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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.82 fair 2.58
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.17
Away 2.32 fair 2.68
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Middlesbrough
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 1.23
5 Corners 1
11 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (47 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.33points / match
1.33scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:9
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:4
Burnley all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 2.00
3.00 Goals conceded 1.33
4.33 Total goals 3.33
1.49 xG created 2.04
1.63 xG allowed 0.96
15.00 Shots 20.00
4.33 Shots on target 5.33
14.00 Shots faced 9.33
5.00 Corners 7.33
4.00 Corners against 4.33
10.00 Fouls 12.33
2.00 Yellow cards 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
1.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

0% Wins 67%
33% Draws 0%
67% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
67% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
1.00points / match
2.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:2
Middlesbrough before this match, away
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:2
Burnley at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 2.00
4.00 Total goals 3.00
2.33 xG created 1.43
1.33 xG allowed 0.91
18.00 Shots 22.00
6.00 Shots on target 3.00
11.00 Shots faced 6.00
5.00 Corners 10.00
6.00 Corners against 2.00
12.00 Fouls 10.00
1.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Norwich – Burnley 4–1 (3–1) 2.203.603.00 1.80 2.00
23.08.26 West Brom – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.10 1.73
16.08.26 Burnley – West Ham 2–2 (0–1) 2.853.502.25 1.73 2.10
24.05.26E0 Burnley – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.73 2.10
18.05.26E0 Arsenal – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.0911.0023.00 1.33 3.40
10.05.26E0 Burnley – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 5.004.331.60 1.73 2.10
01.05.26E0 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
22.04.26E0 Burnley – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 19.009.001.13 1.33 3.40
19.04.26E0 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 4–1 (0–1) 1.504.207.00 1.73 2.10
11.04.26E0 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Middlesbrough – West Brom 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.50 1.88 1.98
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Middlesbrough – Lincoln 2–1 (0–1) 1.305.508.00 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Middlesbrough – Watford 5–1 (2–0) 1.394.756.50 1.57 2.38
22.04.26 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.36 3.20
19.04.26 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.503.00 1.80 2.00
11.04.26 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.494.006.25 1.73 2.10
06.04.26 Swansea – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 3.803.601.86 1.88 1.98
03.04.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.26 Burnley – West Ham 2–2 (0–1) 2.853.502.25 1.73 2.10
24.05.26E0 Burnley – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.73 2.10
10.05.26E0 Burnley – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 5.004.331.60 1.73 2.10
22.04.26E0 Burnley – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 19.009.001.13 1.33 3.40
11.04.26E0 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10
14.03.26E0 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
28.02.26E0 Burnley – Brentford 3–4 (1–3) 4.503.901.73 1.85 2.00
07.02.26E0 Burnley – West Ham 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
24.01.26E0 Burnley – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 2.00 1.80
07.01.26E0 Burnley – Man United 2–2 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
19.04.26 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.503.00 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Swansea – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 3.803.601.86 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.81 1.93 1.93
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
16.02.26 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.73 2.10
09.02.26 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.10 1.80 2.00
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24E1 Middlesbrough – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
06.12.24E1 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
07.04.23E1 Middlesbrough – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 2.05 1.80
17.12.22E1 Burnley – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 4 3 1 0 7 1 +6 10
2 QPR 4 3 1 0 7 3 +4 10
3 Charlton 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
4 Southampton 4 2 1 1 10 5 +5 7
5 Wolves 4 2 1 1 11 8 +3 7
6 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
7 West Brom 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
8 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
9 Birmingham 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
10 Sheffield United 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
11 Millwall 4 2 0 2 6 8 -2 6
12 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
13 West Ham 4 1 2 1 8 7 +1 5
14 Blackburn 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
15 Watford 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
16 Bolton 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
17 Derby 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
18 Lincoln 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
19 Cardiff 4 0 3 1 6 7 -1 3
20 Norwich 4 1 0 3 5 7 -2 3
21 Portsmouth 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
22 Stoke 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
23 Burnley 3 0 1 2 4 9 -5 1
24 Preston 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 2 2 0 0 8 2 +6 6
2 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
3 Charlton 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
4 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
5 West Brom 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
6 Swansea 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
7 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
8 Watford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
9 QPR 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
10 Norwich 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
11 West Ham 2 1 0 1 5 4 +1 3
12 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
13 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
14 Bolton 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
15 Stoke 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
16 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
17 Birmingham 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
18 Cardiff 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
19 Burnley 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
20 Wrexham 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
21 Lincoln 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
22 Derby 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
23 Preston 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
24 Portsmouth 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 QPR 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
3 Wrexham 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
4 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
5 Charlton 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
6 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
7 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
8 Derby 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
9 Wolves 2 1 0 1 5 5 0 3
10 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
11 West Brom 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
12 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
13 West Ham 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
14 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
15 Sheffield United 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
16 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
17 Bolton 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
18 Southampton 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
19 Watford 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
20 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Preston 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
22 Norwich 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
23 Burnley 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0
24 Stoke 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0

Burnley   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Wolves 4 0 4 2.8 2.0 2 1 1 11 8 7
2 2 QPR 4 1 3 1.8 0.8 3 1 0 7 3 10
3 4 Southampton 4 1 3 2.5 1.2 2 1 1 10 5 7
4 6 Bristol City 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
5 7 West Brom 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
6 8 Middlesbrough 3 0 3 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
7 11 Millwall 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 2 0 2 6 8 6
8 13 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 2 1 8 7 5
9 14 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
10 17 Derby 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
11 19 Cardiff 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 0 3 1 6 7 3
12 20 Norwich 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 0 3 5 7 3
13 21 Portsmouth 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
14 22 Stoke 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
15 23 Burnley 3 0 3 1.3 3.0 0 1 2 4 9 1
16 24 Preston 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
17 1 Swansea 4 2 2 1.8 0.2 3 1 0 7 1 10
18 3 Charlton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 0 6 3 10
19 9 Birmingham 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
20 10 Sheffield United 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
21 12 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
22 16 Bolton 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
23 18 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
24 15 Watford 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Southampton 2 0 2 4.0 1.0 2 0 0 8 2 6
2 5 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
3 8 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
4 11 Millwall 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
5 13 West Ham 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 0 1 5 4 3
6 14 Blackburn 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
7 17 Derby 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1
8 20 Norwich 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
9 24 Preston 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
10 2 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
11 3 Charlton 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
12 6 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
13 7 West Brom 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
14 9 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
15 10 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
16 12 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
17 15 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
18 16 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
19 18 Lincoln 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
20 19 Cardiff 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
21 21 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
22 22 Stoke 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
23 23 Burnley 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
24 1 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 2 QPR 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
3 5 Wolves 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 1 0 1 5 5 3
4 6 Bristol City 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
5 7 West Brom 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
6 19 Cardiff 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
7 21 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
8 22 Stoke 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
9 23 Burnley 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
10 3 Charlton 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
11 4 Southampton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
12 8 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
13 9 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
14 10 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
15 11 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
16 12 Wrexham 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
17 13 West Ham 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
18 14 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
19 16 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
20 17 Derby 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
21 18 Lincoln 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
22 20 Norwich 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
23 24 Preston 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
24 15 Watford 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51