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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Burnley 3–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 1.96
Draw 3.40 fair 4.30
Away 3.75 fair 3.90
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Middlesbrough
11 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 1
13 Fouls 4
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (263 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.95scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 43:23
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.41scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 31:27
Burnley all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.95 Goals scored 1.41
1.05 Goals conceded 1.23
3.00 Total goals 2.64
13.23 Shots 12.68
4.91 Shots on target 3.64
9.95 Shots faced 9.00
6.05 Corners 5.82
4.59 Corners against 3.55
9.05 Fouls 10.50
1.77 Yellow cards 2.18
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

55% Wins 36%
36% Draws 27%
9% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
82% Over 1.5 goals 73%
45% Over 2.5 goals 59%
27% Over 3.5 goals 27%
23% Over 4.5 goals 14%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 64%
32% Clean sheets 23%
5% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
50% Draws 36%
14% Losses 36%
68% Over 0.5 goals 91%
45% Over 1.5 goals 45%
18% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
2.27points / match
2.09scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 23:10
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.18points / match
1.64scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:16
Burnley at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

2.09 Goals scored 1.64
0.91 Goals conceded 1.45
3.00 Total goals 3.09
15.55 Shots 11.91
5.55 Shots on target 3.27
7.82 Shots faced 10.45
7.73 Corners 5.55
4.09 Corners against 3.36
8.55 Fouls 11.00
1.64 Yellow cards 2.00
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

64% Wins 36%
36% Draws 9%
0% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 82%
55% Over 2.5 goals 73%
27% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 9%
0% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%
73% Draws 36%
9% Losses 45%
55% Over 0.5 goals 100%
45% Over 1.5 goals 45%
18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
13.11.22 Burnley – Blackburn 3–0 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.98 1.88
05.11.22 Sheffield United – Burnley 5–2 (1–2) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
02.11.22 Burnley – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.454.338.00 1.83 2.02
29.10.22 Burnley – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.90 1.95
25.10.22 Burnley – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Sunderland – Burnley 2–4 (2–0) 3.203.252.30 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90
08.10.22 Coventry – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.00 1.85

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
08.11.22 Blackpool – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 2.02 1.83
05.11.22 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.75 1.90 1.95
01.11.22 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.002.75 2.30 1.61
22.10.22 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.755.50 2.00 1.85
19.10.22 Wigan – Middlesbrough 1–4 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 2.30 1.61
15.10.22 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 1–2 (1–2) 2.003.403.75 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22 Burnley – Blackburn 3–0 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.98 1.88
02.11.22 Burnley – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.454.338.00 1.83 2.02
29.10.22 Burnley – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.90 1.95
25.10.22 Burnley – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.90 1.95
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
17.09.22 Burnley – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.25 1.66 2.20
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Burnley – Blackpool 3–3 (3–1) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burnley – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 1.534.006.50 2.05 1.80

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
08.11.22 Blackpool – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 2.02 1.83
01.11.22 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.002.75 2.30 1.61
19.10.22 Wigan – Middlesbrough 1–4 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 2.30 1.61
08.10.22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Coventry – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 1.95 1.90
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 22 12 8 2 43 23 +20 44
2 Sheffield United 22 12 5 5 36 19 +17 41
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 25 26 -1 36
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 30 23 +7 35
5 Watford 22 9 7 6 28 22 +6 34
6 Preston 22 9 7 6 22 21 +1 34
7 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 26 22 +4 32
8 Millwall 22 9 5 8 27 26 +1 32
9 Reading 23 10 2 11 26 33 -7 32
10 QPR 22 9 4 9 26 27 -1 31
11 Swansea 22 8 7 7 27 29 -2 31
12 Sunderland 22 8 6 8 30 25 +5 30
13 Middlesbrough 22 8 6 8 31 27 +4 30
14 Luton 22 7 9 6 24 24 0 30
15 Coventry 20 8 5 7 21 19 +2 29
16 Bristol City 22 7 6 9 30 30 0 27
17 West Brom 21 6 8 7 26 25 +1 26
18 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 26 29 -3 26
19 Stoke 22 7 5 10 24 29 -5 26
20 Cardiff 22 7 4 11 19 27 -8 25
21 Hull 22 7 4 11 25 39 -14 25
22 Wigan 22 6 6 10 22 32 -10 24
23 Blackpool 22 6 5 11 24 33 -9 23
24 Huddersfield 21 5 4 12 19 27 -8 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 11 7 4 0 23 10 +13 25
2 Blackburn 11 8 0 3 18 11 +7 24
3 Millwall 11 7 2 2 17 8 +9 23
4 Reading 11 7 1 3 16 11 +5 22
5 Sheffield United 11 6 3 2 23 11 +12 21
6 Watford 11 6 2 3 17 10 +7 20
7 Norwich 11 5 3 3 18 12 +6 18
8 Birmingham 12 4 5 3 16 12 +4 17
9 QPR 11 5 2 4 15 13 +2 17
10 Middlesbrough 11 4 5 2 13 11 +2 17
11 Swansea 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17
12 Coventry 9 5 1 3 10 6 +4 16
13 Rotherham 11 4 3 4 18 15 +3 15
14 Bristol City 11 4 3 4 13 10 +3 15
15 Huddersfield 11 4 2 5 10 10 0 14
16 Cardiff 11 4 2 5 9 10 -1 14
17 Luton 11 2 7 2 14 12 +2 13
18 Sunderland 11 3 4 4 14 12 +2 13
19 West Brom 11 3 4 4 14 14 0 13
20 Preston 11 3 4 4 7 11 -4 13
21 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
22 Hull 11 4 0 7 11 20 -9 12
23 Blackpool 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
24 Wigan 11 2 3 6 8 18 -10 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 11 6 3 2 15 10 +5 21
2 Sheffield United 11 6 2 3 13 8 +5 20
3 Burnley 11 5 4 2 20 13 +7 19
4 Sunderland 11 5 2 4 16 13 +3 17
5 Norwich 11 5 2 4 12 11 +1 17
6 Luton 11 5 2 4 10 12 -2 17
7 Wigan 11 4 3 4 14 14 0 15
8 Birmingham 11 4 3 4 10 10 0 15
9 Watford 11 3 5 3 11 12 -1 14
10 Stoke 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
11 Swansea 11 3 5 3 12 15 -3 14
12 QPR 11 4 2 5 11 14 -3 14
13 Middlesbrough 11 4 1 6 18 16 +2 13
14 West Brom 10 3 4 3 12 11 +1 13
15 Coventry 11 3 4 4 11 13 -2 13
16 Hull 11 3 4 4 14 19 -5 13
17 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 17 20 -3 12
18 Blackpool 11 3 3 5 12 17 -5 12
19 Blackburn 11 4 0 7 7 15 -8 12
20 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 8 14 -6 11
21 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 10 17 -7 11
22 Reading 12 3 1 8 10 22 -12 10
23 Millwall 11 2 3 6 10 18 -8 9
24 Huddersfield 10 1 2 7 9 17 -8 5

Burnley   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Reading 23 10 13 1.1 1.4 10 2 11 26 33 32
2 13 Middlesbrough 22 9 13 1.4 1.2 8 6 8 31 27 30
3 21 Hull 22 9 13 1.1 1.8 7 4 11 25 39 25
4 12 Sunderland 22 10 12 1.4 1.1 8 6 8 30 25 30
5 3 Blackburn 22 11 11 1.1 1.2 12 0 10 25 26 36
6 4 Norwich 22 11 11 1.4 1.0 10 5 7 30 23 35
7 10 QPR 22 11 11 1.2 1.2 9 4 9 26 27 31
8 11 Swansea 22 11 11 1.2 1.3 8 7 7 27 29 31
9 16 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.4 1.4 7 6 9 30 30 27
10 23 Blackpool 22 11 11 1.1 1.5 6 5 11 24 33 23
11 1 Burnley 22 12 10 2.0 1.0 12 8 2 43 23 44
12 5 Watford 22 12 10 1.3 1.0 9 7 6 28 22 34
13 18 Rotherham 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 6 8 8 26 29 26
14 22 Wigan 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 6 6 10 22 32 24
15 7 Birmingham 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 8 8 7 26 22 32
16 8 Millwall 22 13 9 1.2 1.2 9 5 8 27 26 32
17 19 Stoke 22 13 9 1.1 1.3 7 5 10 24 29 26
18 24 Huddersfield 21 12 9 0.9 1.3 5 4 12 19 27 19
19 2 Sheffield United 22 14 8 1.6 0.9 12 5 5 36 19 41
20 20 Cardiff 22 14 8 0.9 1.2 7 4 11 19 27 25
21 6 Preston 22 15 7 1.0 1.0 9 7 6 22 21 34
22 14 Luton 22 15 7 1.1 1.1 7 9 6 24 24 30
23 17 West Brom 21 14 7 1.2 1.2 6 8 7 26 25 26
24 15 Coventry 20 14 6 1.1 0.9 8 5 7 21 19 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 QPR 11 4 7 1.4 1.2 5 2 4 15 13 17
2 21 Hull 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 4 0 7 11 20 12
3 1 Burnley 11 5 6 2.1 0.9 7 4 0 23 10 25
4 2 Sheffield United 11 5 6 2.1 1.0 6 3 2 23 11 21
5 3 Blackburn 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 8 0 3 18 11 24
6 4 Norwich 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 5 3 3 18 12 18
7 5 Watford 11 5 6 1.5 0.9 6 2 3 17 10 20
8 7 Birmingham 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 4 5 3 16 12 17
9 9 Reading 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 7 1 3 16 11 22
10 11 Swansea 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17
11 12 Sunderland 11 5 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 4 14 12 13
12 18 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.6 1.4 4 3 4 18 15 15
13 13 Middlesbrough 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 4 5 2 13 11 17
14 19 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
15 23 Blackpool 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11
16 8 Millwall 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 17 8 23
17 14 Luton 11 7 4 1.3 1.1 2 7 2 14 12 13
18 16 Bristol City 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 4 13 10 15
19 22 Wigan 11 7 4 0.7 1.6 2 3 6 8 18 9
20 17 West Brom 11 8 3 1.3 1.3 3 4 4 14 14 13
21 20 Cardiff 11 8 3 0.8 0.9 4 2 5 9 10 14
22 24 Huddersfield 11 8 3 0.9 0.9 4 2 5 10 10 14
23 6 Preston 11 9 2 0.6 1.0 3 4 4 7 11 13
24 15 Coventry 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 5 1 3 10 6 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Middlesbrough 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 4 1 6 18 16 13
2 9 Reading 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 1 8 10 22 10
3 16 Bristol City 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 3 5 17 20 12
4 12 Sunderland 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 5 2 4 16 13 17
5 21 Hull 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 4 4 14 19 13
6 22 Wigan 11 5 6 1.3 1.3 4 3 4 14 14 15
7 23 Blackpool 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 5 12 17 12
8 24 Huddersfield 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 1 2 7 9 17 5
9 3 Blackburn 11 6 5 0.6 1.4 4 0 7 7 15 12
10 4 Norwich 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 5 2 4 12 11 17
11 6 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 0.9 6 3 2 15 10 21
12 8 Millwall 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 6 10 18 9
13 11 Swansea 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 3 5 3 12 15 14
14 20 Cardiff 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 6 10 17 11
15 1 Burnley 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 5 4 2 20 13 19
16 5 Watford 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 3 5 3 11 12 14
17 10 QPR 11 7 4 1.0 1.3 4 2 5 11 14 14
18 15 Coventry 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 3 4 4 11 13 13
19 17 West Brom 10 6 4 1.2 1.1 3 4 3 12 11 13
20 18 Rotherham 11 7 4 0.7 1.3 2 5 4 8 14 11
21 19 Stoke 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 4 2 5 11 13 14
22 7 Birmingham 11 8 3 0.9 0.9 4 3 4 10 10 15
23 14 Luton 11 8 3 0.9 1.1 5 2 4 10 12 17
24 2 Sheffield United 11 9 2 1.2 0.7 6 2 3 13 8 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51