Leeds 3–1 Burnley – England Premier League, 1 May 2026

Match facts

Leeds Burnley

18 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 0

12 Fouls 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (339 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.69

Expected goals 1.95 – 1.17

Home / Draw / Away

56% 22% 23%

LeedsDrawBurnley

Under / Over 2.5 goals

40% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

18% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches

1.18points / match

1.29scored / match

1.50conceded / match

9 13 12

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 44:51

Burnley before this match, all matches

0.59points / match

1.00scored / match

2.00conceded / match

4 8 22

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 34:68

Leeds all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.00

1.50 Goals conceded 2.00

2.79 Total goals 3.00

12.62 Shots 9.12

3.97 Shots on target 2.97

12.24 Shots faced 16.79

4.41 Corners 3.71

4.85 Corners against 6.03

10.47 Fouls 9.97

1.56 Yellow cards 1.62

0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

26% Wins 12%

38% Draws 24%

35% Losses 65%

88% Over 0.5 goals 94%

74% Over 1.5 goals 85%

56% Over 2.5 goals 50%

38% Over 3.5 goals 38%

15% Over 4.5 goals 24%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

59% Both teams scored 56%

21% Clean sheets 12%

32% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 12%

44% Draws 35%

24% Losses 53%

65% Over 0.5 goals 79%

41% Over 1.5 goals 38%

6% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches

3

1

W

2

D

1

D

1

L

1

L

D

2

1

W

3

W

2

D

Burnley all matches

2

L

3

2

W

1

D

3

4

L

2

L

D

1

3

L

2

L

1

4

L

1

L

Leeds before this match, at home

1.53points / match

1.47scored / match

1.18conceded / match

7 5 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:20

Burnley before this match, away

0.53points / match

1.12scored / match

2.47conceded / match

2 3 12

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 19:42

Leeds at home away Burnley

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.12

1.18 Goals conceded 2.47

2.65 Total goals 3.59

14.53 Shots 7.94

4.35 Shots on target 3.06

10.65 Shots faced 17.35

5.53 Corners 3.76

4.24 Corners against 6.29

10.06 Fouls 10.41

1.53 Yellow cards 2.00

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

41% Wins 12%

29% Draws 18%

29% Losses 71%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

65% Over 1.5 goals 100%

59% Over 2.5 goals 71%

35% Over 3.5 goals 47%

12% Over 4.5 goals 35%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

53% Both teams scored 76%

29% Clean sheets 0%

29% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 12%

53% Draws 35%

12% Losses 53%

59% Over 0.5 goals 82%

47% Over 1.5 goals 35%

0% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home

3

D

4

1

W

1

D

1

W

4

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

L

D

3

W

Burnley away

1

2

L

1

D

2

L

1

D

3

L

3

2

W

1

D

2

L

1

3

L

1

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.26	Bournemouth – Leeds	2–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.60	1.73	2.10
18.04.26	Leeds – Wolves	3–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.90	5.75	1.90	1.95
13.04.26	Man United – Leeds	1–2 (0–2)	1.62	4.10	5.00	1.73	2.10
21.03.26	Leeds – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.88	1.88	1.98
15.03.26	Crystal Palace – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.88	2.10	1.73
03.03.26	Leeds – Sunderland	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
28.02.26	Leeds – Man City	0–1 (0–1)	4.75	4.33	1.62	1.62	2.30
21.02.26	Aston Villa – Leeds	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.60	4.33	1.83	2.03
10.02.26	Chelsea – Leeds	2–2 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.62	2.30
06.02.26	Leeds – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.73

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.26	Burnley – Man City	0–1 (0–1)	19.00	9.00	1.13	1.33	3.40
19.04.26	Nott'm Forest – Burnley	4–1 (0–1)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.73	2.10
11.04.26	Burnley – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.73	1.73	2.10
21.03.26	Fulham – Burnley	3–1 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	6.25	1.80	2.00
14.03.26	Burnley – Bournemouth	0–0 (0–0)	4.10	3.80	1.83	1.73	2.10
03.03.26	Everton – Burnley	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.98	1.88
28.02.26	Burnley – Brentford	3–4 (1–3)	4.50	3.90	1.73	1.85	2.00
21.02.26	Chelsea – Burnley	1–1 (1–0)	1.22	6.50	12.00	1.44	2.75
11.02.26	Crystal Palace – Burnley	2–3 (2–3)	1.57	4.00	6.25	1.98	1.88
07.02.26	Burnley – West Ham	0–2 (0–2)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.90	1.95

Leeds at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.26	Leeds – Wolves	3–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.90	5.75	1.90	1.95
21.03.26	Leeds – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.88	1.88	1.98
03.03.26	Leeds – Sunderland	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
28.02.26	Leeds – Man City	0–1 (0–1)	4.75	4.33	1.62	1.62	2.30
06.02.26	Leeds – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Leeds – Arsenal	0–4 (0–2)	5.75	4.20	1.55	1.98	1.88
17.01.26	Leeds – Fulham	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Leeds – Man United	1–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	1.83	2.03
20.12.25	Leeds – Crystal Palace	4–1 (2–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
06.12.25	Leeds – Liverpool	3–3 (0–0)	3.80	4.00	1.85	1.67	2.20

Burnley away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.04.26	Nott'm Forest – Burnley	4–1 (0–1)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.73	2.10
21.03.26	Fulham – Burnley	3–1 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	6.25	1.80	2.00
03.03.26	Everton – Burnley	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.98	1.88
21.02.26	Chelsea – Burnley	1–1 (1–0)	1.22	6.50	12.00	1.44	2.75
11.02.26	Crystal Palace – Burnley	2–3 (2–3)	1.57	4.00	6.25	1.98	1.88
02.02.26	Sunderland – Burnley	3–0 (2–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.20	1.67
17.01.26	Liverpool – Burnley	1–1 (1–0)	1.22	6.50	11.00	1.57	2.38
03.01.26	Brighton – Burnley	2–0 (1–0)	1.48	4.33	7.00	1.73	2.10
20.12.25	Bournemouth – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	1.48	4.33	6.50	1.67	2.20
06.12.25	Newcastle – Burnley	2–1 (2–0)	1.27	6.00	9.50	1.57	2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2 2

Leeds winsDrawsBurnley wins

5matches

1.80goals / match

20%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.10.25E0	Burnley – Leeds	2–0 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.20	1.67
27.01.25E1	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
14.09.24E1	Leeds – Burnley	0–1 (0–1)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.85	2.00
02.01.22E0	Leeds – Burnley	3–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.50	3.50	1.72	2.10
29.08.21E0	Burnley – Leeds	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.50	2.25	1.72	2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	34	22	7	5	64	26	+38	73
2	Man City	33	21	7	5	66	29	+37	70
3	Man United	34	17	10	7	60	46	+14	61
4	Liverpool	34	17	7	10	57	44	+13	58
5	Aston Villa	34	17	7	10	47	42	+5	58
6	Brighton	34	13	11	10	48	39	+9	50
7	Bournemouth	34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49
8	Chelsea	34	13	9	12	53	45	+8	48
9	Brentford	34	13	9	12	49	46	+3	48
10	Fulham	34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48
11	Everton	34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47
12	Sunderland	34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46
13	Crystal Palace	33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43
14	Newcastle	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42
15	Leeds	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40
16	Nott'm Forest	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39
17	West Ham	34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36
18	Tottenham	34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34
19	Burnley	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20
20	Wolves	34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	17	13	2	2	37	11	+26	41
2	Man City	16	12	3	1	38	12	+26	39
3	Man United	17	11	3	3	33	20	+13	36
4	Aston Villa	17	11	2	4	27	18	+9	35
5	Liverpool	17	10	4	3	32	18	+14	34
6	Fulham	17	10	2	5	28	19	+9	32
7	Brighton	17	8	6	3	27	17	+10	30
8	Sunderland	17	8	5	4	23	19	+4	29
9	Brentford	17	7	7	3	28	19	+9	28
10	Bournemouth	17	6	9	2	25	19	+6	27
11	Leeds	17	7	5	5	25	20	+5	26
12	Newcastle	17	8	2	7	30	28	+2	26
13	Chelsea	17	6	5	6	23	21	+2	23
14	Everton	17	6	4	7	22	21	+1	22
15	Crystal Palace	17	4	8	5	16	19	-3	20
16	West Ham	17	5	4	8	24	29	-5	19
17	Nott'm Forest	17	4	6	7	18	21	-3	18
18	Wolves	17	3	3	11	17	32	-15	12
19	Tottenham	17	2	5	10	20	30	-10	11
20	Burnley	17	2	5	10	15	26	-11	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	17	9	5	3	27	15	+12	32
2	Man City	17	9	4	4	28	17	+11	31
3	Chelsea	17	7	4	6	30	24	+6	25
4	Man United	17	6	7	4	27	26	+1	25
5	Everton	17	7	4	6	19	20	-1	25
6	Liverpool	17	7	3	7	25	26	-1	24
7	Tottenham	17	6	5	6	23	23	0	23
8	Crystal Palace	16	7	2	7	20	20	0	23
9	Aston Villa	17	6	5	6	20	24	-4	23
10	Bournemouth	17	5	7	5	27	33	-6	22
11	Nott'm Forest	17	6	3	8	23	24	-1	21
12	Brighton	17	5	5	7	21	22	-1	20
13	Brentford	17	6	2	9	21	27	-6	20
14	West Ham	17	4	5	8	18	29	-11	17
15	Sunderland	17	4	5	8	13	26	-13	17
16	Newcastle	17	4	4	9	16	22	-6	16
17	Fulham	17	4	4	9	16	27	-11	16
18	Leeds	17	2	8	7	19	31	-12	14
19	Burnley	17	2	3	12	19	42	-23	9
20	Wolves	17	0	5	12	7	30	-23	5

Leeds Burnley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Chelsea	34	12	22	1.6	1.3	13	9	12	53	45	48
2	14	Newcastle	34	12	22	1.4	1.5	12	6	16	46	50	42
3	18	Tottenham	34	12	22	1.3	1.6	8	10	16	43	53	34
4	3	Man United	34	13	21	1.8	1.4	17	10	7	60	46	61
5	4	Liverpool	34	13	21	1.7	1.3	17	7	10	57	44	58
6	2	Man City	33	13	20	2.0	0.9	21	7	5	66	29	70
7	7	Bournemouth	34	14	20	1.5	1.5	11	16	7	52	52	49
8	17	West Ham	34	14	20	1.2	1.7	9	9	16	42	58	36
9	15	Leeds	34	15	19	1.3	1.5	9	13	12	44	51	40
10	1	Arsenal	34	16	18	1.9	0.8	22	7	5	64	26	73
11	10	Fulham	34	16	18	1.3	1.4	14	6	14	44	46	48
12	16	Nott'm Forest	34	16	18	1.2	1.3	10	9	15	41	45	39
13	9	Brentford	34	17	17	1.4	1.4	13	9	12	49	46	48
14	19	Burnley	34	17	17	1.0	2.0	4	8	22	34	68	20
15	5	Aston Villa	34	18	16	1.4	1.2	17	7	10	47	42	58
16	6	Brighton	34	18	16	1.4	1.1	13	11	10	48	39	50
17	13	Crystal Palace	33	17	16	1.1	1.2	11	10	12	36	39	43
18	20	Wolves	34	18	16	0.7	1.8	3	8	23	24	62	17
19	12	Sunderland	34	19	15	1.1	1.3	12	10	12	36	45	46
20	11	Everton	34	20	14	1.2	1.2	13	8	13	41	41	47

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Newcastle	17	4	13	1.8	1.6	8	2	7	30	28	26
2	18	Tottenham	17	5	12	1.2	1.8	2	5	10	20	30	11
3	2	Man City	16	5	11	2.4	0.8	12	3	1	38	12	39
4	17	West Ham	17	6	11	1.4	1.7	5	4	8	24	29	19
5	1	Arsenal	17	7	10	2.2	0.6	13	2	2	37	11	41
6	10	Fulham	17	7	10	1.6	1.1	10	2	5	28	19	32
7	15	Leeds	17	7	10	1.5	1.2	7	5	5	25	20	26
8	3	Man United	17	8	9	1.9	1.2	11	3	3	33	20	36
9	4	Liverpool	17	8	9	1.9	1.1	10	4	3	32	18	34
10	5	Aston Villa	17	8	9	1.6	1.1	11	2	4	27	18	35
11	6	Brighton	17	8	9	1.6	1.0	8	6	3	27	17	30
12	8	Chelsea	17	8	9	1.4	1.2	6	5	6	23	21	23
13	9	Brentford	17	8	9	1.6	1.1	7	7	3	28	19	28
14	20	Wolves	17	8	9	1.0	1.9	3	3	11	17	32	12
15	7	Bournemouth	17	9	8	1.5	1.1	6	9	2	25	19	27
16	11	Everton	17	9	8	1.3	1.2	6	4	7	22	21	22
17	12	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	8	5	4	23	19	29
18	16	Nott'm Forest	17	9	8	1.1	1.2	4	6	7	18	21	18
19	13	Crystal Palace	17	10	7	0.9	1.1	4	8	5	16	19	20
20	19	Burnley	17	12	5	0.9	1.5	2	5	10	15	26	11

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Chelsea	17	4	13	1.8	1.4	7	4	6	30	24	25
2	3	Man United	17	5	12	1.6	1.5	6	7	4	27	26	25
3	4	Liverpool	17	5	12	1.5	1.5	7	3	7	25	26	24
4	7	Bournemouth	17	5	12	1.6	1.9	5	7	5	27	33	22
5	19	Burnley	17	5	12	1.1	2.5	2	3	12	19	42	9
6	16	Nott'm Forest	17	7	10	1.4	1.4	6	3	8	23	24	21
7	18	Tottenham	17	7	10	1.4	1.4	6	5	6	23	23	23
8	2	Man City	17	8	9	1.6	1.0	9	4	4	28	17	31
9	13	Crystal Palace	16	7	9	1.2	1.2	7	2	7	20	20	23
10	14	Newcastle	17	8	9	0.9	1.3	4	4	9	16	22	16
11	15	Leeds	17	8	9	1.1	1.8	2	8	7	19	31	14
12	17	West Ham	17	8	9	1.1	1.7	4	5	8	18	29	17
13	1	Arsenal	17	9	8	1.6	0.9	9	5	3	27	15	32
14	9	Brentford	17	9	8	1.2	1.6	6	2	9	21	27	20
15	10	Fulham	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	4	4	9	16	27	16
16	5	Aston Villa	17	10	7	1.2	1.4	6	5	6	20	24	23
17	6	Brighton	17	10	7	1.2	1.3	5	5	7	21	22	20
18	12	Sunderland	17	10	7	0.8	1.5	4	5	8	13	26	17
19	20	Wolves	17	10	7	0.4	1.8	0	5	12	7	30	5
20	11	Everton	17	11	6	1.1	1.2	7	4	6	19	20	25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.