Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: E Bell

Stoke 2–3 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 3.50 fair 2.27
Draw 3.50 fair 4.16
Away ✓ 1.96 fair 3.13
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.37
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Middlesbrough
8 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 9
0.65 Expected goals (xG) 2.57
4 Corners 3
9 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (113 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.67scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:13
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.89scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:12
Stoke all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.89
1.44 Goals conceded 1.33
3.11 Total goals 3.22
0.97 xG created 1.83
1.67 xG allowed 1.08
11.67 Shots 17.11
4.00 Shots on target 5.22
15.67 Shots faced 11.78
4.44 Corners 5.56
5.22 Corners against 5.22
14.67 Fouls 10.11
2.44 Yellow cards 1.22
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

56% Wins 56%
11% Draws 33%
33% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
78% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 44%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
78% Both teams scored 78%
22% Clean sheets 22%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 56%
33% Draws 22%
11% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
44% Over 1.5 goals 22%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
2.25points / match
2.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:3
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5
Stoke at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.25
0.75 Goals conceded 1.25
2.75 Total goals 2.50
0.88 xG created 1.83
0.73 xG allowed 0.95
10.25 Shots 15.75
4.25 Shots on target 3.75
10.75 Shots faced 12.00
5.00 Corners 4.25
3.50 Corners against 6.00
15.50 Fouls 9.25
2.00 Yellow cards 1.25
1.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

75% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 100%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Bolton – Stoke 1–2 (0–1) 2.653.402.45 1.88 1.98
19.09.26 Stoke – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.91 1.91
12.09.26 Watford – Stoke 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.10 1.93 1.93
08.09.26 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.62 2.30
05.09.26 Stoke – Charlton 4–0 (4–0) 2.053.253.50 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Stoke – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.602.01 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Wolves – Stoke 4–1 (2–1) 1.454.336.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
15.08.26 Stoke – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.323.203.10 2.10 1.73
02.05.26 Bristol City – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.703.60 1.62 2.30

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Middlesbrough – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.702.85 1.62 2.30
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
15.09.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 2–2 (0–2) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
12.09.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 4–3 (3–1) 1.793.903.80 1.57 2.38
05.09.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Middlesbrough – West Brom 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.50 1.88 1.98
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Middlesbrough – Lincoln 2–1 (0–1) 1.305.508.00 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Stoke – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.91 1.91
05.09.26 Stoke – Charlton 4–0 (4–0) 2.053.253.50 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Stoke – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.602.01 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Stoke – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.323.203.10 2.10 1.73
25.04.26 Stoke – Portsmouth 1–3 (0–1) 2.703.202.55 2.03 1.83
21.04.26 Stoke – Millwall 1–3 (0–1) 3.703.701.86 1.67 2.20
11.04.26 Stoke – Blackburn 1–1 (0–1) 2.573.252.65 2.20 1.67
03.04.26 Stoke – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (1–0) 1.304.7510.00 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Stoke – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.302.55 2.10 1.73
10.03.26 Stoke – Ipswich 3–3 (2–0) 4.503.751.66 2.05 1.80

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
05.09.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
19.04.26 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.503.00 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Swansea – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 3.803.601.86 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.81 1.93 1.93
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
10matches
2.30goals / match
40%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.26E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
30.09.25E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
25.02.25E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.402.35 1.93 1.93
28.09.24E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
02.03.24E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
28.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
14.03.23E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
17.08.22E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
30.04.22E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
11.12.21E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 7 2 1 16 7 +9 23
2 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 17 12 +5 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 20 10 +10 17
4 West Brom 10 5 2 3 12 10 +2 17
5 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23 12 +11 16
6 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 13 +2 16
7 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
8 QPR 9 3 5 1 11 8 +3 14
9 Wolves 9 4 2 3 16 14 +2 14
10 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13 11 +2 14
11 Millwall 10 4 2 4 16 16 0 14
12 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 12 14 -2 14
13 Charlton 10 3 5 2 10 13 -3 14
14 Bolton 10 4 1 5 15 18 -3 13
15 Sheffield United 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
16 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11 15 -4 11
17 Lincoln 9 3 2 4 7 11 -4 11
18 Cardiff 10 2 4 4 16 15 +1 10
19 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17 19 -2 9
20 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 9 11 -2 8
21 Burnley 10 1 5 4 15 19 -4 8
22 Watford 10 2 2 6 8 19 -11 8
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8 15 -7 6
24 Preston 9 1 1 7 8 16 -8 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 5 5 0 0 16 4 +12 15
2 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 12 7 +5 13
3 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
4 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
5 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 12 6 +6 9
6 Stoke 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
7 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
8 Charlton 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
9 West Brom 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
10 Millwall 5 2 1 2 9 6 +3 7
11 Wolves 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
12 Sheffield United 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
13 Watford 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7
14 Norwich 4 2 0 2 10 8 +2 6
15 Bolton 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
16 Bristol City 5 2 0 3 3 5 -2 6
17 QPR 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
18 Wrexham 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
19 Birmingham 4 0 4 0 7 7 0 4
20 Burnley 5 0 4 1 7 8 -1 4
21 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Lincoln 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
24 Derby 5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 5 4 0 1 9 5 +4 12
2 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
3 QPR 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
4 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
5 Lincoln 5 3 0 2 4 5 -1 9
6 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
7 Wolves 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
8 Bolton 5 2 1 2 9 11 -2 7
9 Millwall 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
10 Stoke 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
11 West Ham 4 1 3 0 8 7 +1 6
12 Blackburn 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
13 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
14 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
15 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
16 Charlton 5 1 2 2 6 11 -5 5
17 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4
18 Derby 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
19 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
20 Norwich 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
21 Southampton 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
22 Preston 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
23 Cardiff 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1
24 Watford 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1

Stoke   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
2 19 Norwich 9 1 8 1.9 2.1 3 0 6 17 19 9
3 5 West Ham 9 2 7 2.6 1.3 4 4 1 23 12 16
4 6 Stoke 9 2 7 1.7 1.4 5 1 3 15 13 16
5 11 Millwall 10 3 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 4 16 16 14
6 14 Bolton 10 3 7 1.5 1.8 4 1 5 15 18 13
7 21 Burnley 10 3 7 1.5 1.9 1 5 4 15 19 8
8 1 Swansea 10 4 6 1.6 0.7 7 2 1 16 7 23
9 2 Middlesbrough 9 3 6 1.9 1.3 5 3 1 17 12 18
10 3 Southampton 9 3 6 2.2 1.1 5 2 2 20 10 17
11 9 Wolves 9 3 6 1.8 1.6 4 2 3 16 14 14
12 10 Birmingham 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 3 5 1 13 11 14
13 15 Sheffield United 9 3 6 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
14 18 Cardiff 10 4 6 1.6 1.5 2 4 4 16 15 10
15 24 Preston 9 3 6 0.9 1.8 1 1 7 8 16 4
16 12 Bristol City 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 4 2 4 12 14 14
17 13 Charlton 10 5 5 1.0 1.3 3 5 2 10 13 14
18 16 Wrexham 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 5 3 11 15 11
19 22 Watford 10 5 5 0.8 1.9 2 2 6 8 19 8
20 23 Derby 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 1 3 5 8 15 6
21 4 West Brom 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 5 2 3 12 10 17
22 8 QPR 9 5 4 1.2 0.9 3 5 1 11 8 14
23 17 Lincoln 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 3 2 4 7 11 11
24 20 Portsmouth 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 4 9 11 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
2 2 Middlesbrough 5 1 4 2.4 1.4 4 1 0 12 7 13
3 3 Southampton 5 1 4 3.2 0.8 5 0 0 16 4 15
4 5 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
5 11 Millwall 5 1 4 1.8 1.2 2 1 2 9 6 7
6 19 Norwich 4 0 4 2.5 2.0 2 0 2 10 8 6
7 22 Watford 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7
8 6 Stoke 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
9 9 Wolves 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
10 10 Birmingham 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 0 4 0 7 7 4
11 14 Bolton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
12 15 Sheffield United 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
13 16 Wrexham 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
14 18 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 2 3 0 12 6 9
15 21 Burnley 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 0 4 1 7 8 4
16 23 Derby 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 2 3 4 9 2
17 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
18 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
19 8 QPR 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
20 17 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
21 20 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
22 4 West Brom 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
23 12 Bristol City 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 0 3 3 5 6
24 13 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 1 9 5 12
2 6 Stoke 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
3 12 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
4 13 Charlton 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 1 2 2 6 11 5
5 14 Bolton 5 1 4 1.8 2.2 2 1 2 9 11 7
6 19 Norwich 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
7 21 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
8 4 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
9 5 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 3 0 8 7 6
10 7 Blackburn 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
11 9 Wolves 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
12 10 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
13 11 Millwall 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
14 15 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
15 18 Cardiff 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 1 4 4 9 1
16 24 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
17 2 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
18 3 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
19 8 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
20 16 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
21 17 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 2 4 5 9
22 20 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4
23 23 Derby 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
24 22 Watford 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40