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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Edwards

Barnsley 2–0 Burton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 1.94
Draw 4.00 fair 4.09
Away 5.75 fair 4.15
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 1.75 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Barnsley Burton
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
0 Corners 2
5 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (74 league matches this season so far).
Result Barnsley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
BarnsleyDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–0 11% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.33scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:7
Burton before this match, all matches
0.33points / match
0.33scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 2:9
Barnsley all matches all matches Burton

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 0.33
1.17 Goals conceded 1.50
3.50 Total goals 1.83
14.33 Shots 10.67
6.17 Shots on target 3.33
14.33 Shots faced 13.17
5.50 Corners 3.67
6.17 Corners against 5.33
11.17 Fouls 12.50
3.00 Yellow cards 2.67
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
17% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
50% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
33% Draws 50%
17% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 50%
17% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barnsley all matches
Burton all matches
Barnsley before this match, at home
1.00points / match
3.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 9:6
Burton before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:4
Barnsley at home away Burton

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 0.33
2.00 Goals conceded 1.33
5.00 Total goals 1.67
13.00 Shots 9.33
7.00 Shots on target 3.33
15.00 Shots faced 12.67
7.33 Corners 3.00
6.33 Corners against 5.67
10.67 Fouls 12.00
3.00 Yellow cards 2.33
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
100% Over 2.5 goals 33%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barnsley at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Cheltenham – Barnsley 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Wigan – Barnsley 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
19.08.23 Barnsley – Oxford 1–3 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.98 1.88
15.08.23 Barnsley – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Bristol Rvs – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.95 1.90
05.08.23 Barnsley – Port Vale 7–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.05 1.75
07.05.23 Barnsley – Peterboro 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.802.40 1.65 2.20
29.04.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Barnsley 4–4 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 2.02 1.82
25.04.23 Barnsley – Ipswich 0–3 (0–2) 3.803.502.00 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Barnsley – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.805.75 1.98 1.88

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
07.05.23 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98
03.05.23 Burton – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82

Barnsley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23 Barnsley – Oxford 1–3 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.98 1.88
15.08.23 Barnsley – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Barnsley – Port Vale 7–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.05 1.75
07.05.23 Barnsley – Peterboro 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.802.40 1.65 2.20
25.04.23 Barnsley – Ipswich 0–3 (0–2) 3.803.502.00 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Barnsley – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.805.75 1.98 1.88
10.04.23 Barnsley – Shrewsbury 2–1 (2–0) 1.553.757.00 2.08 1.73
01.04.23 Barnsley – Morecambe 5–0 (3–0) 1.364.5010.00 1.85 2.00
21.03.23 Barnsley – Sheffield Weds 4–2 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
11.03.23 Barnsley – Plymouth 3–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 1.90 1.95

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.04.23 Charlton – Burton 3–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.20 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
04.03.23 Ipswich – Burton 4–0 (3–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Barnsley winsDrawsBurton wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23E2 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
17.12.22E2 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 7 4 2 1 10 5 +5 14
2 Bolton 6 4 1 1 12 7 +5 13
3 Exeter 7 4 1 2 9 4 +5 13
4 Port Vale 6 4 1 1 7 10 -3 13
5 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12
6 Cambridge 6 4 0 2 8 4 +4 12
7 Oxford 6 4 0 2 9 7 +2 12
8 Lincoln 6 3 2 1 10 6 +4 11
9 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 14 7 +7 10
10 Wigan 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
11 Wycombe 6 3 1 2 6 9 -3 10
12 Derby 6 3 0 3 11 8 +3 9
13 Blackpool 6 2 3 1 4 4 0 9
14 Peterboro 6 3 0 3 8 9 -1 9
15 Shrewsbury 6 3 0 3 4 6 -2 9
16 Northampton 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7
17 Leyton Orient 7 2 1 4 6 12 -6 7
18 Reading 6 2 0 4 4 5 -1 6
19 Charlton 6 2 0 4 7 9 -2 6
20 Bristol Rvs 6 1 3 2 6 8 -2 6
21 Carlisle 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6
22 Burton 6 0 2 4 2 9 -7 2
23 Fleetwood Town 6 0 1 5 3 10 -7 1
24 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cambridge 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9
2 Bolton 4 3 0 1 8 6 +2 9
3 Portsmouth 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
4 Blackpool 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8
5 Lincoln 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6
6 Reading 3 2 0 1 3 1 +2 6
7 Port Vale 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
8 Oxford 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
9 Shrewsbury 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
10 Charlton 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
11 Stevenage 3 1 2 0 4 2 +2 5
12 Carlisle 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
13 Exeter 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
14 Northampton 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
15 Wycombe 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
16 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 9 6 +3 3
17 Derby 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
18 Peterboro 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
19 Wigan 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
20 Leyton Orient 3 1 0 2 2 7 -5 3
21 Bristol Rvs 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Burton 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
23 Fleetwood Town 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
24 Cheltenham 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Exeter 4 3 0 1 6 1 +5 9
2 Stevenage 4 3 0 1 6 3 +3 9
3 Wigan 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
4 Barnsley 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
5 Port Vale 4 2 1 1 5 10 -5 7
6 Derby 3 2 0 1 8 4 +4 6
7 Oxford 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
8 Peterboro 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
9 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 3 4 -1 6
10 Lincoln 4 1 2 1 4 6 -2 5
11 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0 4 0 +4 4
12 Bolton 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
13 Leyton Orient 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
14 Bristol Rvs 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
15 Cambridge 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
16 Northampton 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
17 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
18 Carlisle 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
19 Cheltenham 3 0 1 2 0 2 -2 1
20 Burton 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
21 Blackpool 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
22 Fleetwood Town 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
23 Charlton 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
24 Reading 3 0 0 3 1 4 -3 0

Barnsley   Burton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bolton 6 1 5 2.0 1.2 4 1 1 12 7 13
2 12 Derby 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 3 0 3 11 8 9
3 7 Oxford 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 4 0 2 9 7 12
4 8 Lincoln 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 3 2 1 10 6 11
5 10 Wigan 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
6 11 Wycombe 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 3 1 2 6 9 10
7 17 Leyton Orient 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 2 1 4 6 12 7
8 19 Charlton 6 2 4 1.2 1.5 2 0 4 7 9 6
9 1 Stevenage 7 4 3 1.4 0.7 4 2 1 10 5 14
10 3 Exeter 7 4 3 1.3 0.6 4 1 2 9 4 13
11 4 Port Vale 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 4 1 1 7 10 13
12 9 Barnsley 6 3 3 2.3 1.2 3 1 2 14 7 10
13 14 Peterboro 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 3 0 3 8 9 9
14 5 Portsmouth 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12
15 13 Blackpool 6 4 2 0.7 0.7 2 3 1 4 4 9
16 16 Northampton 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 3 5 6 7
17 20 Bristol Rvs 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 3 2 6 8 6
18 22 Burton 6 4 2 0.3 1.5 0 2 4 2 9 2
19 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 0.5 1.7 0 1 5 3 10 1
20 6 Cambridge 6 5 1 1.3 0.7 4 0 2 8 4 12
21 15 Shrewsbury 6 5 1 0.7 1.0 3 0 3 4 6 9
22 18 Reading 6 5 1 0.7 0.8 2 0 4 4 5 6
23 21 Carlisle 7 6 1 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6
24 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bolton 4 0 4 2.0 1.5 3 0 1 8 6 9
2 9 Barnsley 3 0 3 3.0 2.0 1 0 2 9 6 3
3 19 Charlton 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
4 3 Exeter 3 1 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
5 7 Oxford 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
6 8 Lincoln 2 0 2 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6
7 11 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
8 12 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
9 17 Leyton Orient 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 1 0 2 2 7 3
10 1 Stevenage 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 2 0 4 2 5
11 5 Portsmouth 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
12 6 Cambridge 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9
13 10 Wigan 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
14 13 Blackpool 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 2 2 0 4 1 8
15 14 Peterboro 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
16 15 Shrewsbury 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
17 16 Northampton 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4
18 20 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
19 22 Burton 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
20 24 Cheltenham 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
21 4 Port Vale 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
22 18 Reading 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 0 1 3 1 6
23 21 Carlisle 4 4 0 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
24 23 Fleetwood Town 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Port Vale 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 2 1 1 5 10 7
2 10 Wigan 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
3 12 Derby 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 2 0 1 8 4 6
4 1 Stevenage 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 0 1 6 3 9
5 7 Oxford 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
6 8 Lincoln 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 2 1 4 6 5
7 11 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 2 0 1 3 4 6
8 14 Peterboro 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
9 17 Leyton Orient 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
10 23 Fleetwood Town 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
11 2 Bolton 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
12 3 Exeter 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 3 0 1 6 1 9
13 5 Portsmouth 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 1 1 0 4 0 4
14 13 Blackpool 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
15 16 Northampton 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
16 18 Reading 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 0 3 1 4 0
17 19 Charlton 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
18 20 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
19 21 Carlisle 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
20 22 Burton 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
21 6 Cambridge 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
22 9 Barnsley 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
23 15 Shrewsbury 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
24 24 Cheltenham 3 3 0 0.0 0.7 0 1 2 0 2 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38