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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Allison

Cardiff 1–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.96 fair 2.23
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.19
Away 3.50 fair 3.19
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.40
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Stoke
26 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
3.61 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
7 Corners 5
5 Fouls 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (60 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.67 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:9
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.60scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:9
Cardiff all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.60
1.80 Goals conceded 1.80
3.00 Total goals 3.40
1.33 xG created 0.96
1.90 xG allowed 1.48
16.00 Shots 10.80
5.60 Shots on target 3.40
14.80 Shots faced 14.20
8.00 Corners 3.00
5.20 Corners against 4.80
11.00 Fouls 17.20
1.80 Yellow cards 2.60
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.60
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

0% Wins 40%
60% Draws 0%
40% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 80%
40% Over 3.5 goals 60%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
20% Draws 40%
60% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Stoke all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Stoke before this match, away
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
3.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:7
Cardiff at home away Stoke

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded 3.50
3.00 Total goals 4.50
1.37 xG created 0.91
1.54 xG allowed 2.48
19.50 Shots 12.50
6.50 Shots on target 2.50
12.00 Shots faced 18.00
11.00 Corners 1.50
5.50 Corners against 5.50
10.50 Fouls 18.00
1.00 Yellow cards 4.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Portsmouth – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.323.402.85 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–2 (2–2) 2.553.502.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
02.05.26E2 Mansfield – Cardiff 5–4 (3–0) 3.603.901.81 1.53 2.40
25.04.26E2 Cardiff – Northampton 5–1 (3–0) 1.117.5015.00 1.36 3.10
22.04.26E2 Cardiff – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.257.00 1.53 2.40
18.04.26E2 Reading – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 4.754.001.57 1.62 2.25
14.04.26E2 Huddersfield – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.15 1.73 2.08

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Stoke – Charlton 4–0 (4–0) 2.053.253.50 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Stoke – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.602.01 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Wolves – Stoke 4–1 (2–1) 1.454.336.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
15.08.26 Stoke – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.323.203.10 2.10 1.73
02.05.26 Bristol City – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.703.60 1.62 2.30
25.04.26 Stoke – Portsmouth 1–3 (0–1) 2.703.202.55 2.03 1.83
21.04.26 Stoke – Millwall 1–3 (0–1) 3.703.701.86 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Wrexham – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 1.713.704.50 1.83 2.03
11.04.26 Stoke – Blackburn 1–1 (0–1) 2.573.252.65 2.20 1.67

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–2 (2–2) 2.553.502.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
25.04.26E2 Cardiff – Northampton 5–1 (3–0) 1.117.5015.00 1.36 3.10
22.04.26E2 Cardiff – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.257.00 1.53 2.40
11.04.26E2 Cardiff – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 1.714.004.00 1.50 2.50
21.03.26E2 Cardiff – Blackpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.334.757.50 1.57 2.35
17.03.26E2 Cardiff – Wycombe 0–2 (0–0) 1.623.804.75 1.70 2.10
07.03.26E2 Cardiff – Lincoln 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.303.00 1.85 1.95
17.02.26E2 Cardiff – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (1–1) 1.394.507.00 1.73 2.08
14.02.26E2 Cardiff – Luton 3–1 (3–1) 1.713.504.00 1.85 2.00

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Wolves – Stoke 4–1 (2–1) 1.454.336.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Bristol City – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.703.60 1.62 2.30
18.04.26 Wrexham – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 1.713.704.50 1.83 2.03
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
20.03.26 Preston – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.75 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Swansea – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.303.70 2.10 1.73
28.02.26 Coventry – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 1.514.205.75 1.73 2.10
11.02.26 Charlton – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.573.102.70 2.30 1.62
07.02.26 West Brom – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.30 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsStoke wins
8matches
2.88goals / match
63%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25E1 Cardiff – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 2.20 1.67
14.12.24E1 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95
24.02.24E1 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60
04.11.23E1 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
22.04.23E1 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.73
10.12.22E1 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (2–1) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.73
16.03.22E1 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.453.303.00 2.37 1.57
30.10.21E1 Stoke – Cardiff 3–3 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 1 +6 11
2 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
3 QPR 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
4 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
5 West Brom 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
6 Charlton 5 3 1 1 6 7 -1 10
7 Millwall 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
8 Southampton 5 2 2 1 11 6 +5 8
9 West Ham 5 2 2 1 11 7 +4 8
10 Wolves 5 2 2 1 13 10 +3 8
11 Birmingham 5 1 4 0 7 6 +1 7
12 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 6 4 +2 6
13 Norwich 5 2 0 3 8 8 0 6
14 Stoke 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
15 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6
16 Sheffield United 5 1 3 1 6 7 -1 6
17 Blackburn 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
18 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
19 Watford 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
20 Derby 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
21 Bolton 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
22 Cardiff 5 0 3 2 6 9 -3 3
23 Preston 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3
24 Burnley 5 0 2 3 6 12 -6 2
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
2 Southampton 2 2 0 0 8 2 +6 6
3 West Ham 3 2 0 1 8 4 +4 6
4 Millwall 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
5 Stoke 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6
6 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
7 Charlton 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
8 Swansea 3 1 2 0 2 0 +2 5
9 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
10 Watford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
11 QPR 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
12 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
13 Norwich 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
14 Birmingham 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
15 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
16 Bolton 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
17 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
18 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
19 Preston 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
20 Cardiff 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
21 Burnley 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
22 Lincoln 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
23 Wrexham 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
24 Derby 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
2 Swansea 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 QPR 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
4 Wrexham 3 1 2 0 4 1 +3 5
5 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 Wolves 3 1 1 1 7 7 0 4
7 Middlesbrough 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
8 Charlton 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
9 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
10 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
11 West Brom 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
12 Derby 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
13 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
14 Norwich 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
15 West Ham 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
16 Sheffield United 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
17 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Southampton 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
19 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 3 6 -3 1
20 Watford 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
21 Bolton 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
22 Preston 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
23 Burnley 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0
24 Stoke 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0

Cardiff   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Wolves 5 0 5 2.6 2.0 2 2 1 13 10 8
2 4 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
3 7 Millwall 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
4 9 West Ham 5 1 4 2.2 1.4 2 2 1 11 7 8
5 13 Norwich 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 2 0 3 8 8 6
6 14 Stoke 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
7 17 Blackburn 5 1 4 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
8 20 Derby 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
9 23 Preston 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3
10 24 Burnley 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 2 3 6 12 2
11 2 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
12 3 QPR 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
13 5 West Brom 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
14 6 Charlton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 3 1 1 6 7 10
15 8 Southampton 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 2 2 1 11 6 8
16 11 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 1 4 0 7 6 7
17 15 Portsmouth 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 0 3 7 8 6
18 16 Sheffield United 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 3 1 6 7 6
19 21 Bolton 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
20 22 Cardiff 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 0 3 2 6 9 3
21 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.2 3 2 0 7 1 11
22 12 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 1 3 1 6 4 6
23 18 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
24 19 Watford 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Millwall 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
2 9 West Ham 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 2 0 1 8 4 6
3 23 Preston 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
4 2 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
5 8 Southampton 2 0 2 4.0 1.0 2 0 0 8 2 6
6 10 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
7 11 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
8 13 Norwich 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
9 14 Stoke 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6
10 16 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
11 17 Blackburn 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
12 20 Derby 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1
13 24 Burnley 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
14 3 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
15 4 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
16 5 West Brom 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
17 6 Charlton 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
18 12 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
19 15 Portsmouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
20 18 Lincoln 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
21 19 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
22 21 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
23 22 Cardiff 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
24 1 Swansea 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 1 2 0 2 0 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Bristol City 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
2 10 Wolves 3 0 3 2.3 2.3 1 1 1 7 7 4
3 1 Swansea 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
4 3 QPR 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
5 5 West Brom 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
6 6 Charlton 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
7 13 Norwich 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
8 14 Stoke 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
9 15 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
10 17 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
11 20 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
12 21 Bolton 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
13 22 Cardiff 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 2 3 6 1
14 24 Burnley 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
15 2 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
16 7 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
17 8 Southampton 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
18 9 West Ham 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
19 11 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
20 12 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 1 2 0 4 1 5
21 16 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
22 18 Lincoln 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
23 23 Preston 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
24 19 Watford 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40