8 4 6
5 1 Portsmouth 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8
6 5 Stevenage 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 0 1 6 3 9
7 7 Bolton 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
8 9 Peterboro 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
9 10 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 2 0 1 3 4 6
10 11 Lincoln 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 2 1 4 6 5
11 18 Leyton Orient 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
12 22 Burton 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
13 23 Fleetwood Town 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
14 2 Exeter 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 3 0 1 6 1 9
15 12 Cambridge 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
16 14 Bristol Rvs 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
17 15 Reading 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 0 3 1 4 0
18 16 Blackpool 3 2 1 0.0 1.7 0 1 2 0 5 1
19 19 Charlton 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
20 20 Carlisle 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
21 21 Northampton 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
22 24 Cheltenham 5 4 1 0.0 1.2 0 1 4 0 6 1
23 6 Barnsley 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
24 17 Shrewsbury 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51